Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Del Mar
Friday - August 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

DMR-1   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(6/4/1/5) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(6/4/1/5)-(8/9/3/7) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
DMR-2   WIN (6/4/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5)-(6/4/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/5)-(8/9/3/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/5)-(8/9/3/7)-(8/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-3   WIN (8/9/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/7)-(8/9/3/7/10)-(8/9/3/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (8/9/3/7)-(8/3/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/7)-(8/3/2)-(2/7/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-4   WIN (8/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/2)-(8/3/7/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/2)-(8/3/7/6/2)-(8/3/7/6/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/2)-(2/7/9/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (8/3/2)-(2/7/9/6)-(2/3/4/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-5   WIN (2/7/9/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/7/9/6)-(2/7/9/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/9/6)-(2/7/9/6)-(2/7/9/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/7/9/6)-(2/3/4/7) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (2/7/9/6)-(2/3/4/7)-(3/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
DMR-6   WIN (2/3/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/9/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/4/7)-(2/3/4/9/7)-(2/3/4/9/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/4/7)-(3/5/4) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4/7)-(3/5/4)-(7/2/4/10/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
DMR-7   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(7/2/4/10/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
DMR-8   WIN (7/2/4/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/4/10/6)-(7/2/4/10/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/4/10/6)-(7/2/4/10/6)-(7/2/4/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
DMR-1   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3 ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETSHAVEONEMORE Aug11 Jul06 Jun14 May18 Apr21 (garcia anto)HERRERA A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
WHEREVER YOU ARE Jun23 May24 Apr15 Aug19   (belvoir vann)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
MAXIMUM CAPACITY Jun14 Apr25 Mar08 Jan20 Jan01 (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 4.00 12% 7.70    
MIDNIGHT LOVE Aug03 Jun30 Jun08 May10 Feb24 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 4.50    
HAYWOOD Aug03 Jul07 Jun08 May11 Sep18 (sherman st)GONZALEZ RICARDO 120 2.50 36% 1.70    
EIGHT CLAP Jul27 Jun07 May12 Mar29 Mar01 (hobson sim)ORANTES R 113 3.00 22% 3.60    
ALWAYS ON CAY Jul27 May04 Mar10 Feb17 Dec03 (hess b)MALDONADO E 120 5.00    
 
DMR-2   08/23/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($50K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHATMAKESSAMMYRUN Aug10 Jul28 Jun16 May26 Jun16 (sweezey kent)BAZE C 119 5.00 11% 7.80    
BIG HAT WILLIE Aug03 Jul05 May19 Apr27 Feb24 (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 123 4.00    
MONGOLIAN ALTAI Jul27 Jun16 May27 Apr27 Mar23 (ganbat enebi)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 20.00    
BURNIN TURF Jun23 Apr27 Mar21 Feb08 Jan19 (hernandez san)VALDIVIA JR 121 3.50 22% 3.60    
CASTLE LEOCH Jul21 Jan07 Dec03 Oct29 Oct01 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
EVENING SUN (GB) Nov05 Aug19 Jul23 Apr30 Mar11 (mullins jeff)FRESU ANTONIO 121 5.00 39% 1.60    
MARGOT'S BOY Aug04 Jan01 Dec02 Oct29 Sep29 (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 121 1.80    
 
DMR-3   08/23/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOBLE RUNNER Aug02 Jul04       (papaprodromou)VALDIVIA JR 121 15.00    
MAX'S MAXINE May03 Apr04 Mar02 Feb11 Jan15 (sherman steve )CEDILLO ABEL 121 5.00 5% 18.60    
ROSES N' CHROME Aug02 May27       (nunez jesus)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 124 20.00    
BRUINS MASTERY Jun22 Aug18 Oct15     (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00    
I'M STILL IN IT Aug01 May10 Apr20 Mar04 Nov04 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.00    
HIGH FLYING GRACIE Aug01 Jul05 Jun30 May24 Apr26 (knapp steve)LAPRIDA JEREMY 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
LOOKS LUCKY         (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 121 4.50 63% 0.60    
MORGAN'S BLUFF Mar30 Feb10 Jan05 Aug17 Jul22 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 124 6.00 11% 8.00    
10  NICELY CURVED Jul05 Jun15 Oct20 Aug27 Jul29 (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 8.00    
11  SMILING AMY Aug02 Oct20 Oct06 Sep03 Aug06 (winick debbie)FREY KYLE 124 15.00    
SCR  MISS WORLD PEACE Dec03         ( )TBA null      
 
DMR-4   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CULLEN J         (baltas rich)HERRERA A 120 6.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DISKO DASKO by COUNTRY REEL)
FARENHEIT O C         (blacker daniel)FREY KYLE 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of ZILLA by STORMY ATLANTIC)
LORD DUNMORE         (sadler joh)HERNANDEZ J 120 3.50 28% 2.50    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of GOOD ON PAPER by WAR FRONT)
COACH CHUCK         (stute gary)BAZE C 120 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of DESTINY'S REWARD by HORSE CHESTNUT (SAF))
SOLO GANO         (mendez luis)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 10.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of INDIAN FIESTA by INDIAN CHARLIE)
HEPHEPCUTDOWNNETS         (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of R TRUE TALENT by YES IT'S TRUE)
KALE'S ANGEL Aug02         (miller pete)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
CAJUN GOLD Aug02         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by CAJUN BREEZE out of GOLDMINER'S DREAM by DISTORTED HUMOR)
GRINNELL         (gaines carla)FRESU ANTONIO 120 8.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of GYPSY GREY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
DMR-5   08/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEAUTY N THE BOLT Jun28 May30 Apr27 Mar06 Feb07 (ruis sr)CEDILLO ABEL 119 6.00    
SEPTEMBER MAGIC Aug09         (hanson rya)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 29% 2.50    
RUTHLESS RUA Jun02 May16 Apr20 Mar27 Feb21 (wilensky sam)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
SCR  SKY SAILING Aug02 Jun08 May24 May04 Mar17 (garcia anto)HERRERA A 121 12.00    
SIDE BY SIDE Jan28 Dec01 Nov02 Oct07 Sep01 (headley kare)LAFAYE CAMILLE 115 30.00    
STRIKINGLY Aug02 Jun13 May17 Apr21 Mar17 (polanco marc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
A TOAST TO LANIE Aug02         (mullins je)GONZALEZ RICARDO 121 6.00 25% 3.00    
NANCI GRIFFITH Aug01 Jun29 May31 Apr26 Mar15 (miyadi ste)ORANTES R 114 5.00    
MISTY MUPPET Dec01 Oct20 Aug17 Jul08   (garcia franci)AYUSO ARMANDO 119 4.50 20% 4.00    
 
DMR-6   08/23/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIPPER ME TIMBERS Jul20         (callaghan s)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 30.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ROMAN BLUFF by ROMAN RULER)
SANTARENA Jul20 May27 Apr26 Apr06 Mar09 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 121 2.00 30% 2.40    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of CATCH MY FANCY by YES IT'S TRUE)
MR. MUSTACHE         (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
  (by UPSTART out of HAVEN'S HONEY by E DUBAI)
BALTHAZAR Jun09 May04 Mar09 Jun17 Jun03 (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 10.00 19% 4.40    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HURRICANE WAY Jul25 Jun07 May04 Apr04   (blacker dan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 8.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of EVENING WIND by CURLIN)
OSAGE CREEK Jul26 Jun08 Aug03 Jun18   (hanson ryan)CEDILLO ABEL 121 15.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FAR ISLE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
LAUGIER NIGHT (IRE) Jul26 Feb03       (damato philip)FREY KYLE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LAUREN'S GIRL by PERFECT)
RUNNING SPARTAN Jul26 Jul04       (papaprodrom)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 10.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of WOODSBORO by CONGRATS)
OSCAR JOY Jul25 Jun08       (miller pet)HERNANDEZ J 121 3.50    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of REVERSIONTOTHEMEAN by CURLIN)
SCR  PROSPER Jul26 Jun08 Apr26 Mar09 Jan21 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 4.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
DMR-7   08/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPEED GRAZY Jul26 Jun02 May19 May03 Apr05 (glatt mark)FRESU ANTONIO 123 2.00    
BRAZENLY Jul26 Jul07 Jun14 May19 May04 (azcarate dan)GARCIA ERICK 125 4.00    
OUBABE Aug03 May25 Apr21 Jul30 Jun17 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 125 2.50 28% 2.50    
BE PUNCTUAL Aug08 Feb23 Jan26 Dec30 May28 (freeman edw)GUTIERREZ MARIO 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
DONNER LAKE Sep02 Jan07 Nov04 Oct09 Aug28 (mccarthy m)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  LOGON TO WIN Aug04 Jun15 Jun02 May04 Jan21 (dealba)BERRIOS ISAAC 123 10.00    
 
DMR-8   08/23/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HARPER'S GALLOP Aug25 Aug18 Jun16 May06 Mar18 (powell leo)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50    
BIG MAMA SUE Jul26 Jun01 May17 Nov27 Oct02 (aguirre paul)AYUSO ARMANDO 123 3.50 21% 3.90    
VRONSKY FEINT Jul26 Jul04 Jun14 May10 Mar15 (lopez l)BAZE C 121 30.00    
MADIHA Jul26 Jun08 May25 May04 Mar17 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA V 123 5.00 17% 4.80    
SHE'S A JOKER Jul25 Jul06 May10 Mar29 Feb18 (miller pete)RISPOLI UMBERTO 121 8.00    
ZEYARAAT Jul26 Jun08 May12 Apr26 Feb02 (cerin vladim)DESORMEAUX J 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
SAREEHA (IRE) Jun09 May25 Apr28 Apr12 Feb25 (mathis andy)CEDILLO ABEL 121 6.00 33% 2.00    
INNER BEAUTY (IRE) Jul26 May18 Apr21 Feb16 Dec31 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 121 10.00    
CHASINGSERENDIPITY Jul26 Mar01 Jan05 Jun10 Feb13 (cerin vladimi)VALDIVIA JR 121 15.00    
10  SKY MAKER Jul26 Jun07 May25 Apr28 Mar17 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 123 10.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  ADELIE (IRE) Aug09 Jun09 Apr26 Mar22 Feb23 ( )TBA null      
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.