Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 11, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (4/9/7/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/9/7/3/6)-(4/9/7/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/9/7/3/6)-(4/9/7/3/6)-(4/9/7/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/9/7/3/6)-(4/3/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/9/7/3/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(9/10/8/5/2) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-2   WIN (4/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6)-(4/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/5/6)-(9/10/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5/6)-(9/10/8/5/2)-(7/5/8/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (9/10/8/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/10/8/5/2)-(9/10/8/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/10/8/5/2)-(9/10/8/5/2)-(9/10/8/5/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/10/8/5/2)-(7/5/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/10/8/5/2)-(7/5/8/3)-(9/2/7/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (7/5/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3)-(7/5/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/8/3)-(9/2/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/5/8/3)-(9/2/7/6)-(9/3/7/4/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (9/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/2/7/6)-(9/2/11/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/2/7/6)-(9/2/11/7/6)-(9/2/11/7/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/2/7/6)-(9/3/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/2/7/6)-(9/3/7/4/6)-(8/1/5/6) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (9/3/7/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/3/7/4/6)-(9/3/7/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/3/7/4/6)-(9/3/7/4/6)-(9/3/7/4/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/3/7/4/6)-(8/1/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (9/3/7/4/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(3/1/4/9/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (8/1/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6)-(8/1/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/6)-(3/1/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (3/1/4/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/1/4/9/8)-(3/1/4/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/1/4/9/8)-(3/1/4/9/8)-(3/1/4/9/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J. WICK Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 Sep14 May18 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 12.00    
2  SALTY STARKEY Dec13 Nov23 Oct18 Sep21 Aug24 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 124 4.50    
3  JUST CALL ME AL Nov27 Oct24 Oct05 Sep21 Feb02 (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  DIVA'S DEMON Nov23 Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 Jul11 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 1.60 39% 1.60    
5  MONKEY WRENCH Dec12 Nov16 Oct10 Aug10 Jul20 (barahona is)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
6  GOGO GADGET Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Oct25 Oct11 (calhoun amanda)ACOSTA D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Dec12 Nov16 Jul01 Jun01 May10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00 8% 11.30    
8  GETTIN SPICY Dec12 Nov27 Nov16 Sep21 Sep14 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
9  CHRISTOPHER'SHEART Dec12 Nov16 Oct18 Jul26 Jul06 (frock c)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 3.50 28% 2.50    
10  SHINEY GHOST Jan03 Dec11 Nov16 Nov08 Oct18 (aylor l)MAWING A 122 12.00    
 
CT-2   01/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIPE THAT CANDY Nov23 Nov06 Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 120 15.00    
2  PIPE DREAMIN Nov20 Oct24 Oct04 Sep21 Aug01 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50    
3  ADDY MAE Nov23 Nov13 Oct04 Sep14 Jul25 (johnson dew)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 21% 3.80    
4  DREAM LEADER Oct24 Oct04 Sep19 Aug22 Jul25 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.60 22% 3.50    
5  SPARKLEINYOUREYE Nov23 Aug22 Jul26 Jul13 May30 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 21% 3.80    
6  PALACIO Dec07 Nov20 Nov09 Oct24 Oct04 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  NEUTRAL CAUSE Nov25 Oct16 Sep13 Aug23 Aug01 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 6.00    
8  BUTTERFLY WORLD Jan03 Nov29 Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 15.00    
 
CT-3   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEY MACARENA Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 (pennella rhea )CHILO MAXIMO 124 30.00    
2  FIREBOLT Dec07 Oct24 Oct07 Sep26 Jul25 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
3  NEVER MORE VALOR Dec27 Dec07 Nov17 Aug10 Jul20 (meister willi)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 12.00    
4  PRETTY COAST Dec04 Nov13 Oct26 Oct11 Oct04 (ramos ago)HERNANDEZ H 122 20.00    
5  DIGITS Nov09 Oct25       (p)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 116 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  GOLDEN BOSS LADY Jan09 Dec18 Oct12 Sep19 Sep12 (siculietano d)LUGO JR 124 15.00    
7  HEAVENLY LADY Nov29 Nov14 Oct23 Oct10   (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 6.00    
8  HIDDEN RIVER Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct11 Sep20 (atkins mi)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  THUNDAR CLOUD Nov30 Nov07 Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 0.60 68% 0.50    
10  OUR LADY IN RED Dec07 Nov05 Sep18 Aug15 Jun18 (harting r)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00 8% 12.30    
 
CT-4   01/11/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARCHED Nov30 Nov16 Nov01 Oct24 Oct10 (kee j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
2  I AM THAT I AM Dec04 Nov01 Oct10 Sep20 Aug31 (jones e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
3  GABRIEL'S WING Dec20 Nov16 Oct26 Oct10 Jul20 (figgins l)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  MY HANDSOME MAN Dec30 Dec11 Nov27 Nov14 Jul25 (ovando)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 20.00    
5  MARK DID IT Nov15 Oct26 Oct10 Sep20 Aug10 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
6  THE KHOZAN ONE Nov27 Oct10 Oct03 Aug16 Feb21 (jackson l)CULLUM W 120 12.00    
7  GRAN ANDREWS Dec07 Nov06 Oct10 Sep02 Aug22 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 52% 0.90    
8  RIDICULOUS Dec13 Dec04 Nov14 Nov01 Oct03 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.8K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUNITO'S BOY         (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 15.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of SPIN AGAIN by HARD SPUN)
2  ROCK OF AGES         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00 9% 10.10    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of CLEFT IN THE ROCK by ARCH)
3  A REASON TO PARTY         (grigsby)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by ALLIANCE out of PARTY N THE PALACE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  TALENTED LINO         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 4.50    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of TALENT N PASSION by CITY PLACE)
5  BONDS REVENGE         (rofe jean)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
6  HEART OF GOLD         (contreras )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of LITTLE BOP PEEP by BOP)
7  JUST A WIZARD         (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of WIZARDS FEVER by FIBER SONDE)
8  FAVORITE ROAD         (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
  (by THREE CHOPT ROAD out of FAVORITE PRINCESS by GATO DEL SOL)
9  T REX UNION Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct05   (runco c)CRUZ ANGEL 122 1.40 68% 0.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of MS. T REX by TWIRLING CANDY)
10  JUBA'S TAJ Dec07         (dollinger-sthr )PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of FORINT by TOUCH GOLD)
11  FELICIAS CINCO         (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 6.00 ★    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of MISS FELICIA by FAMILY CALLING)
 
CT-6   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARGAINING POWER Dec19 Nov30 Oct27 Oct18 Sep27 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 120 20.00    
2  AIM FOR THE CORK Dec13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep13 Sep01 (mancilla carlos)MENA E 120 20.00    
3  ELLIE'S BOYFRIEND Dec05 Nov20 Oct30 Oct09 Sep27 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 1.20 33% 2.10    
4  FATHER WALSH Nov11 Oct08 Sep30 Aug26 Aug12 (albright amy)THORPE DARIUS 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  GOLDEN ARM Dec28 Dec13 Nov16 Nov05 Oct28 (smith l)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 30.00    
6  SUTTON VALLEY Dec05 Nov21 Oct18 Sep19 Sep12 (venham d)MAWING A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  ADVANCE CASH Dec05 Nov21 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  SHANGHAI WARRIOR Dec07 Sep15 Sep07 Jun23 May27 (grullon riqu)DIAZ JR 120 50.00    
9  HEY BOOTS Dec05 Oct24 Oct04 Sep12 Sep02 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.40 39% 1.60    
SCR  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Jan03 Nov29 Nov15 Nov07 Sep21 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 124 30.00    
11  SHIP THE GOODS Dec05 Nov21 Oct17 Sep21 Sep12 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 2.00    
 
CT-7   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIL MISS HONKYTONK Nov23 Nov02       (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
2  GOLDEN CIRCLES Nov20 Nov02       (lewis r)LARROSA G 120 15.00    
3  LOOK AHEAD Oct04 Sep12 Aug15 Jul18 Jun28 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 10.00    
4  CRAFTY CANDYGRAM Nov20 Oct31 Sep28 Aug15 Aug01 (bass curtis )LEWIS M 120 2.50    
5  MEDALLION OF ASH Dec14         (cromer )NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 19% 4.20    
6  CANDY TRICKS Sep19 Aug23 Aug01 Jul11 Apr18 (sigler ro)BOCACHICA J 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  OVER THE BULL Nov02 Oct12 Sep20 Aug15 Jun28 (sterli)ARAUJO VICENTE 116 4.00    
8  FULL OF CHARM Oct30 Oct04 Sep14 Jun29 Jun07 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 3.00 36% 1.80    
 
CT-8   01/11/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEGGY'S WAY Dec04 Nov02 Oct13 Sep26 Sep05 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
2  KAPADOKYA Dec27 Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 (farrior anth)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 8.00    
3  WHISKEY WILD Dec07 Nov16 Oct30 Sep21 Jul25 (mangual manolo)ACOSTA D 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  SOMEBODYLOVESYOU Aug07 Jul17 Jul02 Jun11 Jun03 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00 15% 5.70    
5  RED PRIESTESS Dec06 Oct26 Oct18 Oct05 Nov17 (butts e)RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
6  EVERYDAYISAGIFT Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (aylor natash)LEWIS M 120 30.00    
SCR  LOVELY LUCY Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Sep12 Aug09 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.50    
8  MARTHA'S HEART Dec07 Nov16 Oct26 Oct05 Sep14 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  BALI HAI Dec07 Nov09 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (scott alf)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 8.00 5% 18.90    
10  SHARED AUTHORITY Dec19 Dec06 Nov21 Oct31 Oct04 (sanchez-)RODRIGUEZ L 115 6.00    
11  NAUGHTY NAN Dec06 Sep21 Sep02 Jul27 Jul02 (barr h)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.