Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - February 28, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/3/9/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/3/9/6/5)-(2/3/9/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/3/9/6/5)-(2/3/9/6/5)-(2/3/9/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/3/9/6/5)-(6/8/4/3/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (2/3/9/6/5)-(6/8/4/3/9)-(2/3/7/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (6/8/4/3/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/4/3/9)-(6/8/4/3/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/4/3/9)-(6/8/4/3/9)-(6/8/4/3/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/8/4/3/9)-(2/3/7/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/4/3/9)-(2/3/7/1)-(10/6/3/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/3/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1)-(2/3/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/7/1)-(10/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7/1)-(10/6/3/8)-(5/4/6/7/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (10/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/6/3/8)-(10/6/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/6/3/8)-(10/6/1/3/8)-(10/6/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/6/3/8)-(5/4/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/3/8)-(5/4/6/7/3)-(9/10/8/4/5) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (5/4/6/7/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7/3)-(5/4/6/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7/3)-(5/4/6/7/3)-(5/4/6/7/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7/3)-(9/10/8/4/5) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7/3)-(9/10/8/4/5)-(5/7/1/9) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (9/10/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/4/5)-(9/10/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/4/5)-(9/10/8/4/5)-(9/10/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/4/5)-(5/7/1/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/4/5)-(5/7/1/9)-(4/8/2/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/7/1/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/9)-(5/7/1/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/9)-(5/7/1/9)-(5/7/1/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/1/9)-(4/8/2/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/9)-(4/8/2/7)-(10/7/1/2/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7)-(4/8/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/2/7)-(10/7/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-9   WIN (10/7/1/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/7/1/2/5)-(10/7/1/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/7/1/2/5)-(10/7/1/2/5)-(10/7/1/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   02/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SABER JET Jan24 Jan04 Nov22 Oct26   (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
HUMOROUS Feb13 Jan17 Nov15     (mckee cyn)BOCACHICA J 122 1.60 52% 0.90    
RENEGADE RABBIT Feb15 Jan31 Jan10 Nov22 Oct26 (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 12% 7.00    
ED'S PROPHECY Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 Dec06   (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 122 30.00    
JUBACANTFIXTHIS Feb21 Feb01       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Jan24 Jan04 Oct25 Oct05 Sep13 (sigler rona)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
RETURN OF DA MACK Jan24 Jan04       (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 15.00    
THE HOUND Jan31 Jan10 Jan04 Dec06 Nov15 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 5.00    
JUBA MARCHES ON Feb01         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 4.50 10% 8.70    
 
CT-2   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER WINNIE Feb19 Jan29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 6.00    
XTRAORDINARYMOTION Feb19 Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 Jun14 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 122 20.00    
JUST HAVE FAITH Feb06 Jan15 Dec14 Dec04 Nov14 (boggs j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00 6% 16.80    
POUR ME A DRINK Feb19 Jan29 Jan18 Jan04 Dec14 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 8.00 11% 8.30    
JUMPIN JACK BRASS Feb06 Jan18 Dec07 Nov17 Oct12 (jones e)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
CUT HIM LOOSE Dec04 Nov14 Oct24 Aug22 Jul26 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 2.50 34% 2.00    
LIME STAR Feb08 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 Oct18 (conn p)CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
KAALA Feb06 Jan04 Dec07 Jun23 May30 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
MISS ARGENTINA Feb19 Jan25 Jan03 Nov23 Nov06 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   02/28/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AIM'S JUBILEE Feb19 Jan30 Dec12 Nov23 Aug23 (reggetts )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00 8% 11.10    
HERE'S A QUARTER Feb07 Jan18 Dec07 Nov06 Sep28 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
MISS BEE BOP Jan30 Dec06 Nov13 Oct31 Oct11 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 124 10.00 19% 4.20    
YES TO LOVE Feb01 Jan18 Dec29 Dec12 Nov22 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.50    
ITZAYANA Feb07 Jan15 Nov16 Oct25   (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 118 15.00    
DEE DEE SIX Feb08 Jan18 Dec14 Nov22 Aug01 (cipriano ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 20.00    
LUCKY BLONDE Feb15 Jan15 Nov21 Nov09 Oct30 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00 18% 4.60    
SEVEN NATTY PATTY Feb06 Dec07 Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 (venham lyn)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
SCR  STAR VENEZUELAN Feb09 Jan18 Jan08 Oct23 Oct04 (siculiet)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 118 12.00    
SCR  LOOK AHEAD Feb07 Jan11 Oct04 Sep12 Aug15 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00    
SCR  SARONIC BAY Feb13 Jan29 Jan17 Dec12   (brown w)BOCACHICA O 118 15.00    
 
CT-4   02/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOUSE ALERT Feb13 Oct24 Oct04 Sep14 Aug10 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 3.50    
SHAMELESS VISIONS Feb13 Jan15 Dec12 Oct24 Sep14 (shanley m)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
JUNE BELLE Feb08 Jan16 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
REECE'S DRAMA Jan29 Jan15 Sep27 Jul18   (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 6.00    
SHESA BABE Nov13 Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 Aug01 (barber l)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
LOUVAR         (foley )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 10.00 16% 5.40    
FLATTERING WAY Feb13 Jan15 Dec12 Nov13 Oct24 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 12.00    
TINA'S BACK Feb08 Jul25 Jun29 May24 May02 (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BARAPHA Feb13 Jan29 Jan15 Dec14 Nov02 (conn p)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.50    
10  COLLECTING ANGELS Feb14 Jan30 Jan10 Sep12 Aug15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 2.50 61% 0.60    
 
CT-5   02/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MADE BIRDIE Jan16 Jan07 Dec18 Nov20 Oct29 (joy kevin )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
THENCOMEMORNING Feb13 Nov29 Aug03 Jul13 Jun16 (ceciliano mi)DIAZ JR 122 30.00    
FINE WHINING Jan30 Dec04 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
CONTROLLED TEMPER Feb13 Jan23 Jan04 Nov16 Oct05 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
MAGGIE Jan13 Dec12 Nov18 Nov06 Oct21 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.00 42% 1.40    
TIMEISGOLDEN Feb06 Nov29 Nov09 Sep27 Aug02 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 122 6.00 11% 8.30    
TRAVEL SMART Nov30 Nov09 Oct18 Aug23 Jul20 (straughn wil)LEWIS M 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
BREAKING RULES Feb15 Jan17 Jan10 Dec04 Nov14 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 8.00    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Jan31 Jan16 Dec11 Dec03 Nov18 (f)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 50.00    
10  UNCAPTURED RUBY Jan23 Sep28 Aug22 Jun06 May11 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 122 30.00    
 
CT-6   02/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOG TOWN ALLEN Feb01 Jan23 Dec12 Nov14 Oct26 (harriso)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
Y'ZIN UP Jan23 Jan02 Nov27 Nov02 Oct08 (knoblauch-pe)BATISTA A 122 3.50    
SCARE DEM Feb15 Dec07 Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00    
RACING HOT LINE Feb01 Dec07 Nov14 Oct26 Oct10 (barber l)REYNOLDS C 122 10.00 7% 13.30    
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Feb13 Jan25 Jan04 Dec06 Nov15 (petty k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
SPYDYLEGS Feb01 Nov16 Oct30 Aug10 Jul20 (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 6.00    
KARMA BUS Feb01 Jan03 Dec11 Oct30 Oct03 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 15.00    
CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Jan30 Jan11 Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 (frock l)ACOSTA D 124 4.50 10% 8.60    
NAY'S ONLY ONE Feb01 Jan02 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 48% 1.10    
10  RIVER MALBUMOONRVF Jan23 Jan02 Dec13 Nov09 Oct18 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 4.00 10% 8.50    
 
CT-7   02/28/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Jan25 Jan02 Nov29 Nov08 Oct19 (sanderson)BOCACHICA J 122 5.00 6% 14.90    
HAZEDNCONFUSED Jan16 Dec20 Nov10 Oct19 Sep29 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 120 10.00    
HURRICANE ALERT Jan25 Jan17 Jan03 Nov30 Nov09 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 6.00    
SUMMONING DENIS Feb01 Jan15 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
XCELLENT START Feb13 Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Nov16 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
SCR  REVEREND JACK Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct08 Sep26 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 120 12.00    
PENGUIN PARADE Jan25 Jan03 Nov04 Aug17 Jul19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 24% 3.20    
BUBBA GRUMP Jan17 Jan03 Nov22 Oct31 Aug24 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
BUDDY BUDDY Feb06 Jan25 Dec14 Dec04 Nov21 (collins tim)LEWIS M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ROMANTIC WARRIOR Jan17 Dec07 Oct26 Oct05 Sep19 (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 10.00    
STORMIN' RUNNER Oct26 Oct05 Sep04 Aug24   (lucas anthon)DIAZ JR 116 15.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  THIS JUICE B LOOSE Nov23 Oct12 Sep21 Aug30 Aug03 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 116 6.00    
WISHFUL THOUGHTS Feb08 Nov29 Oct17 Sep26   (contreras javie)JORGE JULIO 120 5.00 32% 2.10    
SUPER PUNCHER Feb01 Jan03 Dec07     (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00    
CEDAR RUNS FIBER Feb08 Jan17 Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 (boykins kevi)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
HARLEY SIOUX Feb08 Nov06 Sep27 Aug15 Jul12 (straughn willia)RODRIGUEZ V 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CHASENJOHNATHAN Jan16 Dec07 Nov06 Sep22 Aug26 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 3.50 17% 4.90    
CANO'S BABY Feb13 Jan29 Jan17 Jan03 Jul20 (pennella rhe)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
10  SHOW TIME ALLEN Feb08 Jan17 Dec13 Nov06 Sep27 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 3.00    
 
CT-9   02/28/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALFIE SOLOMONS Feb07 Nov24 Nov11 Nov03 Oct16 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 122 8.00 7% 13.00    
JIMMY THE KID Feb07 Jan03 Dec14 Nov13 Oct18 (martin r)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LANDON JACK Jan18 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep01 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 124 10.00    
SCR  DICEY GREY Feb19 Jan16 Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
HENDRIX Jan17 Dec10 Nov20 Nov03 Oct02 (fiesman r)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
EL DE CHIREL Feb07 Jan18 Dec11 Nov27 Sep02 (caison l)BOCACHICA O 122 3.50    
JAMES GANG Feb07 Jan15 Dec18 Aug18 Jul19 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00 17% 4.90    
BIG HAMBONE Feb07 Nov30 Oct06 Sep26 Sep02 (dove kevi)BOCACHICA J 122 15.00    
PRIZE FIGHTER Jan18 Dec14 Dec05 Nov22 Nov02 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
10  IMPERIAL KING Jan02 Dec14 Nov23 Oct24 Oct04 (mangual mano)DIAZ JR 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
11  IKIGAI Feb23 Jan30 Dec08 Nov16 Sep29 (klesaris ro)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 5.00    
SCR  ONE WAY TRAFFIC Feb05 Dec31 Nov17 Oct27 Oct13 (clouston edw)LEWIS M 124 4.50    
SCR  BAZOO Jun30 Jun04 May12 Apr23 Apr02 (clouston edward)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.