Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - October 26, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (2/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/4/6)-(4/2/6/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/7/4/6)-(4/2/6/8)-(2/8/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (4/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8)-(4/2/6/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/6/8)-(2/8/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6/8)-(2/8/1/4)-(6/8/7/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/8/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4)-(2/8/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/4)-(6/8/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/4)-(6/8/7/2)-(4/6/5/2/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/7/2)-(4/6/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(4/6/5/2/3)-(7/4/6/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/6/5/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/6/5/2/3)-(4/6/5/2/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/6/5/2/3)-(4/6/5/2/3)-(4/6/5/2/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/6/5/2/3)-(7/4/6/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5/2/3)-(7/4/6/9)-(1/4/3/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-6   WIN (7/4/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/6/9)-(7/4/6/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/6/9)-(7/4/6/9)-(7/4/6/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/4/6/9)-(1/4/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6/9)-(1/4/3/5)-(2/6/10/5/9) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-7   WIN (1/4/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/4/3/5)-(1/4/6/3/5)-(1/4/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/3/5)-(2/6/10/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/6/10/5/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/10/5/9)-(2/6/10/5/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/10/5/9)-(2/6/10/5/9)-(2/6/10/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   10/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON A WHIM Oct05 Sep13 Aug01 Jul19 Jul05 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 15.00    
RAISE A RUCKUS Oct05 Sep26 Aug17 Jul13 Jun20 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCARE DEM Sep26 Aug24 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (pyke joseph)LEWIS M 117 10.00    
TIME TO CHOOSE Oct05 Sep26 Aug17 Aug01 Jul20 (reyes ruben)CACHA-PADILLA B 122 6.00 15% 5.80    
MY BUDDY DUANE Oct10 Sep13 Aug24 Jul26 Jun24 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 124 1.80    
NEVERFOLD Oct05 Sep18 Sep03 Aug17 Aug01 (mcgill sylvester)ACOSTA D 120 10.00 13% 6.90    
ORANGEBURG Oct08 Aug17 Jul06 Jun07 Jan12 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 122 2.50 19% 4.20    
 
CT-2   10/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAWN'S CREED Oct11 Sep26 Aug30 Aug16 Feb08 (brown keith )LEWIS M 116 6.00    
BANKERS ROSE GOLD Oct10 Sep24 Sep10 May23 Apr29 (lucas bonnie)HO WESLEY 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
HIDDEN RIVER Oct11 Sep20 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 119 30.00    
THUNDAR CLOUD Sep26 Aug23 Jul06     (brown k)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 116 1.60 50% 1.00    
GOLDEN RUN Oct11 Sep20 Aug10 Jul20 Jun15 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 121 2.50    
MIDCENTURY MODERN Sep02 Aug23 Mar02 Jan26 Jan04 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
HEY MACARENA Oct11 Sep26 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 (pennella rh)CACHA-PADILLA B 124 20.00    
PRETTY COAST Oct11 Oct04 Sep12 Jul12 Jul04 (ramos ago)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   10/26/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLE RICHIE Oct11 Sep14 Aug24 Aug09 Jul18 (gur bat)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY ONE Oct10 Aug03 Jan26 Jan04 May19 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.00 66% 0.50    
DOG TOWN ALLEN Sep27 Sep13 Jul26 Jun29 Jun08 (harrison )RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 20.00    
JUBA'S MOCHA Oct10 Aug10 Jul20 Jul11 Jun21 (brown keith )LEWIS M 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SHINEY GHOST Oct18 Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Jun29 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 15.00    
CALLISTO'S BRIGADE Jul26 Jul05 Jun13 May23 May02 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 122 3.50    
MALEKES MAGIC Oct10 Sep13 Aug17 Jul18 Jun22 (aylor natasha )CHILO MAXIMO 120 20.00    
RACING HOT LINE Oct10 Sep14 Jul19 Jun07 May16 (farrio)LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.00 10% 8.80    
 
CT-4   10/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL PROFETO Oct18         (rangel rica)CESPEDES JHORMA 114 30.00    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of LADYFROMHAVANA by PUT IT BACK)
EL MORITO Oct05 Sep26 Aug15     (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JUBA out of LA JESSICA by ECCLESIASTIC)
BROTHER JACKSON Oct05         (gazzie)ARAUJO VICENTE 121 12.00    
  (by UNION JACKSON out of SISTER MIMI by HENNY HUGHES)
GRANDPA JOE Feb15 Feb01 Jan11     (craig armont)TROTMAN KEIMAR 121 15.00    
  (by KOBE'S BACK out of SECRET GARDEN by WEIGELIA)
TAP THE ARCHES Sep26         (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 121 30.00    
  (by JUBA out of ARCH TIGER by ARCH)
ROMANTIC WARRIOR Oct05 Sep19 Aug22 Jul12 Jun21 (lewis r)LARROSA G 124 1.00 44% 1.30    
  (by DECLAN'S WARRIOR out of ROMANTIC TWIST by WILD RUSH)
BIG BAD BRASS Aug16 Jul20 May20     (runco c)HO WESLEY 124 3.50 9% 10.50    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of SOUTHERN BRASS by DOMESTIC DISPUTE)
MIST OVER CORK Oct17         (figgins o)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 121 3.00 25% 2.90    
  (by DENIS OF CORK out of MISTY BALLERINA by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
CT-5   10/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVERYDAYISAGIFT Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun28 (aylor l)BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
MY SISTER CLURRIE Oct05 Dec13 Nov22 Nov02 Sep21 (william)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 10.00 6% 14.70    
RED PRIESTESS Oct18 Oct05 Nov17 Oct26 Sep15 (nicholson junio)RODRIGUEZ V 122 20.00 5% 17.90    
BREAKING RULES Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Mar16 Feb10 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 0.60 28% 2.60    
MARTHA'S HEART Oct05 Sep14 Aug09 Jul13 Jun28 (sandoval micha)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
KAPADOKYA Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul06 Jun15 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 118 3.50 23% 3.40    
STOLEN LAUGHTER Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jun28 Jun01 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 118 12.00    
MIDNIGHT PASS Oct05 Sep14 Aug10 Jul11 May18 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00    
PYROTECHNICS Oct04 Sep14 Aug22 Jul24 Jul03 (brown kelton)LEWIS M 113 15.00    
 
CT-6   10/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TIME TO BOOGIE         (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of KLUVYABYE by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  FIRENZE FOREVER         (jones michael )CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00    
  (by LEOFRIC out of BROKEN BORDER by BROKEN VOW)
BLANCHES MULE         (shanley t)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 115 15.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of LA DAME BLANCHE by POINT OF ENTRY)
TREE OF DEM         (viands r)BOCACHICA O 122 5.00 28% 2.50    
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of STORMY PLAY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
BIG MO GEE         (shanley)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 15.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of QUEEN OF THE LAKE by SALT LAKE)
MIDNIGHT KOA Sep19         (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by UNCLE LINO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY Oct05 Sep19 Aug25 Jul19   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.60 33% 2.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
FEAR THE FACTS Oct05 Sep19 Sep05 Aug01 Jun21 (keller christ)THORPE DARIUS 122 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of LILBOURNE ELIZA by ELUSIVE CITY)
WAR THUNDER         (brown kelton)LEWIS M 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of LYRICALLY by THUNDER GULCH)
 
CT-7   10/26/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CYBERTIME Oct04 Jul27       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
MISTER AGENT Oct03 Sep20 Aug24 Jul21 Jul14 (singh somraj)CRUZ ANGEL 120 8.00    
LOST WEEKEND Oct11 Sep01 Aug23 Aug09 Jul25 (smith osb)RADCLIFFE ANTHONY 113 20.00 5% 19.00    
MARK DID IT Oct10 Sep20 Aug10 Jul27 Jul06 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 31% 2.20    
OZONE Sep14 Aug10 Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 (butts e)LEWIS M 113 15.00 5% 19.00    
GABRIEL'S WING Oct10 Jul20 Jun27 May30 May09 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 120 6.00    
PRACTICAL SENSE Oct10 Sep14 Aug22 Jul20 Jun15 (jones )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 15.00    
ALWAYS GAMBLING Sep13 Jul28 Jul20 Jun09 May17 (singh so)RODRIGUEZ L 113 4.50    
SCR  RESTLESS Oct11 Sep20 Aug31 Jul26 Jul13 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 8.00    
10  MON GATEAU Oct03 Sep12 Sep01 Aug15 Jun27 (brown ron)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 118 12.00    
 
CT-8   10/26/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 2 ALL PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORBIDDEN SPIRIT Oct05 Sep21 Sep13     (clatterbuck f)BATISTA C 122 12.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
STORMIN' RUNNER Oct05 Sep04 Aug24     (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 122 1.60 28% 2.60    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of MISS ALLISON by TIZNOW)
OUR BRIGHTEST STAR Oct04 Sep12 Aug09 Jul19 Jul04 (petty kristy)LARROSA G 122 20.00    
  (by JUBA out of WINDSOR'S PUNCH by WINDSOR CASTLE)
SCR  RAY OF SUNSHINE         (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
  (by GOLDEN YEARS out of BURREN TRAIL by SHAMARDAL)
CANDY MAN MARTIN         (lucas anthony)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDYGRAM out of ELLIE MARTIN by OLMODAVOR)
SABER JET         (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 4.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of PAINT THE CORNERS by TIZWAY)
SCR  THE HOUND         (haynes m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of TWO TURN TAMMY by JERSEY TOWN)
SAPPHIRUS Oct04 Sep21 Sep13     (rofe je)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 117 12.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PAGAN JEWEL by PEAK DANCER)
BLESSINGS BESTOWED         (djuric stevica)CRUZ ANGEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of PRACTICAL IDEAS by PROSPECT BAY)
10  SWIFT WATERS Oct05 Sep13       (kirlew le)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 10.00 23% 3.40    
  (by SARATOGA SYNDICATE out of WORK WIFE by PHILANTHROPIST)
11  RENEGADE RABBIT Oct05         (o'neill m)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
  (by SPIRITUS INVICTUS out of SISTER AIM by BROTHER DEREK)
SCR  MOONLIT NOTION         (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 1.20    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of MOONLIT SONG by FIBER SONDE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.