Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Will Rogers Downs
Tuesday - April 23, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

WRD-1   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(2/5/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-2   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(2/1)-(5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-3   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (2/1)-(2/1/3)-(2/1/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (2/1)-(5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(5/3)-(5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
WRD-4   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/3/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
WRD-5   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(5/3/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(5/3/4)-(6/1/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
WRD-6   WIN (5/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/3/4)-(5/3/4)-(5/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/4)-(6/1/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/3/4)-(6/1/5/8)-(8/2/5/3) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
WRD-7   WIN (6/1/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8)-(6/1/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/5/8)-(8/2/5/3) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5/8)-(8/2/5/3)-(6/7/3/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
WRD-8   WIN (8/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3)-(8/2/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/2/5/3)-(6/7/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
WRD-9   WIN (6/7/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1)-(6/7/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
WRD-1   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRAPPE VALLEY Apr09 Mar05 Jan27 Dec16 Dec02 (dixon tim)WISEMAN ISAIAH 119 15.00    
WRANGLERED Apr03 Mar18 Sep13 Jul20 Jul13 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 1.80 35% 1.80    
FIRE EXTINGUISHER Apr16 Mar26 Mar12 Mar05 Dec07 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
LAPIS LAZULI Apr09 Mar12 Nov21 Oct27 Oct12 (pruitt m)KIMES C 122 1.00 25% 2.90    
KNIGHT DISRUPTOR Apr03 Mar26 Nov21 Jul20 May21 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 119 3.00    
 
WRD-2   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AFRAID IM NOTCENTS Apr03 Mar18 Mar04 Feb17 Dec28 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.00    
GOSPEL SISTER Apr01 Aug24 Apr26 Apr04 Mar14 (williams f)KIMES C 125 1.40 66% 0.50    
ALWAYS BE DANCIN Apr01 Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Oct27 (swan e)QUINONEZ B 125 5.00 5% 19.00    
LA PARADISO JORDAN Apr01 Dec09 Nov20 Oct18 Oct05 (swan e)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00    
OKIE TROUBLE Apr08 Mar18 Mar04 Dec14 Oct20 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 120 1.80 10% 8.70    
 
WRD-3   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPRISING CODE Oct14 May16 May03     (offolter s)LANDEROS C 125 4.00 8% 11.10    
  (by CODE WEST out of SATURDAY SUPRISE by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
BULLEIT ROCKS Mar20 Sep29 Aug31     (williams al)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 0.40 67% 0.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of GO NO GO by ARCHARCHARCH)
LITTLEEUROGIRL Apr10         (padilla juan)PEREZ A 125 12.00    
  (by EUROEARS out of LITTLE UGLY by HAYMARKET (GB))
RUN A FIRE Apr16 Apr02 Sep03 Aug14 Jul17 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 125 20.00    
  (by RUN LIKE FIRE out of BRASSY LUCKY LADY by BRASSY WELLS)
I BILEVE Apr10 Mar27 Mar20 Mar12 Dec07 (swan patr)TRIANA JR 125 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SKY GARDEN by ACCLAMATION)
SCR  DARETOCATCHLOVE Apr10 Mar27 Mar20 Mar12 Dec13 (espiritu lucio)QUINONEZ B 125 12.00    
  (by DAAREB out of DARE TO LOVE by ZENSATIONAL)
 
WRD-4   04/23/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEBOP BABY Apr08 Mar25 Aug20 Aug05 Jul19 (roberts bl)MORA GERARDO 119 20.00    
SCR  CONFLICTING TALES Apr06 Mar15 Feb19 Jan21 Nov02 (young scott)WETHEY JR 119 1.80    
CATO'S LADY Apr05 Mar22 Mar08 Feb16 Dec15 (roberts j)TRIANA JR 119 1.60 33% 2.00    
BAYSHORE FOXES Jun19 Jun12 May26 May05 Apr14 (ibarra jose)SANCHEZ OBED 119 8.00    
LIGHTNING HART Apr02 Mar20 Mar05 Feb01 Dec16 (dixon tim)KIMES C 119 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
WRD-5   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHROME RACER Apr10 Mar27 Mar15 Feb23 Feb04 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 3.50 30% 2.30    
OKIE CODE Apr08 Dec09 Nov24 Nov02 Oct06 (offolter )TRIANA JR 125 3.00    
STONE COLD LOVER Apr02 Mar18 Dec14     (corderman)CUNNINGHAM TRAVIS 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
JILL'S LEMON DROP Apr01 Mar03 Dec07 Nov10 Aug04 (dieter )GONCALVES R 125 8.00    
CHOJO Apr01 Mar11 Dec09 Nov25 May12 (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 1.20 35% 1.90    
PAGEANT PURRFECT Apr01 Dec31 Oct03 Sep18 Aug29 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 15.00    
 
WRD-6   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PEARLY Apr08 Dec01 Nov02 Sep22 Jul20 (caster boyd)KIMES C 122 15.00    
MAMASHAVNAHOTFLASH Apr09 Apr02 Mar20 Mar04 Sep08 (davidson b)GONZALEZ ELVIN 125 1.40    
SMART OKIE Apr09 Mar25 Mar11 Nov24 Oct21 (padilla j)TRIANA JR 125 5.00 23% 3.30    
ITSONLYMONEYHONEY Apr03 Mar12 Dec16 Nov29 Oct04 (lee mark)QUINONEZ B 125 6.00 5% 19.00    
BRING IT ON BABY Apr02 Mar20 Nov30 Nov02 Sep15 (william)GONCALVES R 125 1.20 31% 2.20    
 
WRD-7   04/23/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIGHT CIDER Apr02 Mar19 Dec16 Dec02 Nov14 (rodriguez)TRIANA JR 125 4.00 20% 4.10    
C J'S LEGACY Apr10 Mar26 Mar18 Dec16 Nov25 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 125 8.00    
FULLY FUNDED Mar25 Mar12 Nov30 Nov03 Sep28 (silva miguel)PEREZ A 120 12.00    
E D'ORO Mar19 Dec16 Nov14 Oct05   (oberlander j)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 6.00    
GOSPEL FOREST Apr08 Mar05 Dec07 Nov08 Oct26 (william)GONCALVES R 120 2.50 15% 5.90    
DIAMONDS R LUCKY Apr09 Mar26 Mar04 Jun28 May15 (offolter s)LANDEROS C 125 3.00 40% 1.50    
DEROY Apr09 Mar26 Feb09 Jan04 Dec13 (dixon tim)KIMES C 120 12.00    
ABES DAY Mar26 Dec16 Nov17 Nov02 Sep21 (gunter mich)WETHEY JR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
WRD-8   04/23/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GP'S AMAZING GRACE Apr10 Mar19 Mar11 Feb10 Jan06 (villafranco f)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 5.00    
GOSPEL CHARITY Mar27 Mar11 Dec08 Nov24 Nov11 (willia)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 125 3.00 24% 3.20    
JUST ROSIE Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Oct06 Sep07 (hunt s)KIMES C 125 12.00 5% 19.00    
CAMS HOTROD Mar26 Mar05 Feb02 Jan13 Dec10 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 125 12.00    
CUECA Apr01 Nov25 Oct14 Sep24 Sep07 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 125 15.00 13% 6.50    
TOM'S GIRL Mar27 Dec15 Nov11 Sep08 Aug25 (buehrer w)PEREZ A 125 4.00    
TALKIN CADEE Apr03 Mar27 Mar05 Feb16 Feb03 (young scott)WETHEY JR 125 6.00    
BIG UN Mar27 Dec16 Nov14     (young e)QUINONEZ B 125 2.50 40% 1.50    
 
WRD-9   04/23/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DETERMINED LOVER Apr01 Mar20 Mar05 Dec15 Dec08 (corderman scot)SANCHEZ OBED 120 8.00 9% 9.70    
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of ROMANTIC MYTH by ICE BOX)
HE'S ALL EARS Apr01 Mar19 Mar05 Feb08 Jan20 (villafranco )GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 8.00    
  (by DA STOOPS out of EARSAHEAD by EUROEARS)
ELUSIVE POWER Mar20 Dec15       (offolter )TRIANA JR 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of ELUSIVE CLOUDS by POWER BROKER)
FLAT HANBY Sep22 Aug19       (caster boyd)WETHEY JR 120 20.00    
  (by FLAT OUT out of JEALOUS ELLIS by OCEAN TERRACE)
MEGA SHACK Mar27 Dec08 Nov18 Nov01 Oct13 (pruitt m)KIMES C 125 5.00    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of GOLDEN ALPHABET by ALPHABET SOUP)
LIGHT THE CODE Apr02         (offolter joe)WISEMAN ISAIAH 125 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by CODE WEST out of MYSTICAL MOONLIGHT by BRAHMS)
PONZA Apr02 Mar19 Mar05 Jul12 Jun28 (stephens jerr)PUSAC ALBERTO 125 2.50 19% 4.30    
  (by SPECIAL RATE out of PRECIOUS LIFE by YES IT'S TRUE)
DAKOTA MARVIN         (wilson wayn)PEREZ A 120 20.00    
  (by DOUBLE OURS out of MEMORABLE HIGH by HIGH COTTON)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.