Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - April 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (8/2/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9)-(8/2/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/1/9)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/2/1/9)-(6/2/5)-(7/1/8/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(7/1/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(7/1/8/9)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (7/1/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/2/8/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/1/8/9)-(7/1/2/8/9)-(7/1/2/8/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (7/1/8/9)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/8/9)-(4/6/3)-(5/6/8/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(5/6/8/2)-(3/5/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2)-(5/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/8/2)-(3/5/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/2)-(3/5/2/8)-(1/4/6/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (3/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8)-(3/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/8)-(1/4/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/5/2/8)-(1/4/6/2)-(8/2/7/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (1/4/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2)-(1/4/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/6/2)-(8/2/7/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/2)-(8/2/7/5)-(1/9/8/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (8/2/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5)-(8/2/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/7/5)-(1/9/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/9/8/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/8/5/6)-(1/9/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/8/5/6)-(1/9/8/5/6)-(1/9/8/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   04/18/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WALL STREET MAGIC Mar21 Mar01 Feb12 Jan08 Dec21 (mcgoey monic)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 10.00 19% 4.40    
2  WINNING SHOT Mar09 Feb12 Jan15 Jul04   (wilson to)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 8.00 23% 3.40    
3  MY FINE AQUILINE Mar16 Feb26 Feb05 Dec29 Dec11 (arnett g)LEON SONNY 118 6.00    
4  CAJUN GAL Apr04 Mar07 Feb09 Jan05 Dec13 (tsirigotis j)BATISTA A 125 3.00    
5  CHICA CATHOLIC Apr02 Feb05 Jan12 Dec22 Oct26 (cascallares n)VARGAS E 108 30.00    
SCR  OUR KHOZIE ROSIE         (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 125 4.00    
SCR  UNIVERSAL JOY Apr04 Mar07 Feb19 Dec18   (marrero nes)OLIVEROS CHARLE 125 20.00    
8  TARIBA DREAM Dec21 Nov30 Nov10 Oct13 Sep15 (rondon-mora carl)BRACHO A 125 2.00 27% 2.70    
9  TO MUCH STYLE Mar23 Feb26       (arriagad)RODRIGUEZ O 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-2   04/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($23K) 3 F PT- 1:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT SMILES Mar29 Mar14       (donald)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 113 20.00    
2  IHAVEISSUES Mar07 Feb08       (harty eoin)CASTANON L 120 2.00 24% 3.10    
3  MADAM PROSECUTOR Mar16 Feb09       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 3.50    
SCR  MAGGIES BREW Mar28         (pimental john )COTTO L 120 15.00    
5  MY LITTLE WILDCAT Mar28 Feb26 Feb09 Jan26 Jan11 (mendieta alejand)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 22% 3.60    
6  LA VECCHIA SIGNORA Mar29         (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 31% 2.20    
SCR  BAJA DE ORO Apr05 Mar23 Mar09 Feb12 Jan19 (vazquez jose )IORIO MELISSA 120 30.00    
 
TAM-3   04/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 1:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEACHES POINT Mar08 Jan17       (stewart j)FERRER C 120 2.00 8% 12.00    
2  ACT VIOLENTLY Apr02 Mar26 Mar05     (smith ro)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 ★    
3  WILLFUL ROSE Apr02 Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 Dec29 (kutt m)HESS SARA 120 20.00    
SCR  SUNNY MONDAY Mar30 Mar16 Dec28     (drake robert)COTTO L 120 30.00    
5  WEATHER LADY Mar30 Dec20 Oct05 Sep20 Aug10 (kutt m)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
6  WILD PRINCESS Mar26 Mar06       (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 4.00    
7  PRETTY THING (IRE) Mar06 Feb14 Jan08     (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 120 2.50 67% 0.50    
8  PRINCESS HONOR Apr02 Feb28 Feb02 Sep21 Aug28 (smith robert)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COURAGEOUS ARI Feb01 Oct15 Oct07 Aug27 Aug07 (kleine bernard)ALLEN D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  YLANA Feb28 Feb16 Dec22     (dominguez huber)BRACHO A 120 30.00    
SCR  POWER PARTY Apr05 Mar16 Feb26 Aug23   (gonzalez lui)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 15.00    
SCR  CRAFTY COLLECTOR Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Jan31   (bennett gerald )CENTENO E 120 2.50    
SCR  MOONSCAPE Oct03         (hemingway mi)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50    
SCR  BIRD DANCE         (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 8.00    
 
TAM-4   04/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT- 2:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME SUE Mar05 Nov24 Nov16 Oct17   (mcpherson ale)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 4.00    
2  CAJUN VENOM Mar30 Mar02 Feb07 Jan08 Sep27 (sacco d)FERRER C 118 3.00    
3  GOD WITH US Mar28 Feb23 Jan29 Jan08 Dec01 (breen j)LEON SONNY 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  AERO STAR Mar27 Jan17 Nov29 Oct26   (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  MR. SQUEAKY WHEELS Apr03 Mar05 Feb07 Jan17 Jan04 (rice kev)RODRIGUEZ O 118 12.00    
6  FORTHELONGHAUL Mar28         (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 122 3.50 31% 2.20    
SCR  DRUNKLE Oct21 Oct07 Sep20 Aug28 Aug12 (cheeks k)GALLARDO A 118 20.00    
 
TAM-5   04/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BONITA BREEZE Mar26 Feb19 Feb01 Jan03 Oct19 (yanez r)FERRER C 119 20.00    
2  THEODORA GRACE Jan04 Dec24 Nov30 Oct31 Oct20 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NO NO NO NEVER (IRE) Mar23 Feb08 Jan10 Nov10 Oct01 (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 20.00    
4  NINA'S LAST GIFT Jun28 Jun07 May19 Apr26 Mar17 (dominguez)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 119 30.00    
5  KATIES A LADY Mar21 Feb16 Jan31 Jan10 Dec18 (rodriguez dar)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  LETS GO KOKO Mar30 Mar01 Oct18 Sep15 Aug24 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 20% 4.10    
7  AMERICA'S VOW Mar23 Feb08 Jan11 Oct23 Sep13 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 119 4.00    
8  YELLOW FEATHERS Apr05 Dec29 Dec04 Sep22 Aug28 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 12.00 11% 8.20    
9  RUNAWAY DIVA Mar01 Feb08 Jan10 Sep22 Aug15 (hemingway mi)MENESES MARCOS 119 2.50    
 
TAM-6   04/18/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($21K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FROSTY THE SOLDIER Apr04 Mar19 Mar05 Feb07 Jan22 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 6.00    
2  OFF THE MEDS Mar14 Mar02 Feb07 Jan19 Dec06 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 4.00 9% 9.90    
3  NAMESAKE Jan25 Jan03 Jun28 Jun08 May04 (smith ro)CAMACHO SAMY 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
4  MACKENZIE'S NOVVA Mar26 Mar01 Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 (rice kevin)COTTO L 118 8.00    
5  LORD KNOWS Apr04 Mar22 Feb23 Feb15 Feb01 (hernandez enr)VARGAS E 108 6.00 13% 7.00    
6  KING MIANO Mar29 Mar08 Jan29 Dec20 Aug09 (o'connell kathle)FERRER C 118 6.00    
7  ACTION SEEKER Mar19 Feb23 Feb15 Jan31 Jan22 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00    
8  IN HONOR OF ARTIE Mar02 Feb23 Feb07 Dec28 Nov23 (dominguez lu)BELISARIO JUAN 108 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TAM-7   04/18/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($27.5K) 3 F PT- 3:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIA VITA Mar29 Feb07 Jan09 Dec13 Nov01 (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 122 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  LIZZIE BABY Mar21 Mar09 Jul22     (rice kevin)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  CLASSICALS FINALE Apr12 Mar29 Mar09 Feb28 Jan31 (contessa c)SPIETH S 122 6.00    
4  FLORIDA FLOWER Mar21 Mar09 Feb19 Jan29 Jan17 (dini mike)LEON SONNY 120 6.00 18% 4.70    
5  DAS IST ALLES ALLY Mar21 Mar09 Feb05 Dec22 Nov17 (dini mike)CENTENO E 122 6.00    
6  HIDDEN RECIPE Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Sep23 Aug07 (hamm )DIAZ RAFAEL 122 5.00 10% 8.70    
7  WHIRLWIND Mar16 Dec26 Nov30 Oct20 Sep08 (hendriks)RODRIGUEZ O 122 4.00    
SCR  LA GATA SALVAJE Mar26 Mar09 Feb26 Feb09 Jan15 (mckathan kev)GONZALEZ CESAR 115 30.00    
SCR  KANJENG Mar29 Mar09 Dec13 Sep28 Sep07 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 120 10.00    
10  SECRET VICTORY Apr02 Mar12 Feb26 Jan25 Jan11 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 122 20.00    
 
TAM-8   04/18/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($53K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON D FORTYSIX         (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 118 20.00    
  (by DON SIX out of PEACOCK PRINCESS by UNCLE MO)
2  NIGHT OF MAGIC Apr05 Feb23 Jan10 Oct29   (gardea abraha)LUGO D 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of STOLEN STAR by CAT THIEF)
3  MAXIMUS CAT Oct19         (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of DIS SMART CAT by SQUARE EDDIE)
4  NEOSTAR Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jul21   (lilly p)HESS SARA 118 30.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of POLITICAL MISS by IMPERIALISM)
5  DREAMLINER'S KID Mar30 Mar15       (agostini)RODRIGUEZ O 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of REIGNING GAL by FIRST DUDE)
6  LOCK AND LOAD         (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 118 4.00    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of LITTLE BLACK BOOK by NOTEBOOK)
7  VINO SANTO Feb17 Jan26 Jan05     (manning j)BRACHO A 125 5.00 24% 3.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of RETSINA by IMPERIALISM)
8  CURRENCY ADIOS Mar30         (smith g)LEON SONNY 118 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of BURNING CURRENCY by CURRENCY SWAP)
 
TAM-9   04/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKIPPERINI Mar29 Jan01 Nov29 Sep21 Aug29 (posadas pedro)CENTENO E 122 3.00 44% 1.30    
2  YOU TALKIN TO ME Mar14 Feb08 Jan11 Nov23 Oct11 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 118 6.00    
SCR  INITFORTHELOVE Apr06 Mar22 Feb23 Feb02 Jan17 (gonzalez lui)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 12.00    
4  SILENT AND VIOLENT Mar09 Feb26 Dec01 Nov23 Nov02 (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 118 30.00    
5  MR CROWLEY Mar14 Feb08 Jan04 Nov29 Sep22 (harney heather)HESS SARA 118 8.00 7% 14.20    
6  DEAR SANTA Mar29 Feb23 Feb12 Jan01 Nov23 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  POST FACTO Mar09 Feb01 Jan12 Sep15 Aug25 (torres pa)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 6.00    
8  Q F SEVENTY FIVE Mar16 Feb22 Oct16 Sep20 Aug27 (potts ro)GALLARDO A 118 10.00 7% 14.00    
9  SPANISH NOBLE Mar22 Feb22 Feb05 Dec04 Oct05 (o'connell kathle)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
10  FATIMA'S BLESSING Mar14 Feb12 Jan11 Oct26 Oct11 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
SCR  OPPOSITES ATTRACT Jan11 Nov03 Sep06 Aug15 Jul26 (joseph saffie )CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00    
SCR  STITZY Apr06 Feb22 Feb09 Sep20 Sep05 (alessi james)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.