Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fairmount Park
Tuesday - May 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FP-1   WIN (3/5/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2)-(3/5/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/1/2)-(7/9/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/2)-(7/9/8/1/6)-(5/6/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FP-2   WIN (7/9/8/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/1/6)-(7/9/8/1/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/1/6)-(7/9/8/1/6)-(7/9/8/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/9/8/1/6)-(5/6/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/9/8/1/6)-(5/6/2)-(4/2/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
FP-3   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(4/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(4/2/5)-(4/8/7/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FP-4   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/5)-(4/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(4/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5)-(4/8/7/9)-(3/1/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FP-5   WIN (4/8/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/7/9)-(4/8/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/7/9)-(4/8/7/9)-(4/8/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/7/9)-(3/1/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/7/9)-(3/1/5/4)-(6/9/1/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-6   WIN (3/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4)-(3/1/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/5/4)-(6/9/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/4)-(6/9/1/5)-(3/5/9/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
FP-7   WIN (6/9/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5)-(6/9/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/1/5)-(3/5/9/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FP-8   WIN (3/5/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1)-(3/5/9/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FP-1   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANCIN' MOLLY May06 Apr22 Jun18 May21 Apr30 (essenpreis edward)FELIX E 126 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of LIMEHOUSE DANCER by LIMEHOUSE)
HOOTIE HOOT May06         (huerta jose)DIEGO JAVIER 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of HOOT'S LAST RUNNER by GHAALEB)
SHE'S TAKIN CHARGE May06 Oct29 Oct15 Oct01   (coontz arth)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.00 57% 0.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of SHE HAS RISEN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
FAITH HOPE N LOVE May06 Apr22 Apr06 Oct31 Oct12 (pompell rober)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of PUT AND TAKE by PUT IT BACK)
ENCHANTED MOMENT         (fridley stev)GILES EMMANUEL 118 10.00 17% 4.70    
  (by PERUVIAN out of SHE AIN'T A SAINT by MEADOWLAKE)
I DID THE MATH May06 Apr22 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 (rednou)ORTEGA JOSEPH 126 6.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
HARPER BRIANA May10 May01 Apr22 Oct29 Oct01 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 3.00    
  (by SOUL OF EKATI out of AUNDREYA by SUMMER CLOUD)
 
FP-2   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARGYBARGY BUCK Nov02 Oct19 Sep14 Jul27 Jul13 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
LAYTON THE DAY Apr26 Oct26 Oct08 Sep17 Sep07 (plasters lori)FELIX E 124 6.00    
ANDTHETHUNDERROLLS Nov02 Oct24 Oct05 Sep08 Aug06 (quinon)BAILON JADHIR 124 4.50    
MODAZZLE May03 Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 (martinez-)ULLOA JOAN 124 15.00    
WHISTLEWHILEYOUMOW Feb19 Jan24 Jan08 Dec22 Nov20 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 3.50    
SAND MOUNTAIN Aug01 Jul14 Jun16 Apr30 Jan05 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
ONE WAY HOME Apr26 Apr10 Mar27 Nov02 Oct24 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 2.50 45% 1.20    
ROAD GAME May03 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 Jul23 (durham mike)WALES T 124 12.00 10% 9.10    
DILLON ROCKS May03 Sep15 Sep06 Aug16 Aug02 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
 
FP-3   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MORNING LINE NEWS Oct10 Sep26 Sep15 Aug11 Aug04 (zawitz joel)GILES EMMANUEL 124 2.00    
TENSE May06 Oct24 Oct12 Sep24 Sep10 (rodriguez )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
BETTY'S SECRET Apr22 Oct29 Oct15 Aug31 Aug25 (randazzo ted)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 10.00    
DELTA LADY (CHI) May06 Apr22 Sep24 Aug20 Jul06 (pompel)BAILON JADHIR 124 12.00    
PRANCIPANTS May06 Apr17 Apr02 Feb28 Jan15 (rodriguez hug)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.00 61% 0.60    
ABBMAR May06 Apr22 Oct26 Oct12 Sep24 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 4.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  TIME BREAK May06 Apr22 Oct24 May11 Apr20 (retana gabe)LOPEZ A 124 6.00    
 
FP-4   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Apr26 Nov27 Oct24 Oct13 Sep15 (martinez ralp)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 4.00    
RACARINO Apr10 Nov02 Oct24 Oct08 Sep21 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 23% 3.30    
CRANKSHAFT Dec11 Nov15 Oct26 Jul02 Jun18 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 5.00    
UPBEAT MELODY Apr30 Apr16 Mar23 Oct21 Sep12 (manley steve)FELIX E 124 2.00 36% 1.70    
LITTLE MIGHTY MAN Apr26 Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 (appleton jos)GILES EMMANUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SUPER SILVER Oct17 Oct05 Sep14 Aug24 Aug10 (nesbitt a)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
 
FP-5   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOON RIDGE Apr26 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 Jul04 (watkins m)FELIX E 126 3.50    
PRIMITY May06 Oct15 Sep21 Sep07 Aug20 (martinez-l)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 12.00    
CATTY CRUISE Sep07 Aug20 Jul29 Jun10 May08 (martinez ral)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.50    
TILL Dec26 Dec04 Oct31 Sep10 Aug13 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 50% 1.00    
MORO MAESTRO May06 Apr22 Sep21 Sep03 Aug20 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 6.00    
SCR  ISABELLA'S BEAUTY Oct22 Oct03 Sep12 Aug22 Aug04 (hernandez arm)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 2.50    
FOREVER BLESSED May06 Apr22 Apr13 Nov02 Oct13 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS KITTY PIE Jul06 Jun22 Jun04 May21 Jun06 (randazzo c)LOPEZ A 124 10.00 13% 6.80    
LUTION Apr22 Oct29 Oct15 Sep26 Sep07 (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
FP-6   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OATHBREAKER Apr26 Feb23 Jan23 Oct28 Sep26 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 126 3.00 16% 5.10    
SCR  I'M YOUR CAPTAIN Apr24 Apr03 Mar27 Dec04 Nov12 (zawitz joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00    
THE RIDGE Aug08 Jul14 May09 Apr27 Apr07 (rivelli larry)FELIX E 124 1.20 38% 1.60    
STOLICH Jan24 Jan06 Dec10 Dec03 Nov19 (straub marve)GILES EMMANUEL 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
AFTER MY BROTHER May10 Oct26 Oct01 Aug24 Jul27 (essenpreis )ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 11% 8.00    
SOMNUS (GB) May10 Apr26 Mar30 Oct31 Oct19 (lynch )BAILON JADHIR 124 15.00    
PERFUMER Oct26 Oct15 Oct05 Sep03 Jul28 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 4.00    
BRIANS WAY Sep03 Jul30 Jul13 Jul02 Jun15 (retana gabe)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 10.00    
 
FP-7   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERLOVINGHAND Jun08 May12 Apr19 Mar29 Jun20 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MINNESOTA MOON Apr26 Mar28 Nov02 Oct22 Oct12 (quinonez )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
TAPINYOURBLUEJEANS Apr26 Oct26 Sep21 Aug31 Aug06 (becker scott)WALES T 124 4.50    
KEEN RESPONSE Nov02 Oct19 Aug31 Jul27 Jul13 (mosier harold)FELIX E 124 20.00    
SAFE Apr26 Nov02 Oct12 Sep24 Sep03 (martinez-linares )LOPEZ A 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOLDISH Sep06 Aug19 Mar29 Mar14 Mar01 (clay p)ORTEGA JOSEPH 124 2.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  SPANISH DOUBLOON Oct17 Oct05 Aug31 Aug10 Jul20 (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00    
WARNING LABEL Nov02 Oct12 Aug24 Jul27 Jul13 (wiese john)DIEGO JAVIER 124 20.00    
COG Mar12 Feb23 Jan04 Dec11 Oct29 (fridley steve)SANTOS ADEMAR 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
 
FP-8   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK MY WAY Apr22 Dec22       (lynch e)DIEGO JAVIER 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
ZIPADEEDOODA May03 Jan30 Oct23     (delong ben)GILES EMMANUEL 118 12.00    
FEAR THE QUEEN May06 Apr22 Nov02 Oct19   (randazzo te)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50 40% 1.50    
SCR  SPIRIT SMOKE May06 Apr22 Oct31 Oct08 Sep17 (durham mike)SANTOS ADEMAR 126 8.00    
LITTLE SASSER May06 Apr22 Oct31 Oct19 Oct08 (durham mike)WALES T 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
KATIESGONNAMAKEIT May13         (nesbitt amy)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 10.00    
SCR  WAHIDA OF MARDAN May08 May01 Apr17 Apr03 Oct29 (zawitz jo)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 126 4.50    
TIZMEONEMORETIME May06 Apr17 Apr03 Oct29 Aug25 (zawitz)BAILON JADHIR 126 6.00    
BOUJI IS A WORD Apr29 Nov18 Oct22 Oct11 Sep26 (schlenk ja)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00 14% 6.10    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.