Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - September 24, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(6/5)-(3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(3/5/1)-(1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRC-3   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(1/3)-(3/2/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-4   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(3/2/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(3/2/6)-(4/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-5   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6)-(3/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(4/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(4/3/5)-(2/7/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-6   WIN (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/5)-(4/3/5)-(4/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/3/5)-(2/7/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/3/5)-(2/7/1)-(7/8/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (2/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/7/1)-(2/7/1)-(2/7/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/7/1)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (2/7/1)-(7/8/5/2)-(6/3/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-8   WIN (7/8/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (7/8/5/2)-(6/3/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
LRC-9   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE FEMININE Sep15 Sep04 Aug11 Jul09 Apr23 (stute gary)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50    
2  WARRENS CANDY MAN Sep04 May06 Apr23 Mar18 Feb19 (harris andr)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 2.00    
3  MONGOLIAN KINGDOM Sep16 Aug19 Jul27 Oct07 Aug19 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 4.00    
4  DR. TROUTMAN Sep15 Aug06 Jul09 Jun23 Apr02 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
5  MIKE OPERATOR Aug27 Aug19 Aug06 Jul27 May21 (aquino angela )GARCIA ERICK 124 4.50 56% 0.80    
 
LRC-2   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DON'T BRING CRAZY Sep03 Aug06 Jul16     (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of LILY MARIA by PAYNTER)
2  SOPHIE JEAN Aug04         (mendez luis)MALDONADO E 122 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of AGATHA by DISTORTED HUMOR)
3  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Jul30         (bonde jeff)FREY KYLE 122 15.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of AUDRIQUE by MALIBU MOON)
4  MISS MIND CHANGER         (baffert bob)ESPINOZA V 122 3.50    
  (by ARMY MULE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  SPIRIT RULES Sep01         (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CUCKOO KENIA by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
6  PINECONE         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.40 43% 1.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STORM HEARTED by LION HEARTED)
 
LRC-3   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ECONOMICAL Sep08 Aug18 Jul22 Jun09 May20 (trela rosemary)CEDILLO ABEL 124 4.50 16% 5.20    
2  FAST PER SE Sep15 Jul01 Jun02 May19 Mar19 (lopez l)ORTEGA CESAR 124 4.00    
3  BIG SWEDE Aug11 Jul04 Jun25 May14 Apr23 (valdez r)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00 29% 2.40    
4  SONIC BREES Jun24 Jun03 May06 Mar12 Feb17 (ganbat ene)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 5.00    
5  PAPALE Sep04 Aug19 Jul27 Jul09 May21 (ste)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 124 5.00 27% 2.70    
6  CURLY ESA Aug11 Jul21 Jun25 Jun03 Apr28 (oviedo phil)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 3.50    
 
LRC-4   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 F PT- 5:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTSPOKEN Aug13         (mccarthy mich)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50 34% 1.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of MELODY LADY by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  ARCTIC BREEZE Aug19         (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SWEATER WEATHER by MILWAUKEE BREW)
3  JUST BE YOU Aug19 Jul30       (hollendorfer je)VAZQUEZ A 122 1.80 23% 3.30    
  (by JUSTIFY out of BEAU WATCH by BEAU GENIUS)
SCR  BOSSY BRUIN GAL Sep09 Aug27 Aug06 Jun23   (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 10.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MISS SAMMY by TALE OF EKATI)
5  SHE'S MY NIECE Aug27 Aug04 Jun16 May27 May12 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 115 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANYDAYISMYDAY by AFLEET ALEX)
6  CALIFORNIA CODE Aug19         (miyadi stev)HERRERA A 122 4.50    
  (by HONOR CODE out of TSCHUDI'S GIRL by KANTHAROS)
 
LRC-5   09/24/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POTENTIAL SPAM Jul30 Jun04       (o'neill doug)MALDONADO E 122 4.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of INTIMACY by AWESOME AGAIN)
2  ULTRA POWER Aug25         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 10% 8.80    
  (by CURLIN out of UNIQUE BELLA by TAPIT)
3  MIRACLE MARK Aug26 Jul23       (d'amato phi)HERRERA A 122 1.80 59% 0.70    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MELODY'S SPIRIT by SCAT DADDY)
4  NESSO'S LASTHARRAH Aug10 Jul08       (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of NESSO by ROMAN RULER)
5  SIR LOOKING GLASS         (kru)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 15.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of VICTORIA'S HOPE by RUN AWAY AND HIDE)
6  TAPALO         (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 115 3.50 7% 13.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of AGENT ROMANOFF by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
LRC-6   09/24/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OCEAN OF LIES Aug13 Jul23 Apr24 Apr01 Mar11 (bratcher ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 6.00    
2  WARREN'S SHOW BIZZ Aug05 Jul09 Jun25 Jan21 Dec30 (lewis a)VAZQUEZ A 124 5.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD RUMOR Sep03 Aug13 Oct29 Sep22   (quinonez ro)HERRERA A 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
4  BETTY'S SONG Aug05         (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 1.20 30% 2.30    
5  HAMMETT         (lewis a)FREY KYLE 120 10.00 9% 10.20    
6  MISS COMMANDER Aug13 Jan02 Dec11     (marquez alfred)TORREALBA JG 113 8.00    
SCR  DOOZY Aug31         (powell leonard)MALDONADO E 120 15.00    
 
LRC-7   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLYMETOTHEMOONBABY Sep01 Aug10 Jul28 Jul04 Jun16 (vallejo genar)VALDIVIA JR 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  DIAMONDS DANZING Sep08 Aug06 Jun16 Nov22 Nov04 (cam)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 3.00 50% 1.00    
3  DANCING SOUL Sep03 Aug05 Jun24 Sep18 Aug28 (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 124 4.50    
5  KISS MY KAT Sep03 Jul08 Jun18 Jun04 May07 (periban j)RAMIREZ S 122 4.00    
6  SHANGHAI SUNRISE Sep08 Aug03 Jul08 Jun18 Mar19 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 124 3.50    
7  SONG OF SHADOWS Aug25 Aug10 Jul02 Mar19 Feb19 (miyadi steven)TORREALBA JG 113 2.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  TROUBLE N PARADISE Aug10 Aug04 Jul08     ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-8   09/24/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOUND TO BET Jul01         (aquino )LOPEZ REYNOSO 124 6.00    
2  ABADON May07 Jan07 Dec03 Nov26 Nov12 (uranga je)RAMIREZ S 124 8.00 11% 8.10    
3  MAJESTIC WIND Aug19 Aug06 Jul04 Sep17 Aug25 (nunez jesus)ORTEGA CESAR 124 20.00    
4  AWESOME HEIGHTS Sep17 Jul08 May13 Apr21 Mar25 (vuocolo al)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 15.00    
5  AROUND THE DIAL Sep17 Aug27 Aug06 Jun23 Dec18 (valenzuela)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 3.50 20% 4.10    
SCR  HOT PURSUIT Jun04 May13 Apr29 Mar19 Mar04 (hedia oscar)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 20.00    
7  MIDNIGHT SPECIAL Sep15 Jul03 May12 Apr21 Apr01 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.60 25% 3.00    
8  BIG CHEDDAR Sep17 Jul08 Jun23 Oct10 Sep25 (rivera sally)MALDONADO E 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
9  MIDNIGHT LIGHTNING Sep16 Aug25 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 12.00    
 
LRC-9   09/24/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GALOPING CAT Sep15 Sep17       (rivera sally)MALDONADO E 122 5.00    
2  LUKA GRAZIE Aug31 Jul28 Jun24 Nov18 Oct22 (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 3.00    
3  WINE AND WHISKY Aug27 Aug13 Jul02 Jun17 May14 (hobson simon)FREY KYLE 124 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  STAR PROSPECT Sep02 Aug10 Jul03 Jun11 Apr02 (saavedra antho)CEDILLO ABEL 118 6.00    
5  BUCK OWENS Sep10 Jul30 Jun23 Jun02 Apr28 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 118 4.50    
6  COWBOY MIKE Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 May07 Apr09 (baffert bo)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
7  JERRY JEFF WALKER Aug28 Aug10 Jul09 Jun17 May14 (rivera leob)GARCIA EPIFANIO 120 10.00 12% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.