Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Emerald Downs
Saturday - July 12, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EMD-1   WIN (7/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3)-(7/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/6/3)-(1/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/6/3)-(1/7/5/10)-(4/1/5/8) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
EMD-2   WIN (1/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/10)-(1/7/5/10/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/10)-(1/7/5/10/8)-(1/7/5/10/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/7/5/10)-(4/1/5/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5/10)-(4/1/5/8)-(2/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-3   WIN (4/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8)-(4/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/5/8)-(2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5/8)-(2/1/3)-(6/7/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(6/7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(6/7/5/1)-(9/4/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-5   WIN (6/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/1)-(6/7/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/1)-(6/7/5/1/3)-(6/7/5/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/7/5/1)-(9/4/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/1)-(9/4/7/6)-(1/7/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-6   WIN (9/4/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/6)-(9/4/7/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/6)-(9/4/7/2/6)-(9/4/7/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/4/7/6)-(1/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/7/6)-(1/7/5)-(8/6/1/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
EMD-7   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5)-(1/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/5)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/7/5)-(8/6/1/4)-(9/4/7/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
EMD-8   WIN (8/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4)-(8/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/1/4)-(9/4/7/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EMD-9   WIN (9/4/7/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/7/10/6)-(9/4/7/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/7/10/6)-(9/4/7/10/6)-(9/4/7/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EMD-1   07/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FIRST ENDEAVOR Jun29 Jun15 May25 May11 Sep08 (bullock stev)HALDAR J 125 10.00    
2  GALLOPING MAJOR Jun20 Jun01 May24 Mar25 Feb16 (bean robert)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
3  DUNGARVAN OAK Jun29 Jun06 Aug04 Jul14 Jun01 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 125 15.00 7% 13.90    
4  GOLDEN SERENADE Jun29 Jun21 Jun01 Apr28 Apr22 (toye joe)CRUZ M 121 8.00    
5  DON'T HAVE ANOTHER Jun27 Jun20 Jun01 Apr27 Apr03 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 121 3.00 24% 3.30    
6  BOLD ENCOUNTER Jun29 Jun07 Apr27 Nov24 Nov15 (maravilla jor)COUTON JULIEN 122 20.00 20% 4.00    
7  DEKUDYLAN Jun29 Jun07 May24 Apr27 Mar19 (birdwell tena)MATIAS J 122 3.50 25% 3.10    
8  RAIL TOWN Jun27 Jun07 May17 Apr19 Apr03 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 1.80    
 
EMD-2   07/12/2025 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($16K) 2 F PT- 5:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLETT LETTER         (wenzel tom)MONTALVO C 116 4.00 45% 1.20    
2  DEEP DESIRES Jun22         (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 3.00    
3  ALLURING VALENTINE         (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 119 8.00    
SCR  STORM HARBOR         (bullock steve)CRUZ M 119 10.00    
5  WINENDINEHER         (baze robert)OROZCO E 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  LOTSA KITTY         (tubbs scott)COUTON JULIEN 119 8.00    
7  RIVERALATION         (mccanna tim)ALVARADO T 119 5.00 10% 8.60    
8  BEWITCHING JOY         (ledford me)AMERICANO MANUEL 114 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOT SUMMER BREEZE Jun22         (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 10.00    
10  MOONRISE SERENADE         (patino fau)MONROY FRANCISCO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EMD-3   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PHAROAHS LIST Jun20 Jun06 Apr29 Sep06 Aug25 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 125 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  OUR BLOKE Jun21 May26 Apr03 Mar11 Feb17 (jewell ian)OROZCO E 125 4.00    
3  PEDAL TO THE METAL Jun20 May24 May10 Apr19 Mar18 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 10.00    
4  MISTER MIDAS Jun27 Jun13 May11 Aug04 Jul12 (wright blain)HALDAR J 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
5  ROPER Jul03 Jun20 Jun07 May24 May17 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 125 5.00 10% 9.40    
6  CREATIVE OM Jun29 Jun21 Jun01 Mar22 Mar09 (puentes )AMADOR RUIZ 125 6.00    
7  K R RULES May24 May10 Apr15 Mar18 Jan22 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 15.00    
8  GOOD LOVIN Jun20 Jun06 Jun22 Jun01 May12 (morris michael)ALVARADO T 122 12.00 6% 15.10    
 
EMD-4   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HE'S NOT TALKING Jun29 Jun01 May11 Aug25 Aug11 (mcphee d)AMADOR RUIZ 119 3.50 24% 3.20    
2  GOIN' SOUTH Jun22 May26 May03 Nov17 Oct27 (wright blaine)CRUZ M 119 1.20 39% 1.60    
3  ADIOS JOJO Jun15 May18 May03 Sep07   (gibson howar)OROZCO E 119 12.00 12% 7.10    
4  TIZ'S HARBOR Jun22 Jun01 May11 Mar17 Feb07 (tamayo isidr)HALDAR J 122 4.00    
5  BIG BOWIE Jun14 May11 Sep15 Aug25 Aug04 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 119 10.00    
6  SLEW O' MISCHIEF Jun14 May26 May03 Apr17 Mar10 (lucarelli f)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 119 5.00    
 
EMD-5   07/12/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LADY MORMONT Jun28 Jun14 May31 Jul03 Jun16 (dronen sam)CRUZ M 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHESAYSHELLO Jun28 Jun06 May17 Mar31 Mar05 (birdwell te)TOMITA AKATSUKI 118 4.00    
3  UNION HARBOR Jun15 May31 May17 Mar24 Nov08 (rosales )CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 15.00 ★    
4  LINCHPIN'S LOCKET Jun13 May24 May10 Oct13 Sep29 (bozell)DIAZ-LOPEZ FRANCISCO 122 20.00    
5  SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT Jun14 May31 May10 Oct13 Oct07 (gibson howar)OROZCO E 125 15.00 7% 13.80    
6  THIRSTY NIC Jun28 May26 May03 Mar28 Mar07 (mccanna tim)KRIGGER K 121 3.00 51% 1.00    
7  PARKER'S FIFTEEN Jun21 Jun13 May31 May10 Mar24 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 117 4.50 16% 5.20    
8  DANGERELLA Jun28 Jun06 May24 May03 Apr17 (hernandez mig)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 8.00    
SCR  A RYDER'S TRICK Jun22 May24 May10 Apr19 Mar07 (tamayo i)AMADOR RUIZ 121 6.00    
10  RIVERSIDE ROSE Jul04 Jun21 Jun06 May26 May17 (perez serg)MONROY FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
11  POCKET KNIFE Jun28 Jun13 May17 Jan25 Jan06 (carlson dou)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 12.00    
 
EMD-6   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESCAPEFROMPARADISE Jun22 May31 May10 Apr08 Mar27 (christian bill)ENRIQUEZ D 122 15.00    
2  STAY N LOV Jun28 May24 Apr24 Mar31 Mar05 (rosales jorg)OROZCO E 118 5.00 ★    
3  BETTY LUTE Jun13 May24 Aug16 Jul20 Jun30 (simkins ros)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 122 20.00    
4  VHAGAR Jun22 Jun01 May11 Apr22 Mar31 (bean a)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 21% 3.80    
5  BIG CATTY Jun28 Jun15 May03 Nov05 Sep02 (garcia f)MONTALVO C 122 8.00    
6  DEUX MERES Jun13 May26 Sep14 Aug31 Jul26 (cooper kay)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  INFINITE LOVE Jul03 Jun22 Jun06 May25 May11 (perez se)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
8  DREWY Jun15 Jun01 Apr29 Apr17 Mar26 (koler dale)COUTON JULIEN 122 20.00    
9  SOLO UN BESO Jun28 May24 May10 Oct13 Sep23 (velasquez rig)GUTIERREZ M 125 4.50 39% 1.50    
 
EMD-7   07/12/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LET'S GO CHAMP Jun29 Jun14 Apr25 Mar28 Mar16 (jewell ian)KRIGGER K 125 3.00 58% 0.70    
2  SAWTOOTH BOW Jun06 Apr22 Mar23 Mar08 Dec28 (toye joe)COUTON JULIEN 118 12.00    
SCR  NO ORDINARY TIGER Jun15 May26 May03 Mar24 Feb05 (baze robert)OROZCO E 118 2.50    
4  PURE CANE SUGAR Jun15 Apr30 Apr15 Mar06 Feb18 (toye joe)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 3.50    
5  FORTYSHADESOFTIGER Jun28 May31 May03 Aug25 Aug11 (velasquez ri)HALDAR J 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  CHELAN SUMMER Jun15 Jun01 May18     (martinez b)DURAN F 115 15.00    
7  DRIVE TRAIN Apr15 Apr01 Feb20 Jan29 Dec31 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 125 5.00 12% 7.20    
 
EMD-8   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SIR GREYSON Jun20 Nov30 Nov02 Oct20 Sep29 (guillen )AMADOR RUIZ 122 12.00 7% 14.20    
2  JOE DON LOONEY Jun27 Apr19 Mar31 Feb04 Jan23 (evans just)AMERICANO MANUEL 120 4.50    
3  BLUEGRASS GO GO Jun13 May26 Dec31 Dec10 Nov27 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 122 8.00    
4  WHISKEYJACK Jun08 May17 Oct06 Sep22 Sep07 (lucarelli frank)MONTALVO C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  TIGER TOO Jun07 Feb04 Jan06 Feb09 Jan13 (essex charles)ALVARADO T 122 20.00    
6  COMPANY'S DREAM Jun22 Jun14 May17 May03 Apr16 (rosales jorge)CRUZ M 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
7  TOWN PERFORMER Jun27 Jun07 May17 Oct11 Sep14 (tamayo isi)MONROY FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
8  PRISONER Jun07 Mar27 Feb06 Jan23 Dec11 (evans justin)KRIGGER K 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
 
EMD-9   07/12/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARINI'S STAR May31 Nov03       (perez serg)CASTILLO E 116 30.00    
2  MAGIC LUNA Jun08         (koler steve)TOMITA AKATSUKI 125 20.00    
3  GLIMPSE OF GOLD May31 May03 Mar26 Feb13 Apr17 (toye joe)MONTALVO C 125 6.00    
4  HARRY'S BIG DREAM Jun14 May10 Apr16 Mar25 Feb26 (peery debbie)KRIGGER K 125 2.50 16% 5.20    
5  LA' MOMINA Jun13 May31 Feb13 Dec13 Nov29 (perez hilar)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 30.00    
6  CANTPUTAPRICEONFUN Jun28 Jun14 May25 May03   (gibson howar)OROZCO E 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  PEG'S CHOICE Jun27 Jun14 May25     (martinez david)ALVARADO T 121 12.00 13% 6.50    
8  SECRET GOLD Jun22 Jun08 May25     (navarro jose)BAILEY CHEL-C 121 30.00    
9  LOTSA SALITA Jun28 Jun14 May31 May17 May03 (rosales jo)AMERICANO MANUEL 116 4.50 27% 2.70    
10  ROMAN BRONZE Jun22 May17 May03 Mar30 Mar07 (maravilla jo)HALDAR J 121 10.00 13% 6.50    
11  INTERNET BIDDER Jun22 Oct09 Sep24     (cryderman)TIMENTWA TALLIYAH 116 3.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.