Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Monday - March 03, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/5)-(3/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/5)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5)-(3/1/2)-(1/6/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(1/6/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(1/6/4)-(4/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(4/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(4/5/1)-(1/7/6/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/1)-(1/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(1/7/6/4)-(6/4/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (1/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4)-(1/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7/6/4)-(6/4/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/7/6/4)-(6/4/1)-(7/3/8/4/5) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(7/3/8/4/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
WRD-8   WIN (7/3/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5)-(7/3/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   03/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALI KINETIC Feb07 Sep04 Jun29 Oct16   (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 125 1.60 39% 1.60    
SCR  SUPERHERO Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 Nov22 Nov06 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 125 6.00    
JEST FUNNY Jan24 Dec11 Nov16 May04   (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
DUANES SONNEY BOY Dec12 Nov19 Oct26 Sep11 Aug22 (pruitt )GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
PAY RAISE Jan03 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Apr05 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.40 37% 1.70    
WINDTAPPER WIN Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov27 Nov02 (dixon tim)KIMES C 125 15.00    
BOSS DOWN Jan19 Nov26 Oct31     (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 120 12.00    
 
WRD-2   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OJITOS Feb14 Jan16 Dec13 Nov15 Nov06 (dixon tim)BIRZER E 122 5.00    
DESOTO'S WAR Feb15 Feb05 Jan19 Dec27 Dec05 (rufino euseb)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 1.80 38% 1.70    
SCR  EASY BIG BOY Jan08 Dec19 Dec06 Nov22 Nov09 (dixon tim)KIMES C 122 6.00    
ASSET BASIS Jan23 Dec13 Aug12 Jul17 Jun18 (rufino eusebio )WADE LYNDIE 122 1.00    
WIN FOR FUN Dec11 Nov16 Oct27 Oct12 Sep22 (dunlap m)SANCHEZ OBED 122 12.00 6% 14.40    
 
WRD-3   03/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RASPBERRY MARTINI Nov23 Nov02 Oct12 Sep29   (padilla ju)ERAMIA E 120 4.00 19% 4.40    
READY Jan12 Nov29 Nov13 Sep06 May04 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
SERIOUSLY OUTAHERE Dec12 Nov23 Oct05     (trout r)TRIANA JR 125 0.60 47% 1.10    
WHISKEY DRINKER Nov14 Nov02 Sep29     (corderman sc)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
PENNY POWERS Nov23 Oct12       (young scott)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
O S U BUDKE Oct30 Oct12 Sep19 Sep07 Aug23 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
 
WRD-4   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KANT BEAT THE ROCK Jan17 Jan05 Nov29 Nov14 Oct12 (diodoro rob)WETHEY JR 125 1.40 53% 0.90    
STORMS LAST Jan18 Jan05 Dec11 Nov09 Oct04 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 4.00    
AWESOME OUTLAW Dec05 Nov22 Nov06 Oct11 Sep14 (hale ja)GONCALVES R 125 12.00    
SHAGGY EDGE Dec04 Nov08 Oct16 Sep26 Sep07 (pruitt m)WADE LYNDIE 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
BOBWHITE BOBBY Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 Dec13 Nov29 (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 3.50    
LEGACY ACCOUNT Dec11 Nov09 Oct18 Sep06 May04 (peery dur)TRIANA JR 125 3.00 22% 3.50    
 
WRD-5   03/03/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEARCHIN SAFARI Jan17 Dec04 Aug30 Aug16 Jul17 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
LEADING THE CAUSE Dec14 Oct29 Sep09 Aug23 Aug09 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.00    
HE BLUE BAYOU Nov26 Nov14 Oct17 Sep13 Aug22 (oberlander jess)ROMAN KEVIN 125 15.00    
LIFE ON THE NILE Oct29 Jul31 Jun10 May18 Apr26 (dunlap m)WADE LYNDIE 125 1.40 43% 1.30    
BRONTE DIEM Feb23 Jan17 Nov26 Nov09 Oct02 (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.20 20% 3.90    
 
WRD-6   03/03/2025 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LONE TREE Feb23 Nov23 Nov14 Oct16 Sep18 (padilla a)DIEGO V 125 1.60 57% 0.80    
I GOT A GUY Feb16 Feb03 Jan18 Dec14 Jul27 (martin timot)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 5.00    
GOSPEL FOREST Dec06 Nov23 Sep06 Jul17 Jul03 (williams ste)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00    
MAGICAL MAX Dec11 Oct19       (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
ALL IN GOOD TIME Jan15 Sep17 Jul15 Jun19 Jun08 (martin timothy )ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00    
PEA EYE Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 Dec20 Nov14 (dixon tim)ERAMIA E 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAT COUNTY Feb21 Feb07 Jan27 Jan01 Dec12 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 125 3.00 15% 5.70    
 
WRD-7   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INTERSTELLA Jan26 Jan03 Sep28 Sep01 Aug09 (martin e)BIRZER E 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
KACHINA Nov25 Oct18 Sep26 Aug23 Jun29 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 4.00    
MANAGING MISCHIEF Feb01 Dec27 Oct12 Sep05 Aug21 (hernandez armando)DIAZ RENE 122 3.00    
THETRUTHISTHETRUTH Dec04 Nov19 Oct11 Sep20 Aug30 (cogburn o)TRIANA JR 122 3.50 24% 3.20    
TOM'S GIRL Dec13 Dec04 Oct18 Oct03 Sep20 (buehrer w)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
PALACEIN Feb08 Nov13 Sep29 Aug30 Jul05 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 1.40 32% 2.10    
 
WRD-8   03/03/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RETIRED BLESSING Feb22 Nov23 Nov04     (norris tracy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 20.00    
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of SEAPORT by BARTOK (IRE))
SALT CREEK GAL Dec07 Oct25 Oct10 Sep07 Oct13 (buehrer w)DIAZ RENE 125 10.00    
  (by LIAISON out of A FLEETING DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
CALEB'S FINEST Feb01         (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 2.00 23% 3.40    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of TEAM ONE by ORATORY)
WILD GOLD RUSH Sep29 Sep11 Aug17     (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 8.00 11% 7.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of A WILD NOTION by NOTIONAL)
SUNSHINE SISTER Dec13 Nov30 Oct19 Sep11   (cogburn orrin)LARA EZEQUIEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of GOSPEL GAIL by BANDINI)
SHE'S A BOND TOO Jan26 Dec07 Nov22 Nov13 Oct17 (davidson )TRIANA JR 125 5.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ANOTHER BOND GIRL by DON'T GET MAD)
CALLITFATELUCKARMA Nov30 Nov02 Oct12 Sep11 Aug17 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50 24% 3.10    
  (by BLUESKIESNRAINBOWS out of REDVERSE by MENIFEE)
GETTIN OUT OF HERE Nov30 Nov02 Sep29     (ashford tristan)BIRZER E 120 6.00 21% 3.70    
  (by FLAT OUT out of STREET ANGEL by PICCOLINO)
STIR UP DESIRE Dec04         (villafranco frederi)KIMES C 120 20.00    
  (by SHAKIN IT UP out of EVENING DESIRE by SASHA'S PROSPECT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.