Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - February 15, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/6)-(1/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(3/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/6)-(3/6/7)-(4/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/7)-(3/6/7)-(3/6/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/7)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7)-(4/7/5)-(5/4/2/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(5/4/2/1)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (5/4/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1)-(5/4/2/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/1)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/1)-(4/2/6)-(7/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(7/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(7/2/5)-(2/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2/5)-(7/2/5)-(7/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/2/5)-(2/8/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/5)-(2/8/5)-(7/5/1/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5)-(2/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (7/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8)-(7/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VINO FROM ERNIES Jan25 Nov13 Oct18 Sep22 Aug08 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 10.00 61% 0.60    
SCR  REZQUIA Feb05 Dec12 Oct25 Aug30 Aug21 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 122 1.20    
3  DASHING LASS Jan25 Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Sep28 (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
SCR  TITIAN TYRANT Feb08 Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 Apr07 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 2.00    
5  MOST UNUSUAL DAY Jan25 Dec06 Nov06 Oct02 Sep14 (valvo )ARAUJO VICENTE 122 12.00 10% 9.30    
6  SKY BUY Jan29 Oct16 Sep27 Sep07 Aug29 (smith osborne)LARROSA G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  GOODBYE ROMANCE Jan02 Aug02 Jul03 Jun14 May26 (gillespie a)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
SCR  LOVE NOTION Jan04 Nov30 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
 
CT-2   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALI'S HANNAH Jan16 Dec14 Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 15.00    
SCR  SHE HAD A SECRET Oct30 Oct23 Oct01 Sep16 Sep04 (roberson do)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
3  JOYFUL KITTEN Jan17 Dec20 Dec06 Oct27 Mar15 (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
4  MISS PEARL HART Jan29 Jan15 Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 8.00    
5  MALTESE ROSE Feb05 Jan18 Nov23 Sep20 Aug16 (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 4.00    
6  SAFFRON Jan18 Nov21 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  BANKERS ROSE GOLD Jan29 Jan15 Dec20 Dec04 Oct26 (smith osborne)JORGE JULIO 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   02/15/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST CALL ME AL Jan11 Nov27 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 (cromer lesli)DIAZ JR 122 6.00    
SCR  DONNIE B Oct03 Aug15 May18 Mar22 Feb28 (barber bobby)LEWIS M 122 20.00    
3  SCARE DEM Dec07 Nov08 Oct26 Sep26 Aug24 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 122 30.00    
4  POWERED BY LOVE Dec13 Nov13 Aug15 Jul04 May18 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 0.60 49% 1.00    
5  GOLDEN ARROW (IRE) Nov13 Oct03 Aug07 Jun20 Mar29 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 6% 14.50    
SCR  SEATTLE PRINCE Dec11 Nov16 Aug03 Jul13 Jun21 (craig e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
7  EVANESCO Dec11 Nov13 Oct30 Oct03 Aug03 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 19% 4.40    
 
CT-4   02/15/2025 4290ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan29 Jan04 Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  XANTHE Jan29 Dec12 Aug16 Aug02 Jun22 (moschonas geras)RODRIGUEZ V 120 5.00 8% 11.60    
3  KRISTINACHRYSALIS Jan23 Jan02 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 (murdock stephen)BOCACHICA O 120 2.50    
4  DREAMING OF AUDREY Feb06 Jan24 Jan03 Nov21 Oct31 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.50 23% 3.40    
5  RUNAWAY BEAUTY Jan29 Jul05 Jun14 May30 Apr13 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 4.00 42% 1.40    
6  LUCKY BLONDE Jan15 Nov21 Nov09 Oct30 Oct10 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 6.00    
7  BREAKING RULES Jan17 Jan10 Dec04 Nov14 Oct26 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 5.00    
 
CT-5   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FELICIAS CINCO Jan31 Jan11       (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 6.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
2  FAVORITE ROAD Feb01 Jan11       (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of FAVORITE PRINCESS by GATO DEL SOL)
SCR  CANDY MAN MARTIN Jan24 Jan04 Dec05 Oct26   (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
4  TALENTED LINO Feb01         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.00 53% 0.90    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of TALENT N PASSION by CITY PLACE)
5  GIMMETHATSUGAR Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov15   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 2.50    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
6  RENEGADE RABBIT Jan31 Jan10 Nov22 Oct26 Oct05 (o'neill)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
7  JUBAGOTTHEMONEY Feb01         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00    
  (by JUBA out of IGOTTHEMONEYHONEY by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  JUBA MARCHES ON Feb01         (petty kristy)THORPE DARIUS 122 8.00    
  (by JUBA out of SWEET ADVANCE by WAR FRONT)
 
CT-6   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRANDY Jan02 Nov07 Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00    
2  NOCASHREFUNDS Jan31 Jan16 Nov15 Apr06 Mar02 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
3  SOUL CATCHER Jan16 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Sep19 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 6.00    
SCR  ZIGGY STARDUST Jan31 Jan16 Dec04 Nov09 Oct18 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
5  RIVER WARRIOR RVF Oct30 Sep27 Nov09 Oct21 Mar31 (runco jef)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 10.00 14% 6.20    
6  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jan31 Jan16 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 (clatterbuck fre)STANLEY O 120 12.00    
7  BREAK THE CHAINS Jan16 Jul20 Apr13 Feb16 Jan28 (mcmahon)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.20 31% 2.20    
 
CT-7   02/15/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($30.9K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CIGALE Sep20 Aug21 Mar25 Dec26 Nov16 (sanchez)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
2  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Jan17 Dec20 Dec13 Nov15 Nov07 (murdock)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 43% 1.30    
3  SURPRISE BOSS Nov30 Sep11 May18 Feb23 Sep23 (sanchez-pinero )RODRIGUEZ V 120 20.00    
4  JUNGLE BEAST Jan17 Dec13 Nov16 Oct31 Sep19 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 4.00    
5  NO LOVE FOR JUBA Jan17 May19 May05 Apr12 Mar22 (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MUAD'DIB Dec13 Nov16 Oct12 Sep19 Aug23 (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 120 2.00    
SCR  CURLIN'S MALIBU Dec15 Nov28 Nov06 Sep14 Aug23 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 120 12.00    
8  PLAY IT LOUD Jan18 Nov01 Sep12 Apr04 Mar14 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 2.50 33% 2.00    
 
CT-8   02/15/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOUCHED UP Jan24 Jan03 Nov22 Oct30 Oct19 (jones m)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 17% 5.00    
2  DR. DARBY Nov25 Nov13 Oct30 Oct15 Oct01 (pyke joseph)GILBERT KYLE 122 5.00    
3  GERICAULT Jan04 Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep20 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00    
4  HE'S A COMMISIONER Jan23 Jan02 Nov30 Oct18 Sep27 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 3.50    
5  SECRET SOULMATE Nov12 Aug25 Sep21 Aug24 Aug03 (jones e)JORGE JULIO 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
6  MALEKES MAGIC Jan25 Dec12 Nov14 Nov06 Oct26 (aylor natasha)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 20.00    
7  CORONATION TIME Jan24 Jan02 Dec20 Nov29 Nov10 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
8  SINGULARITY Jan23 Jan04 Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.