Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Fanduel Racing
Tuesday - August 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

FAN-1   WIN (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/4)-(1/3/4)-(1/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/4)-(1/6/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4)-(1/6/4)-(3/2/6/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-2   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-3   WIN (3/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1)-(3/2/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/6/1)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6/1)-(3/4/6)-(7/3/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FAN-4   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(7/3/2/4)-(3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-5   WIN (7/3/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4)-(7/3/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/2/4)-(3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/2/4)-(3/4/6)-(10/2/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FAN-6   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6)-(3/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(10/2/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FAN-7   WIN (10/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/2/1)-(10/2/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/2/1)-(10/2/7/1)-(10/2/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
FAN-1   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RUN THE TABLE Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 Jun03 (fridley ste)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of MAJESTICREFLECTION by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
RED ROIL Jul01 Jun17       (laux clay)ORTIZ ALVIN 118 4.00    
  (by WELL POSITIONED out of JUST BE THERE by BRAHMS)
DIAMND CON SUERTE Jul29 Jul01 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (wilbor)BAILON JADHIR 126 1.60 36% 1.80    
  (by ROAD RULER out of HERE GUCCI by CACTUS RIDGE)
ITS MAMBO Jul29 Jul15       (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HERO OF ORDER out of BROKEN FEVER by STORMIN FEVER)
KRUELESS Dec10 Nov19       (thurman rh)MOLINA F 126 10.00    
  (by GUEST STAR out of FT. MANN by FORT CHAFFEE)
RA'DOM Jul29 Jul11 Jun27 Jun17   (castro isidr)TAVARES JAVIER 118 12.00    
  (by AWESOME HERO out of RAJULIE by BRAVE 'N AWAY)
 
FAN-2   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($23.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BE MY BESTIE Aug02 Jun21 May25 May04 Apr02 (butler gerald)ORTIZ ALVIN 126 2.00 41% 1.50    
LUTION Jul25 Jul09 Jun13 May30 May16 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 118 6.00    
DRAGONFLY KISSES Jul18 Jun10 May23 May09 Apr25 (straub mar)MOLINA F 124 8.00    
TENSE Jul04 Jun06 May09 Apr18 Apr09 (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
CANTOO Jul18 Jul04 Jun20 Jun06 Apr27 (wainwr)BAILON JADHIR 116 2.50    
JULYNNE Jul18 Jun20 May30     (manley steve)ORM CORY 118 3.00 32% 2.20    
 
FAN-3   08/15/2023 2970ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($22K) 2 ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNOW GLO         (fridley steve)ORM CORY 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BRAVE 'N AWAY out of GOOD GLORY by STORM BROKER)
TIGGER ATTACK Aug01 Jul15 Jun27     (childers van)TAVARES JAVIER 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of PIONEERING CAT by PIONEERING)
WILDISH Aug01         (martin dawn)SAMPSON KIM 117 3.50 51% 1.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of VERWILDERN by MUSKETIER (GER))
IT'S ON Aug01         (martin dawn)ORTIZ ALVIN 117 10.00    
  (by TAPIDOR out of LEI IT ON ME by BENNY THE BULL)
COOGAN Aug01 Jul23 Jun27 Jun06   (lynch )ORTEGA JOSEPH 110 10.00    
  (by LOOKING COOL out of MISS GOODTHING by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
MAD WISH         (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 120 4.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of FAST MADI by BELONG TO ME)
STANCE Jul23 Jul09       (wainwrigh)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 120 4.50    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of BYLIA by BANDINI)
ZOEY ATTACK         (childers v)SIMPSON M 117 10.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of ZIP BABY ZIP by CITY ZIP)
 
FAN-4   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMILE AT THE STORM May25 May07 Mar26 Mar09 Dec31 (quinonez )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 4.50    
WAR COLORS Aug03 Jun17 May20 Mar30 Dec10 (wainwright joh)DIEGO JAVIER 124 3.50    
MISS WINDY SLEW Jul25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 May30 (lynch harr)SIMPSON M 126 2.50 28% 2.50    
DOROTA Jul15 Jun17 Jun03 Apr12 Nov25 (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
GHAALEB'S APPEAL Jun04 May06 Sep20 Jul02 Jun18 (bahena fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 5.00    
ORDAINED KISS Jul12 Jun22 Oct09 Sep13 Aug02 (bahena ferna)TAVARES JAVIER 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
 
FAN-5   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HUQOOQ Jul29 Jul15 Jun03 Mar18 Mar02 (retana)ORTEGA JOSEPH 114 12.00    
JEMEZ FALLS Jun03 May25 May09 Apr27 Apr09 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 124 4.00 9% 9.60    
BUNNY SHINE Jul29 Jul09 Jun22 May31   (wells duane)ORM CORY 118 5.00 11% 8.10    
BUMPER GIRL Jul29 May25 May07 Apr06 Mar19 (retana ga)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 6.00 9% 10.50    
UNEEKY Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 Sep23 (pompell robe)TAVARES JAVIER 124 12.00    
OH LA DE DA Aug03 Jul25 Jun24 May30 May16 (bahena fern)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 2.50    
MISS MIA Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May31 May11 (manley steve)DIEGO JAVIER 118 2.00 43% 1.30    
 
FAN-6   08/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TRUIST Jul11 Jun24 May30 Apr18 Sep23 (wainwright )SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 4.00    
PLAIN OR PEANUT Jul29 Jul15 Jun17 May24 May06 (martinez ralph )ORTIZ ALVIN 116 3.50    
CAMPISI Jun14 Mar30 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 (jansen ke)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 3.00 36% 1.80    
TIZWOW Jul29 Jun27 Jun14 May28 Apr27 (retana)BAILON JADHIR 116 2.50 28% 2.60    
SEATTLESWAY Jul29 Aug05 Mar02 Feb11 Jan16 (orm mike)ORM CORY 126 6.00    
I'M YOUR VALENTINE Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (martinez ra)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 8.00 6% 15.40    
LITTLE ACCOUNT Jul25 Jun10 May27 Nov21 Nov03 (fridley st)SIMPSON M 119 12.00    
 
FAN-7   08/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOOK AWAY Jul16 Jun25 May25 Mar26 Jan19 (jones s)TAVARES JAVIER 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
TROY OUNCE Aug01 Jul08 Jun08 May07 Apr20 (rodrig)BAILON JADHIR 124 3.50 16% 5.10    
OPTION Jul16 Jun25 Jun01 May11 Apr23 (bahena fer)MOLINA F 126 12.00    
ZARMAE Jul25 Jul11 May16 Apr30 Apr13 (bahena fernand)DIEGO JAVIER 124 15.00    
SCR  MAC PANDOWDY Jul29 Jun24 Jun06 May23 May09 (juarez blas)ORTIZ ALVIN 124 15.00    
SCR  BUREAU Jul25 Jul11 Jun24 May31 May11 (watkins jam)SANTIAGO VICTOR 126 4.50    
SONO GRATO Jul19 Jul04 Apr15 Mar31 Feb18 (scalcione )SIMPSON M 126 4.00    
KARAYEL Jul29 Jul15 Jun27 Jun06 May02 (randazzo )BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 20.00    
SCR  ORBITAL STARR Aug01 Jul15 Jul01 Jun10 May02 (scalcione pete)SAMPSON KIM 124 20.00    
10  AWESOME WILLY Jul15 Jun24 Jun04 May11 Apr06 (becker scot)ARRIETA REYNIER 126 3.00 60% 0.70    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.