Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Hawthorne
Thursday - July 10, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

HAW-1   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(6/4/1)-(6/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/5/1)-(6/4/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(6/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(6/1/4)-(5/7/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-3   WIN (6/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/4)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/4)-(5/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(5/7/6)-(13/9/10/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/6)-(5/7/6)-(5/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/6)-(13/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6)-(13/9/10/3)-(7/8/1/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-5   WIN (13/9/10/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/9/10/3)-(13/9/10/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (13/9/10/3)-(13/9/10/3)-(13/9/10/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (13/9/10/3)-(7/8/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (13/9/10/3)-(7/8/1/6)-(1/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-6   WIN (7/8/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6)-(7/8/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/1/6)-(1/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/8/1/6)-(1/7/2)-(6/4/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
HAW-8   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/2/1)-(6/4/2/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
HAW-1   07/10/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUM TAP Jun15         (boyce michele)HERNANDEZ K 119 3.50 33% 2.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of LIL RUM TUM by KODIAK KOWBOY)
PRISSY         (rivelli larr)CENTENO ALEXIS 119 4.00    
  (by FRENCH LEGIONAIRE out of NEARCTIC REALITY by REALITY AND REASON)
BOOM BOOM BELL Jun15         (lynch e)ORTIZ ALVIN 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COMBATANT out of PERFECT FIT by ONE IN A MIL)
ALROSA         (perez man)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 5.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of MIDPOINT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  SHE'S TOPS         (perez manny)COLON H 119 5.00    
  (by CAPOTE out of SUMMERLAND by HE'S TOPS)
BIAGODDESS         (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by GOOD BYE GREG out of GODDESS OF KIP by KIPLING)
 
HAW-2   07/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAME UP ROSES May26 May06 Apr11 Mar25 Mar03 (simonovich d)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
MARZ EATOATS Jun01 Apr17 Mar12     (vitali j)REYES FRANK 120 2.00    
D' ARGONAUT Oct13         (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
NIGHT BLUE (IRE) Jun18 May08 Apr13 Sep02   (rosin cot)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00 23% 3.40    
ESCOVEDO Jun25 Dec13 Oct03     (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.00    
MARY MOONGLOW May22 Apr22 Jun23     (rivelli l)ULLOA JOAN 120 2.50 32% 2.20    
BALLYBAY BEAUTY Jun29 Jun12 May22     (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 8.00    
 
HAW-3   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAME SANTA Jun19         (perez manny)COLON H 120 6.00 26% 2.90    
RODAVLAS Jun08 Apr20       (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 120 4.00    
MY LAST ESCAPADE Jun19 May29 May01 Apr13 Mar27 (slager mike)LOPEZ A 124 3.00    
BEST DRESSED MAN Dec20 Oct31 Sep26 Aug11   (childers )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DRIPPING SPRINGS Jun05 May18       (kirby frank )TAVARES JAVIER 120 3.50    
RAGNOW Jun08 May18 May01 Apr13 Mar27 (rodriguez eduardo)FELIX E 120 2.50 32% 2.10    
 
HAW-4   07/10/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REMEMBER THE MAINE Jun19 May18 Apr27 Sep22 Sep15 (castro isidro)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 20.00    
CHRISTMAS PRESENT Jun26 May29 Apr17 Oct13 Oct03 (hughes ea)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 10.00    
OFF TO THE RACES Jun03 May17 Apr26 Nov02 Oct22 (watkins m)FELIX E 122 5.00    
SCR  GABAGOOL Jun19 May29 May15 Apr02 Mar12 (campbell j)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
RACARINO Jun08 May20 Apr10 Nov02 Oct24 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 60% 0.70    
STINGY Jun08 May29 May08 Apr24 Mar06 (rodriguez)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
WINGING WAYS Apr27 Oct24 Sep05 Aug24 Jun22 (quinonez maximi)REYES FRANK 122 4.00 9% 10.30    
SCR  STRANGE ARRANGE Jul04 Apr27 Apr06 Oct13 Sep21 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.50    
 
HAW-5   07/10/2025 5610ft TURF RC6 GOOD Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GENERAL ISSUE (FR) Jun29 Jun08 May29 May15 Apr20 (meraz ant)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 6.00    
VITALE Jun29 Jun14 May11 Nov15 Oct25 (clay pat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 20.00    
BAKENEKO Jun15 May29 May15 May08 Oct13 (rodriguez hu)TAVARES JAVIER 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
WICKED SUPRISE Jun29 Jun19 May29 May15 Oct13 (winebaugh che)HERNANDEZ K 124 4.00    
SHADY MCGEE (IRE) May15 May08 Mar12 Feb17 Jan09 (rodriguez ed)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
SCR  BETWITHBOTHHANDS May25 Dec01 Jul11 Jun25 May28 (hernandez arma)COLON H 122 4.50    
SCR  TEMPER TANTRUM Jun29 May15 May08 Apr24 Mar12 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 5.00    
MONSTERONTHEMIDWAY Jun29 Oct03 Sep12 Aug04 Jul06 (block chris)REYES FRANK 122 8.00    
ROTARY DIAL Jun19 Jun08 May25 May08 Apr10 (rodriguez edu)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 6.00 27% 2.60    
10  MCMONEY Jun29 May29 May04 Apr20 Jan26 (banks chr)TROXTELL BRITTANY 112 15.00 11% 7.80    
SCR  DOUBLE THUNDER Jun01 May18 May04 Apr06 Feb07 (young r)REYES FRANK 122 6.00    
SCR  ST. LOUIE LOUIE Jun19 May17 Apr26 Oct26 Oct08 (becker scott)FELIX E 122 12.00    
13  SILVER QUARTERS May07 Dec13 Oct10 Sep12 Aug25 (manley steve)WALES T 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  WOODCOCK FLIGHT (IRE) Mar14 Feb15 Dec14 Oct13 Sep29 (banks chr)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 8.00    
 
HAW-6   07/10/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BREAKOUT STAR Jun19 May15 May01 Apr13 Mar27 (wilson sh)ULLOA JOAN 122 12.00 13% 6.70    
BLURT Jun29 Jun15 Oct19 Sep29 Sep05 (divito james)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00    
JET FLIGHT Jun26 Jun08 May15 May01 Apr20 (rosas rigo)COLON H 122 3.50    
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Jun26 Jun08 May11 Apr24 Apr13 (campbell joel)FELIX E 122 15.00    
FLYING SAMURAI Jun26 Jun08 May25 May11 Apr24 (ryan chri)TROXTELL BRITTANY 114 5.00    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Jun15 May18 Apr27 Apr06 Sep29 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO COOKIE RULE Jun15 May25 May11 Apr24 Apr06 (dizeo dino)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
LAND MARK DEAL Jun08 May18 Apr13 Mar30 Feb27 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
HAW-7   07/10/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUNDBERG Jun19 May25 May04 Apr06 Mar22 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
CONGRATS ON FIFTY Jun05 May25 Apr06 Mar22 Oct13 (robertson)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 6.00 6% 17.10    
SCR  W W HOTSHOT Jul01 May26 Oct22 Oct06 Aug13 (becker scott)WALES T 122 3.50    
ELI'S PROMISE Jun19 May01 Mar22 Jan31 Nov22 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50    
MONDOGETSBUCKETS Jun08 Apr20 Mar30 Jun30 May12 (block chri)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00    
TAHOE RUN Jun19 Oct06 Jun29 May25 Mar30 (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
FAST JACK Jun19 May25 Aug13 Jun11 May26 (becker scott)FELIX E 122 5.00 27% 2.60    
SCR  CORTESE May31 Apr06 Jan30 Jan05 Oct17 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   07/10/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME ATTACK Jun15 May10 Feb28 Feb01 Dec16 (childers s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FROSTED ECLAIR Jun15 May17 Apr22 Oct26 Oct12 (watkins m)FELIX E 124 2.50    
BABE IN THE WOODS Jun26 Jun01 Mar21 Mar02 Feb03 (haran joh)ESQUIVEL VALENTIN 115 20.00    
LONG TALL WOMAN Jun15 Apr24 Oct12 Sep24 Sep07 (rodriguez)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 3.00 30% 2.30    
GREEN CHILE Jun13 May06 Jan30 Nov25 Nov12 (delong ben)MURGIA A 122 6.00    
MORE THAN A DIVA Jun15 May10 Mar29 Mar15 Mar01 (clay pat)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 3.50 43% 1.30    
GEORGIA ON E'SMIND Jun15 Apr27 Apr12 Mar23 Mar02 (haran john)TAVARES JAVIER 122 12.00    
SCR  REBA ATTACK Jun28 May27 May10 Apr22 Mar12 (childers shane)ORTIZ ALVIN 122 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.