Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Albuquerque
Wednesday - October 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ALB-1   WIN (10/4/8/9/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/9/2)-(10/4/8/9/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/9/2)-(10/4/8/9/2)-(10/4/8/9/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/4/8/9/2)-(7/5/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
ALB-2   WIN (7/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/6)-(7/5/6)-(7/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/6)-(6/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ALB-3   WIN (6/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/7/2)-(6/7/2)-(6/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-4   WIN (9/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/7/1/8)-(9/7/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/7/1/8)-(9/7/1/8)-(9/7/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ALB-1   10/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RIG IT RIGHT Sep22 Sep05 Aug23 May04 Mar28 (gonzalez carl)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 6.00    
2  TOO WILD TO TAME Oct02 Sep06 Aug04 Jun23 Jun16 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SPOT D' ORO Sep06 Aug15 Jul05 Jun23 Jun07 (quiroz filibert)ROSENDO J 122 4.50    
4  INDIAN RIDER Sep15 Sep05 Aug16 Jan05 Dec05 (m)DE CRUZ 124 3.00 16% 5.10    
5  SPARKIEINFRONT Oct05         (gutierrez)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 122 20.00    
SCR  PEVS FLAT OUT FAST Oct02 Sep05 Dec08     (barrios berna)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 20.00    
7  CAP GREELEY Oct02 Sep18       (barraza s)CARRENO J 122 10.00    
8  STELLA BOY Mar08 Feb23 Jan18 Dec18 Oct25 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 6.00 9% 10.70    
9  LITTLE ROGUE Sep22 Sep08 Aug17 Jul20 Apr04 (barr)GOMEZ PORTILLO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  BIG MOONIE Sep02 Mar18 Sep10 Jul16 May06 (villamar candela)MEDELLIN A 122 3.50 49% 1.00    
 
ALB-2   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FEEL THE BERNING Jan26 Nov13 Oct21 Oct06 Sep17 (armstrong she)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 6.00    
2  HOGMANAY (IRE) Sep15 Aug03 Jan05 Dec30 Nov26 (crotts e)MEDELLIN A 121 2.50    
3  STOREY'S FURY Sep26 Aug31 Mar01 Feb09 Feb01 (gomez steve)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
4  RYDERS UP Oct05 Sep05 Aug16 Jul20 May18 (singh johnny)CARRENO J 124 3.50    
5  CERVEZA Feb29 Feb01 Jan05 Nov20 Oct21 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 13% 6.50    
6  THIRSTY ECHO Oct09 Sep22 Sep07 Sep01 May11 (martinez )BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  BIG CREED Oct05 Jul28 May11 Apr27 Apr13 (marlin i)HEBERT J 121 3.00 55% 0.80    
 
ALB-3   10/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL CHROME Apr07 Mar08 Feb18 Feb02 Jan18 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 12.00    
2  SIDEWINDER SLICK Sep02 Jul27 Jun16 May27 May11 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
3  STORM LEADER Sep19 Sep02 Jan25 Nov27 Nov06 (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.00    
4  HENNESSY'S SQUIRT Oct02 Jan05 Sep08 Jun11 Mar07 (chad)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 20.00    
SCR  BEACH RUNNER Aug23 Jul27 Jun16 Jun07 Mar26 (cappellucci )FUENTES A 124 5.00    
6  TUCUM Mar22 Mar08 Jan18 Dec12 Nov27 (b)DE CRUZ 124 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  STRAWBERRY WHISKY Mar22 Feb09 Nov27 Nov06 Oct29 (trujillo celi)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 15.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SPEED BUMP BOB Aug16 Jul27 Apr28 Mar22 Mar01 (vega a)ROSENDO J 124 20.00    
SCR  LARIAT Jan18 Dec18 Nov06 Feb21 Jan15 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.00    
 
ALB-4   10/16/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY STORM Sep27 Sep15 Aug17 Jun21 Jun03 (gonzalez jos)FUENTES A 124 10.00 16% 5.40    
2  BRANDYN Sep29 Sep08 Jun01 Apr15 Mar26 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.50    
SCR  STACKERS Sep12 Sep01 May27 May12 Mar29 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 124 15.00    
4  RAPID EXPANSION Aug24 Dec13 Nov24 Nov02 Oct19 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 6.00    
5  COPPER COASTLINE Sep13 Jan07 Dec10     (gleason t)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 122 6.00    
6  WALKIN TALKIN BOB Sep18 Aug16 Jun14 Jul23 Sep27 (huds)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 12.00    
7  ZE'BUL Sep25 Aug24 Jul04 Jun09 May05 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 124 3.00 20% 4.00    
8  KING BARON Sep29 Aug31 May19 Apr28 Apr13 (chavez )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  GRAZEN BOY Sep20 Aug29 May31 May04 Apr19 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.