Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Wednesday - August 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $0.20 $0.80 
    DD (2/3)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(2/3/5)-(6/1/2) 18 $0.20 $3.60 
ASD-2   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/3/5)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(6/1/2)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-3   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (6/1/2)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(2/5/3)-(4/5/1) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-4   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/5/3)-(4/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(4/5/1)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-5   WIN (4/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/1)-(4/5/1)-(4/5/1) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/5/1)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1)-(3/1/2)-(5/7/4) 27 $0.20 $5.40 
ASD-6   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (3/1/2)-(5/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
ASD-7   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 18 $0.20 $3.60 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO ARETHA Jul16 Jul03 May28 May21 Oct09 (gardipy j)PARRIS SACHIN 109 15.00    
SOMETHING SUPER Sep11 Aug21 Aug07 Jul19 Jul05 (keplin j)BALROOP SVEN 124 0.80 71% 0.40    
BIG CITY BOY Aug04 Jul28 Jul13 May19 Dec07 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
GIACOMETTI Jul08 Jun05 Dec06 Oct23 Oct09 (gardip)PATTERSON R 124 1.80    
MINISTER MAZ Jul29 Jul15 Jun03 May28 Apr26 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 124 12.00    
 
ASD-2   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ZIBIBBO Aug01 Jul11 Jun13 May23   (anderson carl)CHOW CHAVION 117 2.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of COLORINO by INCLUDE)
MAJESTIC APPEAL Jul27 May31 May11 Oct14 Aug13 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 117 1.00 30% 2.40    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WITCH'S COVEN by CUVEE)
MYSTERY DANCE Jul15 Jun25 Jun17 Jun04   (gaskin stev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 112 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by MANK out of WITH IT'S FEET by CAPE CANAVERAL)
PRESS ON BABY Aug13 Jul30 Jul15 Jul10 Jun05 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 107 8.00    
  (by DADDY LONG LEGS out of MOONRAGS by UNION RAGS)
TREE HUGGER Aug06 Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May20 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 117 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of FAITH IN ME by MR. GREELEY)
BOTTLES AN BIBLES Aug13 Jul30 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 (anders)PATTERSON R 123 30.00    
  (by LIAISON out of FOOLHEARTEDMEMORY by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
 
ASD-3   08/21/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GO FER         (taphorn mike)ALI RONALD 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DELIZIA by DISTANT VIEW)
CONSPIRACYTHEORIST         (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 122 10.00 7% 13.50    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of HOLY FORCE by MACHO UNO)
MAJOR NOTE         (pruitt lise)CHOW CHAVION 122 6.00    
  (by NONIOS out of NOTE TO SELF by NOTEBOOK)
COAL BOY Jul16         (anders)PATTERSON R 122 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of SOLON'S WARNING by STORMY ATLANTIC)
ADVENTUROUS         (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00    
  (by ALWAYS DREAMING out of ALEC'S MOON by MALIBU MOON)
SILVERCREEK KID         (taphorn )STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 1.50 42% 1.40    
  (by STANFORD out of LADY LEMON DROP by LEMON DROP KID)
 
ASD-4   08/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHARMINGLY WITT Aug12 Jul02 Jun25 Mar30 Mar02 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 117 1.60    
DANZIGS STAR STORM Jul30 Jul16 Jun19 Jun11 May27 (anderson wend)CUMBERBATCH R 121 4.00 32% 2.20    
WOKE JOKE Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
BLUE EYED JO Aug14 Jul30 Jul16 Jul02 May18 (anders)PATTERSON R 121 30.00    
GET GUSSIED UP Aug04 Jul28 Jun18 May27 May06 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 117 10.00 22% 3.60    
DAISYSADOOZY Aug12 Jul22 Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 (gittens devon)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 1.20    
 
ASD-5   08/21/2024 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5.5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ETHAN'S ANIMAL Jul22 Jul09 Jun26 Jun12 Sep11 (desjar)PATTERSON R 122 15.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  PURRSIBILITY Jul30 Jul16 Jun12 May28 Aug21 (delaronde)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 122 12.00    
BEHAVIN MYSELF Jul27 Jun02 May18 May05 Apr20 (cavanaug)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 122 6.00    
GOLD SPECIAL Jul08 Jun17 Jun04 Sep20 Sep11 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 124 3.00 35% 1.90    
LAB RAT Aug12 Jul23 Jul03 Sep20 Sep06 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
HOT STOVE LEAGUE Aug05 Jul03 Jun25 May20 Apr27 (tourangeau )KNIGHTS RACHAAD 119 1.60    
 
ASD-6   08/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONMAN RULES Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 4.50 29% 2.40    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
THREE ROUGH SHODS Aug06 Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May21 (cole terry)BADRIE PRAYVEN 124 15.00 8% 11.10    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ART FAN by LEAR FAN)
GOLDEN DIVERSION Aug06 Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 119 1.80 36% 1.80    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
ANTIGUA SKY Jul16 Jul02 Jun12     (gaskin steven)PARRIS SACHIN 109 40.00    
  (by IT'S NO JOKE out of IMPULSIVE BUY by MAX FOREVER)
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Aug06 Jul27 Jul14 Jun07 May03 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 30.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SHE'S LETHAL by MASS MEDIA)
PINO BAMBINO Aug06 Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 (gaskin st)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 12.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
SCR  BECKSTER Jun28 Jun16 May23 Apr26   (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 119 1.20    
  (by AUDIBLE out of CURLIN N TWIRLIN by CURLIN)
 
ASD-7   08/21/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCARLETT'S FLOWER Aug12 Jul29 Jul03 Jun17 Jun10 (jordan)PATTERSON R 123 15.00    
IN OUR DREAMS Aug13 Jul10 Jun19 Jun05 Nov11 (anderson carl)BALROOP SVEN 123 50.00    
ANNAKHOZANA Aug12 Jul29 Jul08 Jun19 Jun05 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 6.00    
JUST FOR CHARLOTTE Aug14 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun05 (jordan jennife)DAWKINS DANE 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
AYY LADIES Aug12 Jul29 Jul16 Jun17 Jun05 (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 123 1.40 57% 0.70    
GOLDEN TRAIN Aug13 Jul30 Jul16 Jul03 Jun03 (ellis andre)CHOW CHAVION 123 3.50    
FILLY FATALE Aug12 Jul23 Jul09 Jul02 Jun10 (anderson wend)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 2.50 16% 5.40    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.