Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Prairie Meadows
Friday - August 18, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PRM-4   WIN (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/5)-(4/1/5)-(4/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/5)-(1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1/5)-(1/3)-(2/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/3)-(1/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3)-(2/4/3)-(6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PRM-6   WIN (2/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/3)-(2/4/3)-(2/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/3)-(6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/3)-(6/5)-(2/3/5) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-7   WIN (6/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/5)-(6/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (6/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/5/4) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
PRM-8   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/5)-(2/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(2/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(2/5/4)-(4/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
PRM-10   WIN (4/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/2)-(4/5/2)-(4/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PRM-4   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($23.325K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY AIN'T I Jul07 Jun18 May28 Oct01 Sep26 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
2  TAPTHATLUCK Aug05 Jul10 Jun17 May19 Sep26 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 4.50    
3  GAME TO PLAY Aug06 Jul15 Jun17 Jun02 May19 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 118 10.00    
4  SIMMERING (GB) Jul30 Jul02 May28 May12 Sep30 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 122 1.40 42% 1.40    
5  KAYLOR Jul23 Jul02 May21 May12 Aug27 (chleborad)DE CRUZ 124 2.00 15% 5.70    
 
PRM-5   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DISTORTED SECRETS Jun18 Apr28 Apr15 Mar18 Mar05 (martin timot)JORDAN R 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
2  CARRY ON Aug11 Jul10 Jun25 Jun09 May14 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 122 4.00    
3  HOUSE WRECKER Apr15 Mar04 Feb18 Jan22 Dec18 (jordan j)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 6.00 27% 2.70    
SCR  ALIZEE Jul23 Jun30 Apr08 Mar22 Mar01 (arnett g)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 3.00    
5  GRAYDAWN DAY Jul31 Jul14 Jun17 May26 May05 (jacquot gene)BIRZER E 124 1.60    
 
PRM-6   08/18/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIXIE PENNY Jul23 Jul08 Jun10 May29 Apr14 (young e)ROMAN KEVIN 122 6.00    
2  AUNT NADINE Jul09 May29 Mar08 Feb23 Jan19 (arnett g)BIRZER E 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
3  SWEET CONFUSION Nov11 Oct22 Oct07 Sep23 Aug19 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 122 4.00 9% 10.20    
4  ADRIA Jul23 Jun09 Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 122 1.80 26% 2.80    
5  FIREY EMBLEM Aug05 Jun30 May29 Sep23 Sep09 (ibarra jose)PUSAC ALBERTO 122 3.00    
SCR  GLORY ROLL Aug05 Jun30 Sep09 Aug14 Jul18 (jordan to)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
 
PRM-7   08/18/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  APACHE FLIGHT         (ibarra jose)TOHILL S 124 5.00    
2  RELENTLESS ROCKET Jul30 Jul09 Jun16 May26 Apr30 (chleborad lynn)ZIMMERMAN R 118 6.00    
SCR  JILL'S LEMON DROP Aug04 Jul16 Jun24 May13 Jul29 (dieter da)DE CRUZ 118 2.50    
SCR  DELTA MOON Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Apr28 Apr15 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 1.60    
5  UNITED SISTER Dec03 Nov12 Oct13 Sep16   (young scott )GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 12.00 28% 2.50    
6  FREE WILL Jul16 Jun24 Jun05 Apr02 Mar02 (chleborad lynn)BIRZER E 118 4.00 43% 1.30    
 
PRM-8   08/18/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($22.67K) 3UP M/F PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HARD SPIRITS Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 Jun04 May12 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 6.00    
2  THE AWFUL TRUTH Jul23 Jul02 Jun16 May29 Sep02 (fett brandi)BIRZER E 120 2.00 48% 1.10    
3  STREAKIN' EASY Jul30 Jul23 Jul03 Jun19 May27 (chleborad lyn)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 2.50 10% 9.10    
4  FIREBAUGH Jul14 Jul03 Jun19 Jun05 May27 (rufino eusebio )CORBETT W 124 3.00    
5  SING LUCY SING Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 Jun02 Sep02 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 120 4.00 9% 10.20    
6  NAUTICAL MISS Jul23 Jul02 May21 May12 Sep30 (chleborad ly)JORDAN R 124 10.00    
 
PRM-9   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($26.077K) 3UP ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DREADPIRATEROBERTS Jul28 Jul15 Jul03 Jun09 May19 (murphy swan)NOLL S 120 3.50    
2  NATIVE HELLRAISER Aug07 Jul29 Jul15 Jun18 May26 (mcshane davi)JORDAN R 124 3.00 41% 1.40    
3  UNCLE SINGH Jun30 Jun18 May29 May12 Apr28 (donlin d)ZIMMERMAN R 124 4.00    
4  ON A DARE Jul17 Jul23       (hardy ro)ROMAN KEVIN 120 12.00 10% 9.30    
5  KOBE'S CAUSE Aug07 Jun30 May26 Sep19 Aug22 (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 2.50 24% 3.20    
6  ROWDY RAY Jul15 Jun26 Jun09 May13 Jul04 (hargens bob)BIRZER E 124 8.00    
7  TEMPLE CITY RUN Aug07 Jul15 Jul07 Jun18 Jun05 (guillory )DE CRUZ 120 6.00    
 
PRM-10   08/18/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18.477K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REBA Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Sep02 Aug20 (fett brandi)SALAZAR TERESA 118 8.00    
2  KID BIZ Jul31 Jul10 Jul02 Jun11 May29 (jacquot gene)JORDAN R 120 3.00 8% 11.90    
3  FARRAH FOWLER Jul24 Jul14 Jun25 May27 Sep29 (martin e)BIRZER E 120 6.00    
4  IVY ABAD GIRL Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May20 (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 123 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  RUDY TOOTY Jul23 Jul10 Jun25 Jun16 May29 (jacquot gene)PUSAC ALBERTO 123 5.00 27% 2.80    
6  BIT A BAD NEWS Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 May21 (mcshane d)TOHILL S 123 3.50    
SCR  CALLHERMRSGELNER         (anders)FLETCHER D 123 30.00 6% 16.80    
8  AMERICAN SUE Jul31 Jul09 Jun24 Oct02 Sep25 (martinez kelli)MARTINEZ A 123 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.