Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - April 17, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(2/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(2/3/7)-(2/6/9/8/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(2/6/9/8/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(2/6/9/8/4)-(4/7/6/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/6/9/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/9/8/4)-(2/6/9/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/9/8/4)-(2/6/9/8/4)-(2/6/9/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/9/8/4)-(4/7/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/9/8/4)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/1/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/7/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3)-(4/7/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/7/6/3)-(4/1/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(3/5/9/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3)-(4/1/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/2/3)-(3/5/9/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2/3)-(3/5/9/8)-(9/4/3/8/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/5/9/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/9/8)-(3/5/9/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/9/8)-(3/5/9/8)-(3/5/9/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/9/8)-(9/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/9/8)-(9/4/3/8/6)-(8/6/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/4/3/8/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/4/3/8/6)-(9/4/3/8/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/4/3/8/6)-(9/4/3/8/6)-(9/4/3/8/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/4/3/8/6)-(8/6/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/4/3/8/6)-(8/6/2/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-8   WIN (8/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3)-(8/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/2/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (9/6/10/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3)-(9/6/10/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   04/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRETTY CASTLE Apr03 Mar21 Feb19 Feb05 Jan17 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA MADDALENA Sep19 Aug15 Jul25 Nov04 Oct13 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 1.20    
ODDS ON MISCHIEF Mar21 Jan03 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 (jones m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00 28% 2.50    
LAURA'S GRAND Mar21 Feb02 Jan12 Dec07 Nov24 (pyke joseph)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
DIRECT CAUSE Apr05 Mar21 Feb19     (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 118 1.40 47% 1.10    
HOLY MOAT Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Nov20 Oct31 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 120 12.00    
COLD CASH Mar21 Mar08 Feb05 Jul18 Jun07 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   04/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRACCESCA Mar06 Dec27 Dec04 Oct31 Oct03 (rodriguez fran)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.50    
STREETCORNER Jan30 Nov30 Nov07 Oct14 Sep04 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
WHEN YOUR STRANGE Mar27 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan25 (albright ge)RAMOS O 122 3.00 34% 1.90    
TURBO MILLIE Jan30 Dec20 Oct25 Oct05 Sep18 (deiter kelly)LEWIS M 122 8.00    
SHORT OF DINERO Mar27 Jan30 Dec04 Nov07 Oct11 (deiter lyn)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
SCR  REZQUIA Mar29 Mar21 Feb26 Feb05 Dec12 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 122 2.50    
QUEEN NEFERTARI Jan30 Dec13 Nov27 Nov07 Sep21 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Mar27 Feb28 Jan24 Jan04 Oct25 (espinosa victor)RODRIGUEZ V 116 30.00    
FUNKLE Mar27 Mar07 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 1.80 42% 1.40    
MIDNIGHT STROLLER Jan17 Nov27 Sep24 Sep10 Jul31 (shuler )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
JUBACANTFIXTHIS Mar21 Feb28 Feb21 Feb01   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Feb28 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 118 30.00    
MIST OVER CORK Mar27 Feb13 Nov29 Oct26 Oct17 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
SPIRITUAL HORIZONS Mar27 Jan17       (straughn will)ADAMS L 117 4.50    
MUSICAL ENTOURAGE Mar21 Feb27 Feb13     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
YAREAKH Mar21 Jan10 Nov27 Oct11 Aug09 (gazzier kristy)JORGE JULIO 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
10  NO CONVERSATION Mar27 Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov27 (jackson angelo)GILBERT KYLE 124 15.00    
SCR  GRANDPA JOE Mar21 Feb27 Jan17 Dec11 Nov16 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 3.50    
 
CT-4   04/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CECIL THE GREAT Nov21 Oct24 Sep27 Aug23 Jun01 (clement rolan)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00    
HARLEY SIOUX Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Nov06 Sep27 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
JUST CALL ME AL Mar07 Feb15 Jan11 Nov27 Oct24 (cromer lesli)DIAZ JR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
KING KONTIE Mar15 Feb26 Feb05 Dec13 Aug31 (figgins o)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 0.60 55% 0.80    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Apr03 Mar15 Feb28 Feb08 Jan17 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 20.00    
BOLD ROCK Apr04 Mar07 Feb13 Jan17 Nov23 (figgins oll)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 116 12.00 5% 19.00    
BAIL IS DENIED Nov23 Nov07 Oct12 Sep12 Aug09 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 116 4.00 21% 3.80    
 
CT-5   04/17/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOXY SISTA Nov30 Nov09 Oct12 Sep20 Aug16 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
RUNAWAY BEAUTY Mar08 Feb15 Jan29 Jul05 Jun14 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
HERE'S A QUARTER Mar20 Feb28 Feb07 Jan18 Dec07 (murdock stephen)BOCACHICA O 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PETTY PERFECT Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 124 1.40 46% 1.20    
SCR  A LITTLE CANELA Apr03 Mar27 Mar13 Feb28 Feb05 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00    
SCR  LONA LEE Nov01 Oct24 Oct12 Sep13 Aug02 (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 3.00    
SYMPTOMATIC Mar20 Feb22 Feb06 Dec07 Nov20 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
NO DENYING DENIS Oct12 Aug16 Jul26 Jul04 Jun22 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 12.00    
RIDE TO REMEMBER Apr03 Feb07 Jan25 Jan04 Dec15 (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 116 30.00    
SCR  AMALFI SUNSET Apr05 Feb06 Jan03     (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 15.00    
 
CT-6   04/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  IGNITED Mar07 Sep08 Aug17 Jun25 Jun10 (sullivan )BOCACHICA J 122 10.00    
LOADED SNIPER Mar21 Mar07 Jul02 Jun20 May31 (smith lawrence )JORGE JULIO 122 20.00    
ESTRELLA FUGAZ Mar13 Mar07 Jan25 Jan03 Dec11 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
HELL'S KITTEN Apr03 Mar14 Feb14 Dec02 Aug31 (pennella rhea)ADAMS L 115 20.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Mar20 Feb28 Jan18 Dec14 Dec05 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00 22% 3.60    
HEY CONGRATS Aug17 Jul27 May25 Mar22 Dec15 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00    
TALKING TEDDY Jan03 Oct30 Sep28 Aug15 Jul11 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 15.00    
CAJUN FUN Nov02 Mar27 Feb21 Jan27 Jan05 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00 9% 9.70    
SALTY STARKEY Mar13 Feb21 Jan30 Jan11 Dec13 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 4.50 13% 6.90    
 
CT-7   04/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IN HIGH GEAR Mar13 Jun29 Jun01 May18 Oct27 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 124 6.00    
DONNIE B Mar13 Oct03 Aug15 May18 Mar22 (barber bo)BOCACHICA J 124 20.00    
HARDLY EVER BETTER Mar29 Jan23 Jan04 Nov14 Sep12 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00 19% 4.40    
TAKE YOUR TIME Mar22 Feb19 Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 (hanagan lela)DIAZ JR 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
ROCKING TO HOME Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 Nov14 Oct30 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 30.00    
COLT ROCK Mar29 Feb19 Jan04 Nov14 Oct11 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MINELLA Mar29 Mar07 Feb13 Feb05 Jan23 (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 30.00    
EVANESCO Mar22 Feb15 Dec11 Nov13 Oct30 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 5.00 9% 9.90    
BAYTOWN BOO BOO Mar22 Feb05 Aug15 May09 Apr26 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 118 1.60 27% 2.70    
 
CT-8   04/17/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESSENTIAL MAGIC Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct15 (gilbert julia)GILBERT KYLE 120 50.00    
JLODIAMOND Aug23 Aug15 Jun15 Apr27 Mar16 (rangel )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00 9% 9.90    
PARTY TIME FOR ME Mar15 Feb07 Jan18 Dec14   (grigsby a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
SLEWING Apr03 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Jun15 (groves janice)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
OVER THE BULL Feb26 Jan11 Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 3.00    
LIL MISS HONKYTONK Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 Nov23 Nov02 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 12% 7.20    
REDHOTCHILIPHILLY Mar14 Feb27       (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 118 2.00    
CANDY TRICKS Mar15 Feb07 Jan11 Sep19 Aug23 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 5.00 49% 1.00    
 
CT-9   04/17/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMILY KATHERINE Mar14 Feb14 Jan30     (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
SCR  VIGILANTE Mar21 Feb27 Jan31     (johnson j)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT Feb21 Feb14 Jan31     (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SHULER GRAY Mar07 Feb27 Jan30 Jan18   (shuler )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
MISS NINE ONE O Mar28 Mar06 Feb14 Dec14 Nov14 (locklear james)JORGE JULIO 122 20.00    
SPUNS KITTEN         (shuler r)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 34% 2.00    
MI CATRINA Mar07 Feb19 Jan25 Dec06 Nov06 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
EYESONTHECANDY Mar21 Feb21 Jan31     (jackson g)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
BULLY'S NOTION Mar28 Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 Dec06 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 1.80 36% 1.80    
10  CREED CALLING Mar28 Feb27 Jan31     (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 6% 15.70    
11  MYSONSGOINPRO Mar28         (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
SCR  ENRIQUETA Apr03 Mar28       (gomez )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 15.00    
SCR  MODEST KAY Apr03         (gomez r)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
SCR  TIGER'S CANDY Mar21 Mar14 Feb21 Feb14 Jan31 (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.