Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Saturday - January 04, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/8/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6)-(3/8/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/8/5/6)-(3/6/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/8/5/6)-(3/6/8/2)-(10/6/8/4/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2)-(3/6/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/8/2)-(10/6/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/6/8/2)-(10/6/8/4/2)-(6/3/4/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (10/6/8/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/6/8/4/2)-(10/6/8/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/6/8/4/2)-(10/6/8/4/2)-(10/6/8/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/6/8/4/2)-(6/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (10/6/8/4/2)-(6/3/4/7)-(5/1/6/2/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7)-(6/3/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/7)-(5/1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/7)-(5/1/6/2/4)-(1/8/9/3/6) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-5   WIN (5/1/6/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/1/6/2/4)-(5/1/6/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/1/6/2/4)-(5/1/6/2/4)-(5/1/6/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/1/6/2/4)-(1/8/9/3/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6/2/4)-(1/8/9/3/6)-(9/4/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-6   WIN (1/8/9/3/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/8/9/3/6)-(1/8/9/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/8/9/3/6)-(1/8/9/3/6)-(1/8/9/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/8/9/3/6)-(9/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/8/9/3/6)-(9/4/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CT-7   WIN (9/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/7)-(9/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (9/4/7)-(9/2/4/7)-(9/2/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (9/4/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/2/8/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7)-(4/2/8/3/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA CREED Dec15 Dec07 Nov08 Oct16 Oct09 (nambo cesar)LUGO JR 122 5.00    
SCR  FIELD OF ROSES         (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.00    
3  CURB Nov28 Nov08 Oct13 Sep11 Sep01 (capuano)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 3.00 37% 1.70    
4  RUNAWAY GOLD Dec06 Oct04       (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
5  LAURA'S THUNDER Dec11 Nov10 Oct26 Oct11 Sep01 (robb john)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 3.50 18% 4.70    
6  MAKING MISCHIEF Dec14 Dec07 Nov09 Oct25 Sep14 (jones e)ACOSTA D 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  OVERNIGHT EXPRESS Dec07 Nov09 Oct23 Oct05 Sep14 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 6.00    
8  RIDE TO REMEMBER Dec15 Nov28 Nov10     (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 5.00 19% 4.20    
 
CT-2   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREME DE LA QUEEN Dec14 Nov14 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 15.00    
2  ESSENTIAL MAGIC Dec14 Nov08 Oct15 Oct05 Sep18 (caison l)LARROSA G 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  FUNNY ROAD Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 Oct17 Sep19 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 1.80 64% 0.60    
4  K'S LANEE Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 Sep01 Aug16 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 120 20.00    
5  KAALA Dec07 Jun23 May30 Feb28 Jan04 (brown ronney)LEWIS M 120 2.50    
6  ANOTHER FINE JUBA Dec14 Nov08 Oct17 Oct01 Aug16 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 12% 7.00    
SCR  LEMONSONDESURPRISE Jan10 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Apr21 (davis billy)BATISTA A 122 15.00    
8  POUR ME A DRINK Dec14 Dec04 Nov14 Nov08 Oct30 (ramos ago)HERNANDEZ H 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   01/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AWESOME FRIEND Dec06 Nov30 Nov15 Jul07 Jun22 (s)YANCAPALLO SHIRLE 122 30.00    
2  FUJI FIRE Nov30 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Aug24 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 124 50.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HYDENSURPRISE         (bullock jordan )RODRIGUEZ V 124 15.00    
4  RESCORLA Nov30 Nov15       (brown ronney)LEWIS M 122 12.00 7% 13.60    
5  SINGULARITY Nov29 Nov10 Oct20 Sep04 Aug17 (payne )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 3.00    
6  LONG ASTRIDE Dec14 Nov29 Nov10 Oct04 Sep08 (serey m)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 2.50 24% 3.10    
7  I WANNA ROCK Dec22 Nov29 Nov10 Oct26 Oct09 (rodriguez)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
8  D MAJESTICAL Nov30 Oct30 Feb02 Oct21   (viands r)BOCACHICA O 124 5.00 8% 12.00    
9  JANES JENSEN Nov29 Nov15 Oct30 Sep28 Sep13 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 50.00    
10  GERICAULT Nov30 Nov08 Oct18 Sep20 Apr12 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 2.00 36% 1.80    
SCR  KING BUKELE Dec04 Jul07 Jun15 Jun07 May25 (inirio o)STANLEY O 124 20.00    
 
CT-4   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIVER REWARDS RVF Dec13 Nov30 Nov21 Oct31 Sep28 (smith osb)HERNANDEZ H 124 8.00    
2  AT THE HALF Dec13 Nov22 Nov01 Oct19 Sep28 (davis e)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
3  CONTROLLED TEMPER Nov16 Oct05 Sep21 Jun21 May24 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50 25% 2.90    
4  CRUZ IN THE CASTLE Dec13 Nov30 Nov22 Nov01 Oct12 (dollinger-sth)ADAMS L 115 5.00 18% 4.40    
5  PLAYING FOR TWO Dec13 Oct31 Sep14 Aug10 Jul25 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 124 8.00    
6  DING DING Nov14 Oct24 Sep28 Aug22 Jul04 (sanders)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.80 28% 2.50    
7  GREEN GABLES Nov30 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 (obed-letts ketu)CRUZ KELVIN 122 8.00 7% 12.90    
SCR  AMERICAN BOUND Dec10 Nov11 Oct15 Sep24 Aug21 (cuttino)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 5.00    
 
CT-5   01/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3 ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETURN OF DA MACK         (johnson dewa)DIAZ JR 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
2  SABER JET Nov22 Oct26       (runco c)FUENTES ERICK 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  ED'S PROPHECY Dec06         (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00    
4  LEMMEHOLDWHATYAGOT Oct25 Oct05 Sep13     (sigler ronald)THORPE DARIUS 122 30.00 5% 19.00    
5  OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Dec06 Nov15 Oct26 Oct04 Sep12 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 1.00 27% 2.80    
6  DADIO         (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 10.00 25% 3.00    
7  CANDY MAN MARTIN Dec05 Oct26       (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50    
8  THE HOUND Dec06 Nov15       (haynes )MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 20.00    
9  TARS TARKAS Dec06         (craig armont)LEWIS M 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARDLY EVER BETTER Nov14 Sep12 Aug09 Jul12 Jul04 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50 30% 2.40    
2  MAESTOSO May04 Apr08 Mar18 Feb26   (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 10.00    
3  TAKE YOUR TIME Dec11 Nov13 Oct30 Sep26 Aug15 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 5.00 7% 14.00    
4  ROCKING TO HOME Dec11 Nov14 Oct30 Oct18 Sep14 (obed-le)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
5  DE'S CASTLE Dec11 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 8.00    
6  COLT ROCK Nov14 Oct11 Sep21 Sep13 Aug28 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 20.00 6% 16.40    
7  JUST A FLIRT Nov29 Nov20 Nov08 Oct17 Sep27 (mcgill sylve)LEWIS M 124 20.00    
8  SETTLEMENT DATE Dec11 Nov21 Nov14 Oct19 Sep28 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
9  DIRECT THE SHOW Dec11 Nov21 Oct30 Oct03 Sep14 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 4.00 12% 7.50    
 
CT-7   01/04/2025 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CORA'S CHOICE Dec11 Nov29 Nov09 Oct31 Oct04 (walters j)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
2  SWEET SHUGS Nov01 Sep21 Jul19 Jun28 Jun07 (dove j)LEWIS M 124 6.00 ★    
3  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Dec04 Oct30 Sep29 Sep07 Jul12 (atkins will)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 6.00    
4  BLUE TRILLION Dec07 Nov13 Oct03 Sep08 Aug17 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 4.50 7% 13.10    
SCR  GET THE CANDY Dec12 Sep01 Aug18 Jul28 Jul21 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 15.00    
SCR  EMBERLY Dec13 Oct31 Sep28 Aug23 Jul20 (farrior ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 5.00    
7  GARY DOING BIZ Nov30 Sep28 Aug03 Jul04 Mar20 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  WITNESS THE ENERGY Dec13 Nov21 Oct19 Jun28 May07 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 5.00    
9  LUCYLOU WHO Nov27 Nov06 Oct12 Sep21 Jul11 (jones e)ACOSTA D 124 2.50 63% 0.60    
 
CT-8   01/04/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY PLEASE Nov27 Oct24 Sep28 Sep12 Aug16 (scott alfred)LEWIS M 122 10.00    
SCR  VINO FROM ERNIES Nov13 Oct18 Sep22 Aug08 Jul13 (jackson l)CULLUM W 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
3  TIDBIT Nov13 Oct19 Sep28 Aug22 Jul18 (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 10.00 10% 8.90    
4  MARGARET'S LADY Nov19 Oct19 Sep04 Aug09 Mar29 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
5  CORTADO Dec11 Nov30 Nov22 Sep26 Sep12 (hernand)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00    
SCR  MISS PEARL HART Dec04 Nov13 Oct24 Oct03 Aug30 (knudsen kent)MAWING A 122 20.00    
7  LOVE NOTION Nov30 Nov13 Oct19 Oct03 Sep12 (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  NO FAKE Dec04 Nov28 Nov08 Oct18 Sep27 (gonzalez claudio)ACOSTA D 122 5.00 11% 8.50    
SCR  BORNFORGREATNESS Nov27 Nov07 Jul06 Jun30 Jun08 (pickett cryst)FUENTES ERICK 115 8.00    
10  CHELLS GIRL Dec12 Nov30 Nov07 Oct19 Oct10 (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 30.00    
SCR  AUNT JO Dec13 Nov20 Nov13 Oct31 Oct23 (smith m)ACOSTA D 122 15.00    
12  DASHING LASS Nov30 Nov13 Sep28 Aug12 Jul13 (shanley t)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.