Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - April 24, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/6)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(1/7/6/8/3) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/6)-(2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/6)-(1/7/6/8/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/1/6)-(1/7/6/8/3)-(1/5/2/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/7/6/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3)-(1/7/6/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/5/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/8/3)-(1/5/2/7)-(8/9/4/10/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (1/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7)-(1/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/7)-(8/9/4/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2/7)-(8/9/4/10/5)-(1/2/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/9/4/10/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/10/5)-(8/9/4/10/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/10/5)-(8/9/4/10/5)-(8/9/4/10/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/4/10/5)-(1/2/3/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/10/5)-(1/2/3/5)-(4/6/3/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/2/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5)-(1/2/4/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/3/5)-(4/6/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3/5)-(4/6/3/1)-(7/1/4/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1)-(4/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/3/1)-(7/1/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/1/4/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/8/3)-(7/1/4/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/8/3)-(7/1/4/8/3)-(7/1/4/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUBA MARCHES ON Mar21 Mar14 Feb28 Feb01   (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 118 2.00 26% 2.80    
DESTIN'S RAINBOW Apr03 Mar28 Feb22 Feb08 Jan25 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50    
TOWN HOT Jan25 Dec12 Nov21 Oct24 Oct05 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Apr04 Mar28 Feb22 Feb06 Jan25 (comi w)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00    
ABOLITIONIST Mar08 Feb22 Feb06     (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 1.80 31% 2.30    
LOVE IS WICKED Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan29 Jan16 (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3 F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR STREET ANGEL Mar14 Feb27       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.50 19% 4.40    
SUMMON THE GLAM Nov02 Oct12 Oct05 Sep12 Aug15 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  JUBA B WILD Mar27 Feb26 Nov20 Nov02 Oct24 (sigler r)DAVIS A 118 20.00    
POPPY MAC Mar27 Feb26 Jan30 Jan17 Dec12 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 1.80    
CLIMATE CHANGE Mar27 Feb26 Jan10 Sep12 Aug15 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
BOSS LADY K P Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jul18 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 6.00 15% 5.50    
JEANNETTE THE JET Mar27 Feb26 Oct24 Oct04   (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 4.50    
 
CT-3   04/24/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVELY LUCY Apr03 Mar13 Feb19 Jan29 Jan15 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 4.50 64% 0.60    
TALAVERA Apr05 Oct11 Jun27 Jun12 Jul07 (viands )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00    
SUNSHINE HAZEL Mar29 Mar14 Feb27 Jan18 Jan08 (kravets b)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
ASHTEAD LADY Apr03 Mar14 Feb27 Feb05 Jan15 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 118 6.00    
SKY BUY Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Oct16 (smith osborne)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
DIVINARY Oct30 Oct03 Sep12 Aug23 Jul11 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 122 4.00 7% 13.30    
BREAKING BULLET Apr03 Mar13 Feb19 Jan15 Oct24 (walters )DAVIS A 120 5.00 7% 12.80    
BUSTIER Mar29 Feb26 Jan10 Dec14 Nov16 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
MISS PIXY STIX Dec28 Nov10 Dec16 Nov24 Oct22 (figgins oll)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 3.00    
10  HIDDEN RIVER Mar13 Feb19 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 30.00    
SCR  REBEL REBEL (IRE) Apr10 Mar29 Mar13     (farrior anth)LEWIS M 122 8.00    
 
CT-4   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Dec07 Nov20 (venham ly)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 1.40 30% 2.40    
GHOST OF ALCINA Apr05 Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 May16 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.00 15% 5.80    
POUR ME A DRINK Mar27 Feb28 Feb19 Jan29 Jan18 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 15.00    
QUINN ELIA Mar27 Feb19 Jan15 Nov13 Oct24 (lane scot)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00    
DREAM LEADER Mar27 Mar08 Mar01 Feb06 Jan11 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
PALACIO Apr04 Mar08 Feb19 Feb06 Jan11 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 6.00    
JUST HAVE FAITH Mar27 Feb28 Feb06 Jan15 Dec14 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   04/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ORDER OFTHE KETTLE Apr05 Mar13 Feb22 Feb01 Dec13 (pyke jose)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
DUBLSHOTOFCOURAGE Jan30 Nov14 Oct10 Sep20 Sep05 (hamlin e)HO WESLEY 122 20.00    
LONG TOM Apr05 Mar21 Feb21 May22 May04 (salinas jos)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 30.00    
ROL AGAIN DANCER Apr03 Feb21 Jan10 Jul08 Jun23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 5.00 8% 12.30    
YANGARRA Apr05 Mar15 Mar06 Feb07 Jan24 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SMOKIN BOW Apr03 Feb13 Dec28 Dec12 Nov15 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
NICO LUCKY Apr03 Jan02 Dec12 Oct29 Oct15 (harting r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
HONOR THE CROSS Apr05 Mar05 Jan25 Nov28 Nov01 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 122 4.50 43% 1.30    
ARREBATO Apr05 Mar30 Mar06 Feb09 Dec12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
10  GALACTIC GLORY Mar28 Mar06 Feb13 Jan23 Dec13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   04/24/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DEFIANT GIANT Apr03 Mar01 Dec04 Nov09 Oct18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
MY BOY CLYDE Apr03 Mar07 Mar01 Jan23 Jan02 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.00 25% 3.00    
BID ON BLUE Mar01 Feb13 Jan29 Jan16 Nov21 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
BIG BAD BRASS Feb22 Feb13 Jan16 Nov16 Oct26 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
STORMIN' RUNNER Apr04 Mar21 Feb28 Oct26 Oct05 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  W V LAD Apr03 Mar07 Jan23 Jan02 Dec04 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
CASTLE OF CORK Apr03 Mar14 Feb22 Jan31 Jan10 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 120 10.00    
COURT TUDOR Mar07 Feb06 Jan25 Dec12 Nov27 (kirlew le)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
STRIKE THREE Mar28 Feb27 Jan31 Jan10 Sep14 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 10.00    
10  SUGAR LIPS Dec08 Nov04 Sep24 Aug18 Jul30 (viands grego)BATISTA A 122 20.00    
 
CT-7   04/24/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($26.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIDICULOUS Apr04 Mar13 Mar01 Jan24 Jan11 (peltroche vane)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
NEVERPOPTHECORK Apr04 Mar13 Jan25 Nov09 Nov01 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 4.50    
MASAKADO Mar05 Feb01 Jan06 Dec14 Nov10 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
WISH FOR PEACE Apr04 Mar01 Dec27 Dec06 Nov27 (kreise)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 1.60 44% 1.30    
RESTLESS Apr06 Mar06 Feb07 Jan18 Nov16 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 5.00    
BUCKIN' DREAMER Apr04 Mar13 Feb23 Jan15 Dec13 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
RUNNINGTHENUMBERS Apr05 Mar15 Feb27 Feb05 Jan16 (racanelli m)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 20.00    
 
CT-8   04/24/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A RAINBOW Mar27 Mar01 Feb07 Jan18 Jan10 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 124 4.00 7% 13.00    
DICE ARM Feb08 Dec14 Nov23 Oct11 Aug22 (keller chris)LEWIS M 124 8.00    
CRUZIN VAN NUYS Mar16 Mar02 Feb14 Jan20 Dec22 (comi w)HO WESLEY 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
FROLICKING LADY Apr05 Jan15 Dec06 Oct16 Mar14 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SECRET SOUL Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug23 Jul27 (viands gregor)ADAMS L 111 12.00    
SCR  FLEETNESS Apr05 Mar29 Feb14 Sep26 Jul06 (collins tim)PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
COIF Mar27 Mar13 Feb07 Sep21 Jul14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.20 66% 0.50    
NEXT AGENDA Apr05 Mar06 Jan23 Nov20   (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
GRACEANDMOREGRACE Nov21         (jones e)JORGE JULIO 118 20.00    
10  VANILLA CREAM Mar27 Feb13 Jan23 Dec19   (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.