Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Will Rogers Downs
Wednesday - March 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
WRD-1   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(6/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(6/3/2)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-2   WIN (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2)-(6/3/2)-(6/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2)-(5/2/3)-(2/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-3   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/1/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/1/3)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-4   WIN (2/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/3)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/3)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3)-(3/1)-(1/2/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-5   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(1/2/3)-(3/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(3/7/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(3/7/2)-(10/9/7/3/1) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
WRD-7   WIN (3/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/2)-(3/7/2)-(3/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/2)-(10/9/7/3/1) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-8   WIN (10/9/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/7/3/1)-(10/9/7/3/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (10/9/7/3/1)-(10/9/7/3/1)-(10/9/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
WRD-1   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDSONSAM Nov26 Nov15 Oct31 Oct17 Sep18 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 125 4.00    
2  CHEROKEE SUNRISE Feb28 Jan19 Dec13 Nov30 Oct23 (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 2.00    
3  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Mar01 Feb05 Dec13 Nov03 Sep01 (arceo sal)TRIANA JR 125 1.00 65% 0.50    
4  AMBIGUOUS May21 May07 Apr13 Mar10 Feb11 (biehler michael)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  CUPID'S THUNDER Dec05 Nov16 Nov06 Oct17 Sep14 (swan patrick )LARA EZEQUIEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-2   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COWBOY CADE Jan19 Dec13 Nov08 Oct02 Sep12 (lee mark)BIRZER E 120 3.50    
  (by WILBURN out of LEXICAT by BRICKTOWN CAT)
2  WAR FOR GOLD Nov23 Nov07 Oct09 Sep20   (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of CLASSIC MIRAGE by CLASSIC ALLIANCE)
3  GOSPEL CESS Dec13 Oct30 Sep29 Sep04 Aug17 (william)GONCALVES R 115 3.00 15% 5.50    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of INTERCESSION by ORATORY)
4  CODE ELEVEN Dec12 Nov23 Nov13 Oct23 Oct11 (davis steve )HEBERT LINDSEY 125 5.00    
  (by CODE WEST out of WAVES OF LIGHT by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
5  GOSPEL JOURNEY Dec06 Nov06 Oct19 Sep27   (williams steve )WADE LYNDIE 120 20.00    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of MISTY JOURNEY by VISIONAIRE)
6  I'M ENTICING Feb15 Jan19 Dec04     (buehrer mar)WETHEY JR 120 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by ENTICED out of DAZZLE HER by STREET SENSE)
 
WRD-3   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHROME RACER Jan04 Dec06 Nov09 Sep23 Sep07 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 3.50    
2  HARDLY MISCHIEVOUS Feb15 Jan24 Jan09 Dec14 Dec05 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 125 2.00 15% 5.70    
3  RUBY THE DESTROYER Mar11 Feb08 Jan19 Nov30 Nov23 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  PURE CONNECTION Dec06 Nov19 Oct12 Aug29 Jul17 (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 122 4.00    
5  BLUEBERRY EYES Mar01 Feb21 Jan31 Jan18 Jan05 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.40 55% 0.80    
 
WRD-4   03/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LA CAMELIA Dec13 Nov09 Nov02 Oct18   (abney mike)QUINONEZ B 120 4.00 32% 2.10    
2  GRACE THE KINGDOM Mar04 Feb08 Jan30 Dec07 Apr02 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 1.80 42% 1.40    
3  REALITY CHECK Nov15 Oct30 Jul17 Jun27 Jun06 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  WILD CHEROKEE Nov14 Sep27 Jun06 May14 Apr21 (stephens )TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
5  BREATHTAKING FOLLY Sep16 Aug31 Aug03 Jul22 Jun29 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 2.00    
6  ILIKEHER Dec12 Nov18 Oct19     (caster boyd)BIRZER E 120 12.00    
 
WRD-5   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE MOON RIVER Mar10 Dec13 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 (corderman)TRIANA JR 125 5.00 25% 2.90    
  (by FUNTASTIC out of FOREIGN SULTRESS by FOREIGN POLICY)
SCR  GOSPEL CLARITY Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct17 Sep28 (william)GONCALVES R 120 0.80    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of CONFUSED by CROSS TRAFFIC)
3  GOSPEL TREASURE Dec13 Nov09 Aug23     (williams f)KIMES C 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by GOSPEL TIZ KEY out of AUDACIOUS ANGEL by CITY ZIP)
4  SUNSHINE SISTER Mar03 Dec13 Nov30 Oct19 Sep11 (cogburn orrin)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 15.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of GOSPEL GAIL by BANDINI)
5  SALT CREEK GAL Mar03 Dec07 Oct25 Oct10 Sep07 (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 125 4.00    
  (by LIAISON out of A FLEETING DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
 
WRD-6   03/19/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KALEO May06 Apr08 Mar11 Nov24 Nov01 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 2.00 64% 0.60    
2  BIG MUCKITY Feb23 Jan18 Jan05 Dec05 Nov14 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
3  RACHEL'S CAPER Dec05 Nov22 Oct26 May15 Apr22 (chleborad lynn)ROMAN KEVIN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  THAT'S SOMETHING Jan24 Dec28 Dec13 Oct18 Oct04 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 119 2.50    
5  VIENNA PRIZE Dec05 Nov22 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 122 3.00    
 
WRD-7   03/19/2025 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOING IN STYLE Mar08 Dec28 Dec11 Nov20 Nov11 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 2.50    
2  MISTER WAYSIDE Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 Oct18 Oct04 (abney mike)QUINONEZ B 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISTER CHAIRMAN Mar08 Feb22 Nov26 Nov03 Oct06 (ramaekers eric)BIRZER E 122 5.00 55% 0.80    
4  SAY IT NICELY Dec13 Nov02 Sep26 Aug25 Aug03 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 12.00    
5  ADIOS GARY Feb22 Dec28 Aug26 Aug11 Jul05 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00    
6  ELUSIVE POWER Dec13 Nov09 Oct16 Sep26 Sep11 (offolter j)ERAMIA E 122 6.00    
7  CLAY'S BLACK OPAL Dec07 Nov19 Nov02 Oct09 Sep14 (ferrell jory)KIMES C 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
 
WRD-8   03/19/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEE BURNS Mar01 Feb17 Jan24 Dec21 Oct23 (hewitt michael)SANCHEZ OBED 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELIOT NESS Mar02 Dec09 Nov19 Oct27 Oct06 (ramaekers eric)BIRZER E 119 12.00    
3  STARBURST Mar04 Feb05 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 8.00 5% 17.30    
4  NOISE COMPLAINT Oct17 Sep14 Jul18 Jul11 Jun20 (moreno carlo)HEBERT LINDSEY 119 20.00    
5  SAM SEZ Mar08 Feb21 Jan31 Sep14 Sep01 (roberts b)LARA EZEQUIEL 119 12.00    
6  JAHEZ Feb22 Dec07 Oct23 Sep25 Sep13 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 12.00    
7  SKIPPA Feb23 Jan30 Dec04 Nov20 Oct23 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00 7% 12.60    
8  HARD CANDY Feb16 Jan18 Dec13 Nov29 Nov13 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 5.00    
9  WHIP Nov29 Oct17 Jun13 Apr15 Apr03 (hale james )WETHEY JR 119 4.00 18% 4.70    
10  PEACE DOG Mar08 Jan17 Oct23 Oct02 Sep06 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
11  DEL MOON Nov02 Oct02 Sep13 Aug17 Jun05 (donaldson)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 119 20.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.