Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Century Mile
Friday - September 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CTM-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-3   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(5/1/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CTM-4   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CTM-5   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
CTM-6   WIN (4/5/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6)-(4/5/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
CTM-7   WIN (6/8/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2)-(6/8/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7/2)-(2/5/6/3)-(7/6/3/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CTM-8   WIN (2/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3)-(2/5/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/6/3)-(7/6/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CTM-9   WIN (7/6/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8)-(7/6/3/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CTM-1   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIGERITO Sep07 Aug16 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (strachan james)LAHOE RUJA 125 10.00    
2  DANCING WILLIE Aug24 Jul31 Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.00    
3  PUMP THE BRAKES Aug31 Aug10 Jul24 Jul13 Jun23 (bell ken)ZENTENO JR 125 4.00    
4  WEDGE POND Sep07 Aug24 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 (brown r)MARTI ALEXANDER 125 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  SPORTSCARR Aug23 Aug02 Jul19 Jul06 Jun01 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 4.50 17% 4.90    
6  RESERVE PROOF Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 May27 Apr27 (anderson wendy)NELSON DANE 125 15.00 6% 15.20    
 
CTM-2   09/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BABS DELIGHT May19 Oct22 Sep16 Sep01 Jul09 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 4.50 21% 3.80    
2  NO PEOPLE Sep07 Aug23 Aug16 Jul27 Jul12 (bell jessic)BECKLES JARELLE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE HARPER Aug30 Aug03 Jul27 Jul13 Jun29 (rycroft tim)NELSON DANE 123 3.00    
4  DEVILISH SMILE Aug30 Aug16 Aug04 Jul21 Jul07 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 2.00 48% 1.10    
5  MAJESTIC HORIZON Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jun07 Jul09 (walper deanna)CARTER KYLE 125 1.60    
 
CTM-3   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DECOY Aug24 Jul12 Jun21 May31 May10 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 1.60 40% 1.50    
2  SILENT RUNNER Aug24 Jul31 Jul12 Jun21 Jun08 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 3.00    
3  TICKET TO THE TOP Aug30 Aug09 Jul19 Jul05 Jun08 (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
4  ASYOUBELIEVE Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 May31 (rycroft tim)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  SIR BREGOVIC Aug30 Aug09 Jul31 Jul10 Jun21 (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 4.50    
 
CTM-4   09/13/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY PIPER         (tingle ken)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 15% 5.80    
2  SIZZLIN ROSE Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Jun15 (wendland wyatt)BRYAN D 122 4.00    
3  CHASUBLE Aug30 Jul14 Jun14 May18   (fantin caitlin)MARTIN ANDRE 122 20.00    
4  RUN MYA RUN Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 Jun15 (ward anderson)LUNAN RICHARD 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OOPS (GB) Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun28 (o'hagan coll)HUGHES RASHEED 122 1.00 52% 0.90    
6  EL CORRECAMINOS Aug30 Aug24 Jul27 Jul06 May25 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 1.60    
 
CTM-5   09/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIMBERLAKE GAGE Aug30 Aug18 Aug11 Jul21 Jun08 (rumsey )CHASE RICHARD 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CHATTY GAL Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul24 Jun15 (jones dan)ZENTENO JR 125 6.00    
3  COUNT ON IT Aug03 Jul13 Jun29 Jun01 Sep01 (walper deann)PRESCOD N'RICO 125 1.80    
4  NO MORE JO KING Aug30 Jul24 Jul13 Jun28 Jun08 (robertson je)HUGHES RASHEED 125 4.00 17% 5.00    
5  WHEELSUPINTHIRTY Sep06 Aug10 Aug03 Jul24 Jul13 (biggs sey)FLETCHER SAMANTHA 125 8.00    
6  BOOTIFUL ROSE Aug30 Aug16 Jul24 Jul12 Jun29 (frey carson)NELSON DANE 125 3.50 47% 1.10    
 
CTM-6   09/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STARMA Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jul06 Jun01 (smith rob)CARTER KYLE 125 15.00    
2  CUVEE TEE Jul24 Jun08 Oct15 Sep24 Sep01 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 123 8.00    
3  PERPETUAL BLISS Jul13 Jun07 Oct15 Sep01 Aug06 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 2.50    
4  KEEPMEINPOWER Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jul10 Jun28 (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
5  QUEEN RHONDA Aug30 Aug17 Jul24 Jun21 Jun08 (smith r)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 125 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  BEAUTIFUL CALL Aug30 Aug09 Jun28 Jun14 Sep17 (perry carl)BRYAN D 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  BLAZING SUN Aug31 Aug17 Oct15 Oct01 Sep23 (kettleson alivi)NELSON DANE 125 6.00 9% 10.70    
 
CTM-7   09/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT-11:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFESBEENGOODSOFAR Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 Jun22 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 2.50    
2  RUNNINFORCOVER Aug10 Aug02 Jul17 Jun29 Jun15 (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 125 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  AMEER Sep06 Aug23 Aug09 Jul26 Jul05 (b)GRIFFITH DELANE 125 15.00    
4  DON'T STOP DREAMIN Aug23 Jul26 Jul06 Jun14 Jun07 (zielke mad)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 125 3.00    
SCR  TALKATIVE Aug17 Jul27 Jul10 Jun14 Mar08 (wendlan)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 5.00    
6  LANNY MAC Aug25 Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Jun22 (rycroft tom)POON ANDREW 125 6.00 31% 2.20    
7  JOKER MATT Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (brown r)BECKLES JARELLE 125 10.00 14% 6.10    
8  CALI CONQUEST Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jun29 Jun15 (cone ro)CHASE RICHARD 120 3.50 19% 4.20    
 
CTM-8   09/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($25K) 2 ALL PT-11:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OKI Aug10 Jul17       (leech willia)NATERA KEIHTON 119 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of DOCTOR BRITT by RAFFIE'S MAJESTY)
2  ALLURING ALI Aug10         (anderson gon)PRESCOD N'RICO 119 3.00 36% 1.80    
  (by FED BIZ out of TRAIL OF LETTERS by BOLD EXECUTIVE)
3  MR MIEZIE Aug03 Jul17       (ryc)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BAKKEN out of CLARESMIEZIE by FORESTRY)
4  HOLY MOSES         (nichols)CHALARIS ANASTASIOS 122 15.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of MOONLIGHT FANTASY by MALIBU MOON)
5  KITTY HOUSE Aug23 Aug10 Jul17     (anderson g)BALGOBIN KEISHAN 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by COUNTRY HOUSE out of KITTENISTIC by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  FED BOY         (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 122 4.50 7% 12.40    
  (by FED BIZ out of PRETTY WONDER by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
7  BLUE QUILL         (hedge ric)ZENTENO JR 122 15.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of POLITICAL AFFAIR by POLITICAL FORCE)
8  MYSTIC SALLY Jul17         (kettleson a)MARTI ALEXANDER 119 15.00    
  (by BOISTEROUS out of PEMAQUID SALLY by TALENT SEARCH)
SCR  WORTHY SPIRIT         (smith craig )HUGHES RASHEED 119 6.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of BACKSIDE BELLE by STAY THIRSTY)
SCR  MISS HOTTIE Aug31         (davies dea)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 119 20.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of SAMARA STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
 
CTM-9   09/13/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMOKIN JOY Aug16 Jul06 May24 Oct07 Oct01 (hawkes darcy)BRYAN D 125 12.00    
2  BURNING UP Aug31 Aug09 Jul26 Jul10 Jun28 (con)GONZALEZ ALONZO 122 6.00    
3  ALBERTA Aug16 Aug09 Jul13 Jun29 Sep24 (petrowski jo)NATERA KEIHTON 125 10.00 6% 15.30    
4  PARZANNI Aug24 Aug10 Jul26 Jul13 Jun29 (davies deann)HUGHES RASHEED 122 5.00    
5  SPOT ON JOLEE Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Jul17 Jun21 (heggie rod)MALVAEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00    
6  TENDER LOVE Aug31 Aug10 Jul26 Jun28 Jun15 (leech wil)ZENTENO JR 125 3.00 14% 6.00    
7  DRAMATIC FLAIR Aug31 Aug09 Jul13 Oct08 Sep10 (grieves ron)PRESCOD N'RICO 123 1.80 52% 0.90    
8  WICKED WIZZY Aug31 Aug16 Aug09 Jul24 Jul10 (ward anders)BECKLES JARELLE 123 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.