Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - July 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ASD-1   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/2/1)-(4/2/1) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(2/4/1)-(5/2) 12 $0.20 $2.40 
ASD-2   WIN (2/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/1)-(2/4/1)-(2/4/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/4/1)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/1)-(5/2)-(4/7/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-3   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (5/2)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/7/5)-(1/2/5) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-4   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/7/5)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(1/2/5)-(2/5/8/3) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/5/8/3)-(7/6/4/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-6   WIN (2/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3)-(2/5/8/3) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (2/5/8/3)-(7/6/4/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ASD-7   WIN (7/6/4/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/4/9)-(7/6/4/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/6/4/9)-(7/6/4/3/9)-(7/6/4/3/9) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ASD-1   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET UP EARLY May21 Jun10 May28 Aug14 Jul31 (husbands tiff)BYNOE DAMARIO 122 7.00 5% 19.00    
2  PINO BAMBINO Jul08 Jun24 May28 Sep23 Sep16 (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 124 3.00 ★    
3  CAVORE Jul09 Jun24 Jun11 May27 Sep02 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 6.00    
4  HE KNOWS WE KNOW Jul02 Jun17 Jun03 May21 Aug12 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 0.50 61% 0.70    
5  DEVILS TIME Jun03 May21 Aug19 Jul29 Jul09 (thompson steve)HEWITT ROGER 122 30.00    
 
ASD-2   07/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIANE'S WISH Jun25 Jun11 May28 May14 Sep11 (mustard car)TOWNSEND SHAVON 123 10.00 18% 4.50    
2  AUNT IRENE Jul08 May10 Apr18 Apr06 Mar16 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 3.00 31% 2.20    
3  DIAMOND GRAND Jun25 Jun10 May27 Sep23 Sep09 (nault michael)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 1.60    
4  HIGHLANDER HONEY Jun25 Jun17 Jun06 May16 Apr19 (rawson fred)CUMBERBATCH R 123 5.00 24% 3.20    
5  RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jul01 May28 May14 Sep18 Sep04 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 123 6.00    
6  FILLY FATALE Jun25 Jun18 May13 Oct14 Sep23 (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 118 15.00    
 
ASD-3   07/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Nov27 Sep27 Aug24 Jun15 May12 (laing sherry)PARRIS SACHIN 117 5.00    
2  NOIWONTBACKDOWN Jul08 Jun24 May27 May13 Sep23 (ross cou)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 10.00 9% 10.40    
3  ZEN STATE Jun10 May02 Apr19 Apr06 Mar23 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 117 3.00    
SCR  HOT CAKE Jul08 Jun24 Jun10 May13 Apr03 (cole terry)HEWITT ROGER 122 15.00    
5  NO MAGIC Jun24 Jun10 May27 May13 Sep16 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
6  HI PLAINS HUNK Jun24 Jun11 May28 May17 Apr25 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 1.80 ★    
 
ASD-4   07/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AARON'S SPIRIT Jun25 Nov02 Oct02 Sep18 Apr18 (hunter judy)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 20.00    
2  LUCKY APPEAL Jun25 Jun04 May20 Sep23 Sep18 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 15.00    
3  SMACKOVER LIME Jun25 Jun10 Jun04 May27 Sep23 (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 10.00    
4  LT. NORM Jun25 Jun18 Jun02 May13 Apr19 (keplin j)DAWKINS DANE 122 1.00 65% 0.50    
5  GREEN AMAZON Jun25 May28 May13 Nov29 Nov16 (gaskin steven)BALROOP SVEN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG WALK Jun25 Jun17 Jun02 May20 Apr14 (gourneau jerr)CUMBERBATCH R 119 4.00    
7  LUKA GRAZIE Jul09 Apr19 Mar19 Feb26 Feb11 (homer jason)PRUITT CIERA 119 3.00 9% 10.10    
 
ASD-5   07/15/2025 4950ft DIRT RC11 FAST Canada Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BURROW DOWN Jun25 May31 Oct12 Sep18 Aug26 (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 123 1.80 57% 0.70    
  (by CONNECT out of TRUE ENDEAVOR by AFTER MARKET)
2  MARVELOUS LADY Jun23 Jun10 Apr11 Mar26 Jan31 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 118 10.00 9% 10.30    
  (by KHOZAN out of SAPPHIRE BLUE by MR. GREELEY)
3  JJ'S AMERICAN DIVA Jun23 May21 Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 (laing sherr)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 25.00    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of COULEE by VICAR)
SCR  MIDSHIPMAN'S LADY Jun14 May31 May09 Apr18 Mar23 (gourneau )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 118 6.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of MAEBELUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
5  BIG STRETCH Jun18 May27 Sep18 Aug26 Aug05 (pruitt lise)DAWKINS DANE 118 20.00 6% 14.80    
  (by MR. BIG out of BABY ZITO by CURLIN)
6  DYNAMIC STRIKE Jun25 May21 Sep18 Sep04 Aug20 (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 118 25.00    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MORNING STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
7  SOPHIA'S STORM Jun25 Jun04 May21 Apr12 Mar23 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 123 1.40    
  (by HANDSOME MIKE out of SOPHIA'S PRIDE by PLEASANT TAP)
SCR  BABY GUNDIN Jun29 Jun06 Apr27 Mar16 Mar02 (gourneau jer)BENNETT MATHEW 118 12.00    
  (by OXBOW out of MINX by TAPIT)
 
ASD-6   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST SPECULATING Jun04 May21       (anderson wendy)PRUITT CIERA 114 5.00    
2  HIBERNATION Jul02 Jun18       (hrymak br)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.20 42% 1.40    
3  TURN IT LOOSE Jul02 May20 Sep18 Aug27 Aug06 (hunter judy)BYNOE DAMARIO 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  PLEASANT TIME Jul02 Jun18 Jun04     (thompson )SEECHARAN A 119 40.00    
5  LITTLE EDDIE Jul02 Jun18 Jun04     (desjarlais rya)BALROOP SVEN 119 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  RUGGED ROOSTER Jul09         (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 119 30.00    
7  GRAY HAVENS Jun18         (taphorn mike)BENNETT MATHEW 119 12.00    
8  PRETTY LITTLE GIRL         (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 114 10.00 8% 12.00    
 
ASD-7   07/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($17.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FALSELY ACCUSED Jun10 Apr26 Apr05 Feb22 Dec31 (homer jason)TOWNSEND SHAVON 122 10.00    
2  PESO Jun23 Jun04 Apr29 Aug11 Jul28 (homer ja)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00    
3  LANSDOWNE (GB) Jun23 Jun10 Apr17 Mar24 Mar04 (brown jared)ALI RONALD 124 3.00 ★    
4  NORTHVALE ROAD Jun23 Apr26 Mar28 Mar09 Feb16 (gourneau jer)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 5.00 6% 15.20    
5  SPARKLING SILVER Jul01 Jun17 Sep23 Sep18 Sep02 (stanford maria)DAWKINS DANE 117 50.00    
6  EXACTING Jun23 Jun10 May21 Mar22 Mar08 (keplin steve )BYNOE DAMARIO 122 4.00 14% 6.00    
7  UPSTRIKER Jun24 Jun03 Apr19 Apr05 Mar22 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.00 51% 1.00    
8  MCEWEN Jun10 May28 Sep16 Aug24 Aug05 (dickey elton)CUMBERBATCH R 122 25.00    
9  FREEZE 'EM Jun23 Jun11 May28 May14 Mar18 (anderson )WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.