Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Prairie Meadows
Saturday - July 22, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PRM-4   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(1/5/4)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
PRM-5   WIN (1/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/4)-(1/5/4)-(1/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/4)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/5/4)-(6/4/1)-(3/2/5/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-6   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/7/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-7   WIN (3/2/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1)-(3/2/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/5/1)-(3/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/5/1)-(3/7/6)-(2/3/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PRM-8   WIN (3/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/7/6)-(3/7/6)-(3/7/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/7/6)-(2/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/7/6)-(2/3/4)-(6/3/7/1/8) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PRM-9   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(6/3/7/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
PRM-10   WIN (6/3/7/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/3/7/1/8)-(6/3/7/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/3/7/1/8)-(6/3/7/1/8)-(6/3/7/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PRM-4   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHER AUTHORITY Jun10 May22 May05 Mar26 Mar11 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 122 10.00    
SAILOR CHOW Jul01 Jun10 May28 Oct02 Sep25 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 124 2.00 21% 3.80    
NOT ROCKET SCIENCE Jun26 Jun16 Jun03 Oct02 Sep26 (clark r)CORBETT W 121 6.00 10% 8.70    
LUCKY LOUIE Jul02 Jun16 Oct02 Sep23 Aug22 (johnston lan)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 2.50    
OSCAR WINNER WALLY Jul02 Jun16 Jun03 May12 Nov18 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 114 3.00 37% 1.70    
BARSTOW Jul01 Jun10 May12 Apr22 Apr08 (condon sc)DE CRUZ 122 5.00    
 
PRM-5   07/22/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($16.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIZHOTNDUSTY Jul03 Jun12 May29 Apr15 Mar17 (jordan todd )JORDAN R 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
POP'S BISCUIT Jul03 Jun16 May22 May06 Apr08 (flores oscar)EDWARDS JAVIS 117 6.00    
NEW STRIPE Jul01 Jun18 Jun11 May28 Apr28 (arnett g)BIRZER E 122 3.00    
HERITAGE PARK Jun11 May22 May05 Mar23 Feb05 (martin timothy )ZIMMERMAN R 122 4.50 7% 12.80    
COLONEL KLINK Jul09 Jul03 Jun19 Jun11 May27 (clark r)CORBETT W 124 2.00 32% 2.10    
HEZA WILD RIDE Jul09 Jun17 May21 Apr08 Mar16 (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 121 8.00    
 
PRM-6   07/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($50.45K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TIME GOES ON Jun24 Oct01 Aug13 Jul18 Jun25 (von kelly)ROMAN KEVIN 121 2.50 16% 5.30    
WOKE UP IN LOVE Jun23 May21 Oct01 Sep05 Aug22 (foley p)JORDAN R 116 8.00    
SCR  MINECRAFT MANIAC May21 Oct01 Sep05 Aug13 Jul18 (anderson l)TOHILL S 119 4.00    
SIR WALLY WALLY Jun23 Jun11 May21 Oct01 Aug13 (martinez )DE CRUZ 120 3.00 23% 3.40    
WARRIOR'S RUN Jun30 Jun18 May29 Aug15 Jul16 (guillory henry )ZIMMERMAN R 116 6.00    
MOLLIES ROCKET Jun24 Oct01 Jun25 Jun06 May15 (wellington tom)CORBETT W 124 2.00 41% 1.40    
 
PRM-7   07/22/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($43.243K) 2 ALL PT- 9:34
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
D'S MIC DROP Jun12         (martin)FLETCHER D 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of SPEEDY GLADYS JAM by GOLDEN MISSILE)
MAKEMEABELIEVER         (johnston )TRIANA JR 119 6.00 10% 8.50    
  (by STROLL out of TRES BELLE by WAR FRONT)
KISSED A CADET Jul08 Jun23       (clark r)GONZALEZ ELVIN 119 1.80 53% 0.90    
  (by ARMY MULE out of MISSMEKISSME by SIR CAT)
CAN'T BE CAUGHT Jul08         (mcshane d)TOHILL S 119 15.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of MICCOSUKEE MISS by INDIAN CHARLIE)
STROLLIN NORMAN B         (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 119 5.00 10% 9.40    
  (by STROLL out of SASHA PEACH by CLOSING ARGUMENT)
NICE ONE JULIO Jul01 Jun12       (arnett g)ZIMMERMAN R 119 2.50    
  (by CONGRATS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
D D'S LEGACY Jul01 Jun12       (martin timoth)PUSAC ALBERTO 119 3.50    
  (by RACE DAY out of DO IT by WILD GOLD)
 
PRM-8   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HOPPIN JOHN Apr29         (morse l)EDWARDS JAVIS 115 5.00    
LEA ME BE Jun10 May29 May12 Sep23   (compton jesse)PUSAC ALBERTO 120 6.00    
K C ROCKET Jun11 Apr23 Sep07 Aug22 Jun21 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 2.00 52% 0.90    
HUSKER BUTCH Jun23 Jun02 May05 Sep23 Aug29 (von ke)GONZALEZ ELVIN 120 3.00    
GEM COLLECTION May26 Apr09 Mar09 Feb10 Jan20 (reiste tim)ROMAN KEVIN 120 10.00    
HALO MOON Jul09 May29 Dec19 Nov16 Oct21 (birzer bonnie)BIRZER E 120 8.00 8% 11.10    
NIGHTWIND Jun25 Jun02 Apr30 Apr15 Mar31 (young sco)TRIANA JR 120 3.50 9% 10.20    
 
PRM-9   07/22/2023 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Iowa Stallion Purse ($70K) 3 ALL PT-10:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C R INSTA GATOR Jun26 May29 May13 Oct01 Sep12 (von kelly)BIRZER E 118 8.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of PARTYTIME CHILL by DESERT PARTY)
SHOULDABOUGHTDABAR Jul02 Jun10 May20 May06 Apr21 (murphy swan)NOLL S 116 1.80 44% 1.30    
  (by ALTERNATION out of GALLERY GIRL by GIO PONTI)
BIG LUKE Jun03 May13 Oct01 Sep12 Jul29 (von kelly)CORBETT W 120 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by TAPITURE out of WARMHEARTED SANDY by SAY FLORIDA SANDY)
ESPE'S GUY Jul03 Jun25 Jun05 May26 May13 (chleborad)DE CRUZ 116 6.00 7% 12.60    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of ESPERANZA by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
PALACE GUARD Jun26 Oct01 Sep12 Aug22 Jul23 (gleason tyrone)TOHILL S 118 3.50    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of ADDY ANNIE by POSSE)
CINCO DE MO Jun30 Jun10 May13 Apr07   (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 116 5.00    
  (by CINCO CHARLIE out of SMARTY MO by SMARTY JONES)
 
PRM-10   07/22/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT-10:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND OF EKATI Jul10 Jun24 Jun11 Jun03 May21 (clark r)CORBETT W 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
WUMPMUG Jul01 Jun03 May13 Apr07 Mar24 (condon sc)TRIANA JR 124 6.00    
PINK PARTY PANTS Jun16 May12 Apr08 Mar08 Feb15 (tracy tanner)ZIMMERMAN R 120 5.00 13% 6.50    
SPITFIRE SUZIE Jul01 Jun17 May19 May14 Apr28 (peters)FLETCHER D 124 20.00    
SWEET HOLINESS Jul01 Jun17 May26 Apr30 Mar30 (loy dewaine)TOHILL S 124 3.00    
POWER TO PLAY Jun17 May18 Apr22 Dec10 Oct26 (ashford tristan)ROMAN KEVIN 124 4.00 51% 1.00    
LORI'S EYES Jul01 Jun03 Apr21 Apr14 Mar17 (martin wi)DE CRUZ 124 3.50 9% 9.70    
TAPICITA Jun25 May13 Apr21 Mar18   (jordan todd )JORDAN R 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
EUROWENDI Jun25 Jun03 May06 Apr22 Mar18 (gleason tyron)PUSAC ALBERTO 124 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.