Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - December 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (8/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/6)-(8/3/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/3/6)-(8/3/2/6)-(8/3/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (8/3/6)-(6/4/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (8/3/6)-(6/4/5)-(2/8/6/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/5)-(6/4/5/7)-(6/4/5/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (6/4/5)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5)-(2/8/6/7)-(6/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-3   WIN (2/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7)-(2/8/6/7) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (2/8/6/7)-(6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/8/6/7)-(6/1)-(3/9/1/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
LRC-4   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/1)-(6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (6/1)-(6/1/4)-(6/1/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    DD (6/1)-(3/9/1/4) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/1)-(3/9/1/4)-(1/7/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/9/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/9/1/4)-(3/9/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/9/1/4)-(3/9/1/4)-(3/9/1/4) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/9/1/4)-(1/7/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/9/1/4)-(1/7/2)-(7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-6   WIN (1/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/2)-(1/7/2)-(1/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (1/7/2)-(7/3/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/7/2)-(7/3/6)-(1/7/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-7   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(1/7/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
LRC-8   WIN (1/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/7/5)-(1/7/5/6)-(1/7/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHE'S BULLETPROOF Nov04 Oct27 Sep16 Aug10 Dec17 (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 2.00    
2  WISHTHEYALLCOULDBE Nov10 Oct08 Sep08 Aug24 Jul28 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 122 5.00 ★    
3  DIAMONDS DANZING Nov02 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug06 (campuzano lorenzo)SMITH E 118 4.50 37% 1.70    
4  BROKEN CIRCLE         (de pa)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 115 30.00    
5  KO OLINA Oct27 Oct15 Sep01 Jul28 Jun23 (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 6.00    
6  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Nov10 Oct08 Sep24 Sep08 Aug03 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  PALEO'S PRINCESS Oct06 Sep01 Aug17 Jun18 Jun02 (barocio librado)FREY KYLE 122 8.00    
8  CLASS CLOWN Nov10 Oct08 Sep17 Aug24   (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 118 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
LRC-2   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CREATIVE WAY Nov10 Oct14 Sep20 Aug05 Jun22 (capestro paul)VALDIVIA JR 120 8.00    
2  NOBLE UNION Nov25 Nov19 Oct06 Sep01 Feb12 (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 6.00    
3  TIZ TOK Nov25 Oct28 Oct08 Sep16 May26 (periban jorge)AYUSO ARMANDO 120 5.00    
4  PLAY CHICKEN Nov26 Oct29 Jan01     (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  TOO MUCH INFO Nov05 Oct09 Sep17 Aug25 Aug13 (ord)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 5% 18.70    
6  DERECHO DANDY Nov19 Sep10 Aug24 Aug10 Jun02 (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 124 2.00 45% 1.20    
7  RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Nov11 Oct29 Oct07 Sep17 Sep03 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 4.00 ★    
 
LRC-3   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRIBBAGE BOARD Nov18 Oct29 Sep22 Sep03 Aug07 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 5.00    
2  GRAZED Nov05 Oct27 Sep29 Aug11 Jul28 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  GEEZER Nov18 Oct27 Sep30 Aug05 Jan07 (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 118 5.00    
4  MEESH Nov18 Oct27 Sep08 Aug05 Jun17 (damato phi)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
5  STAY IN THE GAME Nov05 Oct14 Aug13 Jun18 May28 (knapp steve)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 118 20.00    
6  SPIRITUAL ADVISOR Oct27 Sep30 Jan28 Jan07 Dec16 (bon)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 118 10.00 9% 10.80    
7  DISKO TRIBUTE Nov26 Nov05 Oct01 Feb04 Jan14 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 8.00 8% 12.10    
8  ON THE WHIM Oct21         (pederson de)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.00 11% 7.90    
 
LRC-4   12/15/2023 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLUE CHEESE OLIVE May06 Apr09 Mar25     (miller peter)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 4.50 6% 16.50    
2  HABEAS Nov25 Nov11 Oct14 Sep23 Aug18 (craigmyle k)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
3  AMIGO G A Nov12 Feb11 Jan07 Dec18 Nov27 (herrick joe)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 20.00    
4  COOL PAPA G Nov24 Nov11 Sep17 Aug17 Jan01 (barocio librado)MALDONADO E 124 3.00 ★    
SCR  MEGA MOON Nov24 Oct15 Sep10 Jul30 Jun18 (mil)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 5.00    
6  LONESOME STEW Nov10 Oct09 Jan07 Sep01   (glatt mark)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.00 70% 0.40    
 
LRC-5   12/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTERN SIERRA Nov24 Oct28 Aug05 Jul02 Jun24 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 124 10.00 7% 12.90    
2  SPEED OF THE NILE Dec03 Mar09 Feb12 Jan29 Jan15 (gom)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 20.00    
3  TOLEDO ROCKET         (glatt mark)AGUILAR ARMANDO 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
4  PRINCE GRAYGRAY Jul27 Jan17 Jan03     (garcia vi)RAMIREZ S 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  RANSOM CALL         (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 120 8.00    
SCR  HUNGRY HEARTS         (koriner brian)FREY KYLE 120 3.50    
7  UNUSUAL WIN         (palma hector )PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.50    
8  KING ZOG Dec08 Oct29 Oct14 Sep23 Jan07 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.50    
9  SMARTY NOSE Dec08         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 32% 2.10    
 
LRC-6   12/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPARTURE Nov19 Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 Jul21 (knapp steve)FREY KYLE 124 1.00 40% 1.50    
2  TAISHAN Nov12 Oct29 Sep04 Aug12 Aug03 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  ALPINE THUNDER Nov17 Oct09 Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 (her)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 15.00    
4  ZIMBA WARRIOR Nov12 Oct21 Sep10 Jul01 Jun18 (knapp stev)HERNANDEZ J 124 6.00    
5  BRAVESTONE Nov17 Oct09 Sep02 Aug04 Jul03 (rosales richa)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  MO REWARDS Nov12 Oct14 Jul01 Jun04 Apr29 (mullins jeff)MALDONADO E 124 4.00    
7  SPEED GRAZY Nov26 Nov05 Oct13 Sep23 Jul29 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 5.00 37% 1.70    
 
LRC-7   12/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($26K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWIFT NONNI Sep30 Sep17 Jun25 Oct15 Jul31 (stortz m)CASTELLANOS ADRIAN 122 8.00    
3  BARBERA Oct20 Sep09 Aug19 Jun30 Jun10 (stute gary)FREY KYLE 118 3.50 18% 4.50    
5  MANGO MOON Nov10 Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Aug19 (raudales jose)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00    
6  SHE'S RESILIENT Nov26 Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 Jul23 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 3.00 18% 4.60    
7  DANCING SOUL Nov26 Sep24 Sep03 Aug05 Jun24 (morfin serg)AGUILAR ARMANDO 124 2.00 34% 2.00    
8  YOUR RINGER Mar04 Aug21 Jun25 May14   (ramos jesu)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 6.00    
SCR  KEEP YOUR COIL Nov24 Jul02 Mar12 Jan20 Dec17 ( )TBA null      
SCR  TROUBLE N PARADISE Nov11 Aug10 Aug04 Jul08   ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-8   12/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC12 FAST Bayakoa Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT MEMORIES Mar11 Dec26 Oct02 Sep04 Jul28 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.00 49% 1.10    
  (by MASTERY out of TIZ MIDNIGHT by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
2  VIOLENT RUNNER Oct28 Sep29 Aug27 Apr28 Mar25 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 12.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TOP PERFORMANCE by STATE PERFORMER)
3  GANADORA Nov11 Sep23 Aug12 Mar31 Mar11 (baffert bob)FREY KYLE 119 6.00    
  (by QUALITY ROAD out of BELOVEDA by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  SMOOTHLIKEBUTTAH Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 Sep04 Aug05 (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 119 20.00    
  (by MR. BIG out of EIGHT DAUGHTERS by FIVE STAR DAY)
5  TURNERLOOSE Nov11 Oct07 Sep09 Aug12 Oct28 (damato philip)MALDONADO E 121 5.00 11% 8.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of GOALTENDING by A.P. INDY)
6  TROUVILLE Sep23 Aug31 Aug06 Jul02 May14 (powell leon)HERRERA A 119 15.00 ★    
  (by WILL TAKE CHARGE out of NIGHT DRIVE by BERNARDINI)
7  DESERT DAWN Nov04 Oct01 Aug05 Jun10 May05 (damato)BERRIOS ISAAC 121 1.20 19% 4.30    
  (by CUPID out of ASHLEY'S GLORY by HONOUR AND GLORY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.