Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - April 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TAM-1   WIN (5/7/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2)-(5/7/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/3/2)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/3/2)-(1/6/4)-(1/7/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(6/5/1/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-3   WIN (1/7/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4)-(1/7/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/2/4)-(6/5/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2/4)-(6/5/1/3)-(1/2/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(1/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(1/2/5)-(2/7/4/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-5   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/6/8/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/3)-(2/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(1/7/8/5) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-7   WIN (2/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3)-(2/6/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/8/3)-(1/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8/3)-(1/7/8/5)-(8/5/4/3/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
TAM-8   WIN (1/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5)-(1/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/8/5)-(8/5/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TAM-9   WIN (8/5/4/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3/7)-(8/5/4/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3/7)-(8/5/4/3/7)-(8/5/4/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TAM-1   04/16/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP M/F PT-12:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADYS CHANT Mar16 Mar07 Feb08 Jan22 Jan05 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 118 3.50    
VINO VELOCE Mar28 Mar21 Mar01 Feb23 Feb05 (rivera xa)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPECIAL AFFAIR Mar28 Mar07 Feb14 Jan24 Jan01 (hernandez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
LAUGHINTOTHEBANK Mar28 Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan03 (rarick lynn)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 8.00    
ROZAY SUMMER Feb26 Jan05 Oct23 Sep16 Aug26 (yanez reynaldo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 45% 1.20    
NUMERIC Mar21 Mar01 Feb12 Jan26 Jan03 (torres pablo)BATISTA A 118 8.00    
SHINING SKYE Mar28 Feb27 Jan29 Oct06 Sep07 (hernandez enriqu)LEON SONNY 118 3.00 20% 4.10    
 
TAM-2   04/16/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESTILO MAGICO Mar30 Mar09 Feb26 Jan29 Jan04 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
TIZ A BEAST Apr05 Mar22 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 (paragallo jenn)CAMACHO SAMY 118 15.00    
SCR  GUN RIGHT Mar30 Feb26 Feb05 Jan19 Jan04 (o'connell kat)IORIO MELISSA 118 4.50    
BREATH DEEPLY Mar30 Feb26 Feb01 Jan04 Dec14 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POSEIDONS MYTH Feb26 Feb05 Jan17 Dec22 Nov20 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 15.00    
BRAGGADOCIOUS Mar30 Mar09 Mar02 Feb15 Feb01 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 1.80 23% 3.30    
LEOPARDI Mar30 Mar22 Jan19 Dec22 Nov29 (harvey dan)GREENIDGE ELIJAH 111 5.00    
 
TAM-3   04/16/2025 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HARPOON HARRY Mar22 Mar07 Feb08 Jan11 Dec28 (carrascojr victo)FERRER C 122 1.80 38% 1.60    
LE GRIFFON Feb08 Jan19 Dec29 Oct05 Sep14 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 3.00 9% 9.60    
POLITICAL RIOT Mar15 Feb12 Jan29 Jan12 Dec20 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 12.00    
BRYCE CANYON Mar22 Mar02 Feb21 Feb02 Sep21 (simone micha)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 15.00 7% 13.50    
GHOST STALKER Mar29 Mar15 Feb26 Feb12 Jan19 (waltke thomas )SUAREZ JESUS 120 10.00    
INDULGE Apr02 Mar09 Feb05 Jan18 Jan10 (simone micha)BATISTA A 120 6.00    
GILDED AGE Feb08 Dec28 Nov23 Aug04 May27 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 2.50 18% 4.40    
 
TAM-4   04/16/2025 5400ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 2:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEAM POWERED Mar23 Mar01 Dec27 Dec07 Sep23 (arnett g)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 9% 9.90    
PRINCE LANCELOT (GB) Mar28 Mar07 Feb15 Feb14 Jan29 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 120 15.00    
WEEK'S STRONG Apr09 Mar21 Mar02 Jan10   (o'connell ka)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
MYWIFEHASAGUN Mar26 Feb16 Jan29 Jan10 Dec18 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 120 6.00    
JR SERGIO Apr03 Mar19 Mar01 Jan29 Jan15 (lopez rober)HESS SARA 120 4.00 11% 8.40    
GAP TO GAP Mar28 Mar01 Feb15 Dec22 Nov30 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.20 50% 1.00    
ANNA JEAN Mar30 Mar09 Feb26 Feb16 Jan24 (gardea abra)QUINONEZ ALONSO 115 12.00    
 
TAM-5   04/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CRUISING DEREK Mar29 Jan29 Jan03 Dec11 Sep01 (mazza joseph )IORIO MELISSA 118 2.00 39% 1.50    
KITTY HAWK (GB) Mar29 Sep10 Aug06 Jul06 May10 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 118 1.60 28% 2.60    
CANTARO Mar29 Mar08 Feb16 Jan24 Dec21 (rodriguez j)VASQUEZ WILFRED 118 5.00    
SONG RUNNER Mar08 Feb22 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 (dobber w)FERRER C 118 12.00    
BIG LOUIE Mar29 Mar08 Feb22 Feb09 Jan24 (dye steven)MENESES MARCOS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
MI DINERO May17 Apr04 Feb28 Feb09 Sep09 (munoz carlos)GIL CIPRIANO 118 6.00    
 
TAM-6   04/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEMPHIS SHOWBOAT Mar21 Oct11 Sep11 Aug22 Jun29 (downing willia)GIL CIPRIANO 118 4.50    
E M'S TREASUREGIRL Mar21 Mar05 Feb09 Jan04 Dec20 (bennett geral)IORIO MELISSA 118 3.50 57% 0.70    
VINGATIVA Apr02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb09 Jan22 (simone micha)BATISTA A 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED WIND Apr02 Mar21 Feb22 Feb01 Jan18 (simone)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 3.00 9% 9.60    
BOURBON BLAST Jan22 Jan01 Oct09 Sep11 Aug27 (cheeks katy)LEON SONNY 118 20.00    
ERA Mar22 Feb14 Dec18 Dec04 Sep14 (ward dennis)FERRER C 120 6.00    
TIMELESS ROSE Mar21 Feb09 Jan10 Aug21 Jun20 (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.00 12% 7.00    
GLITTER BAY Apr02 Mar07 Jan31 Jan18 Jan04 (curto jea)HESS SARA 118 6.00    
 
TAM-7   04/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MOM'S HAD ENOUGH Mar26 Mar01       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 6.00    
CENTEYA Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 Oct04   (rodriguez darien)LEON SONNY 120 3.50 31% 2.20    
NEW WAY Mar16 Feb16 Dec28 Dec07 Nov08 (wilson tony)MENESES MARCOS 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
THUNDER PRINCESS Mar30 Mar09 Mar01 Feb16 Jan24 (rigattieri john)CENTENO E 120 5.00    
COME A WALTZING Mar16 Feb21       (stewart chad)BATISTA A 120 8.00    
DIAMONDINTHESAND         (sacco d)FERRER C 120 12.00 27% 2.60    
DOROTEA DREAM Apr05 Mar15 Mar02 Jan29 Dec28 (baez ral)RODRIGUEZ O 120 3.00    
LUCKY FLAY Mar23 Feb12 Jan15 Dec13 Nov20 (smith )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00 15% 5.70    
SCR  WHEN IN ROMA Mar30 Feb16 Jan12 Dec22 Dec07 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
10  VALIANT ENYA Oct15 Oct02       (fennessy john)VILLA-GOMEZ H 120 20.00    
SCR  SUNNY MONDAY Mar30 Mar16 Dec28     (drake robert)COTTO L 120 30.00    
SCR  WEATHER LADY Mar30 Dec20 Oct05 Sep20 Aug10 (kutt m)GONZALEZ CESAR 113 30.00    
SCR  PRETTY THING (IRE) Mar06 Feb14 Jan08     (delgado jorge)LEON SONNY 120 2.00    
SCR  ACT VIOLENTLY Apr02 Mar26 Mar05     (smith ro)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
 
TAM-8   04/16/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SILVER SLUGGER Mar23 Mar08 Feb08 Jan18 Mar22 (avila car)CAMACHO SAMY 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
GET EVEN Mar19 Dec28 Dec06 Oct24 Oct10 (allen lisa)ALLEN M 118 20.00    
SWEN Mar05 Feb23 Jan22 Jan03 Dec22 (gonzal)ALMEDINA MARIANGELYS 111 30.00    
SCR  GOLDEN JUAN Mar29 Mar21 Feb01 Jan10 Dec20 (avila carlo)LEON SONNY 122 1.20    
SIR ROBERT HALL Feb23 Jan26 Jan05 Dec18 Nov30 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
GRIMES Apr04 Mar19 Feb28 Feb14 Feb01 (barron r)GALLARDO A 118 12.00    
JABRAN Mar23 Mar01 Feb21 Jan10 Jun21 (spanabel ke)SPANABEL SKYLER 120 6.00 32% 2.10    
BAR DOWN EXPRESS Mar19 Feb14 Feb01 Jan22 Dec27 (mcburney pat)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 15.00 8% 10.90    
 
TAM-9   04/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($16K) Purse ($26.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAMIR Jan27 Jan13 Dec22 Aug26 Jul27 (vigil jai)MALDONADO GABRIEL 118 30.00    
LAMPLIGHTER JACK Apr06 Mar12 Feb08 Jan04 Jul23 (campbe)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
SONIC SPEED Mar28 Mar07 Feb08 Jan18 Dec24 (escobar mart)BATISTA A 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
MIDNITE MUSKET Mar15 Feb07 Jan04 Oct04 Sep08 (clark a)CAMACHO SAMY 118 6.00 5% 18.90    
A WESTERN YARN Mar19 Feb22 Jan26 Jan11 Dec06 (posadas pedro)CENTENO E 120 3.00 18% 4.40    
JUSTINTIMEFORWINE Feb23 Jan26 Jan11 Dec14 Nov30 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 122 4.50    
ESCAPE KEY Mar22 Feb26 Feb02 Jan17 Dec27 (aguayo ramon)FERRER C 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIDAL FORCES Mar12 Feb26 Jan25 Jan03 Nov16 (abreu fe)GALLARDO A 118 2.50 51% 1.00    
UNSPOKEN REQUEST Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 Dec06 May17 (fisher davi)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 20.00    
10  ICONIC ROCK Apr05 Mar26 Mar09 Feb23 Feb07 (mendieta ale)GONZALEZ CESAR 111 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.