Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Saturday - September 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3/2)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/2)-(4/6/5)-(5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-5   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/5)-(4/6/5)-(4/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/5)-(5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(5/4)-(5/8/10/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/4)-(5/8/10/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(5/8/10/2)-(4/6/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/8/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/10/2)-(5/8/10/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/8/10/2)-(5/8/10/6/2)-(5/8/10/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/8/10/2)-(4/6/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/10/2)-(4/6/8)-(3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-8   WIN (4/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/8)-(4/6/8)-(4/6/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/8)-(3) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/6/8)-(3)-(6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-9   WIN (3) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (3)-(6/9/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
PRM-10   WIN (6/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1)-(6/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHICAGO CHROME Sep03 Aug21 Jul15 Jun25 Jun16 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 126 3.50    
2  SAY IT NICELY Aug25 Aug07 Jul17 Jun26 May29 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 123 3.00 17% 4.90    
3  MO'S MOJO Jun07 May06 Jan20 Dec30 Nov02 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 124 1.80 46% 1.20    
SCR  OURBESTFRIEND D L Sep03 Jul31 Jul09 Jun16 May21 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
5  LIVINGONTULSATIME Sep03 Aug21 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 126 4.00    
6  NORTH SIDE Aug21 Aug04 Jul14 Jun04 May12 (jordan to)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
 
PRM-5   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.511K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COBYMEISTER Aug26 Aug04 Jul17 Jun19 Sep25 (jacquot g)TRIANA JR 121 15.00    
2  GINGER RULES Aug26 Aug19 Jul30 Jul23 Jul14 (roe ro)FLETCHER D 121 8.00    
3  JUST JOHNNY Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun16 May27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 4.00    
4  ALLEN'S ROCKET Aug21 Aug04 Jul16 Jun11 May21 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
5  OSCAR WINNER WALLY Sep02 Aug04 Jul22 Jul02 Jun16 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.00 14% 6.40    
6  WAR RON Aug25 Jul17 Jun23 May21 Oct01 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 121 2.00 31% 2.20    
7  THAT'S WHAT I SAY Apr18 Apr04 Mar21 Mar05 Jan23 (jacquot gene)EDWARDS JAVIS 116 12.00    
 
PRM-6   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($17.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AIR JOCK Sep08 Aug14 Jul21 Jul02 May06 (mcfarlane dan)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 3.50    
2  PANZER PRIDE Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 Jun03 May06 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 120 4.00    
3  GO FOR IT Aug11 Jul08 Jun17 May26 Apr13 (reiste tim)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
4  ITWASTHISBIG Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 Jun17 May26 (loy dew)DE CRUZ 120 1.80 30% 2.40    
5  DARYL'S BOLT Sep03 Aug14 Jul08 Jun17 Apr30 (condon sc)TRIANA JR 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
 
PRM-7   09/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.725K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FARRAH FOWLER Aug18 Jul24 Jul14 Jun25 May27 (martin timothy )CORBETT W 120 12.00    
2  NAUTICAL MISS Aug18 Jul23 Jul02 May21 May12 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  GOOD N LUCKY Sep03 Aug20 Aug11 Jul24 Jul14 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 15.00    
4  CATALE Sep03 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 May27 (rufino eusebi)EDWARDS JAVIS 118 5.00    
5  MOLLY BYE O Sep01 Aug13 Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 4.00 62% 0.60    
6  REBA Sep03 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 118 3.00 ★    
7  BIT A BAD NEWS Sep01 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 2.50    
8  KID BIZ Sep03 Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jul02 (martinez )DE CRUZ 120 8.00 9% 10.70    
9  LULUS FLIGHT BOOTS Sep03 Aug05 Jul10 Jun24 May13 (rufino eu)TRIANA JR 123 20.00    
10  HAPPY STROLL Sep03 Aug11 Jul24 Jul14 Jun25 (mcshane d)ROMAN KEVIN 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
PRM-8   09/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TACTICAL REBEL Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun17 Oct01 (green gerald)SALAZAR TERESA 119 20.00    
  (by TACTICAL CAT out of REBELLING by BIG BROWN)
2  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Sep01 Aug20 Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 4.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
SCR  RAMBO'S RETURN         (wellington tom)CORBETT W 121 8.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of JAUNT by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
4  RULING THE ROOST Oct01 Sep23 Jul04     (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by NATIVE RULER out of UNIQUE STYLE by SUPER SAVER)
5  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Sep01 Aug06 Jul17 Jul07 Jun25 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 121 6.00    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
6  MACHO FORTY FIVE Sep01 Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 May13 (guillory )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MACHO UNO out of JAFMILS PERSUADER by JAFMIL)
SCR  MR SNERDLY Sep09         (pearson p)TRIANA JR 124 10.00    
  (by SING BABY SING out of JIAS CURLS by CURLIN)
8  WEARACAP         (wellington)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by FORMIDABLE out of ADDEDUP NICELY by ADDED EDGE)
9  TAP ON BY Sep03 Aug14 Aug06 Jul15 Jun18 (hemba )FLETCHER D 121 5.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FRIENDLY EMMA by FRIENDLY LOVER)
 
PRM-9   09/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.077K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EVIL KNIEVEL Sep01 Aug20 Jul29 Jun30 May26 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 123 2.50 43% 1.30    
SCR  ROWDY RAY Aug18 Jul15 Jun26 Jun09 May13 (hargens b)DE CRUZ 123 6.00    
3  MIDNIGHT RULES Sep01 Aug20 Jul29 Jul10 Jul03 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 123 1.80 31% 2.20    
4  EYE OF THE PANTHOR Sep08 Aug26 Aug14 Jul07   (pearson pa)WELLINGTON KYLIE 118 5.00    
5  ON A DARE Aug18 Jul17 Jul23     (hardy ro)ROMAN KEVIN 120 8.00    
6  LEADING THE CAUSE Sep01 Aug20 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 120 3.50    
 
PRM-10   09/16/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($17.821K) 3UP ALL PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PRIME TIME Aug12 Oct02 Sep16 Aug26 Jul16 (pearson paul )EDWARDS JAVIS 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPIRITED DREAM May28 May13       (donlin lar)WELLINGTON KYLIE 116 20.00    
3  PAPA GEEB Jul27         (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 8.00 13% 6.60    
4  CYTOKINE STORM Aug27 Aug12       (campos m)DOMINGUEZ JONATHAN 124 15.00    
SCR  POE MANS RIDE Aug27 Aug05 Jun26 Jun18 Sep30 (curtis)FLETCHER D 124 6.00    
6  DEER RUN Aug27 Aug12       (wellingto)TRIANA JR 121 3.00 34% 1.90    
7  BABYS TIME TO SING Aug27 Jul15 Jun26 Jun05 May12 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 5.00    
8  LAST SENTENCE Sep01         (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 15.00    
9  FRANKLYGREAT Sep03 Aug14 Aug05 Jul17 Jul07 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 121 3.50 31% 2.20    
10  QUARTERNIGHT Aug21 Aug12 Jul29 Jun25 Jun17 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 116 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.