Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 19, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6)-(5/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(5/3/4)-(5/1/4/9/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(5/1/4/9/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(5/1/4/9/7)-(6/7/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-3   WIN (5/1/4/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/9/7)-(5/1/4/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/9/7)-(5/1/4/9/7)-(5/1/4/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/4/9/7)-(6/7/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/9/7)-(6/7/2)-(4/1/8/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/7/2)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/2)-(4/1/8/7)-(8/5/7/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/7)-(8/5/7/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/7)-(8/5/7/1)-(5/4/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/5/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1)-(8/5/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/7/1)-(5/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7/1)-(5/4/3/2)-(7/8/5/6/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (5/4/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2)-(5/4/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/3/2)-(7/8/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/8/5/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/6/9)-(7/8/5/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/6/9)-(7/8/5/6/9)-(7/8/5/6/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARSALA Jan10         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 118 4.50    
2  VIESTE Feb05 Dec13 Nov30 Nov20 Oct31 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 124 3.50    
3  LUNA MARY Jan29 Jan10       (schiano-d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 111 1.60 14% 6.20    
4  MI CATRINA Jan25 Dec06 Nov06     (mangual)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 5.00    
5  DIRECT CAUSE         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 118 3.00 55% 0.80    
6  PRETTY CASTLE Feb05 Jan17 Nov30 Nov20 Jan11 (boykins kevi)BATISTA A 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-2   02/19/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KEY TO THE CASTLE Nov23 Nov06 Oct17 Sep20 Aug16 (espinosa victo)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
2  QUINN ELIA Jan15 Nov13 Oct24 Sep14 Jul25 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 3.50    
3  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jan25 Jan11 Nov23 Aug22 Jul26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 6.00 31% 2.20    
4  PALACIO Feb06 Jan11 Dec07 Nov20 Nov09 (tobin e)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  YOUR TROPHY GIRL Feb04 Jan07 Dec23 Dec04 Nov10 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 122 0.60 44% 1.30    
6  SWIPE THAT CANDY Jan25 Jan11 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 8.00    
 
CT-3   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURB Jan04 Nov28 Nov08 Oct13 Sep11 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00 22% 3.50    
2  SWEET DAYDREAM Feb05 Jan02 Dec13 Nov24 Oct10 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 122 30.00    
3  HIDDEN RIVER Feb01 Jan11 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
4  BREAKING BULLET Jan15 Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 Jul18 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00 5% 18.60    
5  LOVELY LUCY Jan29 Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 0.60 46% 1.20    
SCR  JUJU ON DA BEAT Jan03 Nov20 Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
7  TIDBIT Jan15 Jan04 Nov13 Oct19 Sep28 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUNNY SUNSHINE Jan29 Jan15 Dec22 Nov28 Nov08 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 122 4.50    
9  DOLCE VELOCE Feb06 Jan02 Dec06 Oct31 Sep24 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BINGO WAS HIS NAME Sep27 Aug23 Jul26 Apr26 Mar23 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00    
2  DICEY GREY Jan16 Dec12 Dec04 Nov13 Oct10 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MR. BUSTA Jan15 Dec07 Nov08 Sep27 Aug17 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80    
4  SUPER BOURBON Jan24 Jan03 Dec13 Nov23 Oct30 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 124 2.50    
5  ROBBEDINTHEBAHAMAS Jan10 Dec04 Nov13 Oct18 Sep27 (shanley timoth)CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
6  DREW D'ORO Feb05 Jan24 Jan03 Oct25 Sep01 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 2.00 41% 1.50    
7  BRD COMPUTING Jan10 Nov30 Nov15 Oct30   (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
 
CT-5   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POUR ME A DRINK Jan29 Jan18 Jan04 Dec14 Dec04 (ramos agosto )RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 27% 2.70    
2  MISS ARGENTINA Jan25 Jan03 Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 (gomez a)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00    
3  BIT OF BLESSINGS Jan25 Jan03 Dec12 Nov20 Oct31 (collins tim)LEWIS M 120 8.00    
4  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Jan29 Jan04 Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 40% 1.50    
5  SISTER WINNIE Jan29 Dec04 Nov06 Oct04 Sep14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 2.50    
6  XTRAORDINARYMOTION Dec10 Nov17 Oct27 Jun14 Jan26 (cain crystal)GILBERT KYLE 122 15.00    
SCR  FUNNY ROAD Feb05 Jan29 Jan16 Jan04 Dec14 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Feb05 Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 (davis billy)BATISTA A 122 3.50 7% 13.90    
 
CT-6   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE YOUR TIME Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 Nov13 Oct30 (hanagan lel)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MISSIONARY Dec14 Nov23 Nov16 Oct25 Oct12 (knoblauch)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00    
3  COLT ROCK Jan04 Nov14 Oct11 Sep21 Sep13 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 30.00    
4  REMYS GUNSMOKE Dec07 Oct19 Sep27 Sep14 Aug03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 8.00    
5  ROCKET APPEAL Feb05 Jan25 Jan03 Dec13 Nov27 (spriggs to)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Feb06 Jan16 Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 6.00    
7  JUBA BOUND Feb05 Dec11 Nov23 Oct30 Oct19 (knoblauch-perez)BOCACHICA O 120 4.00 5% 18.00    
8  GOLDEN KEY Feb05 Sep13 Jun20 May25 Apr19 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.00 62% 0.60    
9  DIRECT THE SHOW Jan23 Jan04 Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 (shanley mark)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
 
CT-7   02/19/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIM'S JUBILEE Jan30 Dec12 Nov23 Aug23 Aug03 (reggetts )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00    
2  MORNIN' BOSS Jan10 Dec08 Nov19 Oct30 Sep15 (clouston edw)LEWIS M 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  ARIEL MOON Nov08 Oct19 Sep27 Sep02 Aug16 (trombetta)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 5.00 12% 7.10    
4  SPEEDY BUBBLES Jan30 Jan10 Dec06 Nov26 Oct24 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00 13% 6.80    
5  DREAMY SONDE Nov13 Oct12 Sep26 Aug23 May25 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 0.60 50% 1.00    
6  CEDAR'S WISH Jan29 Dec13 Nov22 Nov06 Oct19 (grams )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 15.00    
7  O K SMARTY PANTS Jan10 Dec06 Nov01 Oct12 Sep28 (sterling mich)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 15.00    
8  DIXIE YODELER Jan30 Jan02 Dec06 Nov06 Oct19 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 10.00    
 
CT-8   02/19/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE COMES RUSTY Jan16 Dec12 Oct25 Sep12 Aug31 (schott)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 30.00    
2  SCREW LOOSE Jan30 Jan16 Dec11 Nov20 May11 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
3  EYES ELEVEN Jan31 Nov08 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 (mancilla carlos )ACOSTA D 122 4.50    
SCR  PUNCTUALITY Feb13 Jan24 Dec10 Nov27 Nov17 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 15.00    
5  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Feb07 Jan16 Dec11 Nov07 Oct17 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 12.00 12% 7.50    
6  RAGING BEAR Jan30 Dec13 Nov15 Oct31 Oct01 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  DOCTOR PARDO Feb06 Jan03 Nov29 Nov06 Oct17 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 124 3.00 51% 0.90    
8  GHOSTLYPRINCE Jan30 Dec14 Oct05 Sep19 Aug02 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 122 4.00 12% 7.40    
9  TOBI WAN KENOBI Dec11 Dec05 Nov07 Oct31 Mar31 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BORLETTI (IRE) Jan31 Dec20 Nov29 Nov15 Oct10 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.50    
SCR  DR SCHUSTER Feb13 Jan28 Dec08 Nov12 Oct30 (cordero-l)HERNANDEZ H 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.