Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Saturday - April 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (4/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/3)-(4/7/3)-(4/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/3)-(2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (2/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/7)-(2/4/7)-(2/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7)-(4/5/2)-(3/1/5/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LS-3   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/5/2)-(3/1/5/6)-(1/2/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LS-4   WIN (3/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5/6)-(1/2/9/6)-(8/3/1/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-5   WIN (1/2/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/9/6)-(1/2/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/9/6)-(1/2/9/6)-(1/2/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/9/6)-(8/3/1/2)-(2/4/9/5) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-6   WIN (8/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2)-(8/3/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (2/4/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/9/5)-(2/4/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/9/5)-(2/4/9/5)-(2/4/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-8   WIN (7/2/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8)-(7/2/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/8)-(9/8/2/3)-(5/9/10/4) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
LS-9   WIN (9/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3)-(9/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/8/2/3)-(5/9/10/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
LS-10   WIN (5/9/10/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/10/4)-(5/9/10/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/9/10/4)-(5/9/10/4)-(5/9/10/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   04/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Mar08 Feb23 Sep09 Aug13 Jul21 (meji)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 15.00    
2  SUITABLE Apr04 Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Nov29 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.00    
3  UNION DATA Apr04 Mar07 Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 (davidson sar)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  IMPERIAL HORNET Mar28 Feb28 Jan03 Nov24 Nov01 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 124 3.50 39% 1.50    
5  DOSE'S DREAM Apr04 Mar08 Feb16 Jan31 Jan03 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 3.00    
SCR  KRISYNSARASBOY Feb02 Aug10 Jul21 Aug27 Aug13 (uriegas joe)MECHE COLE 119 20.00    
7  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Apr04 Mar09 Feb22 Jan05 Dec05 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 1.80 36% 1.80    
 
LS-2   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMA KING Jan25 Jan11 Nov06 Oct03 Sep12 (eoff)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 3.50    
  (by KING ZACHARY out of KATY DRAMA by TALE OF THE CAT)
2  DON'T BACKDOWN Nov09 Oct04 Sep08 Jul13 Jun15 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.00 41% 1.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GEMMIZELL by GEMOLOGIST)
3  MY GOLDEN CALBO Apr05 Jul14       (swift a)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of KISSTIN by ISTINTAJ)
4  CHARLIE DONT SURF Apr05 Mar08       (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of BAD MOON RISING by MALIBU MOON)
5  CHEATING HEART Apr05 Mar22 Feb14 Jan24   (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of YOU CHEATED by COLONEL JOHN)
SCR  FAIR WEATHER FLYER Mar22 Mar02 Feb09 Jan24 Jan03 (cruz eduardo)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
  (by EARLY FLYER out of PRETTY N FAST TOO by SILENT PICTURE)
7  OTHERBROTHERDARYL Apr05 Mar08 Feb14     (castellanos j)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRADESTER out of SEVEN VIOLETS by FOUR SEVENS)
 
LS-3   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAXON TRAVELER Mar15 Jan17 Nov26 Sep29 Aug17 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 2.00    
2  CHASING TIME Mar16 Feb14 Dec01 Apr07 Feb23 (asmussen stev)JUAREZ J 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TOO MUCH ACTION Mar22 Feb15 Dec12 Aug24 Jul21 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 3.50    
4  TAPE TO TAPE Apr10 Oct18 Aug17 Jun29 May27 (rami)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
5  HALMSTAD Feb22 Feb02 Jan05 Oct10 Mar24 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 10.00 8% 11.70    
SCR  JACKMAN'S RIDE Mar28 Feb22 Feb08 Nov30 Sep04 (caldwell r)CABRERA DAVID 124 4.50    
 
LS-4   04/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLOCKED Mar09 Feb16 Jan05 Nov13 Oct05 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 24% 3.10    
2  TAKE ACTION Mar16 Feb14 Jan18 Jul21 Jul03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00    
3  MIKEL W Mar29 Mar08 Feb15 Jan25 Jan04 (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 2.50 33% 2.00    
4  TEAM GORMLEY Mar22 Feb15 Jan26 Jan04 Nov06 (scholl kevi)WETHEY JR 122 1.80    
5  BLING MOUNTAIN Apr04 Mar22 Feb21 Jan26 Jan04 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 11% 8.10    
6  GRAPNEL Jan26 Jan18 Jun16 May25 Mar10 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 122 10.00 6% 16.50    
7  ZAPHOD Mar09 Jan24 Dec13 Nov15 Jul22 (hebert )GONCALVES R 124 20.00    
 
LS-5   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 MUDDY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCIN FOR GOLD Sep05         (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
2  CAUSE MIMI SAID Mar15 Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 Oct31 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 118 1.80 14% 6.00    
SCR  BLAME DENNIS Mar29 Mar17 Feb23 Jul20 Jun29 (arey anthony)FUENTES MARIO 124 12.00    
4  MALACHI Mar23 Feb16 Jan17 Oct11 Sep11 (milligan c)ERAMIA E 118 15.00    
5  VALHALLA VIKING Mar30 Mar07 Jan31     (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 118 4.50    
6  MAX MISCHIEF Mar23 Jul05       (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  TEXAS LONE STAR Mar29 Mar07       (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 118 20.00    
SCR  SAFETY Feb14 Jan29 Dec27 Dec07 Apr19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00    
9  UNCLE DON Mar28 Mar07       (cravens ronn)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00 10% 9.10    
 
LS-6   04/19/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($36.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PROMISES TO DANCE Jan17 Sep12 Aug29 Apr28 Mar17 (gusta)MANRRIQUE JOSE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ANGEL KISS Jan31 Jan05 Dec12 Nov23 Oct18 (gustafson )ERAMIA E 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAJUN NINJA Mar23 Nov13 Sep29 Sep14 Aug29 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 120 4.50 19% 4.30    
4  PERFECT WISH Jan28 Nov08 Sep29 May27 Apr26 (gelner jayde )JUAREZ J 120 12.00    
5  APPROPRIATED FUNDS Feb09 Aug30 Jul24 Jul03 May27 (clary rena)DIEGO V 120 6.00    
6  STACY'S RARE FIND Feb08 Jan03 Nov19 Oct24 Oct04 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
7  TX WOMEN FOR ARTS Mar23 Jan31 Dec04 Oct25 Sep26 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00    
8  MISCHIEVOUS GAL Jan25 Jan03 Dec07 Sep19 Jul24 (williams ma)WETHEY JR 122 1.60 55% 0.80    
 
LS-7   04/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITHERING GAZE Mar29 Dec05 Nov06 Sep14   (willis mindy)JUAREZ J 118 20.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of POINT SYSTEM by BROKEN VOW)
2  INACLASSOFMYOWN Feb07 Jan18 Nov22     (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.50 47% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of WIN THE WAR by WAR FRONT)
SCR  YOU TIME Nov07 Oct18 Sep26 Sep06 Aug24 (mendoza v)DIEGO V 124 4.50    
  (by LIAISON out of PLUCKY by LUCKY LIONEL)
4  ROARING RAPIDS Mar30 Mar16 Mar01 Jan17   (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 29% 2.50    
  (by HARD SPUN out of RANSOMED HEART by GALILEO)
5  GET DREAMY Mar22 Mar09 Feb07 Jan18 Nov22 (silv)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of DAYDREAM by BELIEVE IT)
6  BILL Apr03 Mar07 Apr07 Feb09   (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 12.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of THAT'S SPEIGHTFUL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  KEEP THE KINGDOM Mar30         (hebert matt)RIVERA SANTOS 124 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ALTAMURA by ARTIE SCHILLER)
8  HE'S A STRIKER Mar22 Mar09 Feb08 Jan19 Oct17 (eoff terry)ERAMIA E 118 3.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of STRIKE ACCORD by SMART STRIKE)
9  IHAVETOOMUCHAIR Mar22 Feb09 Jan10 Nov16 Oct23 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BETHYL'S ROYALROSE by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
LS-8   04/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST COWBOY Mar29 Mar07 Feb14 Jan17 Dec19 (pish)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 12.00 5% 18.70    
2  BRADIX Apr06 Mar21 Mar09 Feb21 Feb01 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 3.00 9% 10.10    
3  TI CAILLOU Mar23 Mar02 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 8.00    
4  YO SOY ROY Feb28 Jan12 Jul13 Jun28 May31 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00    
5  CHASING COYOTES Feb16 Jan12 Jul13 Jun15 May31 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.50    
6  SPARRA Feb28 Jan12 Nov16 Oct16 Sep11 (bryant geor)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
7  VINO TEXAS JESS Mar29 Feb07 Jul13 Jun28 May26 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 124 1.40 62% 0.60    
8  HE IS HEAVEN SENT Mar29 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 Dec06 (clary jaylan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
LS-9   04/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOING TO SANANTONE Mar28 Feb22 Feb01 Jun16 May04 (gelner j)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
2  TOO INTIMIDATING Mar28 Mar07 Jan24 Jul12 Jul04 (rengstorf ton)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00 18% 4.40    
3  NATURAL HIGH Mar28 Jan30 Jan08 Dec20 Dec07 (cravens ronnie)REYES R 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  HASHTAGMAKITHAPPEN Mar14 Mar02 Jan18 Jun28 Jun01 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 3.50    
SCR  LITTLEJOHNS PRAYER Mar14 Feb14 Jan25     (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 10.00    
6  PRETTY MACHO Mar28 Mar14 Mar07 Feb16 Jan24 (jacks e)CABRERA DAVID 124 8.00    
7  BRODY'S TREASURE Mar23 Mar02 Feb08 Jan24 Jan03 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 5.00    
8  ROCKETS RED FLAIR Mar29 Feb21 Jan03 Jun01   (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
9  TAKE MY MONEY Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Nov06 (cast)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.00 32% 2.20    
SCR  CAPOTE'S GLITTER Feb02 Aug23 Aug10 Jul20 Jun16 (uriegas joe)FUENTES MARIO 124 30.00    
 
LS-10   04/19/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KEEP THE BLING Apr06 Mar09 Feb21 Dec13 Oct26 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 20.00    
2  HIGHLANDER HONEY Mar28 Mar09 Feb23 Feb09 Jan18 (gourneau jer)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 15.00    
SCR  CALLIN FOR DOLLARS Apr06 Mar09 Jan04 Oct30 Oct10 (milligan ca)WETHEY JR 124 3.50    
4  DAY FOR THE GRAY Apr05 Mar08 Feb08 Jan25 Dec19 (govea cesar)REYES R 124 8.00 5% 17.80    
5  CONTRABBANDA Mar15 Feb21 Jan26 Oct25 Sep19 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 5.00 39% 1.50    
SCR  ARINNITI (FR) Mar15 Feb21 May25 May04 Mar15 (cappellucci )GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.00    
7  HOLLYWOODBOULEVARD Apr05 Mar14 Jan04 Oct24 Oct09 (hebert matt)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
8  FACTOR THAT Apr06 Mar08 Jan18 Sep21 Aug22 (rengstorf ton)RIVERA SANTOS 124 12.00    
9  MAGNOLIA AVENUE Mar21 Feb14 Dec27 Nov15 Oct16 (clar)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
10  GYPSAN Apr06 Mar09 Feb02 Jan12 Sep26 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 124 12.00 7% 13.20    
11  DULCE AMANECER YG Mar29 Mar01 Feb02 Jan10 Jul04 (mendoza edgar)FUENTES MARIO 124 20.00    
SCR  NORTH EAST STAR (IRE) Mar13 Apr21 Feb15 Jan12 Nov04 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50    
SCR  CLAIRE JUNE Mar15 Feb28 Feb02 Jan12 Mar02 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.