Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Friday - January 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(6/7/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(6/7/3/9/2)-(4/6/7/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (6/7/3/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2)-(6/7/3/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/3/9/2)-(4/6/7/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/9/2)-(4/6/7/5)-(9/8/6/1/3) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-3   WIN (4/6/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5)-(4/6/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/7/5)-(9/8/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/7/5)-(9/8/6/1/3)-(5/3/1/8) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (9/8/6/1/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/6/1/3)-(9/8/6/1/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/6/1/3)-(9/8/6/1/3)-(9/8/6/1/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/8/6/1/3)-(5/3/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/8/6/1/3)-(5/3/1/8)-(7/8/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (5/3/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8)-(5/3/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/3/1/8)-(7/8/2/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1/8)-(7/8/2/3)-(2/6/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/8/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3)-(7/8/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/8/2/3)-(2/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/8/2/3)-(2/6/3/8)-(8/2/6/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/8)-(2/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/8)-(2/6/3/8)-(2/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/3/8)-(8/2/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-8   WIN (8/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/9/6/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/7)-(8/2/9/6/7)-(8/2/9/6/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET MAEVE Jan03 Dec06 Nov06 Oct24 Sep24 (o'callahan carl)ACOSTA D 124 3.50    
SOMEBODY LOVES ME Jan10 Dec13 Dec06 Nov13 Oct19 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SHE SO COOL Oct26 Oct10 Sep27 Aug01 Jul13 (r)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 12.00    
MARGARET'S LADY Jan04 Nov19 Oct19 Sep04 Aug09 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 33% 2.00    
DIXIE RAG Jan09 Dec04 Nov26 Oct20 Sep15 (meeks karl)DIAZ JR 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SHOOPTHEREITIS Dec12 Nov17 Oct23 Jun20 May02 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 4.00 24% 3.20    
CATALINA CRUZIN Jan10 Dec18 Dec04 Oct23 Oct07 (brown w)BOCACHICA O 120 3.00 20% 4.10    
KESTENNA (GB) Dec10 Oct30 Oct09 Oct01 Sep16 (morzan e)STANLEY O 120 20.00    
DREAM OF GOLD Jan10 Dec06 Jun14 May17 Apr26 (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 122 30.00    
SCR  SHARED AUTHORITY Jan11 Dec19 Dec06 Nov21 Oct31 (sanchez)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
SCR  HIGH FASHION LADY Oct23 Oct02 Aug21 Jul16 Apr22 (m)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 120 15.00    
 
CT-2   01/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CONVERSATION Jan10 Dec06 Nov27 Nov06 Oct18 (jackson a)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 15.00    
GAMBLING FEVER Jan17 Jan03 Dec13 Jan26 Dec13 (rangel ri)HERNANDEZ H 122 50.00 5% 19.00    
RIP N ROLL Jan17 Dec11 Nov29 Nov07   (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.00 16% 5.10    
BLAZE FOR DAZE Dec06 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 Sep14 (barber bobby)BATISTA A 124 12.00    
MASON ALEXANDER Jan17 Dec06 Nov16 Oct17 Sep26 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 50.00    
FUNKLE Jan10 Dec06 Nov16 Oct25 Apr05 (robbins cli)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 38% 1.70    
CASTLE OF CORK Jan10 Dec06 Nov23 Nov15 Sep21 (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 18% 4.40    
I'M GREAT TWO Dec04 Nov27 Jul07 Jul01 Jun19 (baird mi)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 6.00    
STRIKE THREE Jan10 Sep14 Aug15     (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 5.00 7% 13.00    
 
CT-3   01/31/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MAGNOLIA WIND Oct10 Aug29 Aug02 Jul20 Jul12 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 122 6.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Jan16 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 Nov01 (sandoval mic)DIAZ JR 124 4.50    
CREME DE LA QUEEN Jan16 Jan04 Dec14 Nov14 Nov08 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 6.00    
CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jan02 Nov06 Oct11 Aug24 Aug03 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 39% 1.60    
XHILARATINGPURPOSE Jan18 Nov24 Nov13 Oct23 Oct09 (fiesman robert)GILBERT KYLE 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jan16 Nov22 Oct31 Oct11 Sep14 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
BULL'S LEGACY Jan15 Dec04 Nov22 Oct10 Sep27 (rideout a)HERNANDEZ H 124 12.00 7% 13.20    
MYGIRLISABOMB Jan16 Nov30 Nov07 Jul28 Jul14 (martinez jos)WHITACRE GRANT 122 12.00    
 
CT-4   01/31/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL ABOARD         (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 10.00 5% 17.80    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LAST TRAIN by SILVER TRAIN)
OSCOR         (figgins olli)DIAZ JR 122 6.00    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of CAMPANIA by COMMISSIONER)
TIGER'S CANDY         (sigler ronald)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 17.80    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
KAYLEE'S FIREBALL Jan10         (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 30.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of KAYLEE'S ATTITUDE by STROLL)
MISS JANE PLANAR         (shuler r)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of PLANAR by EMPIRE MAKER)
CHANGES         (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 4.50 6% 15.80    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of LOOKS LIKE TROUBLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
POOGIE         (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of STEAL THE APPEAL by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
SAUCY BOSS Jan10 Dec12 Nov20 Nov06   (johnson j)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by HOLY BOSS out of HOT SAUCE by PRIZED)
BUTTERFLY EFFECT Jan17 Dec12       (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by BULLSBAY out of MICHAELS BUTTERFLY by JUMP START)
 
CT-5   01/31/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SIX THE HARD WAY Jan16 Dec12 Nov30 Nov08 Oct12 (joy j)STANLEY O 122 8.00 10% 9.00    
CONGRESS HALL Jan24 Jan03 Dec11 Nov17 Oct18 (shanley timo)DIAZ JR 122 6.00    
SWEET TALIA Jan17 Dec29 Dec08 Nov17 Oct25 (mcfarl)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 3.50 14% 6.10    
CROSSTOWN GIRL Jan16 Dec11 Dec03 Nov18 Nov04 (f)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 30.00    
BEST VIRGINIA Jan17 Jan03 Dec11 Nov20 Nov01 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 1.20 42% 1.40    
PARTY MONSTER Jan17 Dec06 Nov06 Sep21 Sep07 (iannotti i)HO WESLEY 124 4.00    
CRICKET WEST Jan17 Dec16 Dec06 Nov06 Sep22 (morzan javier )CHILO MAXIMO 120 30.00    
PEACE FIRE Jan16 Dec11 Nov09 Sep30 Sep09 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-6   01/31/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PENGUIN VICTORY         (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 6.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LIDO LADY by LIDO PALACE (CHI))
CREED CALLING         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of GALLANT CALLING by OVERDRIVEN)
EYESONTHECANDY         (petty kristy)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of EAGLET by GHOSTZAPPER)
VIGILANTE         (johnson jame)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 12.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
BULLY'S NOTION Jan18 Dec06       (brown w)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of SILENT NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
IVYLEAGUEDROPOUT         (sigler g)LARROSA G 122 15.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of CELESTIAL HAZE by UTOPIA (JPN))
COAL COUNTRY Jan10 Dec06 Nov15 Nov06   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 54% 0.90    
  (by JUBA out of THREE BELLES by FLATTER)
FIRST PRINT         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by LAST PRINT out of ROCKET RIDGE by OFFICER ROCKET (GB))
ALLFORMENONEFORYOU         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 10.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of GEMINI DREAM by GIROLAMO)
 
CT-7   01/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMONING DENIS Jan15 Dec14 Nov30 Nov09 Nov01 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
JUDGEMENT DAY Nov15 Oct25 Oct12 Oct04 Sep19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.00 56% 0.80    
LOGSTRADAMUS Jan17 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Aug24 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
C R'S MANDATE Dec13 Nov15 Oct31 Oct12 Jul19 (schian)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
SCR  REVEREND JACK Dec14 Nov25 Nov04 Oct08 Sep26 (cuttino l)WHITACRE B 124 30.00    
NOCASHREFUNDS Jan16 Nov15 Apr06 Mar02 Dec16 (boggs joann)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50 16% 5.30    
SCR  DORADO Jan16 Dec13 Nov07 May24 May09 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 124 1.20    
ZIGGY STARDUST Jan16 Dec04 Nov09 Oct18 Sep21 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
TWO TONS OF FUN Jan09 Jul24 Jul06 Apr06 Mar07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 12.00    
10  KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jan16 Nov15 Oct25 Oct04 Sep19 (clatterbu)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 117 30.00    
11  EL DIVINO NINO Jan24 Dec13 Nov20 Nov08 Nov03 (sanchez-)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 120 8.00    
 
CT-8   01/31/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THE HOUND Jan10 Jan04 Dec06 Nov15   (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TWO TURN TAMMY by JERSEY TOWN)
FELICIAS CINCO Jan11         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
THE COLDEST ONE Jan10 Dec07       (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 20.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of DELIGHTFUL ERIN by ROCK HARD TEN)
UNION BRANCH Jan17         (shuler r)HO WESLEY 122 15.00    
  (by JUBA out of JENNYS CREEK by GREELEY'S GALAXY)
RENEGADE RABBIT Jan10 Nov22 Oct26 Oct05   (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
CAPO TOO         (boggs joanna)LEWIS M 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of IM ANNIE TOO by GARNERED)
GIMMETHATSUGAR Jan10 Dec06 Nov15     (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of COTTON CANDY by BANDINI)
ROCK OF AGES Jan11         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
BOLD DESERT Jan10 Dec06 Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 (johnson dewayn)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of DOUBLE DESERT by DESERT WINE)
10  DEMBE ZUMA Jan03 Dec07       (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of TAKE A VOW by PULPIT)
SCR  ABOLITIONIST         (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of GRACEWOOD by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  TALENTED LINO         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of TALENT N PASSION by CITY PLACE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.