Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - November 07, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/2)-(1/4/2)-(1/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/2)-(4/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/2)-(4/1/5)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(4/2/6)-(1/2/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-3   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/2/5)-(6/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(6/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(6/4/5)-(3/4/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-5   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5)-(6/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(3/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(7/4/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/5)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(7/4/3)-(5/3/7/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3)-(7/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(5/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (5/3/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8)-(5/3/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   11/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STELLARS IN CHARGE Oct02 Sep01 Aug02 Jul26 Jul06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
2  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Oct17 Oct04 Aug28 Jul26 Jun08 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  TIZAFASTBULLET Oct19 Oct03 Jul13 May31 Apr19 (walters l)PELTROCHE F 122 6.00    
4  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Oct17 Sep26 Jul06 Jun20 May25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 1.80 17% 4.80    
5  ON THE COME UP Oct11 Sep21 Aug25 Jul05 Jun08 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00    
 
CT-2   11/07/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FANCY CONCHO Oct31 Jul26 Jul09 Jun27 May16 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 2.50 17% 4.80    
2  AIR MEDAL Oct17 Sep26 Aug01 Jul12 Jun20 (laguna )NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 50.00    
3  SARGENT KOBE Oct25 Oct12 Sep21 Aug24 May23 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 1.60    
4  SARAH'S CANDY CAMP Oct25 Oct03 Aug15 Jul04 May18 (murdock s)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.40 53% 0.90    
5  STRIVE FOR STRIDE Oct17 Sep26 Aug17 Jul26 Jul05 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   11/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLAFLEET Aug01 Jan04 Nov09     (pickett cry)CESPEDES JHORMA 112 30.00    
2  MYGIRLISABOMB Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun09 May25 (martinez jose)THORPE DARIUS 122 3.00 13% 6.50    
3  OSO Sep20 Sep06 Jul27 Jun19 May15 (carlisle john)LOPEZ ANTONIO 120 2.50    
4  THUNDAR CLOUD Oct26 Sep26 Aug23 Jul06   (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 3.00 57% 0.80    
5  MY SOFIA ROSE Sep26 Sep01 Aug12 Jul26 Jul06 (mcclure d)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 2.00    
6  DAWN'S CREED Oct26 Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 Aug16 (brown keith )LEWIS M 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   11/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 2 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IM THE DIRECTOR Oct12 Sep21 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 (mckee cynth)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 0.60 40% 1.50    
2  FLYIN MAYAN Oct05         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 2.50 34% 1.90    
3  JOHN'S NOTION Oct25 Oct04 Sep12 Aug09   (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 5.00    
4  MANNY TOO Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19   (rose j)RODRIGUEZ V 120 12.00    
5  BAIL IS DENIED Oct12 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   11/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AVALANCHE IS COMIN Oct10 Jul25 Jun13 May24 May03 (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 2.00    
2  SHORT OF DINERO Oct11 Sep21 Sep07 Aug24 Aug10 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
3  BORNFORGREATNESS Jul06 Jun30 Jun08 May18 Mar29 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 118 4.00    
4  QUEEN NEFERTARI Sep21 Aug22 Jul04 Jun13 May23 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 122 5.00 11% 8.10    
5  CHELLS GIRL Oct19 Oct10 Sep28 Aug14 Aug01 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 8.00 9% 10.00    
6  STREETCORNER Oct14 Sep04 Aug11 Jul20 Jun27 (viands stace)MARRERO CARLOS 120 2.50 52% 0.90    
 
CT-6   11/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODLINE Sep27 May24 Mar27 Feb29 Jan13 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 8.00    
2  RUFFNER Oct19 Mar02 Feb16 Feb03 Jan12 (milosev)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 10.00    
3  HONEYQUIST Oct12 Jul20 Jun15 May29 Oct14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 0.60 73% 0.40    
4  UNCLE CHINITO Sep21 Aug23 Jul26 Jul04 Jun13 (reynolds joan)THORPE DARIUS 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  MARSHALL PEANUT Sep27 Aug17 Jul20 Jun28 Jun15 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  LITTLE ROO ROO Oct12 Sep25 Aug23 Aug11 Jul12 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 3.50    
 
CT-7   11/07/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DEFIANT GIANT Oct18 Aug24 Jul19 Jun01 May11 (runco j)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 12.00    
2  GRANDY Oct12 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jun22 (contreras)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 118 12.00    
3  PARK AVE PRINCE Oct12 Sep27 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 8% 11.80    
4  YOUTHFUL ENERGY Oct24 Sep02 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 (lucas a)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 10.00 22% 3.50    
5  W V LAD Oct05 Sep21 Aug24 Jul13 Jun01 (gazzier kri)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 15.00    
SCR  BAD LINEAGE Oct18 Sep27 Aug24 Aug03 Jun22 (perry lawrence )PELTROCHE F 120 8.00    
7  CATCH THE HUMOR Oct12 Sep26 Nov03     (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 0.60 37% 1.70    
8  DORADO May24 May09 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 5.00    
SCR  PEACEFUL WARRIOR Sep25 Sep02 Aug20 Aug07 Jul09 (johnson jennif)GILBERT KYLE 120 30.00    
 
CT-8   11/07/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEDAL TO THE MOON Oct17 Oct05 Jul12     (pyke joseph)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 20.00    
  (by ALDRIN out of GASPEDAL by FIBER SONDE)
2  MEGS GOLDEN BOY Oct17 Oct05 Sep19 Aug24 Aug16 (boykins k)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of MEGSTONE by STROLL)
3  SHUFFLE Oct18 Aug15 Jul11     (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 8.00 8% 11.40    
  (by ALLIANCE out of NUMEROUS MOVES by NUMEROUS)
SCR  WISHFUL THOUGHTS Oct17 Sep26       (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 1.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S WISH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
5  BIG JOE B Oct17 Sep26 Aug15 Jul12 Jun28 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 3.00 55% 0.80    
  (by LONG RIVER out of CALLY DRIVE by TALE OF THE CAT)
6  CEDAR RUNS FIBER Sep21 Aug24 Aug09 Jul19 Jun22 (boykins kevin)RODRIGUEZ V 122 6.00    
  (by FIBER SONDE out of RUN LOUIS RUN by LOUIS QUATORZE)
7  WEAVE IT TO PIP         (cornwell jame)THORPE DARIUS 124 15.00 6% 14.60    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of GRAMMY PAT by DISCREET CAT)
8  RIP N ROLL         (wilhelm tabi)LEWIS M 117 10.00 6% 14.60    
  (by WEAVE IT TO ME out of ENCHANTED FACTS by EL MEDWAR)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.