Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - May 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/7/9/3/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/9/3/2)-(1/7/9/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/9/3/2)-(1/7/9/3/2)-(1/7/9/3/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/9/3/2)-(6/7/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/9/3/2)-(6/7/1/3)-(3/4/1/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/7/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3)-(6/7/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/1/3)-(3/4/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/1/3)-(3/4/1/5)-(5/2/4/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5)-(3/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/1/5)-(5/2/4/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1/5)-(5/2/4/7)-(8/2/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(8/2/3)-(1/2/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-5   WIN (8/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/2/3)-(8/1/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/3)-(8/1/6/2/3)-(8/1/6/2/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/2/3)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/3)-(1/2/4/7)-(2/7/6/5/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-6   WIN (1/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/2/4/7)-(2/7/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4/7)-(2/7/6/5/9)-(5/3/1/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/7/6/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/7/6/5/9)-(2/7/6/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/7/6/5/9)-(2/7/6/5/9)-(2/7/6/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/7/6/5/9)-(5/3/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/7/6/5/9)-(5/3/1/7)-(1/9/4/8/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
EVD-8   WIN (5/3/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7)-(5/3/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/7)-(1/9/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
EVD-9   WIN (1/9/4/8/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2)-(1/9/4/8/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINNESOTA MIRACLE Apr16 Feb15 Jan31 Dec27 Dec04 (segura kearn)BARRERA J 122 2.00 26% 2.80    
2  TAPPIN FORA DANCE Apr23 Apr04 Feb12 Jan25 Dec27 (romero j)FLORIAN JOSE 117 12.00 7% 14.30    
3  BELLO CREEDO Apr04 Dec19 Nov14 Oct30 Sep18 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 117 20.00 9% 10.10    
4  DRILLING REPORT Apr23 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 Jan05 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 119 4.00    
5  JOEY'S LIGHTENING Apr23 Apr11 Feb23 Feb06 Dec28 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 8.00    
6  STATE OF THE UNION Apr30 Apr04 Feb07 Jan28 Jan10 (west henry)DEONAUTH P 122 20.00    
7  GALLANT STAR Apr16 Mar21 Feb28 Feb07 Jan17 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 5.00 21% 3.70    
8  MUCHO MARVIN Apr30 Apr04 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (chevis vinc)LEDET THEODRICK 119 15.00    
9  HOSTILE AFLEET May03 Apr23 Apr04 Mar14 Feb21 (ramirez-rodrig)THORNTON G 121 3.00 10% 9.50    
 
EVD-2   05/16/2025 4950ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EQUAL FORCE Apr19 Mar12       (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.00 9% 10.00    
2  AOIDE Dec13 Nov29 Oct26 Aug21 Jul04 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 15.00    
3  CUSTOM FOR J J Apr25 Mar03       (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 114 10.00 6% 16.30    
4  NO SOY BORRACHO Feb20         (cano mu)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00    
5  SANTIAGO PROVINCE Jan29 Dec19 Oct25     (silva )GUERRERO ANDRES 121 12.00    
6  M L BRODY'S GEM Apr11 Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 Jan27 (lorefice m)RAMIREZ JR 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
7  GEM OF A STORM Feb14 Jan19 Jan02     (west patricia )SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.00 16% 5.40    
 
EVD-3   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLITHER Apr11 Mar20 Feb21 Feb01 Jan02 (ward ro)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHARLI MICHAEL Jan03 Nov23 Aug01 Jul18 Jun27 (charles k)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50    
3  EMERALD EXPRESS Apr04 Mar06 Feb12 Jan15 Nov29 (larrosa jua)MELANCON JANSEN 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
4  HEARTTHROB HALO Apr04 Aug02 Jul19 Jun08 May25 (zeno benjam)SANTIAGO EDWARD 119 6.00 14% 6.30    
5  COUNTRY GUY Apr18 Feb02 Dec22 Nov24 Jul28 (govea cesar)PEREZ CARLOS 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  CREOLE CHARLIE Apr30 Apr11 Mar16 Feb23 Feb02 (sanchez juan )VARGAS P 119 2.00    
7  THE THIMBLE May07 Apr25 Oct25 Sep11 Aug28 (zenon shelto)BARRERA J 119 20.00    
8  BLACK CANDY Apr30 Mar14 Feb12 Jan31 Jan15 (west henry)THORNTON G 122 12.00    
 
EVD-4   05/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBS PRAYER Apr17 Mar12 Apr18 Mar09 Feb15 (ladner herman)FLORIAN JOSE 115 30.00    
2  STEPHANIE'S MARIA Apr18 Feb20 Feb01 Nov09 Oct25 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
3  CONGRATULERA Apr18 Feb21 Feb06 Jan10 Nov29 (klanfer alan)MCMAHON J 124 4.50    
4  MOLTO VINO Apr05 Feb13 Dec12 Nov22 Oct25 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 13% 6.50    
5  GROUND CONTROL Apr16 Mar01 Dec27 Nov28 Oct18 (calhoun willia)THORNTON G 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
6  SACRED SAINT Apr24 Mar20 Feb02 Oct23 Sep26 (scherer eric)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 6.00    
7  EVE OF EVE Apr25 Mar12 Feb17 Jan18   (prejean raym)MAGNON H 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-5   05/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVE IN THE DARK Apr23 Mar14 Feb17 Jan31 Jan01 (sanchez c)ARANA KELVIN 116 3.00 ★    
2  LAINESONDUTY Apr26 Jan10       (zeno benjamin)FLORIAN JOSE 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  MALLORY'S OCEAN May01 Feb06 Jan24 Dec06 Nov21 (faul jason)THORNTON G 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  RANOLOGY Apr17 Apr04 Nov29 Nov01 Aug23 (flugence hen)NIEVES EMANUEL 124 20.00    
5  STORMY STRIKE Apr09         (noel dane)RENGIFO JOHAN 121 20.00    
6  HARD CANDY KISSES Apr23 Feb22 Jan31 Dec06 Nov21 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 3.50 ★    
7  COSMOPOLITANKITTEN Apr26 Apr16 Jan30 Jan03   (averett ronn)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 20.00    
8  CONGRATS CADET Apr26 Apr10 Mar01     (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 121 2.00 65% 0.50    
9  LITTLE MILLIE May01 Apr09 Mar14     (thompson kev)EDISON JOCELYN 116 15.00    
SCR  NATIVE CATALINA Apr23 Apr05       (thomas le)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
SCR  TIZ A BREAKUP Apr23 Apr04 Mar13 Feb22 Jan31 (charles jonath)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 20.00    
 
EVD-6   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTERHOLYROLLER Apr04 Mar07 Feb14 Jan19 Dec08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 121 1.60 29% 2.40    
2  MY HIGHMOON         (ramirez)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 24% 3.10    
3  WHATDIDWEDO Apr30 Apr10 Feb14 Jan31 Dec27 (latour nichola)PEREZ CARLOS 119 2.50    
4  PRINCE LIAM May03 Apr12 Mar21 Mar09 Feb06 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 118 3.50 19% 4.40    
5  EASY EDDIE A May03 Apr19 Apr05 Feb12 Jan29 (prejean ra)RAMIREZ JR 116 10.00    
6  KAH NIGH May03 Apr19 Apr10 Feb21 Jan29 (dussette alvin)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 12.00    
7  HARD KINGS Apr24 Feb08 Dec16 Jan18 Nov23 (zenon shelton)ARANA KELVIN 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-7   05/16/2025 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLEARLY CAJUN         (ladner shane)ROSIER R 122 15.00    
  (by CLEARLY NOW out of CAJUN ROCKET by LION TAMER)
2  HOLD MY HAT Apr26 Apr05 Feb21 Jan17 Dec07 (castille carro)THORNTON G 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by IRON FIST out of TOO CLOSE TO PUNCH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
3  OUR BODIE Apr26         (marechal merl)VARGAS P 122 8.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of BODIE'S VALENTINE by BODEMEISTER)
4  HOUSEQUAKE May01         (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 5.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of FACEY'S SISTER by PASS RUSH)
5  CLOSING AGENT Apr26         (ward ronnie)MUNOZ SERGIO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of IDE'S CHILD by IDE)
6  BAYOU TIME Apr26         (landry ray)FUSILIER C 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
  (by HALF OURS out of ALL TIME by SEATTLE SLEET)
7  MY MAN BRANDON Apr26 Mar04       (terre david)BARRERA J 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
  (by BOBBY'S WICKED ONE out of ESCALADY by LION TAMER)
8  RAGTIME WINE         (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 122 10.00    
  (by SECRET CIRCLE out of MUSCADINE WINE by MUSKET MAN)
9  LEOBOBANNA May01 Apr05       (averett r)HERNANDEZ J 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD ACES out of HOMEBUILDERBOBANNA by HOMEBUILDER)
 
EVD-8   05/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3 ALL PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTINCTLY GOLDEN Feb21 Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 Aug03 (gelner j)MCMAHON J 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
2  GABE'S POSSUM Apr25 Apr05 Mar22 Feb19   (landry alle)MELANCON JANSEN 122 4.00    
3  ASTHECOLDWINDBLOWS Apr11         (klanfer alan)THORNTON G 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  GIRLIE'S MAX Apr17 Mar20 Feb19     (breaux samue)BARRERA J 122 5.00    
5  GAME PORT Feb01 Jan11 Dec13     (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 122 2.00 30% 2.40    
6  RUNNING RAGGED Apr26 Feb27 Feb08 Nov15 Oct10 (castille )HERNANDEZ J 122 8.00    
7  GOLD THIEF Mar20 Jan27 Jan02 Dec13 Aug31 (thomas lee)LOZADA CARLOS 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-9   05/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT DEAL Apr17 Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 Feb05 (landry all)RAMIREZ JR 116 1.40 55% 0.80    
2  SPECIAL FEATURE May01 Apr09 Jan31 Dec28 Dec11 (latour nichola)MUNOZ SERGIO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  MO SISTER Feb05 Jan15 Dec19     (breaux samue)BARRERA J 121 20.00    
4  EVE EVE Apr17 Apr04 Mar13 Feb15 Jan24 (bernar)GUERRERO ANDRES 124 3.00 5% 18.50    
5  REINE LE FER Apr23 Jun22 May29 Apr12 Feb15 (west henry)SANTIAGO EDWARD 124 20.00    
6  ALESSANDE May03 Mar13 Sep24 Aug17 Jul26 (constantine c)RENGIFO JOHAN 124 15.00    
7  THIS GRAY MISCHIEV May01 Apr17 Dec27 Dec06 Oct30 (dussette alvin)SUAREZ ANGEL 121 15.00    
8  KISSES FOR COOPER Apr17 Apr04 Mar12 Feb23 Feb05 (faul jason)ALBERT S 121 6.00 5% 18.60    
9  STORM SURGE Apr26 Apr10 Mar14 Feb19 Jan25 (faul jason)ROSIER R 121 5.00 12% 7.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.