Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Sunday - September 01, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-3   WIN (5/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3)-(5/1/2/3) 24 $2.00 $48.00 
ELK-5   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-7   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2)-(6/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-9   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/7)-(1/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
ELK-10   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-3   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUENO REAL Aug04 Jul20 Jun22 Jun09 May19 (hadley joe)GAMEZ M 122 12.00 25% 3.00    
  (by DORRANCE out of ROYAL RAJA by AMERICAIN)
2  MCCLUSKY         (condie kenda)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 10.00 14% 5.90    
  (by ASTERN out of MS. MISSY MIESQUE by MINGUN)
3  M K BIRTHDAY Aug04         (badilla manu)NUNNALLY BLAKE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TOM'S TRIBUTE out of JAZZ ON THE BEACH by FOOTSTEPSINTHESAND)
4  TRES TENADORES Aug18         (dominguez joseph)ARANA JOSE 122 12.00    
  (by POTOMAC RIVER out of DELIGHTFUL EVENT by DEL MAR SHOW)
5  SUN PHOENIX Aug24 Jul06 Jun22 Jun09   (domin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of ARTILLERA by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  DAX A DREAMING Aug18 Jul20 Jun29 Jun16 Jul23 (jensen mark)ALAYA ERIC 122 4.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ALEC'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
7  LATEST ATTRACTION Aug30 Aug24 Aug04 Jul06 Jun15 (burns eugene)SAENZ JOE 121 6.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of RIVERTON by BROKEN VOW)
 
ELK-5   09/01/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BARBIERE Aug18 Aug11 Jun30 Jun16 Jun02 (tsosie terri)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.50 51% 1.00    
2  WOLFRAM Aug18 Jun15 Jun02 May27 Aug18 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00    
3  MUSCLE HEAD Aug18 Aug10 May26 May12 Sep16 (tsosi)ARMENTA ACEVEDO 124 4.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  PERFECT TOM Aug30 Aug16 Aug03 Jul07 Oct28 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 3.50    
5  NOOGE Aug24 Aug17 Aug04 Jun22 Apr18 (mckinney kyn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60    
6  KEENEYE GEORGE Aug23 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 Jun08 (theurer josh)ALAYA ERIC 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELK-7   09/01/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET MY POINT Aug30 Aug17 Aug10 Aug04 Jul14 (van tassell )MORENO T 121 12.00    
2  NEEDABETTERJOCK Aug17 Jul27 Jul20 Jun30 Jun15 (scudd)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 6.00 5% 17.30    
3  EMPEROR'S CHOICE Aug24 Aug18 Aug03 Jul06 Jun23 (leon alexis)SAENZ JOE 124 8.00    
4  STAYIN' OUT LATE Aug17 Aug10 Jul20 Nov20 Oct30 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 10.00    
5  DONTIM Aug17 Aug10 Jul21 Jul07 Jun23 (mcneely lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 35% 1.80    
6  THIRTYMINUTEMASS Aug10 Jul13 Jun22 Sep24 Sep08 (simpson gary)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.00 38% 1.70    
 
ELK-9   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST George Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BETTOR TRIP NICK Aug18 Aug03 Sep04 Aug05 Feb24 (christoffersen fa)GAMEZ M 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by BOAT TRIP out of BETTOR KNOT by IN EXCESS (IRE))
2  TAG ME Aug24 Aug18 Aug11 Aug03 Jul06 (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 2.50    
  (by DRAMEDY out of CELTIC TIGRESS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
3  BET ON DAD Aug30 Aug17 Sep02 Aug26 May05 (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 20% 4.10    
  (by DADS CAPS out of HANSELINA by HANSEL)
4  MAJESTIC LIAISON Aug30 Aug18 Jul27 Jul06 Jun22 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00    
  (by LIAISON out of MAJESTIC CHIVETTE by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
5  FASCINATED Aug18 Jul27 Jul21 Jul14 Jun29 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 8.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of ROLL YOUR EYES by POPULAR (SAF))
SCR  TIZ CURLY JOE Aug30 Aug24 Aug09 Aug07 Jun30 (tschirgi brian)ORTIZ PEDRO 124 6.00    
  (by OUTRAGEOUS LIMIT out of SWISS CAUSE by CREATIVE CAUSE)
7  STAND TO Aug30 Aug24 Aug17 Jun22 Jun09 (van tassell )MORENO T 124 10.00 19% 4.30    
  (by HARBOR THE GOLD out of I'M SHOOTIN HIGH by SON'S CORONA)
 
ELK-10   09/01/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST White Pine Racing Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREY ROGUE Aug18 Jul20 Jul13 Jun29 Jun14 (gibbs tyler)SAENZ JOE 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
  (by MORO TAP out of IRENE G by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  CUCINA Aug30 Aug23 Aug18 Aug10 Jul21 (scudder mike)ALAYA ERIC 124 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN AFLEET out of IL MULINO by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  WILLY B Aug18 Aug11 Jul06 Jun09 Oct08 (mcnee)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 1.60 33% 2.00    
  (by TULSA TE out of LUCCI'S PRIZE by R W'S PRIZE)
4  MCGEORGE Aug18 Aug10 Jul13 Jun15 Oct01 (christoffersen fa)GAMEZ M 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STREET GEORGE out of MCBOOMER by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  ROYAL JOKER Aug30 Aug18 Aug17 Jun15 Apr08 (dominguez josep)ORTIZ PEDRO 124 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
6  TOOTHLESS WONDER Aug18 Jul14 Jun29 Jun09 Sep04 (scudder mike)NUNNALLY BLAKE 124 3.50    
  (by STREET BOSS out of AWESOMEKAYLEE by AWESOME AGAIN)
7  LEAP DAY Aug18 Aug03 Jul21 Jun28 Jun23 (tsosie terri)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SLY STAR by COLONEL JOHN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.