Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/3)-(6/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(6/5/1)-(3/2/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(3/2/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(3/2/5)-(5/6/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-3   WIN (3/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/5)-(3/2/5)-(3/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/5)-(5/6/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5)-(5/6/2)-(5/4/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-4   WIN (5/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/2)-(5/6/2)-(5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/6/2)-(5/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2)-(5/4/2)-(1/2/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (5/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/4/2)-(1/2/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/4/2)-(1/2/4)-(1/4/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4/7)-(1/2/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(1/4/6/5)-(4/2/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (1/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5)-(1/4/6/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (1/4/6/5)-(4/2/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6/5)-(4/2/5)-(7/4/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
LRC-8   WIN (4/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/5)-(4/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/2/5)-(4/2/3/5)-(4/2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/2/5)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LRC-9   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/9/1/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/9/1/6)-(7/4/9/1/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 2 ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PANUCO Jun13 May26       (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 2.50    
GIANT LUTHER         (miller pete)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.50 25% 3.10    
EL ONDEADO Jun13 May31 May12     (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.00 22% 3.50    
REASON TO BELIEVE         (freeman edward)CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
SCR  BETHEGUYNOTTHATGUY         (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 4.00    
LAST VINTAGE         (moger jr)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 15.00    
 
LRC-2   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
O C RHAPSODY Jun15         (stevens satc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
ILA VEIW TOO Jun22 Feb20 Jan29 Dec01 Nov02 (belvoir v)RAMIREZ S 126 4.00    
ZZYZX Jun14 Jun02 May17 Apr28 Apr19 (morfin sergio)GARCIA ERICK 126 2.00    
RUNAWAY SALLY Nov26 Oct09 Aug13 Jul08 Jun10 (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 126 4.00    
FUNKY GREY Jun22 May11 Apr06 Feb25 Feb18 (aquino ange)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 3.50 27% 2.70    
LISA'S ANGEL Jun22 May25 May10 Apr20 Mar31 (bel)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
 
LRC-3   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH May27 May05 Mar23 Feb24 Jan19 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 1.80    
BRIGHT LEAF May19 Jan27 Dec17 Oct21 Aug26 (sadler j)ELLINGWOOD A 126 3.00 12% 7.10    
MUBTADAA May26 Mar15 Mar01 May30 Apr30 (cerin vladimir)FREY KYLE 126 2.00 63% 0.60    
BIRTH OF COOL Jun15 May25 May10 Nov19 Nov11 (dollase craig)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 8.00    
LOW EXPECTATIONS May27 May03 Apr05 Mar14 Feb24 (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 126 10.00 5% 19.00    
SINGLE TRACK MIND (IRE) May26 Apr27 Mar15 Feb16 Jan06 (gutierrez j)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 6.00    
 
LRC-4   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ABITMISCHIEVOUS May05         (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 120 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of CURLINA by CUVEE)
RUNNING SPARTAN         (pap)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of WOODSBORO by CONGRATS)
MARSH CREEK May05         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of LIFE'S BLESSINGS by TAPIT)
STORM OFF Jun15         (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of SHE'S LIVE by ARTIE SCHILLER)
ANDREADYTORUMBLE Sep10 Aug24       (miller peter)TALAMO JOSEPH 120 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MORE HOPING by NORTH LIGHT (IRE))
SIZE LORD May19 Apr19       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of TRADING VOLUME by ARCH)
SCR  OMEY ISLAND Jun01 May05 Apr04     (harty eoin)FREY KYLE 120 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of ANGEL CRAFT by A.P. INDY)
 
LRC-5   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAYLEY LEVADE May05 Apr06 Mar03 Dec01 Oct07 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00    
DADS ESTRELLA Jun07 Apr25 Mar28 Feb29 Feb13 (lopez george )AYUSO ARMANDO 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
VRONSKY FEINT Jun14 May10 Mar15 Jan15 Dec26 (lopez geor)GONZALEZ RICARDO 126 10.00    
PUSHINESS Sep09 Aug06 Jun09     (mccarthy mi)RISPOLI UMBERTO 120 2.00 14% 6.40    
CLASS CLOWN May05 Jan15 Dec15 Nov10 Oct08 (koriner brian)TALAMO JOSEPH 126 1.80 54% 0.80    
KRISTI'S TIGER Dec31 Nov25 Oct27 Sep29 Aug05 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 126 2.50    
 
LRC-6   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($44K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TECUMSEH CAROLINE May14 Mar17 Feb03 Dec03 Oct28 (damato philip)FREY KYLE 126 2.50 49% 1.00    
GRAZIA Apr12 Dec09 Nov12     (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00 25% 3.00    
CAROLE LOMBARD Jun01 Nov24 Nov04 Sep25 Sep03 (damato philip)CEDILLO ABEL 126 8.00    
PROFESSORS' PRIDE Jun02 Mar22 Feb25 Dec31 Nov23 (hess b)MALDONADO E 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
GILA Apr26 Mar22 Feb25 Nov23 Sep23 (bar)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 6.00    
ISSA COURT May31 May10 Mar15 Feb03 Jan15 (hess b)DESORMEAUX J 126 3.50    
FALABELLA (IRE) Mar01 Dec13 Oct19 Sep06   (kruljac j )GONZALEZ RICARDO 118 6.00    
 
LRC-7   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41K) 3 F PT- 7:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BESSIE COLEMAN Apr19         (miyadi steven)FREY KYLE 120 2.00 30% 2.30    
  (by GRAZEN out of AMIRA J by SKY MESA)
LOVELY BRIDE Mar22 Mar01 Jan26 Jan01   (de pablo)GARCIA ERICK 120 30.00    
  (by DOSIFICADO out of FOREVER WIFE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
GRAINNE O'MALLEY Jun13         (vallejo genaro)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of DAWN TRAVELLER by DRAGON PULSE)
DONITA ROSE Jun29 May24 Apr26 Mar22 Feb15 (miller pete)HERRERA A 120 3.00 22% 3.50    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of DONITA'S RULER by ROMAN RULER)
CONQUEST CELSIUS Dec17 Dec03 Jul22 Jul01 May20 (aquino m)HARVEY B 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CONQUEST FARENHEIT out of MISS THIRTYFOUR D by BERTRANDO)
HOT DANZING May25 Nov19 Oct08 Aug25 Aug12 (miller peter)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of CHALULA ONE by BERTRANDO)
BETTING FEVER         (de pabl)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 30.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of FEVER'S BET by STORMIN FEVER)
BETTY PACK Jun13 May12       (miyadi stev)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 1.80    
  (by TOUGH SUNDAY out of SHARE THE SUGAR by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
 
LRC-8   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE'S JUST GRAND         (miyadi ste)ORANTES R 113 15.00    
NOBLE RUNNER         (papaprodr)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 120 6.00 13% 6.70    
COMANCHE GAL         (lewis a)AYUSO ARMANDO 126 8.00    
GARDEN PARTY         (glatt mark)CEDILLO ABEL 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
T N T NOVA         (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 126 5.00 13% 6.70    
MOOREA TIME Jun15 May03 Feb19 Nov20 Nov05 (mandella gary)FREY KYLE 126 3.00    
ANZA SKY Jun15 May12 Apr06     (marquez alfr)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 4.00    
FIAMINA May24 Mar22 Jan26 Jan06 Jul01 (dollase cra)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 120 4.50    
 
LRC-9   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCHARTED Jun15 Apr07 Feb18 Jan06 Nov03 (han)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
CLASSIC ALPHIE Jun14 May24 Apr19 Mar17 Feb03 (papaprodrom)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
GAELIC NATION (IRE) May24 Apr26 Mar23 Jan20 Aug26 (baltas rich)RISPOLI UMBERTO 126 3.00    
SUMMER SOLSTICE (IRE)         (bell r)FREY KYLE 126 10.00 28% 2.50    
I WILL BE KING Jun23 Feb17 Jul22 Apr30   (deleon raf)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 120 30.00    
CROWN PROSECUTOR Jun01 May02 Mar26 Apr26 Apr03 (campo stacy)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 126 30.00 5% 19.00    
CITADINO Jun13 May17 Mar29 Jan12 Oct21 (periban jorg)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 2.50 41% 1.50    
R AWESOME KID Jun07 May04 Feb17     (hanson r)ELLINGWOOD A 120 8.00    
THUNDER BALL Jun13 Oct12 Sep02 Jul30   (o'neill doug)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 4.00    
10  COME FLY AWAY May04         (sise clifford )CEDILLO ABEL 120 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.