Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Sam Houston Park
Friday - April 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HOU-2   WIN (2/4/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5)-(2/4/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/7/5)-(6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/4/7/5)-(6/2/1)-(11/1/5/6/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-3   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/1)-(11/1/5/6/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/2/1)-(11/1/5/6/10)-(2/12/8/9/10) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-4   WIN (11/1/5/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/5/6/10)-(11/1/5/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/5/6/10)-(11/1/5/6/10)-(11/1/5/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/5/6/10)-(2/12/8/9/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (11/1/5/6/10)-(2/12/8/9/10)-(6/1/2) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
HOU-5   WIN (2/12/8/9/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/8/9/10)-(2/12/8/9/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/12/8/9/10)-(2/12/8/9/10)-(2/12/8/9/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/12/8/9/10)-(6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/12/8/9/10)-(6/1/2)-(8/3/2/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-6   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(8/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(8/3/2/4)-(7/4/5/2/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
HOU-7   WIN (8/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/2/4)-(8/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2/4)-(8/3/2/4)-(8/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/2/4)-(7/4/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HOU-8   WIN (7/4/5/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/5/2/9)-(7/4/5/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/5/2/9)-(7/4/5/2/9)-(7/4/5/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HOU-2   04/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUPREME LEADER (GB) Mar16 Feb22 Jan03 Dec12 Nov04 (silva miguel)RIVERA SANTOS 121 30.00    
2  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Mar07 Jan31 Jan05 Nov19 Nov06 (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 3.50 31% 2.30    
3  SINGING DIXIE Mar16 Mar07 Jan31 Oct24 Oct04 (castellan)TRIANA JR 121 5.00    
4  TURQUOISE BLUE Mar21 Feb16 Jan11 Nov15 Nov06 (jacks e)PARKER L 121 4.50 22% 3.50    
5  BROOKLYN ALLEY CAT Mar16 Jan25 Dec13 Nov25 Oct02 (pish danny)DIEGO V 116 12.00 12% 7.30    
6  ROWDY JESS Mar14 Feb21 Jan15 Dec22 Nov24 (ti)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
7  SUMMER LOVER Mar16 Mar07 Feb22 Jan31 Aug28 (govea cesar)CABRERA DAVID 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
SCR  TAPITS KASH Mar07 Feb23 Jan28 Jun16 Jun03 (hebert matt)WETHEY JR 121 4.00    
SCR  WITT AMERICA Feb16 Apr05 Mar09 Feb19 Jan20 (gourneau jer)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 20.00    
10  WHISKEY WITH YOU Mar16 Mar07 Jan17 Jan05 Dec13 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE) Mar07 Feb16 Jan19 Jul06 Jun15 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 15.00    
 
HOU-3   04/04/2025 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($12K) 3 ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAN'T KNOW Mar16 Feb23 Sep07     (rengstorf ton)RIVERA SANTOS 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  BAR HOPPIN BILLY Mar23 Mar08 Jan25 Jan04 Nov16 (davidson brent)PARKER L 122 2.00 34% 1.90    
3  MAP THIS OUT Mar22 Feb23 Jan31     (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 4.00    
4  KEEP UP THE PACE Mar22 Mar09 Feb23 Jan24 Dec28 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 15.00    
5  CAVALLINO RAMPANTE Mar01 Jan31       (padilla a)DIEGO V 122 3.50    
6  AUDREY'S MUSIC Mar15         (young bob)FUENTES MARIO 122 1.60 37% 1.70    
 
HOU-4   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAMPAGNE STOOPER Mar22 Feb23 Jan26 Dec13 Nov19 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 3.00 31% 2.30    
2  HELLO HELLO MISTER Mar07 Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec13 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 20.00    
3  COLONEL BARTON Mar01 Feb02 Jan17 Jan05 Dec26 (govea cesar)RIVERA SANTOS 121 6.00    
4  PERLIANO Mar07 Feb23 Feb08 Jan26 Jan05 (c)DE CRUZ 121 4.50    
5  EMPERADOR Mar07 Jan31 Jul14 Jun30 Jun02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  UNION DATA Mar07 Feb23 Jan31 Jan10 Sep04 (davidson )TRIANA JR 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  DOSE'S DREAM Mar08 Feb16 Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 15.00    
SCR  RISK PROFILE Mar01 Jan24 Dec07 May04 Mar22 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 8.00    
9  AFFECTIONTO AUTISM Mar07 Feb21 Jan24 Nov24 May05 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
10  SUITABLE Feb21 Jan31 Jan10 Nov29 Nov02 (gustafson austin)PARKER L 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
11  IN THE ARCH Mar14 Feb28 Feb14 Jan24 Jan03 (rengstorf tony)SANCHEZ OBED 121 3.50 43% 1.30    
 
HOU-5   04/04/2025 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUNNY HIGHWAY Mar21 Feb28 Jan25 Oct18 Sep14 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 116 20.00    
2  NERKY ROSE Mar21 Feb28 Oct17 Sep18 Sep07 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 121 2.50 39% 1.50    
3  ONEPARTICULRHARBOR Mar08 Jan17 Sep23 Aug22 Jul04 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 121 12.00    
4  SOMERSETSLASTRIDE Mar08 Feb14 Jan25 Oct25 Sep08 (bravo francisco)WADE LYNDIE 123 20.00    
5  PEYTON'S DAY Nov20 Oct12 Aug29 Aug15 Jul26 (ti)HERNANDEZ ANTONIO 116 15.00    
6  POLIS Mar15 Aug11 Aug02 Jul12 Jun14 (willis mindy)CABRERA DAVID 121 15.00    
7  MUCHO MACHO CAM Mar23 Mar02 Jan17 Nov06 Oct16 (love alan)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 20.00    
8  YOU'RE ON MUTE Mar15 Feb17 Jan17 Dec20 Dec07 (govea cesar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
9  STRUCTURED Mar08 Jan17 Nov09 Oct25 Sep26 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
10  PINEHURST (IRE) Feb28 Jan24 Nov07 Sep16 Aug01 (sauceda jesse)FUENTES MARIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
11  ISLAND CABANA Mar08 Feb21 Jan19 Nov29 Nov06 (pish danny)PARKER L 123 12.00    
12  DRINKS AT THE CLUB Jan25 Dec18 Nov23 Nov02 Oct11 (c)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
HOU-6   04/04/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERSONAL CREED         (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of BARBY SUE by PURGE)
2  DADDY SAID I COULD         (diodoro robertin)PARKER L 119 8.00 7% 14.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PRETTY VALENTINE by MACHO UNO)
3  FEATHER LAINE Mar16 Feb21 Jan24 Dec28 Nov23 (garz)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 119 20.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of FEATHERSPUN by HARD SPUN)
4  MAMOOT         (diodoro roberti)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00    
  (by ECHO TOWN out of HOT HIPPIE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  TIME TO COLLECT Mar09 Jan10 Dec19 Nov22 Oct25 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 119 4.50    
  (by COLLECTED out of TOO GOOD TO B TRUE by MIZZEN MAST)
6  COVET Mar03         (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 123 1.20 43% 1.30    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of INDIAN PRINCESS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
 
HOU-7   04/04/2025 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT-10:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLING MOUNTAIN Mar22 Feb21 Jan26 Jan04 Dec05 (davidson brent)PARKER L 123 4.50    
2  SIR STERLING Mar15 Feb22 Feb08 Dec14 Nov23 (rengstorf tony)WADE LYNDIE 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPEIGHT AND MALICE Mar09 Feb22 Jan05 Dec05 Sep27 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 12.00 25% 2.90    
4  SOUL SACRIFICE Mar15 Dec13 Nov06 Oct18 Aug23 (d)JIMENEZ LUIS 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  RED MOUNTAIN Feb08 Jan11 Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 (martin steve)ELLIOTT S 121 20.00    
6  MALIBU S S Mar09 Feb23 Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 (pish dann)TRIANA JR 123 1.80    
7  IT MAKES SENSE Oct04 Sep06 Jun30 May10 Apr06 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 121 3.50    
8  ESTABLISHED Mar15 Feb22 Jan05 Dec08 Nov09 (calvario samu)RIVERA SANTOS 123 3.00 43% 1.30    
 
HOU-8   04/04/2025 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 35 M/F PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RITZY MISCHIEF Mar09 Feb07 Oct02     (clary rena)DIAZ RENE 119 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of NOT IN JEST by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  BALMORHEA         (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of MS. RUBIN by SKY MESA)
SCR  ITSALLPOLITRICKS Mar14         (swift a)VERA T 123 15.00    
  (by MATTHEWSBURG out of DANCEWITHTHEGHOST by DANCE WITH RAVENS)
4  MIZZ FACTOR Mar14 Feb08 Jan11 Nov02 Oct24 (padilla a)DIEGO V 123 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MIZZ CAT C S by MIZZEN MAST)
5  NANCY LYNN Mar09 Jan17 Nov17 Sep29   (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 119 3.50 6% 15.70    
  (by JUSTIFY out of GLAMOURATTI by STREET SENSE)
6  LA RONALDA Y G Feb01 Jan12 Oct19 Sep28 Sep13 (m)JIMENEZ LUIS 119 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of UNABASHED by KINGMAMBO)
7  WONDER WAVE (IRE) Feb23 Dec28 Nov19 Oct19 Aug28 (calhoun willi)CABRERA DAVID 123 3.50 46% 1.20    
  (by U S NAVY FLAG out of AWOHAAM by IFFRAAJ (GB))
8  STACY'S PRINCESS Mar09 Jan31 Jul12 Jun21 Apr21 (uriegas henry)FUENTES MARIO 123 8.00    
  (by LATENT HEAT out of ALL HER CHARMS by SKY MESA)
9  SHEZASWEETPEA         (w)DE CRUZ 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDEEMED out of HOP THE SIX by ARTIE SCHILLER)
10  DELPHINE Mar15 Jun09       (gust)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 12.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of CABANA by FLATTER)
11  MISS MOZETTI Mar09 Feb15 Jan19     (pish danny)PARKER L 119 15.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of ROAD TIGER by QUALITY ROAD)
12  DEADLY BEAUTY Mar09 Jan19       (davidson )TRIANA JR 119 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of BUTTON GIRL by MIZZEN MAST)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.