Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    PK3 (4)-(6/5)-(5/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
PRM-5   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(5/4/2/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(5/4/2/7)-(6/2/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/4/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7)-(5/4/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/2/7)-(6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2/7)-(6/2/5)-(2/8/7/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(2/8/7/3)-(5/1/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/8/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3)-(2/8/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/7/3)-(5/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/7/3)-(5/1/2)-(2/6/3/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PRM-9   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(2/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-10   WIN (2/6/3/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9)-(2/6/3/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($27.498K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DIAL SUM IN Jul07 May17 Sep30 Aug06 Jul21 (von kelly)BIRZER E 122 2.00    
2  CUPIDS SWEETY Jun29 Jun14 May27 May10 Sep08 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 118 3.00    
SCR  SWEET STROLL Jun24 Jun03 May19 Sep29 Sep15 (martinez )TRIANA JR 122 4.00    
4  FLAT OUT ROSE Jun24 May31 May19 Dec19 Nov21 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 35% 1.80    
5  HOP AWAY HOTTIE Jul05 Jun14 May27 Apr28 Apr07 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 6.00    
6  INCA STROLL Jun21 Jun09 May31 Sep30 Sep08 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 118 8.00 ★    
 
PRM-5   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25.433K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SECRET BLARNEY Jun24 Jun09 May26 Sep30 Sep18 (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 120 6.00    
2  DISCREET INVASION Jun28 May19 Feb02 Dec02 Nov16 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 120 3.00    
3  WOKE UP IN LOVE May20 Nov01 Oct13 Sep18 Sep04 (arnett g)TOHILL S 124 1.60    
SCR  LUCKY LOUIE Jul05 Jun15 May24 Dec30 Dec08 (johnston lane)BACON W 113 10.00    
5  TIN BADGE Jun15 Apr01 Nov08 Oct14 Sep17 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 3.50 8% 10.80    
6  SHUT UP MAN Jun21 May19 Mar03 Jan27 Dec29 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00 33% 2.00    
 
PRM-6   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOUSAND SPRINGS Jun30 May17 Apr06 Feb24 Feb03 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.50    
2  DARYL'S BOLT Jun29 Jun09 May27 Apr14 Sep16 (condon schuyle)WILLIAMS REY 125 2.50 6% 16.10    
3  SURPRISE ROAD TRIP Jun10 May26 May11 Sep30 Sep11 (guillory )TRIANA JR 117 10.00    
4  BIYOMBO Jun29 May31 May02 Apr29 Apr04 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 3.00 21% 3.80    
5  IOWA CLUB May25 Jun09 Sep24 Aug22 Aug06 (von kelly)CORBETT W 122 4.00 47% 1.10    
6  ICE AXE Jun23 Jun09 May12 Apr27 Apr06 (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 8.00    
7  GO FOR IT Jun29 Jun09 Sep16 Aug11 Jul08 (reiste tim)ROMAN KEVIN 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-7   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 Starter Allowance ($15K) Purse ($25.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EUTYCHIA Jun30 Jun01 May15 May04 Apr02 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 124 8.00    
2  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Jun07 Apr15 Feb19 Feb01 Dec11 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  SLUSHY Jun16 May18 Sep04 Aug20 Jul23 (martin timot)JORDAN R 120 6.00    
4  WAR MUSIC Jun24 Jun15 Jun03 May03 Apr14 (flores oscar)BACON W 119 3.00    
5  REBEL RISING Jul03 May24 Sep18 Jul07 Jun18 (eikleberry ke)PUSAC ALBERTO 117 4.00 5% 19.00    
6  BIG BAD DIVA Jun22 Jun01 Apr27 Mar17 Jan01 (williams mat)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
 
PRM-8   07/15/2024 5490ft DIRT RC5 Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($44.54K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCYS STROLL May31 May18 Aug21 Aug04 Jul21 (mcshane david)PUSAC ALBERTO 118 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of BLUEGRASS LUCY by BLUEGRASS CAT)
2  SHANNON K Jul07 Jun17 May27     (von ke)JORDAN R 118 3.50 61% 0.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of MYTHICAL VIXEN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
3  PISTOLPACKINGAL Jun28 Jun15 Sep22     (mcshane d)TRIANA JR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of KRYSTAL PISTOL by LEMON DROP KID)
4  SHARP ROSA Jun08 Sep04 Aug04     (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 118 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of MAY FINE by IN EXCESS (IRE))
5  WICKED HOT FOOT Jul07 Jun17 May10 Jul01 Jun12 (young nic)MEDINA ANGEL 118 15.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of AMPLY REWARDED by GRAND SLAM)
6  R N B BABY Jun28 Jun10 Sep22 Sep04   (condon schuyle)WILLIAMS REY 118 5.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of BE MY HONEYCOMB by BELONG TO ME)
7  MY HEART'S ON FIRE Jul07 Jun08 May24 May10 Jun19 (fett brandi)CORBETT W 118 4.00 8% 11.20    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MY HEART'S LOVE by A.P. INDY)
8  SHESGOTSPIRIT Jun23 Jun10 May27 May10 Sep15 (flores oscar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 2.00 9% 10.10    
  (by INCLUDE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
PRM-9   07/15/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 Allowance Purse ($35.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUSICAL DIVA Jun24 May11 Apr18 Apr03 Mar13 (mcfarlane l)CORBETT W 118 2.00 25% 3.10    
2  FULL SPIRIT Jun24 May18 May03 Apr26 Apr12 (arceo salvado)BACON W 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  PAT'S RIDE Jun24 May20 Apr22     (offolter )TRIANA JR 124 3.00    
SCR  HURRICANE FIRE Jun08 May03 Mar29 Mar08 Feb17 (martin n)BIRZER E 124 6.00    
5  FEARLESS KRISTIE Jun24 Jun07 Apr27 Apr14 Mar22 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
6  SHE'S NOT A JOKE Jun08 May11 Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 4.00    
 
PRM-10   07/15/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROADWAY PETE Jun29 Jun10 Jun01 May17 Apr06 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 122 3.00    
2  OCEAN RIDE Jun29 Jun15 May27 Oct08 Sep29 (martin e)BIRZER E 122 3.50 52% 0.90    
3  BLACK STORM Jun15 Jun01 May17 Mar22 Mar03 (schleis casey)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 5.00 8% 10.80    
4  CHAMPION BY DESIGN Jun15 Jun01 May17 Mar16 Feb17 (martinez )DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
SCR  CASH EXPRESS Jun29 Jun10 Oct27 Oct08 Sep30 (arceo salvador)MECHE COLE 117 20.00    
6  HERITAGE PARK Jun29 May27 May11 Apr26 Apr12 (martin timothy )TORRES HUGO 122 4.00 10% 9.30    
7  AMERICAN POSSE Jul05 Jun15 May27 Sep30 Aug07 (arnett g)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
8  MISTER SHARPIE Jun29 Jun07 Apr12 Mar21 Feb16 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 122 15.00    
9  LOVER BOY Jun21 Jun01 Apr14 Mar09 Sep18 (martinez kelli)ROMAN KEVIN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.