Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Saturday - August 10, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (4/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3)-(4/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/1/3)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5/1/3)-(1/3)-(6/1/7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-2   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/3)-(6/1/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(8/4/3/7) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3)-(6/1/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/3)-(8/4/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/3)-(8/4/3/7)-(2/8/9/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (8/4/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7)-(8/4/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/3/7)-(2/8/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/4/3/7)-(2/8/9/6/7)-(8/6/4) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-5   WIN (2/8/9/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/9/6/7)-(2/8/9/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/9/6/7)-(2/8/9/6/7)-(2/8/9/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/9/6/7)-(8/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/8/9/6/7)-(8/6/4)-(4/9/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-6   WIN (8/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/6/4)-(8/6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/6/4)-(8/6/4/7)-(8/6/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/6/4)-(4/9/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/6/4)-(4/9/2)-(4/7/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/9/2)-(4/9/2/7)-(4/9/2/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/9/2)-(4/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
CT-8   WIN (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/2)-(4/7/8/3/2)-(4/7/8/3/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUNE BELLE Jul20 Jun20 Jun07 Oct27 Oct06 (tobin edw)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 119 15.00 9% 10.20    
  (by KEEN ICE out of TAPITEAO by TAPIT)
CITY OF ARCHES Aug01 Jul11       (stehr jos)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 119 30.00    
  (by SIENTE EL TRUENO out of BREEZY ARCH by ADMIRALTY ARCH)
SHAMELESS VISIONS Jul25 Jun08       (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BULLSBAY out of COLOR VISION by NOONMARK)
STILL GRUMPY Jun29 Jun20       (petty kristy)LARROSA G 119 1.00 50% 1.00    
  (by CAPO BASTONE out of EARLY ANNUITY by LUFTIKUS)
HOUSE ALERT Jun29         (rofe jean)THORPE DARIUS 124 3.00 14% 6.20    
  (by LIMEHOUSE out of BANK TELLER by BANKER'S GOLD)
SISTER WINNIE Jul11 Jun08 May30 Feb23   (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 119 8.00    
  (by REDIRECT out of AUNT WINNIE by DEPUTY MINISTER)
FAR MORE Aug01 Feb14 Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 (groves janice)MAWING A 124 4.00    
  (by LANGFUHR out of ANNAPOLIS HARBOR by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
 
CT-2   08/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROJA LIGERA Jul25 Jun30 May12 Apr05 Mar16 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
MIDNIGHT PASS Jul11 May18 Apr25 Mar14 Mar02 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 120 20.00 7% 13.30    
KAPADOKYA Jul06 Jun15 May25 May11 Apr20 (maldonado jonath)CRUZ ANGEL 118 5.00 15% 5.80    
STOLEN LAUGHTER Jun28 Jun01 May05 Sep03   (figgins)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 111 0.60    
SCR  LIL BOUGIE Jun14 May24 May02 Mar02 Feb10 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
SCR  STYLISH ANNA Jul31 Jul17 Jul04 Jun22 May25 (richards re)ROBLES O 113 6.00    
EVERYDAYISAGIFT Jul18 Jun28 Jun08 May16 Apr25 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 15.00    
 
CT-3   08/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LANDON JACK Jul12 Jun21 May31 May10 Apr19 (farrior anth)LEWIS M 117 2.00 23% 3.30    
FIFTY FIFTY Sep28 Sep07 Jul08 Jun22 Oct15 (campbell larr)ADAMS L 115 30.00    
FOREVER TAKES TIME Jun29 Mar23 Feb10 Jan25 Jan04 (barber bo)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
CAJUN JOE Jul06 Jun13 May23 May04 Apr27 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 118 4.00    
SCR  FROGGY THE GREMLIN Jul19 May25 May03 Apr18 Feb24 (locklear )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 20.00    
CIRCLE THE MOON Jul13 Jun29 Jun07 May23 Apr26 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 1.80 40% 1.50    
ALLEN CAN DO IT Jul25 Jun29 May30 May04 Apr19 (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 6.00 10% 8.60    
BALI'S SHADE Jul13 Jun28 Jun15 May31 May17 (murtaugh andre)REAP E 122 20.00    
 
CT-4   08/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR RENDEZVOUS Jul20 May18 May02 Apr12 Mar20 (contreras javie)BOCACHICA O 122 4.00    
ROAD PUNCH Jul26 Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 Nov16 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 115 20.00    
JUBA'S MOCHA Jul20 Jul11 Jun21 Jun01 Apr26 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 2.50 9% 9.80    
GREATEST NOTION Jul20 Jun20 Apr13 Mar21 Feb24 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 3.00 11% 8.50    
SHINEY GHOST Jul20 Jun29 Jun08 May18 May10 (aylor william )REAP E 120 8.00    
SPYDYLEGS Jul20 Jun08 May18 Apr26 Apr13 (hess jacob )ESPINOZA ALEXIS 122 10.00 7% 12.70    
MONKEY WRENCH Jul20 Jun29 Jun13 May18 May02 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 122 20.00    
RIDE THE BRAND Jul26 Jul13 Jun20 May10 Apr05 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
 
CT-5   08/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET'S DO THIS Jul25 Jul04 Jun08 May31 Mar21 (aylor natasha )REAP E 122 10.00    
SHEWEARSSTILETTOS Jul04 May21 Apr18 Mar30 Mar02 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 6.00 32% 2.10    
MY SWEETHEART DANI Jul21 Jun16 May05 Mar28 Mar20 (ramgeet andre )CHILO MAXIMO 118 10.00    
BALI HAI Jul26 Jun15 May05 Apr19 Feb18 (scott alfr)SCHNEIDER JOSEPH 122 5.00    
STORMI VANNA Jun27 May24 May02 Apr04 Mar06 (locklear )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 15.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jul25 May31 Apr18 Mar21 Mar01 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 10% 8.70    
PLAYING FOR TWO Jul25 Jul06 Jun14 Jun08 May24 (shanley timo)LEWIS M 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TRUE BUCKPASSING Jul25 Jun27 Jun14 May30 May09 (racanelli m)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
WINDSOR'S MEMORY Jul25 Jun08 May24 May03 Mar27 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
 
CT-6   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LET'S EAT Jul04 Jun13 Apr27 Mar16 Feb28 (gillespie rya)THORPE DARIUS 122 30.00    
ROCK ANNA ROLL Jun08 May18 May04 Feb07 Jan19 (stites w)ACOSTA D 120 12.00    
KAYLEE'S SPITFIRE Jul19 Jun29 Jun06 May09 Mar07 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 5.00    
LOGSTRADAMUS Jul05 Jun07 Dec05 Aug25 Aug04 (meehan eliza)WHITACRE GRANT 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
LORD OF CORK Jul19 Jun28 Jun20 May18 Apr26 (sigler)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 15.00    
ROAD PARTY Jul19 Oct14 Aug25 Aug10 Jul06 (grigsby ant)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 24% 3.30    
I'LLTAKECAREOFIT Jul19 Jul12 Jun28 Jun08 May30 (petty kri)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 20.00    
JUBA'S HAT TRICK Jul19 Jun27 Jun08 May18 Apr26 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 0.80 54% 0.90    
 
CT-7   08/10/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR. MOX Jul05 Jun12 May05 Mar29 Mar08 (walters d)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 15.00    
REMYS SHOWTIME Jul24 Mar30 Feb29 Feb07 Jan25 (johnson r)HO WESLEY 120 6.00 12% 7.40    
JAZZ WITH DENIS Jul05 Jun07 May24 May10 Apr18 (gomez r)LARROSA G 120 30.00    
THEWITCHISGONE Jul26 Jul05 Jun14 May18 Apr27 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 31% 2.30    
OZONE Jul18 Jun29 Jun13 May23 May04 (butts e)LEWIS M 111 6.00    
HEADS OR TAILS Jul06 Jun16 May31 Apr20 Apr13 (brown r)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 113 5.00    
MARK DID IT Jul27 Jul06 Jun14 May25 May04 (adorno l)BOCACHICA O 120 12.00 12% 7.50    
LET'S GO MARK Jun29 Feb11 Jan06 Dec20 Nov23 (hurley tin)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 4.00    
STARLITE WALKER Jul17 Jun27 May23 May10 Mar07 (graci kim)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 20% 4.00    
 
CT-8   08/10/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEVER MORE VALOR Jul20 Jul07 Jun15 May03   (robb j)HO WESLEY 118 4.00    
MISTYMORNINGSGIRL Jan03 Dec02       (mcgoey mon)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
GOLDEN RUN Jul20 Jun15 May17 Apr20 Apr04 (collins tim)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 5.00    
S S ITS FUN TO RUN Jul20 Jun15 May30 May10 Apr20 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 118 1.60 50% 1.00    
SK'S HEART Jun28 Apr26 Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 (locklear )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 122 20.00    
HIDDEN RIVER Jul18 Jun28 Jun15 May30 May10 (atkins michae)ADAMS L 111 30.00    
NEVER WALK ALONE Aug01 Jun15 Jun06 May10 Apr20 (ceciliano misae)BOCACHICA O 122 6.00 24% 3.20    
GET LOADED Jul18 Jun28 Jan24 Dec23 Nov30 (jones micha)ESPINOZA ALEXIS 124 4.50    
GATOR TWENTY FIVE Jul20 Jun28 Jan20 Dec06   (lewis w)MALDONADO CHRISTIAN 115 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.