Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Canterbury Park
Thursday - August 10, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CBY-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4)-(3/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CBY-2   WIN (5/6/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2)-(5/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/2)-(1/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/2)-(1/6/4)-(7/1/2/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CBY-3   WIN (1/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/4)-(1/6/4)-(1/6/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/3/4/8/9) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CBY-4   WIN (7/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4)-(7/1/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/1/2/4)-(7/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (7/1/2/4)-(7/3/4/8/9)-(1/6/4/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CBY-5   WIN (7/3/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/3/4/8/9)-(7/3/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/3/4/8/9)-(7/3/4/8/9)-(7/3/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/3/4/8/9)-(1/6/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CBY-6   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CBY-1   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
I'M NOBLE Jul08 Jun07 May06 Apr17 Mar07 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 119 6.00    
KURT'S CHOICE Jul20 Jun28 Jun04 Sep10 Aug18 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 3.50    
GLENDALE Jun28 Jun18 May28 May06 Apr18 (willia)BERRIOS-LOPEZ DAYLOR 114 4.50 25% 3.00    
MY CALANTE Jul20 Jun28 Jun04 May03 Apr11 (roberts bla)LOPEZ KARLO 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
LITTLE RED RIFLE Jul20 Jul08 Jun18 Jun10 May28 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 6.00 17% 4.70    
CALICO JOE Jul26 Jun28 Jun04 Apr30 Apr16 (berndt joel)SOSA LAUREANO 119 12.00    
SCR  SCHMOOZE Jul23 Jul08 Jun18 May27 May05 (bethke a)MURRAY M 124 2.00    
 
CBY-2   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 6:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EXPOUND Jul20         (johnston lan)JORDAN R 118 15.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SPECIAL CITY by CITY ZIP)
JOSH'S DRAMA Jul20         (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of MS ELEGANCE by BIG DRAMA)
CARPE GOLD         (bethke a)MURRAY M 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CARPE DIEM out of MINE O' MINE by MINESHAFT)
GOT GHOSTED         (rhone bernell)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 6.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of WANADAY by FIVE STAR DAY)
OUTOFTHEDARK Jul20         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 2.00 58% 0.70    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUMMER SWING by NOT FOR LOVE)
KIRILL THE THRILL         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 3.00 17% 4.90    
  (by TAPITURE out of BLUE GENE SONG by BUDDHA)
JONNY B GONEY         (berndt jo)VALENZUELA A 118 4.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of IT'S TAMARENO by VICTORY GALLOP)
BENZ LAKE THUNDER Jul20 Jul01       (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 118 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LILAH'S THUNDER by THUNDER GULCH)
 
CBY-3   08/10/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 35 M/F PT- 7:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STRABELLA Jul22 Jul02 Jun18 Jun03 Aug27 (donlin larr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of VICAR'S DAUGHTER by VICAR)
HONEYCRISP Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 Sep15   (richard c)VALENZUELA A 119 4.50    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of BADGE OF GLORY by AGO)
MIDNIGHT LANE Jul22 Jun18 Jun03     (berndt jo)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 119 4.00    
  (by MIDNIGHT LUTE out of IT'S TAMARENO by VICTORY GALLOP)
DANZONBY Jul14         (backhaus lexon)HARR KELSI 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DANZA out of SHOWING HOME by SHOWING UP)
KOOKYBERRY Jul22 Jun18 Oct14 Sep17   (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 119 1.80    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of NAOMI RIDGE ESQ. by LAWYER RON)
GRACE A'LACE Jul22 Jul02 Jun04 May05 Mar25 (bethke a)WADE LYNDIE 119 5.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEN'S LEGACY out of ROYAL CLASS by REGAL SEARCH)
 
CBY-4   08/10/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 35 ALL PT- 7:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIARTOWN Jul30 Jul07 Jun18 May28 Apr29 (richard chr)HERNANDEZ HARRY 119 3.50 12% 7.10    
  (by DIALED IN out of SISTER PIPPA by DIXIE UNION)
P R CALL ME MAYBE Jul22 Jun24 Jun07 Apr29 Apr16 (westermann ronal)HARR KELSI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLD SCHLEIGER out of SWEDISH FESTIVAL by LION HEART)
LAPINSKI UNION Mar02         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 119 4.50    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SAFE JOURNEY by FLATTER)
BABY ITS COLD Jun11 May06 Mar18     (backhaus lexo)SOSA LAUREANO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FROSTED (GB) out of SWAY by SWAIN (IRE))
LOUIS Jul22         (rengstorf t)QUINONEZ ALONSO 124 8.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of LITTLE BULL RUN by HOLY BULL)
HARLEEZY Jul29 Jul09 Jun24     (rosin w)WADE LYNDIE 119 6.00    
  (by PALACE out of AVA RAE by SOARING EMPIRE)
STABILITY Jul29 May21 May14     (m)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 124 2.50 59% 0.70    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ORIENTATIOUS by ORIENTATE (GB))
RAIL TOWN Jun25 Apr15 Mar24 Feb12 Jul24 (ashford ra)JORDAN R 119 5.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of CHARMING BECKY by DIXIE UNION)
 
CBY-5   08/10/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31K) 2 ALL PT- 8:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUPERSTAR SWANK         (robertson )GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 4.00    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of FIVE STAR SWANK by FIVE STAR DAY)
TWOTWENTYSWIFT Jul20         (bethke a)MURRAY M 118 20.00    
  (by INCOGNITO BANDITO out of MOCHA TRYST by HARD SPUN)
COMMISSIONER OSCAR Jul20         (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 118 3.50 24% 3.20    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of MISS JANE by KELA)
MO MO TOWN Jul20 Jul01       (bethke troy)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 8.00 11% 8.10    
  (by MO TOWN out of SWEETHOTS by HEATSEEKER (IRE))
WESTDAKOTA         (bedford katli)SOSA LAUREANO 113 15.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ANIGRE by EL CORREDOR)
ZENYARTY BONES         (robertson mclea)WADE LYNDIE 118 5.00    
  (by TAMARKUZ out of SANAABLE by DAAHER)
MACH TWO Jul20         (biehler m)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 118 2.50 42% 1.40    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of YANKEE SWEETHEART by LION HEARTED)
MORNING THUNDER         (r)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of DRACKEN by MILLENNIUM ALLSTAR)
LATIN FORCE         (sweere sandra)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FORCE THE PASS out of WAVELAND by WOODMAN)
 
CBY-6   08/10/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($10K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORING PARK Jul16 Jul03 Jun04 Nov12 Oct07 (berndt joel)WADE LYNDIE 124 1.40 61% 0.60    
SWAMPDRAINER Jul30 Jul10 Jun16 Sep17 Sep04 (spencer r)VALENZUELA A 124 4.50    
MR. COUGAR Jul20 Jul08 Mar30 Mar19 Sep15 (westermann)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 3.00    
STAR MISSION Jul15 Sep15 Sep04 Aug27 Aug03 (wolff perry)WOLFF S 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
BIG PETE Jul15 Jun28 Jun04 May08 Nov02 (rengstorf tony)HARR KELSI 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
BACK TO SELLING Jul09 May29 Apr23 Aug25 Aug13 (berndt joel)LOPEZ KARLO 124 5.00 16% 5.30    
STAR OF STARS Jul15 Jul02 May12 Sep14 Aug18 (bethke a)MURRAY M 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.