Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - September 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/2/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-2   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/4/2)-(3/2/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (5/4/2)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(3/2/4)-(3/1/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/1/4)-(7/6/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4)-(3/1/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/4)-(7/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(7/6/3)-(5/8/4/6) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-6   WIN (7/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/6/3)-(7/6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/6/3)-(7/6/1/3)-(7/6/1/3) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
    DD (7/6/3)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/8/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6)-(5/8/4/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Aug27 Aug12 Jul02 Jun19 May27 (gardip)PATTERSON R 121 8.00    
OLIVE'S CANDY Aug12 Jul30 Jul02 Jun19 Jun11 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 1.80    
BELLE EPOQUE Jun24 Apr07 Mar01 Feb15 Jan01 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 117 10.00 13% 6.80    
REASONABLY LOVELY Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 May20 (keplin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 121 1.40 45% 1.20    
I'VE GOT ALL NITE Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 May20 (hartmann)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 121 3.00 20% 3.90    
 
ASD-2   09/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J L COPPER Aug19 Jul10 Jun26 Jun12 Sep18 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 1.80    
DADDYSRAREEDITION Aug26 Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 Jul03 (rowe mic)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
DARE TO ENDURE Aug19 Aug06 Jul03     (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
SCR  THIRSTY BABY Aug06 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun12 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 15.00    
AIR FORCE RESERVE Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
ROUGH CUSTOMER Aug26 Aug05 Jul22 Jul16 Jun26 (stanford maria)CHOW CHAVION 122 20.00    
 
ASD-3   09/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EVEN PANDURA Aug26 Aug05 Jul16 Jun03 Mar30 (sanderson bru)CUMBERBATCH R 123 3.00    
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Aug20 Aug06 Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 5.00 8% 10.90    
TEXAS RAIN Aug26 Jul16 Jul02 Jun17 Aug23 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 121 10.00    
DYNAMIC STRIKE Aug20 Aug06 Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 (anders)PATTERSON R 117 1.60 30% 2.30    
DAMN THE TORPEDOES Aug28 Aug05 Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
ASD-4   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEAPARTYTODAY Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 Jun19 Jun04 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 119 5.00    
ROCKIN ATTHE PARTY Jun16 Jun02 May19 Sep12 Sep04 (champagne cora)BELLE SHAVON 122 8.00 22% 3.60    
I LOVE MY LIFE Aug26 Aug12 Jul22 Jul08 Jun12 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 0.50 56% 0.80    
NOIWONTBACKDOWN Aug26 Aug12 Jul01 Jun12 Sep20 (ross cour)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
WITT'S JERRY Aug26 Jul04 Apr05 Mar23 Mar15 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 25.00    
MOR OF TADAA Aug28 Aug06 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (pruitt lise)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 10.00    
 
ASD-5   09/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD SPECIAL Aug21 Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 Sep20 (delaronde lee)CHOW CHAVION 124 4.00 25% 3.00    
REALLY SLOW Aug20 Aug13 Jul29 Jul23 Jul01 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 20.00    
PODEROSO EQUS Aug14 Aug05 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (gardipy t)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 1.80 40% 1.50    
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Aug21 Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
PRAIRIE DRIFTER Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 2.50    
FRISCO KID Aug19 Jul29 Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 6.00    
 
ASD-6   09/04/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WESTOVER Aug19 Aug06 Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.50    
THE CALABRESE KID Aug19 Aug05 Jul23 Jul15 Jun26 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 122 15.00    
COURAGEOUS Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 (stanford mari)PARRIS SACHIN 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
MR. DAZZLE Aug20 Aug05 Jul22 Jun24 Jun05 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 2.50    
BOSSY HOLIDAY Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 4.50    
PURRSIBILITY Jul30 Jul16 Jun12 May28 Aug21 (delaronde l)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 20.00 8% 11.00    
RIDE EM Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 (gittens devon)BELLE SHAVON 124 1.60 61% 0.60    
 
ASD-7   09/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.4K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FINALIZE Aug19 Aug05 Jul22 Jul09 Jun17 (gardipy j)CUMBERBATCH R 124 6.00    
GEORGIANO Jul15 Jul08 Jun09 May21 Apr26 (delaro)PATTERSON R 121 25.00    
SCR  HOUSE LIMIT Aug27 Aug20 Aug13 Jul23 Jul02 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 10.00    
ORCADIAN STORM Aug28 Aug12 Jul29 Jul02 Jun18 (ellis an)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 15.00 6% 15.90    
SOMETHING SUPER Aug21 Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul19 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
GOLDENEYED Aug12 Jul29 Jul23 Jul10 Jun18 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 124 8.00 5% 17.70    
WELDON G Aug20 Aug04 Jul28 Jul21 Jul13 (rawson fred)CHOW CHAVION 124 5.00    
CLUB CHAMP Aug27 Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Jun18 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.