Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Santa Anita Park
Sunday - January 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SA-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(4/1/2)-(4/3/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-2   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(4/3/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(4/3/2)-(5/2/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
SA-3   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(5/2/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(5/2/3)-(2/5/8/9/6) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(2/5/8/9/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(2/5/8/9/6)-(1/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
SA-5   WIN (2/5/8/9/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6)-(2/5/8/9/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    DD (2/5/8/9/6)-(1/6/4) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/9/6)-(1/6/4)-(7/4/1/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-6   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7/4/1/6)-(2/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SA-7   WIN (7/4/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6)-(7/4/1/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/4/1/6)-(2/5/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (7/4/1/6)-(2/5/6)-(10/4/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SA-8   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(10/4/5/6/7) 15 $2.00 $30.00 
SA-9   WIN (10/4/5/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/4/5/6/7)-(10/4/5/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/4/5/6/7)-(10/4/5/6/7)-(10/4/5/6/7) 60 $1.00 $60.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SA-1   01/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 45 M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAKE CARAMIE Dec09 Nov12 Oct06 Aug24   (cassidy j)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 20.00    
CANDY ON TOP Jan06 Nov25 Oct15 Sep08 Aug18 (gaines carla)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 5.00 33% 2.00    
CAMERON SLOUGH Feb18         (drysdale neil)MALDONADO E 124 6.00    
IRISH MYTH Aug31 Aug12 Jul21     (drysdale neil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00    
NO WAY IT'S TODAY (GB) Dec31 Sep22 Jun14     (mullins jeff)BAZE C 124 3.00 10% 8.80    
HAPPYASACLAM (IRE) Nov18 Oct20 Aug27 May13   (callaghan s)HERRERA A 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
SCR  SPECIAL FLOWER         (jones )BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
 
SA-2   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 ALL PT- 4:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TWILIGHT MOON Dec31 Dec16       (lewis a)ROSARIO JOEL 121 1.60 25% 3.00    
PUDDIN HEAD JONES Dec09 Sep16 Sep03 Aug04   (vallejo gen)HERRERA A 121 4.00 5% 19.00    
NO SHOW JONES Jan13 Dec29 Nov24 Sep17 Aug27 (vallejo gen)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 121 12.00    
BILLY JOE SHAVER Dec08 Nov18 Sep29     (miyadi ste)HERNANDEZ J 121 1.80 44% 1.30    
BURAQ'S REFLECTION Jan12 Sep04 Aug10 Jul22 Jul02 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 121 3.00    
 
SA-3   01/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN SKYLINE Aug31         (powell leon)HERRERA A 124 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CITY AT DAWN by CITY ZIP)
BOLT'S BROAD Dec31 Nov26 Oct06 Sep02 Jul21 (ruis sr)FREY KYLE 124 3.50 15% 5.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
LADY CLAYPOOLE (IRE) Nov09 Sep07 Aug12     (baltas richar)FRESU ANTONIO 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
  (by STARSPANGLEDBANNER out of SHORT AFFAIR by SINGSPIEL (IRE))
MIRARI Oct26         (thomas jonat)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of CHAT by DYNAFORMER)
NO NO NO NEVER (IRE) Dec31 Nov08 May16     (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 2.50    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LLEW LAW by VERGLAS (IRE))
DANCING MO Jan14 Dec01 Nov02 Jun16 May21 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 8.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of I LOST MY CHOO by WESTERN EXPRESSION)
 
SA-4   01/28/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 45 M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PLUM CREEK Jan19 Dec16 Dec10 Nov25   (garcia ant)GONZALEZ RICARDO 124 20.00    
  (by SABURO out of SOLID SOLUTION by HAYNESFIELD)
SIDE BY SIDE Dec01 Nov02 Oct07 Sep01 Jul23 (headley karen)MALDONADO E 124 1.80 20% 3.90    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MUSIC MAGIC by BERNSTEIN)
PRINCESS OF TIME Apr02         (mccarthy micha)ROSARIO JOEL 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOVIE STAR MAGIC by THE CLIFF'S EDGE)
SHE'S MUY MUY Dec10 Oct22       (glatt mark)FREY KYLE 124 2.50    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of MISS REBOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
WELL FUNDED         (baffert bo)VAN DRAYDEN 124 1.60 57% 0.70    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of TOUGH TIZ'S SIS by TIZNOW)
 
SA-5   01/28/2024 3960ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STOP AND A TRES Aug04 Jun23 May14 Apr29 Apr02 (brinkerhoff val)ESPINOZA V 124 20.00    
STREET HUMOR Jan05 Apr11 Mar26 Mar04 Feb06 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 124 4.00 30% 2.30    
QUINCY MARKET Dec30 Dec03 Jan22 Dec26   (yakteen tim)HERRERA A 124 15.00    
SCR  JOHN DUNBAR Jan14 Nov26 Oct29     (miyadi steven)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00    
THE BULLION BOMBER (IRE) Jan20 Sep09 Aug04 Jun23 Jun03 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 124 8.00 26% 2.90    
GOLF DRAMA Sep23 Aug11 Jul09 Jun11 Apr30 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
PAPA TIGER Jan05 Dec08 Nov19 Sep23 Sep09 (kitchingman ada)MALDONADO E 124 8.00    
I'M A LUCKY MAN Dec08 Nov05 Mar19 Feb04 Jan14 (glatt mark)KIMURA KAZUSHI 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
MAN OVERBOARD May13 Apr02       (hanson ryan)BAZE C 124 6.00 7% 14.30    
10  TAKE ACTION Jan05 Dec08 Oct14 May07 Mar20 (mandella richa)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50    
 
SA-6   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 ALL PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW KING Dec26         (baffert bob)PRAT FLAVIEN 121 1.60 34% 2.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HOLLYWOOD ROYAL by DISTORTED HUMOR)
UPLIFT Aug24         (eurton peter)FRESU ANTONIO 121 8.00    
  (by UPSTART out of WHY LUCY WHY by WHYWHYWHY)
MALIBU ROCKS Dec26         (puype mike)ROSARIO JOEL 121 2.50    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ROCKIN by HARD SPUN)
CORNELL Jan01 Nov25       (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 6.00 18% 4.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BANREE by MACHO UNO)
TRACKER Dec03 Oct21       (sadler w)PEREIRA TIAGO 121 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of GOMO by UNCLE MO)
INDISPENSABLE (ARG) Jan01 Nov10 Oct07 Aug25   (sadler john )KIMURA KAZUSHI 121 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of HIGH PERFORMER by CANDY RIDE)
 
SA-7   01/28/2024 4290ft TURF RC11 FIRM Clocker's Corner Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:41
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUCHO DEL ORO Jun03 May07 Feb11 Mar11 Feb05 (o'neill do)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.50 19% 4.40    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of REPETA by BROKEN VOW)
JOHNNY PODRES Dec30 Dec02 Oct15 Sep16 Jul29 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of MALIBU HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
STANDING O Nov23 Aug31 Jul29 May07 Mar12 (damato philip)FRESU ANTONIO 122 8.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of DIXIE DAME by DIXIELAND BAND)
DANIEL'S MAGIC Dec30 Dec02 Oct29 Oct09 Sep10 (harty eoin)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.00 24% 3.10    
  (by MAGICIAN out of LOVE AND WAR by WAR CHANT)
HAMWOOD FLIER (IRE) Dec03 Nov05 Oct09 Dec04 Oct09 (papaprodromou ge)ESPINOZA V 119 4.00    
  (by KODIAC out of FONDA by QUIET AMERICAN)
IRIDEO (ARG) Dec03 Oct28 Sep30 Sep02 Jul23 (polanco marc)LAPRIDA JEREMY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EASING ALONG out of INFILTRADA by ALL AMERICAN (AUS))
I'M A GAMBLER (IRE) Dec30 Oct29 Sep30 Sep02 Jul23 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of WE ARE NINETY by THEWAYYOUARE)
SUMTER Nov25 Oct20 Sep30 Sep02 Aug04 (mandella ri)RISPOLI UMBERTO 124 4.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of A LITTLE BIT SASSY by MORE THAN READY)
 
SA-8   01/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 7:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROMAN EMPRESS Dec29 Dec10 Nov02 Oct14 Sep22 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 122 12.00    
SHERLYN GO GO Jan12 Nov02 Aug12 May06 Mar26 (mullins jef)HERRERA A 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
HOT ROD MAMA Dec29 Dec09 Nov02 Oct20 Aug17 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 6.00    
SWEET HELLO Jan15 Dec09 Nov23 Oct29 Sep29 (hess b)ROSARIO JOEL 122 4.00    
FLATTERWITHJEWELS Dec29 Dec10 Nov11 Jun09 May19 (dam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
A BROKEN BREEZE Sep23 Apr22 Feb10 Jan15 Dec16 (harris andrew)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 12% 7.10    
 
SA-9   01/28/2024 4290ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 7:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOTET Dec29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 (gomez rub)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 122 50.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MISS HOLIDAY INN by TACTICAL CAT)
GIRL OF MY DREAMS Jan01 Dec01 Nov12 Sep03 Aug06 (o'neill doug)FRESU ANTONIO 122 3.00    
  (by KANTHAROS out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
LAUDATORY Oct09         (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 122 6.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of PRAISING by PULPIT)
MS MCWHINNEY Jan01         (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 122 12.00 20% 4.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of THYME FOR ROSES by REDOUTE'S CHOICE)
RUNAWAY KITTEN Jan01         (hanson ryan)BAZE C 122 8.00 18% 4.40    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of EILEEN'S SONG by KITTEN'S JOY)
NOT A SINNER (GB) Jan01 Nov19 Oct14     (callaghan )VAN DRAYDEN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAND FORCE out of GOLDEN AMBER by GEMOLOGIST)
RESPECT THE CROWN Dec26 Nov11 Oct14 Sep08   (mullins jeff)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ANNIVERSARY KITTY by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  HOT HOT HOT Dec01         (mandel)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 4.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FANCY DRESS PARTY by MUNNINGS)
COASTAL COWGIRL Dec29         (glatt mark)RISPOLI UMBERTO 122 10.00    
  (by CONNECT out of BABBS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  KETONIA (FR) Dec02         (damato philip)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 3.50 34% 2.00    
  (by ZELZAL out of ALHANIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  SHOP TILL YOU DROP Jan01         (baltas richard)MALDONADO E 122 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of HEDY HOPPER by VICTORY GALLOP)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.