Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Los Alamitos Tb
Sunday - September 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRC-1   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/6)-(2/3/6)-(2/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/6)-(6/1/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/6)-(6/1/5)-(6/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-2   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(6/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(6/5)-(2/1/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-3   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/1/4) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/1/4)-(6/4/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
LRC-4   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/4/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/4/7)-(2/3/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-5   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7)-(6/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(2/3/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(2/3/7)-(6/5/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
LRC-6   WIN (2/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/7)-(2/3/7)-(2/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (2/3/7)-(6/5/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (2/3/7)-(6/5/1)-(6/4/8/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
LRC-7   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(6/4/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(2/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
LRC-8   WIN (6/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1)-(6/4/8/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/8/1)-(2/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
LRC-9   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRC-1   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($45K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAD CARDINAL         (ruffu gail )ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 117 15.00    
  (by EVIL MINISTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
MOONLIT MISCHIEF Nov25 Sep24 Sep04     (callaghan sim)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 1.80 42% 1.40    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SOPHIANO by RUBIANO)
CLASS CLOWN Aug24         (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 120 2.00 25% 3.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of MISS LAVINIA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
CON SEAL AND KERRY Aug31 Jul01 May27 Apr21 Mar25 (agarie ricky)TORREALBA JG 113 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of MAHOGANY LANE by A.P. INDY)
SUPER ANNIE Jun26 May08 Apr17     (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 124 12.00    
  (by VRONSKY out of PERFECT ANNIE by PERFECT MANDATE)
SORBET         (sadler)BERRIOS ISAAC 120 3.00 8% 11.60    
  (by NYQUIST out of ANDELE by LUCKY SO N' SO)
 
LRC-2   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($25K) 3 ALL PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRENGTH OF AUTISM Jun30 May06 Feb11 Jan16 Dec30 (tamayo isidro)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 4.00 23% 3.30    
TOO MUCH INFO Aug25 Aug13 Jul23 Jun16 May05 (stu)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 5.00    
ACQUIRED CLASS Aug31 Aug10 Jun11 May21 Apr22 (miller pete)HERRERA A 122 2.50    
SAN JAC Jul22 Jun10 May19 Apr22   (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 120 12.00    
OTRO MAS Oct30 Sep23       (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.00 20% 4.10    
COLONEL VARGO Aug26 Jul23 Jul08 Jun23 May29 (rivera leobardo)VAZQUEZ A 122 2.00 25% 3.00    
 
LRC-3   09/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($29K) 2 F PT- 4:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BIG RAINBOW Aug25 Jul21 Jun09     (hanson ryan)TORREALBA JG 115 1.20 29% 2.40    
LOVME LIKEAFOOL Aug04 Jun09 May20     (alvarez edwin)PAYERAS EDGAR 122 8.00    
FIFTY STARS Aug17 Jul27 Jul01 Jun09   (agarie ricky)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 122 15.00    
DORIE MILLER Aug04 Jul21       (miyadi steven)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 2.50    
JOSIE EARP         (miyadi steven)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 8.00 21% 3.70    
PURA VIDA         (lewis craig)HERRERA A 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
 
LRC-4   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($32K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON PURPOSE Apr24 Apr30 Apr10 Mar05 Jan29 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
PROFESSORS' PRIDE Jul03 Jun02 May05 Mar26 Apr09 (glatt mark)HERRERA A 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
CLASSYMADEMOISELLE Jul04 May27 May05 Mar27 Feb19 (papaprodromou g)MALDONADO E 120 8.00    
AMERICAN HEIGHTS Aug03 Jul15 May22 Mar31 Mar11 (miller peter)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 6.00 15% 5.80    
SUGAR SUGAR Aug19 Jul29 Jun24 Jun11 May13 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 8.00    
SHARED FUTURE Aug18 Jul23 Jun17 Apr22 Mar31 (knapp steve)VAZQUEZ A 124 1.80    
 
LRC-5   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRUTTO Aug18 May06 Mar04 Jan13 May20 (kitchingman a)VALDIVIA JR 124 2.00    
PERFECTO AMOR Jul04 Jun23 Dec18 Nov18 Oct10 (farias adan)GARCIA ERICK 124 4.50    
BOOMER JUSTICE Jul09 Dec31       (vallejo ge)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 8.00    
AROUND THE DIAL Aug27 Aug06 Jun23 Dec18 Sep25 (valenzuela ma)PAYERAS EDGAR 124 3.50 24% 3.20    
DIVINELY DIVERSE Aug05 Jul15 Apr30 Mar12 Jan21 (nunez jesus)PASION JUAN 114 20.00    
BIG CHEDDAR Jul08 Jun23 Oct10 Sep25 Sep17 (rivera sally)VAZQUEZ A 124 3.00 30% 2.40    
WHOA BUDDY May07 Feb11 Feb04 Jan07 Dec17 (naranjo salvad)ORTEGA CESAR 124 8.00 23% 3.40    
 
LRC-6   09/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING HEAT Sep04 Jul22 Jun24 May20   (lewis craig)HERRERA A 120 15.00    
L L L COOL Aug11 Jul03 Mar11 Feb12 Jan02 (sadler w)TORREALBA JG 117 2.00 32% 2.20    
CONFUCIUS Sep04 Aug04 Jun25     (baffert bob)VAZQUEZ A 120 3.50 29% 2.50    
NON TOXIC Sep04 Aug18       (drysdale neil)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 20.00    
WHISKEY VISION Aug06 Jul01 May28 Apr22 Mar25 (brinkerhoff )ALSAGOOR ABDUL 124 5.00    
PAT CAN'T COUNT Jul27 Jul08 Jun24 Mar04 Feb10 (guillen ric)ESCOBEDO ADRIAN 113 10.00    
DONTTESTYOURLUCK Sep01 Jul30 Jul01 May19 Apr28 (morfin sergio)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 1.80 16% 5.40    
 
LRC-7   09/17/2023 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KINGDOM HEART Aug26 Jul21 Jun04 May07 Apr17 (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SMUGGLER'S RUN Aug19 Jul09 May28 May06 Oct16 (miller pete)HERRERA A 122 6.00    
COOL PAPA G Aug17 Jan01       (barocio libra)PEREIRA TIAGO 122 5.00    
JACK SIXPACK Aug03 Jun17 Mar19 Feb20 Dec02 (d'amato philip)MALDONADO E 122 4.50    
AMBIVALENT Aug31 Jul21 Sep10     (o'neill dou)GUTIERREZ MARIO 124 3.00 23% 3.30    
RESILIENT Aug27 Jan07 Dec04 Nov05 Sep16 (koriner brian)VALDIVIA JR 122 2.50 46% 1.20    
VANCOUGAR Aug19 Jul22 May29 May06 Mar26 (mullins jeff)VAZQUEZ A 122 6.00    
 
LRC-8   09/17/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($23K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT MEMORIES Jun25 Jul10 Jun25 Jun04 May14 (metz jeffr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 120 10.00 10% 9.50    
RIPPIN' RUIS (AUS) Aug11 Jul22 Jun04 May12   (morfin sergio)ORTEGA CESAR 124 20.00    
SPIRITIST Sep02 Jul22 Jun25 Jun03 May05 (wallace jerr)ALSAGOOR ABDUL 120 6.00    
RELAXED ARTIST (IRE) Sep03 Aug03 Jun16 Apr29 Feb11 (papaprodrom)HERRERA A 124 5.00 16% 5.20    
SCR  CATHEDRAL LIGHT Sep03 Aug12 Jun23 Dec16 Nov18 (valenzuela mart)VAZQUEZ A 120 4.50    
THIRSTY Aug25 Jan29 Jan06     (miller peter)MALDONADO E 120 2.00 32% 2.10    
HEY BATMAN Jul08 Sep23       (gonzale)LOPEZ REYNOSO 120 10.00    
TANGLEDUPINGREY Jul02 Jun16 Apr21 Mar19 Jan27 (naranjo salva)PAYERAS EDGAR 120 4.00 14% 6.30    
ABERDEEN'S KNIGHT Aug12 Jul09 Jun25 Dec17 Nov16 (vallejo ge)HERNANDEZ EFRAIN 124 20.00    
 
LRC-9   09/17/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Los Alamitos Special Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALESMAN (IRE) Jul23 May29       (mandella rich)PEREIRA TIAGO 120 4.00 8% 11.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
ARHAM Aug26 May13 Apr03     (cerin )BERRIOS ISAAC 120 2.00 69% 0.40    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SANAAYA by SMART STRIKE)
IT'S MY HOUSE Jul30 Jun11 May13 Apr09 Feb19 (glatt mark)MALDONADO E 120 4.00    
  (by ANTHONY'S CROSS out of GERRY'S REWARD by GRAND REWARD)
AMERICAN ADMIRAL Jul29 Jun11 May13 Mar19 Jan28 (yakteen tim)VAZQUEZ A 122 3.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of ESCAMPETTE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  HANDY DANDY Aug19 Jul30 Jul09 Dec26 Dec03 (hes)FRANKO-ANGELES GEOVANNI 122 3.00    
  (by FURY KAPCORI out of GOLDEN BUCKET by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  CELESTIAL MOON Sep03 Apr30 Apr06 Mar11 Dec15 ( )TBA null      
  (by MALIBU MOON out of GLOBAL HOTTIE by DIXIE CHATTER)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.