Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - May 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (5/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/4)-(5/6/4)-(5/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/4)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4)-(5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(2/5/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-3   WIN (7/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3)-(7/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/4/3)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/4/3)-(2/5/1)-(6/1/8/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-4   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/1/8/5)-(4/2/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-5   WIN (6/1/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5)-(6/1/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/8/5)-(4/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/8/5)-(4/2/7/3)-(3/2/7/1) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LAD-6   WIN (4/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3)-(4/2/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/7/3)-(3/2/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LAD-7   WIN (3/2/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1)-(3/2/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   05/17/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($7.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEFTLY DONE Apr19 Feb14 Jan09 Dec06 Sep26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 2.50    
2  C F JIMMY RAY Apr17 Mar09 Feb06 Jan16   (husak gary)BATISTA X 115 8.00    
3  TWEET SOME MO Apr18 Mar01 Dec14 Oct23 Sep26 (milligan)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50    
4  CHAHTA CITIZEN May05 Apr09 Mar24 Mar10 Feb07 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAYOU BOY May03 Mar02 Feb08 Jan11 Jul04 (cravens ronn)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 1.60 44% 1.30    
6  ALWAYS FIRST         (milligan alle)PENA JONUELLE 113 5.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  CHOU CHOU D'AVEN (FR) Mar12 Mar02 Feb16 Jan23 Dec22 (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 1.20    
 
LAD-2   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EAGLE POINT Feb22 Feb05       (nelson r)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  AFFIXED May03 Apr06 Mar01 Feb08 Jan24 (hewitt mic)BATISTA X 124 5.00    
3  E Z WORDS Mar23         (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  BATTLEOFTHERAVINE Apr18 Apr04 Mar15 Mar01 Dec29 (martin k)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 1.40 38% 1.60    
5  KNOCK'EM OUT JERRY Mar14 Feb21 Jan07 Jul24 May13 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 2.50 39% 1.60    
6  COPESTHEBOMB Mar23 Feb19 Jan29 Dec19 Nov16 (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 113 30.00    
7  STREAKIN DEACON Apr18 Mar09 Feb02 Jul29 Jul03 (gonzalez jaim)PENA JONUELLE 119 3.50    
 
LAD-3   05/17/2025 4950ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO HOT ROD May02 Apr24 Apr06 Mar22 Feb28 (hewitt mic)RAMIREZ JR 113 6.00    
SCR  SLEW CITY HENRY Feb14 Dec20 Sep24 Sep10 Aug14 (jarvis robert)PENA JONUELLE 113 30.00    
3  COURAGEOUSLY Apr06 Feb09 Jan19 Apr07 Jan10 (fogarty de)BATISTA X 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DON'TASK DON'TTELL Mar09 Aug17 Jul12 Jun08 May17 (nelson e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 118 4.50 19% 4.20    
5  BATTLE SCARS Mar23 Mar12 Feb21 Jan30 Dec19 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 3.50 26% 2.80    
6  BLESSED VISION Mar21 Mar08 Feb08 Jan17 Dec14 (dixon tim)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00    
7  GENTLE SOUL Feb21 Jan30 Jan09 Dec19 Nov28 (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 2.00 34% 2.00    
8  WIND OF CHANGE (BRZ) May02 Mar23 Mar08 Feb08 Jan23 (hewitt michael)BOREL H 122 5.00    
 
LAD-4   05/17/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OJITOS May03 Mar31 Mar03 Feb14 Jan16 (dixon tim)PENA JONUELLE 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  GLENN'S JUMPER Dec13 Nov22 Sep25 Aug07 Jun26 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 1.80 56% 0.80    
3  MOR JAZZ Apr11 Feb20 Dec29 Dec05 Nov14 (gibson j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 1.60    
4  HOMEVIEW Feb07 Dec18 Jan21 Jan07 Dec30 (johnson hen)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 120 20.00    
5  PREMIUM Mar09 Feb13 Jan19 Dec29 Dec05 (hargrave kenne)MUNOZ SERGIO 120 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  SAMURAI'S GRANDSON May03 Apr18 Mar16 Feb21 Jan30 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 117 6.00    
 
LAD-5   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YOU'RE ON MUTE Apr16 Apr04 Mar15 Feb17 Jan17 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 126 3.50 14% 6.30    
2  PETITFOR Feb27 Jan25 Jan11 Dec21 Nov28 (meaux h)LOZADA CARLOS 123 4.50    
3  HE'S A FINE BABY Jan19 Sep14 Jul22     (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 4.00    
4  PEYTON'S DAY May03 Apr04 Nov20 Oct12 Aug29 (tillis jer)RAMIREZ JR 119 15.00    
5  GUNNY HIGHWAY Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 Jan25 Oct18 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  B WAYNE Mar16 Jan17 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 126 2.50 52% 0.90    
7  CABO MISCHIEF Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Aug28   (duhon o)BOREL H 120 6.00    
8  BEAUTIFUL LIFE Apr16 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Dec27 (duke steve)BATISTA X 124 12.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  INDY CHARGE Apr12 Mar09 Feb14 Dec22 Nov27 (wong jonath)NAVA-MARIN JOSE 126 1.00    
 
LAD-6   05/17/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVE AFFAIR Feb20 Jan30 Jan02 Nov07 Oct25 (lara jorge)LOZADA CARLOS 122 3.00    
2  LOUDTHUNDRHEVYRAIN Feb08 Jan24 Jan09 Dec21 Nov20 (ramirez jul)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
3  JAMAICAN ME Apr19 Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 Jan09 (govea cesar)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NERVY Mar03 Feb14 Jan24 Jan09 Jul30 (broussard jervon)BOREL H 122 4.50 47% 1.10    
5  HEZA SEXY ZONG Feb13 Jan31 Jan17 Dec27 Nov13 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 6.00    
6  IRON MOON Mar21 Mar03 Feb15 Jan17 Nov30 (ramirez ju)RAMIREZ JR 117 12.00    
7  HALF A BUCK May01 Jan31 Jan09 Sep02 Aug14 (pedigo randy)PENA JONUELLE 117 15.00 9% 10.50    
8  CLASSIC WARRIOR Feb20 Jan31 Jan04 Dec20 Nov29 (gomez davi)BATISTA X 122 5.00    
 
LAD-7   05/17/2025 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LINDA FAYE Apr09 Feb27 May21 May02 Mar07 (journet albert)MUNOZ SERGIO 125 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  WHO LU Apr26 Mar21 Feb16 Feb02 Apr04 (borel renay)BOREL H 125 8.00 8% 11.10    
3  AIR CASTLE Apr25 Apr04 Mar14 Feb14 Feb01 (prather )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 125 1.60 61% 0.60    
4  TAKE IT TO COURT May03 Apr13 Jan04 Nov21 Oct16 (garcia luis)LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.50    
5  QUEEN BERKELEY May03 Feb27 Jan29 Dec21 Nov16 (claire alexi)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.50    
SCR  PATIENT EMILIE May05 Apr21 Apr13 Mar21 Feb28 (dixon tim)PENA JONUELLE 113 30.00    
7  ELWIN Mar13 Feb27 Dec13 Nov15 Oct23 (david sam )BATISTA X 118 8.00 6% 17.10    
8  COEUR ROUGE Jan20 Dec12 Nov23     (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 10.00    
SCR  SPLOTCH May01 Apr09 Mar13 Jan30 Nov18 (zenon shel)RAMIREZ JR 113 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.