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The Longshot Specialist!
Parx Racing
Tuesday - April 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRX-1   WIN (4/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2)-(4/8/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/5/2)-(3/6/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/8/5/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(5/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRX-2   WIN (3/6/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/2)-(5/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/2)-(5/2/4)-(4/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRX-3   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(4/3/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(4/3/7)-(3/1/7/6/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRX-4   WIN (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/7)-(4/3/7)-(4/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/7)-(3/1/7/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7)-(3/1/7/6/8)-(7/1/4/2/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
PRX-5   WIN (3/1/7/6/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8)-(3/1/7/6/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/1/7/6/8)-(7/1/4/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/6/8)-(7/1/4/2/9)-(11/9/6/4/7) 125 $1.00 $125 
PRX-6   WIN (7/1/4/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/1/4/2/9)-(7/1/4/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/1/4/2/9)-(7/1/4/2/9)-(7/1/4/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/1/4/2/9)-(11/9/6/4/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/1/4/2/9)-(11/9/6/4/7)-(7/6/3/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
PRX-7   WIN (11/9/6/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/9/6/4/7)-(11/9/6/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/9/6/4/7)-(11/9/6/4/7)-(11/9/6/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/9/6/4/7)-(7/6/3/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/9/6/4/7)-(7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/2/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
PRX-8   WIN (7/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/6/3/2)-(4/7/6/2/10)-(9/8/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
PRX-9   WIN (4/7/6/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/7/6/2/10)-(4/7/6/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/7/6/2/10)-(4/7/6/2/10)-(4/7/6/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/7/6/2/10)-(9/8/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
PRX-10   WIN (9/8/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/8/7/5)-(9/8/7/6/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/8/7/5)-(9/8/7/6/5)-(9/8/7/6/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRX-1   04/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLD HOPPERTUNITY Mar31 Mar05 Feb04 Jan09 Oct29 (abrams jack)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50    
2  CHECKITUP Mar18 Mar05 Feb10 Dec31 Nov27 (bravo-)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MILAGROSO Mar31 Mar05 Feb10 Dec31 Dec18 (king clarence )AGUILAR JEAN 122 20.00    
4  LUCKY RUNNING CAT Mar05 Jan28 Dec12 Nov08 Oct24 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
5  FAST PAYDAY Mar31 Mar13 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 (tapsas i)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 122 12.00 8% 11.20    
6  CAUTELOSO Mar31 Feb26 Jan28 Jan07 Nov12 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00    
7  LUCKY LUCKY LUKE Mar27 Feb21 Jan29 Jan02 Dec12 (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00    
8  ASCRIBE Mar27 Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 (rodriguez m)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 4.50 13% 6.80    
SCR  FULL CONTACT Mar10 Jan27 May22 Apr24 Apr08 (perez flore)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 12.00    
SCR  RENEGADE SERENADE Mar05 Feb12 Jan29 Nov27 Nov05 (diaz jorge)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 30.00    
 
PRX-2   04/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPOTTED BULL Mar24 Mar11 Feb27 Feb10 Jan30 (badillo jonat)OCASIO M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  WE READY Apr08 Mar25 Mar12 Feb27 Jan29 (hogan william)RIVERA D 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LORD WINSALOT Mar27 Feb27 Jan29 Jan14 Jan02 (rodriguez migu)AGUILAR JEAN 122 3.00 52% 0.90    
4  EDDIEMUSH Mar31 Mar07 Feb27 Feb03 Jan15 (pe)GONZALEZ JORGE 125 4.50    
5  HARLEY'S CHARLY Feb24 Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 Nov11 (soto- martinez)CORREA JULIO 122 8.00    
6  WIZARD SERRAT Mar26 Feb27 Jan29 Dec18 Nov12 (velazquez a)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00 20% 3.90    
7  HOTPOT Mar26 Feb27 Feb11 Jan14 Nov20 (rosado rober)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 4.00    
8  SAILOR'S RETURN Apr07 Mar25 Feb27 Feb10 Jan29 (serey juan)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
 
PRX-3   04/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  AMBITIOUSLY PLACED Mar19 Feb20 Dec18 Nov19 Oct19 (pino micha)SANCHEZ J 128 0.80    
2  OUR UPTOWN GIRL Jan29 Dec02 Nov06 Oct19 Sep24 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 125 4.50 32% 2.10    
3  BOSS LIKE BETH Mar05 Feb07 Jan13 Nov25 Nov13 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 128 8.00    
4  MISS M M Mar19 Feb27 Feb11 Jan27 Jan14 (crowell susan)RIVERA D 125 10.00 9% 10.00    
5  ANNIEWORKSTOOMUCH Mar19 Feb27 Feb09 Jan27 Jan04 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 128 2.00 38% 1.60    
6  MENDED WE STAND Apr02 Mar18 Feb24 Feb03 Jan14 (gallimor)DAVIS A 125 15.00    
 
PRX-4   04/15/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAP IN FORMATION Mar05 Jan27 Jan07 Nov26 Oct21 (coletti ed)SANCHEZ J 122 4.00    
2  SWING OIL Mar24 Feb27 Feb10 Jan30 Jan07 (diaz j)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
3  PYLON Mar13 Feb27 Feb11 Jan30 Jan07 (ro)GONZALEZ JORGE 122 5.00 14% 5.90    
4  SIX WHIPS Mar26 Feb10 Jan07 Dec30 Dec02 (servis tyl)TORRES L 112 3.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  JW'STRICKYMISCHIEF Feb26 Dec16 Nov05 Sep17 Jul23 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 1.80    
6  CHIP'S FRIEND Jan15 Dec17 Nov25 Oct30 Oct09 (catalano l)RUIZ ELISEO 122 10.00    
7  RECKLESS PLACE Mar26 Mar05 Feb10 Jan30 Dec18 (williams ab)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-5   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUNYHUNGRY Mar19 Feb05 Jan04 Nov27 Nov06 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  MR. GEORGIE Sep18 Sep01 Aug10 May25 Apr19 (castillo miche)ADORNO ABNER 125 15.00    
3  MISTER LINCOLN Mar12 Feb28 Feb10 Nov13 May12 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 125 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  AMORE D'ORO Nov25 Oct22 Oct01 Aug25 Aug10 (shaw tim)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 15.00    
5  PALLINO Mar27 Jul21 Jul03 May18 Nov28 (montoya)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 8.00    
6  ACTION HERO Mar12 Jan30 Dec10 Nov13 Oct22 (lake a)PENNINGTON F 125 4.00 8% 11.20    
7  MALIBLUE Mar12 Feb21 Jan31 Dec09 Nov11 (penaloza migu)RIVERA D 125 4.50 9% 10.70    
8  PLANET Mar28 Mar07 Feb05 Oct15 Sep17 (solis jacinto)SILVERA RUBEN 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  BIAGIO Mar25 Jul03 Jun25 Jun10 Mar25 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 8.00    
 
PRX-6   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREEN BEANS Dec07 Nov10 Sep05 Aug23 Aug13 (bailes )BRICENO GREGOR 125 6.00 18% 4.70    
2  DEPOLI Mar04 Feb10 Jan15 Dec31 Nov27 (king clarence)RANGEL JOEZER 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BRONX BOYS Mar21 Feb07 Jan09 Dec02 Nov11 (kulp l)RUIZ ELISEO 125 3.00    
4  TWENTYEIGHTTOTHREE Mar21 Feb10 Dec31 Dec09 Nov05 (lake a)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00 8% 12.10    
5  HOT LOVE Apr02 Mar17 Feb26 Jan30 Jan07 (whylie o)BOWMAN ADAM 125 15.00    
6  UNSWAYED Mar26 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 (conrad )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
7  CISCO KID Mar26 Feb26 Feb10 Jan27 Dec09 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
8  RYAN'S FLEET Mar04 Nov29 Nov05 Oct08 Sep17 (leung a)AGUILAR JEAN 125 15.00    
9  ONLYGODCANJUDGEME Mar26 Feb26 Dec18 Nov25 Nov04 (st uri)HADDOCK DEXTER 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BALI AMOUR Mar26 Mar04 Feb05 Jan27 Jan15 (whylie)GONZALEZ JR 125 30.00    
 
PRX-7   04/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOP OF THE STREET Mar31 Feb26 Feb04 Jan15 Sep16 (mosco robert)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
2  HUMBLE JOE Mar18 Feb10 Jan27 Jan15 Jan07 (padilla esteba)ADORNO ABNER 122 6.00    
3  CARBONITE Mar18 Feb25 Feb10 Dec31 Dec09 (flores-coba f)OCASIO M 122 15.00    
4  SCAMP WALKER Mar18 Mar05 Feb25 Feb10 Jan27 (padilla es)HAZLEWOOD YEDSIT 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FINANCIAL STRENGTH Apr01 Mar10 Feb25 Jan27 Jan15 (rodriguez m)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 4.50    
6  GOOD REUNION Mar18 Feb25 Jan26 Jan02 Dec06 (perez rupert)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00 8% 10.80    
7  DARVESH Mar31 Mar05 Feb12 Jan28 Jan14 (perez rupert)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  TIEMPO PERFECTO Apr01 Mar18 Mar10 Nov27 Nov02 (smylie timoth)RANGEL JOEZER 122 20.00    
9  BULLET BREEZE Mar19 Feb27 Jan29 Jan15 Dec17 (rodriguez irving)CASTILLO A 125 4.00 27% 2.60    
10  KEEP DEM TALKING Mar27 Mar10 Dec13 Nov15 Oct31 (nicholson ju)TORRES L 112 30.00    
11  AARAJ Apr01 Mar05 Feb25 Feb11 Jan29 (rodriguez i)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
PRX-8   04/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WAX BOX         (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of CHEROKEE SKY by SKY MESA)
2  HOLY SYNERGY         (smith everton)BOWMAN ADAM 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of WHAT AM I GONNA DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
3  CHILLING ZENSATION         (crook-demasi ka)RUIZ ELISEO 122 4.00 15% 5.70    
  (by WINCHILL out of ZENSATIONAL MERRY by ZENSATIONAL)
4  SAMS AFTER PARTY Mar11 Feb03 Dec30 Dec17   (padilla hugo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 122 5.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of MORE PARTY GIRL by MORE SMOKE)
5  MAGIC BAY Feb27 Jan29       (velazquez dan)SILVERA RUBEN 122 30.00    
  (by STREET MAGICIAN out of WHO'S IN LOVE by SUPER WHO)
6  SAPPHIRE PRINCE Feb19         (kravets bru)RAMOS O 122 5.00 26% 2.80    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of PROMISED TREASURE by BROKEN VOW)
7  SHOWTIME MATINEE         (kravets bruce )PENNINGTON F 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
  (by UPTOWNCHARLYBROWN out of START THE SHOW by OXBOW)
8  DANCING ON AIR Mar04 Feb19 Jan29 Nov18 Nov05 (arce josue)GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 12.00    
  (by AIROFORCE out of BOTTLE DANCE by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
 
PRX-9   04/15/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBIT CARD Mar23 Mar02 Dec29 Dec06 Nov27 (stites w)CHIAPPE R 125 10.00    
2  TRADERS LUCK Mar11 Feb12 Jan28 Dec31 Dec10 (guerrero guad)RUIZ ELISEO 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  BERNIE'S MITTS Apr01 Mar09 Feb12 Jan13 Dec02 (caban carlos )RIVERA D 125 15.00    
4  ROMINSKI Mar23 Mar02 Jun16 May25 Apr27 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 1.60 33% 2.00    
5  WINDSOR GOLD Apr04 Feb27 Jan28 Dec31 Dec03 (moore michae)HADDOCK DEXTER 120 5.00    
6  PARADISE VALLEY Feb09 Jan28 Nov02 Oct04 Aug18 (crook-demasi)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 6.00 16% 5.20    
7  VEESON Jan28 Dec31 Nov27 Nov02 Oct19 (padilla )GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.50 25% 3.00    
8  HUSHION Mar29 Oct05 Sep15 Sep02 Aug04 (king clarence)RANGEL JOEZER 120 50.00    
SCR  BEACH DAZE Nov27 Oct19 Sep21 Aug25 Jun02 (mann farrel)BOWMAN ADAM 120 10.00    
10  ONE MORE SCOOP Dec31 Nov27 Nov02 Oct19 Sep20 (crook-demas)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRX-10   04/15/2025 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DAD'S ON A ROLL Mar25 Mar05 Jan15 Dec31 Dec10 (guerrero g)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 15.00    
2  TEEWINOT PASS Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Dec31 Nov26 (king clarence )AGUILAR JEAN 122 15.00    
3  UNDER THE RADAR Mar25 Mar11 Jan31 May17 Apr19 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 122 5.00    
4  COBBLE ROAD Mar26 Mar11 Feb25 Aug16 Jul22 (perez ruper)WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 15.00    
5  SAINT MARCO Apr02 Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 (caban carlos )OCASIO M 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAKABIM Mar25 Mar13 Feb25 Jan29 Dec17 (serey juan)ZAMBRANA JADIEL 117 4.00 ★    
7  ROMAN EMPIRE Feb25 Dec31 Sep17 Aug21 Jul23 (guerrero j )GONZALEZ MELVIS 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  PIT BOSS Mar25 Feb25 Feb05 Jan15 Nov20 (diaz jorge)WOLFSONT ANDREW 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
9  EXIT RIGHT Feb25 Jan28 Oct16 Sep02 Jun22 (crook-d)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 117 4.50 48% 1.10    
10  GURT'S WARRIOR Mar25 Mar11 Feb03 Dec31 Oct30 (solis jacint)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 15.00    
11  JACOHARE Mar04 Feb05 Jan28 Jan15 Dec31 (santae)GONZALEZ JR 122 15.00    
12  SUPER JOHN Mar25 Feb27 Feb10 Jan01 Dec17 (perez t)CORREA JULIO 122 10.00    
SCR  LONG GRAY LINE Mar25 Mar11 Feb25 Jan28 Dec04 (gonzal)GONZALEZ JR 122 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.