Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Downs Tb
Sunday - September 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTD-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(2/1/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTD-3   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/3)-(1/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/3)-(2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTD-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTD-6   WIN (5/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/6)-(5/1/6)-(5/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/1/6)-(7/2)-(7/3/8/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CTD-7   WIN (7/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/2)-(7/6/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/2)-(7/6/3/2)-(7/6/3/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/2)-(7/3/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
CTD-8   WIN (7/3/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5)-(7/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTD-1   09/29/2024 2310ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12K) Purse ($13.5K) 2 ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LAST ROUND         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  SPIRIT CHASER Jul17         (rycroft)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 119 5.00 6% 15.50    
3  HOPE SHINES Aug31         (smith craig)BECKLES JARELLE 119 4.00    
4  TEMPERED STORM         (hedge rick)POON ANDREW 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
5  ONEMOREFORTHEROAD         (kettleson al)HUGHES RASHEED 119 3.50    
 
CTD-2   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Sep13 Sep06 Aug10 Aug03 Jul24 (biggs seymour)POON ANDREW 125 15.00    
2  MOHAYMEN DAY Aug30 Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 Jun01 (robertson je)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.20 49% 1.00    
3  SMILIN EVIE Sep07 Aug10 Jul26 Dec10 Nov24 (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 125 8.00 9% 9.60    
4  DAZZLING CHIC Aug23 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 May19 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 20.00    
5  JOY IN GRACE Sep22 Sep07 Aug31 Aug10 Aug03 (brown r)HUGHES RASHEED 125 0.80 22% 3.60    
 
CTD-3   09/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOOTIFUL ROSE Sep13 Aug30 Aug16 Jul24 Jul12 (frey carson)HUGHES RASHEED 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
2  NO PEOPLE Sep13 Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 Jul27 (bell je)CHASE RICHARD 118 12.00    
3  BABS DELIGHT Sep13 May19 Oct22 Sep16 Sep01 (grieves ron)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 11% 7.80    
4  LIGHT FAST FEET Aug30 Aug10 May19 Oct15 Aug26 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.60    
5  NIGHT FLYER Sep07 Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jun29 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 1.80 17% 4.80    
 
CTD-4   09/29/2024 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($15.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASHLINGS Sep14 Aug25 Aug11 Jun29 Jun08 (giesbr)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 27% 2.70    
2  ARISTOCRACY Aug24 Jul27 Jul01 Jun07 May25 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 125 1.60 29% 2.50    
3  ATTENZIONE Sep07 Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun28 (cone rodney)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80    
4  LAST OF WAR Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Jul24 Jul12 (heggie rod)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LONESOME CAT Aug24 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 125 3.00    
 
CTD-5   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALI CONQUEST Sep13 Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 120 2.00 29% 2.50    
2  RUNNINFORCOVER Sep13 Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 Jun29 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 10.00    
3  OMEGASSHOOTINGSTAR Sep21 Aug23 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 20.00    
4  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Sep13 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (petrow)ASENCIO MARIANO 125 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  DON'T STOP DREAMIN Sep13 Aug23 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 1.60    
6  JOKER MATT Sep13 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 6.00 15% 5.80    
 
CTD-6   09/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12K) Purse ($20.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JODEYS LIL PAIN Sep14 Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jun07 (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
2  CROWN OF CAIRO Aug17 Jul27 Jul12 Jun22   (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 122 4.50    
3  DIAMOND DI Aug30 Aug16 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 (ward anderson)BRYAN D 122 20.00    
4  ANNAMARIA Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul17 Jul05 (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 122 5.00    
5  MONOPOLIZE Sep14 Sep07 Aug17 Aug02 Jul19 (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 123 1.20 64% 0.60    
6  RECIO'S SKYE Aug30 Aug17 Jul26 Jul10 Jun08 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CTD-7   09/29/2024 2310ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSTIC SALLY Sep13 Jul17       (kettleson al)ANDROS CORRINE 119 15.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of PEMAQUID SALLY by TALENT SEARCH)
2  IN YOUR BIZ         (robertson r)BRYAN D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DAWSELINA by SKIMMING)
3  WORTHY SPIRIT         (smith craig )PRESCOD N'RICO 119 6.00 ★    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
4  BUCK SPRINGS Aug31 Aug03       (smith r)LUNAN RICHARD 122 20.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of B R'S GIRL by PULPIT)
5  MARRYMEINGEORGIA         (frey c)ASENCIO MARIANO 119 10.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of ALAMANDA DRIVE by AWESOME AGAIN)
6  SNEAKY SITUATION Sep03 Aug14 Aug06 Jul23   (cone rodney)BECKLES JARELLE 119 5.00 ★    
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
7  AH TOUCHE Sep14 Aug31       (grieves ro)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 1.80 73% 0.40    
  (by TALE OF EKATI out of AMNESIAN by BOLD N' FLASHY)
SCR  THATSWHATIMHEREFOR         (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of ENNIS LADY by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
CTD-8   09/29/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL CORRECAMINOS Sep13 Aug30 Aug24 Jul27 Jul06 (hedge rick)BECKLES JARELLE 122 3.00    
2  EVERYTHING TO GAIN Sep07 Aug24 Aug03 Jul13 Jul07 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 120 20.00    
3  TENDER LOVE Sep13 Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 (leech )ASENCIO MARIANO 125 10.00 13% 6.80    
4  ALBERTA Sep13 Aug16 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 8.00    
5  WICKED WIZZY Sep13 Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Jul24 (ward a)STEADMAN LEON 125 30.00 7% 14.20    
6  KARDINAL ROSE Aug26 Jul05 Jun22 May31   (anderson gon)HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.50    
7  SADIE MY LADY Sep14 Aug09 Jul28 Jul06 Jun22 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 3.50 33% 2.00    
8  SMOKIN JOY Sep13 Aug16 Jul06 May24 Oct07 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 6.00 10% 9.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.