Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Assiniboia Downs
Tuesday - August 06, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ASD-1   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (4/1/2)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(7/1/2/6)-(2/3/4) 36 $0.20 $7.20 
ASD-2   WIN (7/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6)-(7/1/2/6) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (7/1/2/6)-(2/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/6)-(2/3/4)-(5/6/4/3) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-3   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.20 $1.20 
    DD (2/3/4)-(5/6/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(5/6/4/3)-(5/6/7/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
ASD-4   WIN (5/6/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/4/3/2)-(5/6/4/3/2) 48 $0.20 $9.60 
    DD (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/7/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6/4/3)-(5/6/7/2)-(4/2/1/9/8) 80 $0.20 $16.00 
ASD-5   WIN (5/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2)-(5/6/7/2) 24 $0.20 $4.80 
    DD (5/6/7/2)-(4/2/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/2)-(4/2/1/9/8)-(4/8/3/2/7) 100 $0.20 $20.00 
ASD-6   WIN (4/2/1/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/2/1/9/8)-(4/2/1/9/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/2/1/9/8)-(4/2/1/9/8)-(4/2/1/9/8) 60 $0.20 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/1/9/8)-(4/8/3/2/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
ASD-7   WIN (4/8/3/2/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7)-(4/8/3/2/7) 60 $0.20 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
ASD-1   08/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAPTIVE KITTEN Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Sep20 Sep06 (morse victo)BADALOO DOUGLAS 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
COURAGEOUS Jul29 Jul15 Jun10 Sep11 Aug30 (stanford maria)CHOW CHAVION 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
WESTOVER Jul09 Jun26 Jun05 May21 Mar17 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 3.00    
RIDE EM Jul22 Jul03 Jun18 Jun04 Sep12 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 2.00 68% 0.50    
BOSSY HOLIDAY Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May21 Dec03 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 122 2.50    
LUCKY LUKE Jul23 Jul08 Jun17 Jun03 Sep06 (delaronde lee)BELLE SHAVON 124 5.00    
 
ASD-2   08/06/2024 4950ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUSSIAN PEARL (NZ) Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun17 Jun03 (gittens dev)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 118 12.00 17% 4.80    
MAIBELLA Jul23 Jul10 Jul01 Jun19 Jun05 (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 123 10.00 15% 5.60    
DAZZLING GOLD Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 123 6.00    
SCR  MELISANDRE Jul16 Jun25 Jun04 May21 Aug22 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 123 1.80    
DAWN OF THE DEVIL Jul15 Jun25 Jun10 Aug14 Aug01 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 123 15.00    
CATCH THE DREAM Jul23 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 May27 (anderson carl)DAWKINS DANE 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
MECHANIC SUSIE Jul23 Jun17 May27 Aug23 Aug08 (dickey el)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 123 2.00 38% 1.70    
I AM MILA Jul23 Jul02 Jun19 Jun10 Sep20 (jordan)PATTERSON R 123 30.00    
 
ASD-3   08/06/2024 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Graduation Purse ($50K) 2 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED ROAD RUNNER Jul16         (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 120 3.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of SPELLS AND CHARMS by SCAT DADDY)
GEE I'M FOXY Jul23 Jul09       (brown jared)ALI RONALD 119 1.40 50% 1.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FOXY SARA by EVEN THE SCORE)
WELCOMETOHOLLYWOOD Jul23 Jul09       (brown jared)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 1.80 18% 4.70    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ARCH OF TROY by ARCHARCHARCH)
TURN IT LOOSE         (hartmann jami)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of CRITICAL CHOICE by MARQUETRY)
SNEAKY SITUATION Jul23         (brown shelley)CUMBERBATCH R 117 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of AFLEET LEXI by AFLEET ALEX)
 
ASD-4   08/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL MUZN Jul01 Jun18 Jun04 Sep13 Aug22 (desjarlais rya)CHOW CHAVION 124 8.00    
DOUBLE CORUBA Jul10 Jun04 May21     (nault michae)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 2.00    
TREE HUGGER Jul15 Jun25 Jun03 May20 Jan15 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
MOR OF TADAA Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May28 Aug29 (pruitt lise)CUMBERBATCH R 119 7.00 18% 4.60    
PICKIN' RIFFS Jul22 Jul01 Jun24 Jun11 May28 (anderson carl)BYNOE DAMARIO 116 3.00 36% 1.80    
THREE ROUGH SHODS Jul16 Jul02 Jun04 May21 Sep03 (cole ter)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 4.00 21% 3.70    
CHARLIE'S GLITTER Jul16 Jul01 Jun26     (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 119 30.00    
CAUSE I BELIEVE Jul02 Jun19 May21 Sep13 Jul04 (hartmann ja)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 114 15.00    
DADSAMUMBLER Jul16 Jul01 Jun04 May21 Apr26 (delaronde lee)PARRIS SACHIN 109 30.00    
 
ASD-5   08/06/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Manitoba Oaks Purse ($50K) 3 F PT-10:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY OAK Jun15 May11 Mar03 Oct25 Aug04 (wise rich)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 6.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of AIN'T SHE SWEET by STORM CAT)
ANTIFREEZE Jul06 Jun01 May17 Apr21 Mar22 (delaronde lee)DAWKINS DANE 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MITOLE out of QUEEB by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
MIDNIGHT LADY Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 May26 May03 (delaronde le)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of STEAL THE DANCE by TAPIT)
COMMANDOSLASTDANCE Jul22 Jul09 Jun19 Jun03 Sep18 (nault michael)CUMBERBATCH R 119 15.00    
  (by GOING COMMANDO out of SWEET TIZZY LIZZY by TIZNOW)
SHE'S MY NIECE Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Apr29 (brown jared)BYNOE DAMARIO 119 2.50 58% 0.70    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
ZORINA Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Apr18 (moreno carlos)ALI RONALD 114 2.00 14% 6.00    
  (by ENTICED out of MAGDALENA'S MOMENT by HARBOR THE GOLD)
DYNAMIC STRIKE Jul15 Jul02 Jun24 May27 May21 (anders)PATTERSON R 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANISH DYNAFORMER out of MORNING STRIKE by SMART STRIKE)
DIRTY FLIRT Jul15 Jul02 Mar03 Feb18 Dec13 (duncan murray)CHOW CHAVION 119 25.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of SUSAY SIXINTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
 
ASD-6   08/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT-10:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOONMAN RULES Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11   (stanford)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 119 10.00 18% 4.60    
  (by PENITENT MAN out of TIDY RULES by TENPINS)
GOLDEN DIVERSION Jul23 Jul15 Jul03 Jun12 Jun04 (delaronde lee)BALROOP SVEN 119 4.00 18% 4.40    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of LONDON MIST by AFLEET ALEX)
NOT TRUE Jul15         (johnson marion)BELLE SHAVON 114 30.00    
  (by NONIOS out of TRUE ATTRACTION by YES IT'S TRUE)
ICOULDBETHEONE Jul03 Jun19 Jun04     (hartmann jami)CUMBERBATCH R 119 2.00 22% 3.50    
  (by SATURDAYNITELITES out of SISTA BABY GIRL by SEATTLE FITZ (ARG))
DARE TO ENDURE Jul03         (pruitt li)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 119 3.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of GALINA POINT by SAFFIR)
MAGICAL TAP IN Jul23 Jun26 Jun11 May28   (maxwell cur)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 40.00    
  (by RALIS out of MAGIC VIXEN by TAPIT)
WITT SWEET SIXTEEN Jul27 Jul14 Jun07 May03 Mar23 (delaronde lee)BUDHU ARTHUR 124 15.00    
  (by DRUMS OF THUNDER out of SHE'S LETHAL by MASS MEDIA)
PINO BAMBINO Jul23 Jul10 Jun26 Jun11 May28 (gaskin steve)BADRIE PRAYVEN 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KLIMT out of FRANCHESCA by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
DISTINCT TALE Jul23 Jul10 Jun26     (hrymak brent)CHOW CHAVION 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
  (by TALE OF VERVE out of DISTINCTIVELY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
ASD-7   08/06/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT-11:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DARE MIGHTY THINGS Jul09 Oct07 Sep23 Sep01 Aug19 (hartmann jami)BYNOE DAMARIO 117 25.00    
VEGAS PLAYBOY Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Apr03 (buffalo marvi)CUMBERBATCH R 124 2.50 13% 7.00    
DIAMOND CONCERTO Jul15 Jun26 Jun12 May28 Mar09 (anderson wendy)DAWKINS DANE 117 4.00 13% 6.70    
JOHNNY PAYCHECK Jul09 Jun17 Jun05 Apr02 Feb18 (delarond)STEPHENSON NEVILLE 124 8.00 22% 3.50    
THIRSTY BABY Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 Jun12 Jun03 (anderson wendy)ALI RONALD 119 12.00    
ENANO CARO Jul16 Jul01 Jun04 Apr14 Feb18 (mooney bill)DALRYMPLE DARIO 119 30.00    
AIR FORCE RESERVE Jul22 Jun26 Jun11 Dec15 Nov24 (gardipy tom)KNIGHTS RACHAAD 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
LOLLIPOP KID Jul23 Jul03 Jun17 Jun05 May27 (brown she)WHITEHALL ANTONIO 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
LIFES ADVENTURE Jul26 Jun28 Jun14 May18 Sep30 (anderson gon)BADRIE PRAYVEN 122 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.