Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (7/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/4)-(7/3/4)-(7/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/4)-(3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/4)-(3/6)-(4/3/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (3/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/6)-(3/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (3/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6)-(4/3/6)-(1/5/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-3   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(1/5/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(1/5/2)-(4/7/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-4   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(4/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(4/7/6)-(6/1/7/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-5   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/7/6)-(4/7/6)-(4/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/6)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (4/7/6)-(6/1/7/5)-(4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (6/1/7/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5)-(6/1/7/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/7/5)-(4/2/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/1/7/5)-(4/2/3)-(8/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-7   WIN (4/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/3)-(4/2/3)-(4/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/3)-(8/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/2/3)-(8/3/4)-(7/8/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (8/3/4)-(8/3/4/2)-(8/3/4/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/3/4)-(7/8/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
WRD-9   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/1/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/1/5/3)-(7/8/1/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LADY YELLOWSTONE Apr08 Mar19 Nov29 Nov08 Oct13 (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 2.50    
SCR  GOSPEL FAITH Apr08 Mar19 Dec13 Dec01 Oct26 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 3.00    
THAROLITE Apr09 Feb02 Oct13 Sep16 Sep02 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 8.00 34% 1.90    
ALMA'S PRINCESS Apr10 Mar19 Sep22 Aug14 Jul28 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHEZONEZESTREET Apr10 Apr01 Sep09 Aug30 Aug09 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 125 5.00    
FULL MOON BEACH Apr09 Nov29 Nov17 Nov08 Sep22 (swan e)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
CHROME RACER Apr23 Apr10 Mar27 Mar15 Feb23 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
WRD-2   05/04/2024 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMPUTING CHAMP         (valdivia samue)MORA GERARDO 122 3.00    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of VALID ENCHANTMENT by TIZNOW)
JEST FUNNY         (dunlap m)KIMES C 122 3.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of VIENTE by MENHAL)
COWBOY CADE         (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
  (by WILBURN out of LEXICAT by BRICKTOWN CAT)
SOCIAL SOONER         (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 122 6.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of SOONER STRIPE by SERVICE STRIPE)
SCR  ALLEZ CUPID         (valdivia e)PEREZ A 119 6.00    
  (by CUPID out of ARTICLE RARE by EL PRADO (IRE))
ONE BIG HAAS         (swan patr)TRIANA JR 122 5.00 7% 14.30    
  (by FLAT OUT out of REGO by IN EXCESS (IRE))
 
WRD-3   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HUNNY HUSH Apr02 Nov24 Nov13 Oct20 Sep30 (velasquez cosme)CRUZ ROMAN 122 12.00    
SMART OKIE Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Nov24 (padilla juan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
SCARLET POSITION Apr10 Mar20 Mar05 Jan26 Dec29 (corderman scot)MORA GERARDO 122 6.00 25% 3.00    
CATO'S LADY Apr23 Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
NOEL'S ANGEL Feb09 Dec06 Oct06 Sep13 Sep02 (johnston lane)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 4.00    
DERBY DAY LASSIE Apr08 Jan26 Sep09 Jul03 Jun12 (donaldson jerry)KIMES C 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
LACEY BOSS Jan12 Dec30 Sep02 Aug18 Jul12 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 122 3.50    
 
WRD-4   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS AND TELL Apr15 Mar18 Oct20 Sep23   (williams alan)QUINONEZ B 124 1.40 35% 1.80    
OKIE LOVE Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Dec02 Nov10 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
READY Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Dec14 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 121 1.60    
MAYBE DOLCIE Apr03 Mar04 Dec14 Sep30   (craddock kar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 3.00    
SANGRIA SUNSET Apr22         (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 116 8.00 28% 2.50    
 
WRD-5   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LITTLEEUROGIRL Apr23 Apr10       (padilla juan)PEREZ A 125 5.00    
SCR  HALE'S LUCKY LADY Apr16 Mar27 Nov25     (hale vic)SANCHEZ OBED 125 8.00    
ANGEL ON FIRE Mar27 Feb23 Feb01 Jan10 Dec28 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 120 1.40    
BOSS ON THE RUN Apr10 Mar18 Nov09 Oct21 Oct12 (gladd andy)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  STRIKETHREEYOUROUT Mar12 Dec14       (corderm)GONCALVES R 120 15.00    
HI LEE FAVOREDCATS Apr10         (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 10.00 5% 19.00    
IMPUDENT         (blatchford georg)QUINONEZ B 125 12.00 25% 3.00    
 
WRD-6   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($23K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHEN JUDY CALLS Apr09 Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 Feb19 (silva )NAVA ALFREDO 125 4.00 14% 6.30    
STOLEN KISSES Apr01 Mar11 Sep21 May15 Apr26 (williams a)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 2.50    
ARTISTIC VISION Apr02 Mar20 Feb04 Nov20 Nov02 (silva mig)TRIANA JR 125 3.00    
OH NIKI Apr09 Dec16 Nov24 Nov11 Oct12 (swan patrick)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 12.00    
EUTYCHIA Apr02 Dec16 Nov09 Oct20 Sep27 (swan e)PEREZ A 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
GOSPEL SISTER Apr23 Apr01 Aug24 Apr26 Apr04 (williams f)KIMES C 125 4.00 47% 1.10    
GYPSY ROSE Apr09 Dec15 Nov11 Oct20 Oct07 (lee mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00 11% 7.80    
 
WRD-7   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOSPEL CRUSADER Apr16 Mar20 Dec13 Nov08 Oct26 (william)GONCALVES R 114 20.00    
OKIE SMOKE Apr15 Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Dec07 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 124 1.20 35% 1.80    
LEGACY ACCOUNT Apr15 Mar19 Nov08 Oct07 Sep01 (peery l)SANCHEZ OBED 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHASIN JASON Apr15 Mar19 Nov10 Oct26   (swan patrick)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.40 43% 1.30    
NORWAY BEACH Apr16 Mar19 Dec15 Nov18 Oct07 (offolter s)KIMES C 121 3.00    
 
WRD-8   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GEE GEE Mar25 Dec08 Nov11 Oct12 Jun16 (keithan rachael)PEREZ A 125 5.00    
RAINBOW ANGEL Mar18 Mar04 Dec14 Nov17 Oct20 (ashford tris)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 5.00    
LADY ZEPHYR Apr01 Mar18 Dec14 Nov10 Oct20 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 4.00 35% 1.90    
SEXY BROWN Apr15 Mar18 Mar04 Dec15 Nov24 (cogburn orrin )SANCHEZ OBED 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
SWEET ATTITUDE Apr01 Mar18 Mar04 Feb19 Dec16 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 6.00    
CATALE WINEMIXER Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Nov25 Oct14 (swango e)KIMES C 125 10.00    
HANGXIETY Apr22 Apr09 Mar12 Mar05 Dec14 (davidson b)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 15.00    
GOSPEL CHARITY Apr23 Mar27 Mar11 Dec08 Nov24 (williams stev)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 39% 1.50    
 
WRD-9   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEST JET Mar26 Mar18 Mar04 Dec07 Nov11 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 125 6.00    
MINGUS Apr09 Mar26 Mar04 Dec14 Nov25 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
DR VINNIE BOOMBATZ Apr10 Mar25 Mar05 Nov30 Nov13 (gladd andy)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00    
SKYFLYER Mar26 Dec13 Nov17 Oct28 Oct04 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 20.00    
WRISTBAND Apr03 Dec13 Nov30 Oct21 Oct07 (biehler m)TRIANA JR 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
TRAFFIC BOSS Apr10 Mar25 Mar01 Feb10 Jan26 (donaldson jerr)MORA GERARDO 125 6.00    
PATRIOTIC DUTY Mar26 Dec08 Nov04     (buehrer w)QUINONEZ B 125 2.00 55% 0.80    
BRENNAN'S HONOR Apr05 Feb04 Jan18 Nov10 Oct20 (gladd andy)KIMES C 120 5.00 17% 4.80    
GOSPEL DANDY Apr09 Nov20 Oct19 Sep27 Sep06 (william)GONCALVES R 125 15.00    
10  PRINCE CAROLINA J Mar25 Oct28 May15 Apr04 Mar14 (lee mark)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.