Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Louisiana Downs
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LAD-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (4/2)-(5/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (4/2)-(5/3)-(1/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(1/5/2)-(1/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LAD-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/4/2)-(2/7/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
LAD-4   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(2/7/3)-(7/6/2/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-5   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/1/3)-(2/7/1/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(7/6/2/8)-(2/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-6   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8)-(2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-7   WIN (2/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/7)-(2/5/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/5/7)-(2/5/4/7)-(2/5/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LAD-1   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINCOLN PRODUCTION Jun22 Jun07 May19 May05 Apr11 (gomez rafael )PENA JONUELLE 119 10.00    
SIR MACK Jun17 May26 May13     (schmidt denis)VARGAS P 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH ADVENTURE Jun10 May29 May13 Mar04 Feb20 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 3.50    
CUSTOM SPARK Jun22         (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 1.80 56% 0.80    
YAKETY YOCK Jan16 Dec13 Nov15 Oct10 Aug31 (johnson henr)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 4.50    
SCR  PRINCE PERFECTA May25 May05 Feb12 Jan04 Aug26 (johnson he)BATISTA X 124 3.00    
 
LAD-2   07/16/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAM'S PROMISE May27 May03 Feb06 Jan04 Dec04 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 120 3.00    
SCR  EL DEAL ME ACES Jul05 Jun23 May05 Feb16 Dec20 (wong jonath)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 119 4.50    
MOSQUITO FLEET May29 Feb13 Jan10 Dec14 Nov30 (lara jor)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 24% 3.20    
CHEZ WHIZ Jun12 May14 May03 Apr13 Mar16 (hewitt mic)BATISTA X 120 8.00    
SEEKING SAWYER Jun17 May27 Feb28 Jan30 Dec06 (duhon joseph)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 1.50 38% 1.60    
INTO WISHING Jul01 Feb22 Feb01 Nov23 Nov06 (turner patti)PENA JONUELLE 115 6.00    
 
LAD-3   07/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZONG'S FAVOR Jul04 Jun02 May13 Dec18 Nov05 (antwine micha)PENA JONUELLE 119 2.00 47% 1.10    
TACLOBAN Jun22 May05 Apr10     (goins garl)RAMIREZ JR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
NELLE TUE MANI Jun30 May19 May05 Apr19 Feb20 (pedigo randy)BOREL H 118 5.00    
EMBRACE MY HEART Jun28 Jun06 Jan25     (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 3.50    
KAH NIGH Jun29 Jun05 May16 May03 Apr19 (dussette alvi)VARGAS P 124 3.00 15% 5.70    
STAR ROUGE Jun02 May13 Feb16 Dec06 Sep16 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.00    
 
LAD-4   07/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR LAST HALF Jun29 Dec22 Nov18 Aug06 Jul17 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 0.80 50% 1.00    
SACRED VOW Jul03 May10 Mar18 Jul25 Jun15 (ramsey dar)RAMIREZ JR 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
A REAL EMBRACE May22 Feb20 Dec18     (bernard joh)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 4.50    
GLAMOUR POWER May12 Mar14       (lara jorge)PENA JONUELLE 114 5.00 25% 3.10    
SCR  DREAMED I AM FAST Feb08 Jan15 Dec14 Nov30 Oct28 (jackson dway)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00    
EL TINTINEOS Jul01         (schmidt deni)EDISON JOCELYN 114 12.00    
REAL SILK Feb23 Jan15 Dec27 Dec07 Oct25 (duhon jose)BATISTA X 119 8.00    
 
LAD-5   07/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TURN ON THE BLING Jun24 Jun06 Apr17 Apr06 Mar02 (jacks e)VARGAS P 123 4.00    
WICKLOW GAL May13 Apr05 Nov30 Oct18 Sep28 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 1.20 44% 1.30    
ANN'S STORM Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 May22 May07 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
C C'S COWGIRL Jun24 Jun03 May20 Sep23 Sep11 (schmidt denis)LOZADA CARLOS 125 15.00    
CECE WAVE Jul04 Jun14 May24 Apr26 Feb13 (morris row)RAMIREZ JR 120 30.00    
OUR AMEN Jun24 May13 Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 (morris rowdy)PENA JONUELLE 118 30.00    
LAYLA'S SONG May03 Apr25 Mar23 Feb06 Jan05 (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 5.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  DASHYNS DREAM Jun20 Jun05 May09 Mar13 Feb13 (melancon d)BATISTA X 123 4.50    
SCR  TRUST FUND BABY Jul05 Jun16 Jun03 May11 Feb21 (wong jonathan)RENGIFO JOHAN 123 30.00    
 
LAD-6   07/16/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHTANDJUST Jun24 May27 Feb13 Jan10 Dec19 (wilson shane)MCMAHON J 123 5.00    
KAJUN KARMA Jun19 May14 Feb28 Jan30 Dec19 (gonzalez is)SANTIAGO EDWARD 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
STAR READY Jun23 Jun09 May03 Apr09 Mar21 (balderas alfo)PENA JONUELLE 117 20.00    
GRANADA FLAVOR Jun16 May14 Jan23 Dec28 Dec14 (wong jonatha)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 4.00    
SHADY GRADY Jun15 Sep18 Sep03 Aug06 Jul10 (romero dal)BOREL H 120 30.00    
NUMERO SIETE Jul04 Jun16 Jun02 May11 Apr30 (claire ale)BATISTA X 125 3.00 5% 19.00    
B MINOR Jun14 May25 Jan22 Dec30 Nov19 (diodoro robe)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 1.80 70% 0.40    
COOKN WIT CATMAN Jul01 May27 Feb14 Jan24 Sep26 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 127 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
LAD-7   07/16/2025 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROUSTABOUT Jun24 May24 May10 Mar28 Mar16 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 120 20.00    
ISLAND CRUISER Nov24 Oct20 Aug24 Jul20 May04 (wong jonathan)MCMAHON J 124 1.60 41% 1.50    
SCR  PETITFOR Jun17 Jun02 May17 Feb27 Jan25 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 123 6.00    
ONLY A DREAM Jun29 May19 Aug27 Aug05 Jun19 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 5.00    
TURQUOISE BLUE Jul03 Jun22 May11 Apr04 Mar21 (jacks karen )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
CREME DE BALI Jun29 May19 Feb28 Aug28 Aug06 (wilson s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
DUDE PERFECTA Jun29 Jan19 Sep25 Jul04 Jun16 (jacks e)VARGAS P 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NONCHALANT Jun15 May26 May07 Mar07 Feb04 (camejo jos)BATISTA X 124 4.50    
SLEW SKIES Jun21 May24 Apr17 Mar29 Mar14 (gelner jayde)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.