Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Thursday - March 06, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/2)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/5/2)-(1/4/5)-(2/5/1/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/5/1/7)-(4/3/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/5/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7)-(2/5/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/7)-(4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1/7)-(4/3/2)-(3/4/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/8/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/8/6)-(5/3/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/8/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6)-(3/4/8/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/8/6)-(5/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/8/6)-(5/3/4)-(4/9/1/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(4/9/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/9/1/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/9/1/11)-(4/9/1/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/9/1/11)-(4/9/1/11)-(4/9/1/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY BOOTS Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Oct24 Oct04 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 1.80    
OPTIMISTIC NATE Feb27 Jan30 Jan18 Jan10 Dec20 (gillespie ryan)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHIP THE GOODS Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct17 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 15.00    
YANGARRA Feb07 Jan24 Jan15 Dec11 Nov20 (o'neill tonya )CHILO MAXIMO 120 10.00    
ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Nov20 Oct30 (siculie)GONZALEZ LUIS 122 1.60 27% 2.80    
SASSY LAD Jan02 Dec20 Dec04 Oct30 Oct12 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.00 29% 2.40    
 
CT-2   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE BIT OF THAT Dec04 Oct30 Sep28 Aug22 Aug02 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 0.60 67% 0.50    
GOLDEN CAN Dec28 Dec04 Nov15 Oct20 Oct10 (mcmahon thomas)CRUZ ANGEL 120 4.50    
VALID REASON Jan30 Jan10 Nov14 Oct30 Sep28 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
SNOWY JUBA CAT Feb08 Sep28 Aug23 Jul18 Jun28 (bass cu)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 8.00 9% 10.40    
UPSWELL Feb14 Feb03 Jan10 Jun28 Jun07 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
FORTES Jan30 Nov14 Oct30 Oct19 Sep28 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
 
CT-3   03/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEY MACARENA Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BALALA Feb14 Jan01 Dec13 Oct20 Sep07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 70% 0.40    
SCR  MADAM SENATOR Jan25         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 10.00    
HEAVENLY LADY Feb14 Feb01 Jan11 Nov29 Nov14 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 3.50    
UPTOWN MISS Jan15 Oct09 Sep14 Sep05 Aug17 (kravets b)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
CENTIMORGAN Jan24 Dec18 Nov23 Nov08 Oct18 (viands stac)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00    
LADY TOURIST Feb14 Dec14 Oct24 Sep12 Sep04 (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
TIA MAYIN Feb21 Feb02 Dec20 Nov17 Oct25 (salazar marco)CRUZ ANGEL 124 20.00    
FUNNY SHE FIRED ME Feb14 Feb07 Jan16 Nov22 Oct12 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
 
CT-4   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON THE COME UP Nov27 Nov07 Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.80    
JOSH'S HONOR Jan18 Oct23 Sep10 Aug19 Jul30 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 6.00 13% 6.70    
JOSHY JAK Jan18 Dec14 Dec03 Nov03 Oct16 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
EMPEROROFTHEDARK Feb07 Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
CLAW Jan02 Dec12 Nov22 Nov02 Oct11 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 122 12.00    
SUTTON VALLEY Jan30 Jan11 Dec05 Nov21 Oct18 (venham d)DIAZ JR 122 12.00    
SCR  COMPANY CLOWN Dec01 Nov05 Sep21 Aug25 Jul18 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.00    
 
CT-5   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COACH RUBE Feb14 Jan29 Oct12 Jul29 Jul07 (obed-letts ke)ADAMS L 115 10.00 7% 13.80    
WHALE OF A TIME Feb22 Jan16 Nov22 Feb08 Dec14 (contrer)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50    
EMBERLY Jan29 Dec13 Oct31 Sep28 Aug23 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 43% 1.40    
CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Feb08 Jan29 Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 2.50 16% 5.30    
RIVER REWARDS RVF Jan23 Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov21 (smith osborn)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
TIZ THE REASON Jan29 Dec03 Nov19 Nov01 Oct24 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00    
MAD SWANN Feb26 Feb05 Dec13 Nov22 Nov08 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00 8% 10.90    
PLAYING FOR TWO Jan30 Jan04 Dec13 Oct31 Sep14 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
 
CT-6   03/06/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAR SALUTE Feb13 Jan26 Jan09 Dec01 Aug24 (magee kieron)ACOSTA D 120 3.00    
GERICAULT Feb15 Jan04 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.80    
CORONATION TIME Feb15 Jan24 Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
AGAIN WE MEET Oct31 Oct11 Sep13 Jul25 Jun15 (heath george)DIAZ JR 122 20.00 23% 3.30    
BREWMASTER Feb07 Jan26 Dec20 Dec01 Nov09 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 120 5.00    
GALACTIC GLORY Feb13 Jan23 Dec13 Dec01 Oct19 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ON THE CHILL Feb14 Jan23 Nov08 Oct17 Sep14 (iannotti )BOCACHICA J 122 20.00    
GALA STAR Feb13 Jan31 Dec05 Nov14 Oct03 (farrior)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 11% 8.50    
 
CT-7   03/06/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNGLE BEAST Feb15 Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 (contreras)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50    
RESTLESS Feb07 Jan18 Nov16 Nov08 Oct11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00    
PLAY IT LOUD Feb15 Jan18 Nov01 Sep12 Apr04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 3.00 17% 5.00    
HAMMER Feb13 Jan24 Jul05 May18 May04 (gazzier kri)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
MUAD'DIB Dec13 Nov16 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.50 59% 0.70    
FORCE OF JUSTICE Oct13 Sep16 Aug28 Jul29 Jul03 (rojas l)ACOSTA D 120 20.00    
SCR  BYK Jan18 Jan03 Nov27 Nov02 Sep27 (kreiser t)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 4.00    
 
CT-8   03/06/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CARMELIZED Nov20 Oct05 Aug16 Jul26 Jul05 (lewis wil)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 6.00 8% 11.10    
RUNAWAY GOLD Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 Oct04   (stehr p)CULLUM W 118 6.00    
SCR  VIESTE Feb19 Feb05 Dec13 Nov30 Nov20 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 124 8.00    
AIM TO PLEASE (FR)         (viands stace)LEWIS M 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
ALL ABOARD Feb21 Feb14 Jan31     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 118 4.50    
SCR  PISTOL PENNY Jan10 Dec12 Nov02 Oct24 Oct04 (wilhel)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 30.00    
MISS NINE ONE O Feb14 Dec14 Nov14     (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 15.00    
SCR  COUNT THE FLOWERS Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov23 Nov02 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 3.00    
TO HONOR THE ODDS         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 118 8.00 26% 2.80    
10  LOVELY ODDS Feb27         (joy j)JORGE JULIO 118 20.00    
11  GOLDEN PLUNGE Jan17 Dec12 Nov20 Oct24   (atkins micha)LEWIS M 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.