Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Los Alamitos Tb
Friday - September 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRC-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(4/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(4/6/5)-(1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LRC-2   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(1)-(1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRC-3   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (1)-(1/4)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRC-4   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (1/4)-(2/4/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(2/4/6)-(4/1/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-5   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(4/1/2) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(4/1/2)-(3/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/7/2)-(4/1/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(3/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(3/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-7   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (3/1)-(4/6/2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
LRC-8   WIN (4/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1)-(4/6/2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRC-1   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DORINE'S WILD CAT Sep10 Aug18 Jul02 Jun04   (ellis w)TORREALBA JG 117 2.50    
2  FAST INVESTMENT Aug31 Oct15 Sep17 Sep02   (knapp steve)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 3.50    
3  ROUND IN CIRCLES Jul09 Jun25 Dec09 Sep16 Jul09 (smith kenneth)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 10.00    
4  MIDNIGHT SILENCE Aug31 Jun11 May12 Apr21 Mar25 (gallagher pat)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
5  GEEJAYTEE Aug27 Apr19 Mar25 Mar05 Jan25 (hollendorfer)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 5.00 19% 4.40    
6  BOGINSKAYA Aug31 Jul23 Jun04 May14 Apr23 (mendez luis)FREY KYLE 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
 
LRC-2   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRIZELLA Jul30 Jul04 May27 May05 Feb20 (alvarez ed)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 10.00    
2  VEGAN Jul02 May27 Apr02 Mar09 Feb17 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 4.00    
3  ROMAN EMPRESS Aug26 Jul30 Jul08 Jun25 Jun02 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
4  TROPICANA GIRL Sep16 Jul30 Jul01 May27 Mar17 (morfin serg)HERRERA A 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
5  AWESOME TAYLOR Aug26 Aug17 Jul29 Jun16 May26 (o'neill doug)TORREALBA JG 117 2.00 11% 8.10    
6  QUIET SECRETARY Jul30 May27 Jul23 May01 Mar26 (kruljac ian)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 2.50 14% 6.30    
 
LRC-3   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($23K) 2 F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HURRICANE HOTTIE         (o'neill doug)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00 29% 2.50    
SCR  SASSITUDE         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 122 2.50 47% 1.10    
3  LIGHTING AND REIGN Aug25 Aug12 Jul21 Jul01 Jun09 (knapp steve)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 3.00 ★    
4  CAPO SORELLA Aug17 Jul27       (yakteen tim)TORREALBA JG 115 4.50    
5  WOK DON'T RUN Jul29         (hanson ryan)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 3.50    
6  MISS PIXY STIX Aug17 Jul27 Jun10     (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 122 4.00    
 
LRC-4   09/22/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEPARTURE Aug19 Jul21 Jun04 Apr24 Apr03 (ortiz sr)FREY KYLE 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  HIGH HEATER Aug04 Jun17 May17 Apr26 Apr12 (hess b)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80    
4  BLAMELESS Aug27 Aug04 Jul03 Oct10 Sep18 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 2.00 15% 5.60    
5  HEIR (FR) Aug18 Jul21 May27 Apr29 Mar28 (belvoir vann)TORREALBA JG 117 4.50    
6  MY INDY Aug04 Jul21 Jun03 Apr29 Apr10 (belvoir vann)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00    
SCR  EGOMANIA Sep16 Sep10 Dec04 Nov20 Nov06 ( )TBA null      
 
LRC-5   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MODERA Aug17 Jun25 May19 Apr21 Dec21 (scolamieri sa)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 2.00    
2  R GIRL'S WERTH IT Aug19 Nov25 Oct28 Aug28 May20 (brinkerhoff va)TORREALBA JG 117 3.50 31% 2.20    
3  HOUSE OF TARGARYEN Sep09 Aug19 Sep03 Aug18 Aug03 (psarras andre)COUTON JULIEN 124 15.00    
4  JUST A LITTLE LUCK Aug19 Jul23 Jul02 May21 Apr21 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 120 3.00 28% 2.50    
5  ILA VEIW TOO Sep09 Aug11 Jul29 Jun17 May29 (belvoir vann)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 5.00    
6  MANGO MOON Sep09 Aug19 Jun25 Jun04   (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 11% 8.10    
 
LRC-6   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUTY FIRST Aug27 Aug06 Aug20 Jul24   (mullin)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.00 19% 4.20    
2  SMILING RULER         (alv)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CRIBBAGE BOARD Sep03 Aug07 Jul24 Jun26   (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 4.50    
4  MOON ICE Jul28 Jun10 Apr28 Feb18 Jan28 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50 58% 0.70    
5  QUINCEY Aug27 Jun17 Apr30     (ordonez aggie)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 20.00    
6  THE LAST ONE PERK Sep03 Jun24 Jan15 Dec09 Nov06 (winick debbie)MATIAS J 120 15.00    
7  LOGON TO WIN Aug24 Aug06 Jul01 Jan29 Jan06 (dealba cesa)HERRERA A 120 3.50 ★    
8  FORDY G Aug26 Aug03 Jun24 May06 Mar25 (hanson ryan)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 8.00    
 
LRC-7   09/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEE THROUGH IT Jun16 May13 Apr09 Mar12 Feb18 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 6.00 28% 2.60    
2  PERFECTIONISTIC Sep23 Jul22 Apr30 Mar20 Feb04 (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 124 8.00    
3  LOVESICK BLUES Aug19 Jun24 May27 May07 Apr08 (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 124 2.00 44% 1.30    
SCR  PRINCIPE CARLO Aug26 Jul22 Aug27 Jul30 May29 (barocio librado)VAZQUEZ A 124 8.00    
5  MOOSE MITCHELL Aug26 Jul22 Jun04 Apr30 Mar18 (papaprodrom)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 1.60    
SCR  MONGOLIAN LEGEND Jul21 Jun24 Jun05 May06 Apr02 (wallace jerry)CEDILLO ABEL 124 20.00    
7  SWIFT AS I AM         (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 6.00    
 
LRC-8   09/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YALEO Aug24         (garcia anto)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CIRCUMFERENCE out of HURRICANE PATTI by HOLD ME BACK)
2  JUST IS Sep03 Aug13 Jul23 Jun16 May26 (alvare)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
  (by STAY THIRSTY out of ANNIE LIKES ME by ACCLAMATION (GB))
3  SEAHAWK MARY Aug13 Jul23 May05     (mendez luis)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 3.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of NUFFSAID NUFFSAID by MUTAKDDIM)
4  HEY DEMPS Sep08 Aug13       (puype mike)TORREALBA JG 113 3.50 36% 1.80    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of SHEAPAROUX by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
5  ILLHAVEANOTHERKISS Sep08 Aug06       (o'neill doug)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of FAMILY GIRL by TRIBAL RULE)
6  MAGIC SECRET         (periban jorge)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 8.00 24% 3.20    
  (by MUNNINGS out of WELL BLESSED by EXCHANGE RATE)
7  RYDER'S CANDY Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 May26 Apr29 (saavedra anthony )FREY KYLE 124 6.00    
  (by DANZING CANDY out of HELLUVA HOOLEY by TOUCH GOLD)
8  YVETT'S SURPRISE Aug18 May14 Apr23 Mar26 Feb17 (periban j)RAMIREZ S 120 6.00    
  (by I'LL HAVE ANOTHER out of R SUNDAY SURPRISE by LUCKY PULPIT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.