Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Albuquerque
Wednesday - September 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ALB-5   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/5/6)-(3/1/5/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/6)-(1/3/2)-(5/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
ALB-6   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/6/2)-(1/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
ALB-7   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ALB-8   WIN (1/5/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2)-(1/5/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/6/2)-(9/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ALB-9   WIN (9/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/3)-(9/4/10/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/3)-(9/4/10/1/3)-(9/4/10/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ALB-5   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNZ DA BOSS Sep12 Aug25 Aug04 Jul26 May19 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50 18% 4.60    
MENTIROSA Sep06 Aug17 May11 Apr28 Nov14 (martinez edwin )ROSENDO J 121 6.00    
MY GOOD GOOD BOY Sep08 May11 Apr20 Feb23 Feb02 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
GO LAKER GO Aug31 Mar28 Feb22 Dec05 Nov14 (b)DE CRUZ 124 3.00    
MT. TAYLOR Sep12 Apr28 Mar22 Jan12 Nov21 (arms)GOMEZ PORTILLO 121 3.50    
BUFFETT Sep01 Jul28 Apr24 Apr10 Mar27 (villamar cand)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
STYLE BENDER Sep12 Aug25 Jul26 May19 May12 (chavez ar)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 121 15.00    
 
ALB-6   09/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTILA THE DUN Sep01 Sep03 Aug06 Jul02 Jun10 (g)DE CRUZ 124 2.50 39% 1.50    
MY DAD IS THIRSTY Sep15 Sep07 Aug25 Aug17 Aug04 (villamar candelari)TORRES J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
YOU ENJOY MYSELF Sep07 Apr15 Mar21 Feb22 Feb06 (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 34% 2.00    
GORDY'S RULES Sep07 Aug04 May11 Apr28 Apr13 (barrios bernade)VERGARA P 124 15.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT May11 Apr28 Mar21 Mar08 Feb29 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 4.50    
MR. BIG RIG Sep06 Jul27 Apr07 Feb22 Jan26 (marlin i)HEBERT J 124 3.50    
ELLIOT Sep11 Sep01 Dec18 Nov28 Oct28 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 6.00    
 
ALB-7   09/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT-10:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILD FIREWATER Aug23 Mar29 Feb09 Jan25 Dec11 (meridyth da)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
GOLD EXPRESS Sep07 Aug16 Aug02 Jun14 May27 (glea)GOMEZ PORTILLO 124 4.50    
SPEND AGAIN Jun15 May11 Apr27 Apr13 Mar21 (q)DE CRUZ 124 6.00    
COPPER STATE Sep05 Jun22 May12 Apr27 Mar21 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 122 3.00    
IFFY ASSET CLASS Sep07 May05 Apr27 Feb15 Feb01 (pierce w)ROSENDO J 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
PASS IT AROUND Jun14 May04 Apr20 Apr04 Mar21 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 3.00 24% 3.10    
 
ALB-8   09/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.3K) 3UP ALL PT-11:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMERICAN OUTLAW May19 Apr21 Mar15 Feb23 Feb09 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 121 4.50 64% 0.60    
FASTTRAINTOTEXAS Aug31 Jul28 May05 Apr27 Nov03 (singh johnny)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
READY TO STORM Aug24 Jun14 May18 May04 Mar20 (glea)GOMEZ PORTILLO 119 20.00    
DE LA LUNA Sep07 May04 Apr15 Mar25 Mar05 (b)DE CRUZ 121 12.00    
SNAPP DADDY Sep08 Aug24 Jul28 Oct29 Oct04 (barton )FUENTES T 124 3.00 7% 13.80    
ORTH Apr29 Apr03 Mar06 Feb12 Feb01 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 121 10.00 5% 18.70    
D D S EXPRESS Aug24 Jul28 May27 Apr07 Oct08 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 124 2.50    
ZE'BUL Aug24 Jul04 Jun09 May05 Apr05 (cappellucci dick)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50    
 
ALB-9   09/25/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 2 F PT-11:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTY FIVE         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of ON STRIDE by GHOSTLY MOVES)
DO IT FOR DANNY Jul20         (pierce th)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 120 30.00    
  (by SWAY AWAY out of WICKEDLY SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
BONNIE MAE'S MARK Aug18 Aug02 Jun07     (armstrong sherr)ROSENDO J 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKING out of BONNIE MAE'S GIRL by MONTEREY JAZZ)
BONIFIED WILDCAT Aug31 Jun15       (lambert casey)PURCELL KELSI 120 3.50 22% 3.60    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of DUST ALERT by RIGHT RIGGER)
MO JO MONEY Jun15         (barraza rafae)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 15.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of MOBERNINI by UNCLE MO)
SHES ACTING SINGLE Aug31 Jun15       (aldavaz hermengi)MEDELLIN A 120 8.00    
  (by COMFORT out of FINAL DISPERSAL by DISPERSAL)
SCR  LINCOLN COUNTY WAR         (lambert c)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 120 20.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of WESTERN FLAIR by GONE WEST)
SCR  STORMY RYTHM Aug31 Aug02       (barton j)VALDEZ S 120 8.00    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of CATCHY RYTHM by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
INEEDAMARKER Aug18 Aug02 Jun07     (fincher tod)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
10  HURRICANES WILDCAT Aug18 Aug02       (buec)GOMEZ PORTILLO 120 6.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of HURRICANE HUSH by ATTILA'S STORM)
11  LA BELLA BELLA Aug31 Aug02 Jun07     (gonzalez r)VERGARA P 120 20.00    
  (by RUNAWAY GHOST out of LAURENTIDE ICE by INTIDAB)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.