Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - September 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(3/6/2)-(4/1/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(4/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(4/1/3)-(5/1/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-6   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(5/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/1/2)-(1/5/4) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-7   WIN (5/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/2)-(5/1/2)-(5/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/2)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/2)-(1/5/4)-(1/6/5/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(1/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-9   WIN (1/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8)-(1/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY FIRING LINE Jun19 May27 Jun24     (jacquot gene)ZIMMERMAN R 123 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  MOLLY BYE O Aug13 Jul16 Jul03 Jun16 May27 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 120 2.00 14% 6.10    
3  HARD SPIRITS Aug18 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 2.50    
4  FIREBAUGH Aug18 Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 123 4.00    
5  C L LEGACY         (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 123 6.00 7% 13.20    
6  BIT A BAD NEWS Aug18 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 10.00    
 
PRM-5   09/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLIVIA'S HOPE Aug04 Jul08       (von kelly)CORBETT W 119 12.00    
  (by CONGRATS out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
2  ESPRIT ROUGE Aug21 Jul31 Jul08     (gleason t)TRIANA JR 119 3.50 8% 11.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of CRIMSON SPIRE by GONE WEST)
3  THAT'S OUR VISION Aug04 Jul21 Jul08     (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by WILBURN out of VISION'S REWARD by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
4  DREAMIN IT UP         (schutz pam)SALAZAR TERESA 114 8.00    
  (by WOKE UP DREAMIN out of MISS WINED UP by ROMAN RULER)
5  CEL'S STAR Aug12 Jul08 Jun19 Jun04   (hicklin christi)ROMAN KEVIN 119 5.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of CELERITAS by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
6  MORNINGNOONANDNITE Jul31 Jul08 Jun19     (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 2.50 10% 8.80    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of NOON AT NIGHT by TENPINS)
7  SHE'S SOLID SILVER Jul31         (chleborad)DE CRUZ 119 10.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of SOLID SCAM by CONSOLIDATOR)
 
PRM-6   09/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($36.429K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EVIL KNIEVEL Aug20 Jul29 Jun30 May26 May13 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
2  MIDNIGHT RULES Aug20 Jul29 Jul10 Jul03 Jun18 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 122 2.00    
3  CINCO DE MO Aug20 Jul22 Jun30 Jun10 May13 (condon schuy)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 15% 5.70    
4  FLEET OF HOOF Jul28 Jun30 Dec17 Oct30 Oct21 (tracy tanner)ROMAN KEVIN 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
5  LEADING THE CAUSE Aug20 Aug07 Jul17 Jun25 Sep30 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 118 6.00    
6  DREADPIRATEROBERTS Aug20 Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 Jun09 (murphy sw)TOHILL S 120 5.00    
SCR  WELLER ROGUE Jul29 Jul03 May14 Mar30 Mar06 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 122 10.00    
 
PRM-7   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($10K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVER BOY Aug12 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 Jun04 (martinez kel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 6.00 34% 2.00    
2  HOPPIN JOHN Aug07 Apr29       (morse l)TOHILL S 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SAILOR CHOW Aug07 Jul22 Jul01 Jun10 May28 (anderson mark)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 10.00    
4  BLUESKIESANDANGELS Aug12 Aug04 Jul03 Jun09 May17 (martinez )DE CRUZ 123 5.00    
5  ONCE UPON A DREAM Aug20 Aug07 Jul15 May21 Apr14 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  NEW STRIPE Aug21 Aug04 Jul22 Jul01 Jun18 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 121 2.50    
7  GOLDEN LUNA Jul28 Jul14 Jun23 Jun02 May21 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 123 3.00    
 
PRM-8   09/01/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALL GOOD TIMES Aug11 Jul01 Jun02 May13 Apr07 (martin e)BIRZER E 125 2.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  WATERS OF MEROM Aug04 May02 Mar17 Feb03 Jan25 (richard chri)JORDAN R 123 8.00    
3  GIRL PRO Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 Apr21 Feb25 (arnett jo)DE CRUZ 125 4.00    
4  MIDNIGHTCANDYSTORM Aug04 Jul17 Jun02 Nov21 Oct28 (von kelly)CORBETT W 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  XCARET Aug11 Jul29 Jul01 Jun05 May21 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 125 2.50 34% 1.90    
6  RIOBELLA Aug13 Jul29 Jun17 May29 Jan27 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 120 3.00    
 
PRM-9   09/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANGRIA SKY Aug06 Jul07 Sep25 Aug22 Aug06 (tibbitts dave)ROMAN KEVIN 121 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MOVIE MYSTERY by FLATTER)
2  COUNTY JAIL Aug06 Jul17 Jun25 Jun05 Sep25 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 121 4.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of KRYSTAL PISTOL by LEMON DROP KID)
3  LAST SENTENCE         (martin wi)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
  (by LIGHT SENTENCE out of TOLUCA by BERTRANDO)
4  STROLLNTOTHEMARKET Aug20 Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 May26 (clay pat)PUSAC ALBERTO 121 15.00    
  (by STROLL out of CORNER THE MARKET by WITH DISTINCTION)
5  MADETHEDEAN'SLIST Aug06 Jul17 Jul07 Jun25 Jun10 (chleborad ly)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 4.50 13% 6.80    
  (by STROLL out of SHE'S BETTER LOUD by BRAVO BULL)
6  MACHO FORTY FIVE Aug06 Jul07 Jun18 May13   (guillory )DE CRUZ 124 3.00 18% 4.50    
  (by MACHO UNO out of JAFMILS PERSUADER by JAFMIL)
7  DARK BARON Sep03 Aug22 Aug06     (anderson l)CORBETT W 121 20.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of BARONESS JULIETTE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  ROCKIN BOOTS         (martinez esteban)BIRZER E 121 6.00 8% 11.90    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of ALBANY COUNTY by FOREST WILDCAT)
9  STUMPY'S LOVE SONG Aug06         (donlin d)ZIMMERMAN R 121 20.00    
  (by DANZA out of LOVESMEBACK by HOLD ME BACK)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.